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Macroeconomics: The Bird’s-Eye View of the Economy MB MC The Major Macroeconomic Issues Economic growth and living standards Productivity Recessions and expansions Unemployment Inflation Macroeconomic Policies Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 2 The Major Macroeconomic Issues Economic Growth A process of steady increases in the quantity and quality of the goods and services the economy can produce Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 3 Output of the U.S. Economy, 1900-2001 In 2001 output of the U.S. economy was: •25 times the 1900 level •5 times the 1950 level Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 4 Output per Person and per Worker in the U.S. Economy, 1900-2001 In 2001: •Output/person was 7 times the 1900 level •Output/worker was 5 times the 1900 level Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 5 The Major Macroeconomic Issues In the U.S.: 60 million households own two or more automobiles. 98% of household own a television (95% a color TV). 67% of households subscribe to cable. Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 6 The Major Macroeconomic Issues In the U.S.: In 2002, 60 % of adults were regular Internet users. 80% of the adult population has a high school diploma. 25% of the adult population has a college degree. Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 7 The Major Macroeconomic Issues Productivity In 2001 the average U.S. worker could produce five times more than in 1900. Average labor productivity: Total output output per employed worker Number of people employed Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 8 The Major Macroeconomic Issues Productivity U.S. trends in output per employed worker 1950 - 1973: increased 2.1%/yr 1973 - 1995: increased less than 1%/yr 1995 - present: increased nearly 2%/yr Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 9 Recessions and Expansions Recessions: slowdowns in economic growth •1930s (depression); 1944-’45; 1973-’75; 1981-’82; 1990-’91;2001. Expansions: periods of rapid economic growth •1945-’48; 1961-’69; 1975-’80; 1982-’90; 1991-2001 Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 10 The U.S. Unemployment Rate, 1900-2001 The unemployment rate: •% of the labor force that is out of work Observations: •Rises during recessions •Always greater than zero Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 11 Increases In Unemployment During Recessions Unemployment rate at beginning of recession (%) 4.8 (Nov. 1973) 6.3 (Jan. 1980) 5.5 (July 1990) Peak unemployment rate (%) Increase in unemployment rate (%) 9.0 (May 1975) 10.8 (Nov./Dec. 1982) 7.8 (June 1992) Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy + 4.2 + 4.5 + 2.3 Slide 12 The Major Macroeconomic Issues Unemployment rates differ from country to country: For the past 20 years, more than 10% of the European workforce has been unemployed. European unemployment is double the rate in the U.S. During the 1950s & ‘60s, the European unemployment rate was generally lower than in the U.S. Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 13 The U.S. Inflation Rate, 1900-2001 Prices in general are increasing over time. Inflation Rate measures the growth rate of the price level at a point in time. •Varies over time -- high in the ‘70s and low in the ‘90’s and today •Varies between countries -- in 2001 3% in U.S. & 400% in Ukraine Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 14 Macroeconomic Policy Monetary Policy Determination of the nation’s money supply Controlled by the central bank or, in the U.S., the Federal Reserve System (Fed) Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 15 Macroeconomic Policy Fiscal Policy Decisions that determine the government’s budget, including the amount and composition of government expenditures and government revenues Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 16 Macroeconomic Policy Fiscal policy influences the balance between government spending and taxes: A deficit occurs when government spending is greater than tax revenue. A surplus occurs when government spending is less than tax revenue. Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 17 Macroeconomic Policy Positive versus Normative Analyses of Macroeconomic Policy Positive Analysis Addresses the economic consequences of a particular event or policy, not whether those consequences are desirable Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 18 Macroeconomic Policy Positive versus Normative Analyses of Macroeconomic Policy Normative Analysis Addresses the question of whether a policy should be used; normative analysis inevitably involves the values of the person doing the analysis Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 19 Aggregation Aggregation The adding up of the individual economic variables to obtain economywide totals Used to take a “bird’s-eye view” of the economy Chapter 4: Macroeconomics:The Bird's-Eye View of the Economy Slide 20