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Storyboard Sustainable Development Main point Sustainable development is a way of thinking that involves a) living within the thermodynamic limits of the natural system; b) Increasing the sufficiency of real human wealth for all. Awareness of personal role: Awareness of facts: Awareness of strategies: Mindset needed to engage in design for sustainable development Meadows/Daly framework for sustainable development indicators Design strategies for sustainable development what is my role as an engineer? what personal development do I need? why indicators, why sustainability? 3 basic types of indicators needed Sufficiency of human well-being for all thermodynamic realities Efficiency of creating well-being upstream design principles redefine problem; look for human element LCA & other tools Sustainability of environmental integrity This work was made possible by the National Science Foundation’s DUE#0717428 | © Jane Qiong Zhang and Linda Vanasupa 1 Sustainable Development Sustainable Development The engineer’s role 2 Sustainable Development Sustainable Development Sustainable Development Using regenerated income, not principle expenses ≤ income income flow principle (economic, social and natural resources) stock Increasing sufficiency of real human “well-being” for all comfort, happiness, health expenses flow Activity What happens when expenses exceed income? Give examples of income, principle, and expenditures for economic, social and natural resources. 3 H. Daly, D. Meadows ends happiness, community, enlightenment means technology, wealth, natural capital H. Daly, D. Meadows ends happiness, community, enlightenment I dedicate my professional knowledge and skill to the advancement and betterment of human [health, happiness and fortune]. NSPE Engineer’s Creed, 1957 means technology, wealth, natural capital Sustainable Development Engineer’s Creed Engineer’s Creed (National Society of Professional Engineers, 1954) I dedicate my professional knowledge to the advancement and betterment of human welfare*. *welfare-health, happiness and fortune Activity Describe how preserving the environment is consistent with the “enhancement and betterment of human welfare” stated in the Engineer’s Creed. Alternative Activity Draw a causal loop diagram that illustrates how preserving the environment is consistent with the “enhancement and betterment of human welfare” stated in the Engineer’s Creed. 6 Sustainable Development Sustainability Health Grand Challenges of Engineering Safety The joy of living Activity How do each of the four areas fit within the role of the engineer as expressed in the Engineer’s Creed? Alternative Activity Draw a causal loop diagram showing how the four areas fit within the role of the engineer as expressed in the Engineer’s Creed? 7 Sustainable Development Sustainable Development “Sustainable development meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” (The World Commission on Environment and Development, United Nations,1987) Classroom Activity (2 minutes) Discuss the above definition. What are needs of the present? What are needs of future generations? How those needs are met? 8 Sustainable Development Facts: The signs for needed change 9 Sustainable Development Our Earth: A Closed Thermodynamic System Activity (2 minutes) Identify the sources and sinks for materials used in our economy, which sits wholly within a closed, thermodynamic system? Do the same for energy. 10 Sustainable Development Accelerated glacial melting 30 July 2006 09 Sept 1986 Edge of Helheim Glacier, Greenland http://na.unep.net/digital_atlas2/webatlas.php?id=266 11 Sustainable Development Ecological Footprint (giga hectares) Ecological Footprint = Area of land needed to generate resources and absorb wastes from human economic activity 12 Sustainable Development Ecological Footprint Area within the Great Lakes watershed ~0.58 M km2 13 Sustainable Development Ecological Footprint Current human activity Michigan requires an equivalent of 8 x the actual area, or 4.6 M km2. Is this sustainable? Area within the Great Lakes watershed ~0.58 M km2 14 Sustainable Development Global expenses have been ~140% of its ecological footprint income since ~1985. WWF Living-Planet Report 2006 © 2006 WWF (panda.org). Some rights reserved. Ecological Footprint World average available ~2 gha/person; US use ~13 gha/person 15 Sustainable Development Activity Materials Flows in the Economy Find five resources that are likely to run out first. How long are these 7 resources expected to last? Do we need the products they support? 