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Lecture 3 External Evaluation Strategy Formulation Vision & Mission External Opportunities & Threats Internal Strengths & Weaknesses Long-Term Objectives Alternative Strategies Strategy Selection External Assessment It is not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change. – Charles Darwin Nothing focuses the mind better than the constant sight of a competitor who wants to wipe you off the map. – Wayne Calloway, Former CEO, PepsiCo External Strategic Management Audit • Identify & Evaluate factors beyond the control of a single firm such as: Increased foreign competition Population shifts Aging society Stock market volatility Determine if such factors are: • Opportunities • Threats Performing External Audit – factors •Related to long term and annual, objectives •Measurable; e.g. Market share; Price competitiveness •Applicable to competitors •Pertain to the overall organisation (wide scope) and to narrow areas or functions within the company. Key External Forces associated with the external: audit 1. Economic forces 2. Social, cultural, demographic & environmental forces 3. Political, governmental & legal forces 4. Technological forces 5. Competitive forces Economic Forces • • • • Trends in the dollar’s value European Union Layoffs Economic standard of living Ch 3 -8 Cpyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Social, Cultural, Demographic & Environmental Forces • • Aging population • Major Impact – • Widening gap between rich & poor • Products • World population = 8 billion by 2028 • Services • Decimation and degradation of the natural environment • Markets • Customers Some important Facts • More educated consumers • Global “facts” • China largest exporter to U.S. • China and Asia provide cheaper labor and utilities than Mexico Would these have an impact upon Ryanair or Google Social, Cultural, Demographic & Environmental Forces • Sample of variables that should be monitored : – – – – – – Number of nativity and mortality rates, immigration and emigration rates Average disposable income Average educational level Government regulation; e.g. mortgage to salary Air and Water pollution Competitive Forces 7 Characteristics of most Competitive Firms: 1. Market share matters 2. Understand what business you are in 3. Innovate or evaporate 4. Acquisition is essential to growth 5. People make a difference 6. No substitute for quality Political, Government & Legal Forces Government Regulation Key opportunities & threats • • • • Antitrust legislation Tax rates Lobbying efforts Patent laws Technological Forces Leads to Globalization of Industry • Worldwide trend toward similar consumption patterns • Global buyers and sellers • E-commerce • Technology for instant currency transfers The External factor evaluation Understanding the factors used in the EFE Matrix is more important than the actual weights and ratings assigned. Constructing an external evaluation (factor) matrix: Assign a weight to each factor (opportunity/threat) increase in relation to importance. Assign a rating to each factor: 1 (little response); 2 response below average; 3 response above average; very good response. Multiply the weight by the rating and add all the weighed scores Note the different rating procedure between the internal and external factor matrices. Ryanair external opportunities 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Weight Rating Weighted Score Opportunities Local competitors’ going bankrupt allows Ryanair to capture 0.08 3 0.24 their customers and possibly buy equipment they are forced to sell. Lower interest rate on borrowing money. 0.05 3 0.15 Down cycle of economy has increased potential profit because 0.06 3 0.18 people are most cost sensitive. Potential increase in investors due to high dividend payout 0.05 3 0.15 $500 million dividend. The economy is recovering. 0.05 3 0.15 Cheaper vacation prices are being offered by resorts. 0.05 3 0.15 European countries lowering or doing away with tourist taxes 0.07 3 0.21 will attract more vacationers. Passengers expected to grow to 73.5 million by the beginning of 0.09 4 0.36 2012. Ryanair external threats 1. Threats Regulatory rules in Europe can change that would restrain the way Ryanair does business. Increase in competitor customer service could attract customers to their airlines. Cost increase at Dublin airport will lower passenger traffic through Dublin airport. Weather threats operating in Europe during winter. Weight Rating Weighted Score 0.08 2 0.16 0.05 3 0.15 0.03 2 0.06 0.04 2 0.08 5. Fluctuations of foreign currency and longevity of the Euro. 6. Heavily unionized labor force. 0.06 2 0.12 0.07 2 0.14 7. Risk of oil rising back over $100 a barrel. 8. Weaking of the global economy. 9. Internet has led to more competitive pricing and more price sensitivity to industry. 10. Continued threat to industry’s human relations concerning displeasure over carbon dioxide emissions. TOTALS 0.07 0.04 3 3 0.21 0.12 0.04 2 0.08 0.02 2 0.04 2. 3. 4. 1.00 2.75 Industry Analysis EFE Total weighted score of 4.0 • Organization response is outstanding to threats and weaknesses Total weighted score of 1.0 • Firm’s strategies not capitalizing on opportunities or avoiding threats Align IT with business objectives • 75 percent of businesses fail to align their IT with their business objectives, leading to lower profitability To align IT: • Identify business goals and strategies • Break strategic goals into concrete activities and processes • Identify metrics for measuring progress • Determine how IT can help achieve business goals; supplier chain management system. • Measure actual performance Question • Briefly describe any three of the inputs used in the derivation of the external evaluation matrix. (6 marks) • Given a set of strengths and weakness, obtained in part 1. Explain, using suitable examples, how you would derive and interpret an external evaluation matrix. (12 marks) • Explain, using suitable examples, how 3 of the 5 elements may impact on an organisations strategic decision making. (12 marks)