16 Sustainable Development Interaction among Human and Environment 2 earths needed by 2050 Evidence of past 30 years: •the shrinking ice in the Arctic; •melting glaciers; •growth of cities like Las Vegasl •forest loss in the Amazon; •the decline of the Aral Sea and Lake Chad http://na.unep.net/OnePlanetManyPeople/powerpoints.html 17 Sustainable Development Meadows Framework for Sustainable Development Indicators source: D. Meadows, “Indicators and Information Systems for Sustainable Development,” A Report to the Balaton Group, The Sustainability Institute, Hartland, VT (1998) 18 Sustainable Development Harmony, community, Enlightenment, self-respect Knowledge, wealth, mobility From the Daly Triangle Well-being Social, human, and built capital to convert resources to well-being Labor, tools, infrastructure Natural capital Raw materials, solar energy, biosphere, biochemical cycles Indicators like “design specifications”, they help you know when you have achieved your goal 19 Sustainable Development Sustainable Development Indicators Meadows suggests three indicator types: sufficiency for all sustainability 1 2 real human well-being environmental integrity 3 measures ratio,or efficiency of converting resources to real human well-being Indicators = “design specifications” Activity (2 minutes) Pick any two of these three types of indicators. What would be the danger of only measuring these two? 20 Sustainability of Natural Resources Sustainable Development Daly Rules for sustainability 2 environmental integrity use rate < regeneration rate Renewable resources: Metric tons year Metric tons year regenerated consumed Non-Renewable resources: Metric tons year Metric tons year Substitution by renewables consumed Pollutants: Metric tons year emitted Metric tons year Detoxified and absorbed by natural systems 21 Sustainable Development Mindset Required for Designing for Sustainability 22 Sustainable Development “We can’t solve problems at the same level of thinking used to create them.” 23 Sustainable Development Biases Required Inputs to Economy: Past and Present Pre-industrial (before 1700) Labor-intensive (human and animal power) Industrial (1700-2000) Energy-intensive (fossil fuel power) Post-Industrial (2000-) Design and information-intensive (innovation power) David Holmgren 24 Sustainable Development Events symptoms Patterns trends Systemic structures policies, technology Mental models beliefs, assumptions Peter Senge, Bob Doppelt Sustainable Development Events symptoms Patterns trends Systemic structures policies, technology Mental models beliefs, assumptions Peter Senge, Bob Doppelt Sustainable Development Mental Models at Work Activity What are the mental models at work? 5 minutes: Identify the mental models that are at work within each of these stages 27 Sustainable Development intent transpersonal Formal design subject-subject Material Efficient natural capital processes objects subject-object Aristotle, Roger Burton Final Sustainable Development intent Envisioning new purpose design Redefining goals Empowering self-organization Altering numbers, stocks and flows processes Changing System Rules Roger Burton, Donella Meadows natural capital Sustainable Development A Vision Test Can you identify this animal? (Divide the room into three groups of viewers, the next image should be seen only by Group 1) 30 GROUP 1: WHAT IS THIS? The next image should be seen only by Group 2 31 GROUP 2: WHAT IS THIS? The next image should be seen only by Group 3 32 GROUP 3: WHAT IS THIS? You are all looking at the same thing. Take 60 seconds in small groups to indentify what you saw. © 2009 - Jane Qiong Zhang and Linda Vanasupa 33 You are all looking at the same thing. Take 60 seconds in small groups to indentify what you saw. © 2009 - Jane Qiong Zhang and Linda Vanasupa 34 Innovative design for sustainability requires seeing our limits & beyond 35 Design Strategies for Sustainable Development 36 Sustainable Development Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) o Inventories inputs and outputs of product or process life cycle; o Converts inventory to impact in categories (e.g. global warming, acidification, aquatic toxicity, human health); o Applies value-based weighting of categories to compute a single impact number. For more, see Chapter 7: Mihelcic and Zimmerman Activity (5 minutes) What is more valuable, to reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide emissions, to prevent aquatic toxicity, or to protect human health? 37 Sustainable Development Strengths Considers whole cycle, Allows consideration of multiple criteria Facilitates comparison Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) Limitations Costly Imprecision of data Hidden embedded values 38 Sustainable Development The Five I’s Innovation: “We can’t solve problems at the same level of thinking used to create them.” 39 Sustainable Development The Five I’s: Inherency 1. Inherency of non-toxicity Paul T. Anastas, Julie B. Zimmerman Sustainable Development 2. Integration The Five I’s: Integration Sustainable Development The Five I’s: Intedisciplinarity 3. Interdisciplinarity domain expand design Activity (10 minutes) Trends indicate the world population will grow from 6.6 Billion to 9 Billion people by 2050. What would it take to reduce the impact in this scenario to half of what it is now? Sustainable Development 3. Interdisciplinarity domain expand design Four I’s The Five I’s: International 4. International