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European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Taxation trends in the European Union Edition 2010 Marco Fantini Head of Sector “Quantitative Analysis of Taxation” Taxation and Customs Union DG European Commission European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union EU is a high tax area… 2008 tax and social contributions revenue as % of GDP; EU, US, Japan 40 39.3 30 28.3 26.9 20 10 0 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Development of overall tax ratio % of GDP, weighted; projection based on Commission spring 2010 forecasts 42 41 40 % 39 38 37 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 EU-27 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 EA-16 2009 2010 2011 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Development of overall tax ratio % of GDP, weighted; projection based on Commission spring 2010 forecasts 42 41 40 % 39 38 37 1998 1999 2000 EU-27 2001 2002 2003 EA-16 2004 2005 2006 EU-27 projection 2007 2008 2009 EA-16 projection 2010 2011 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Development of tax ratio since 2000 by level of taxation Average change in total tax-to-GDP between 2000 and 2008 in percentage points 2 1.6 1 High tax countries Medium tax countries 0 Low tax countries -0.5 -1 -1.7 -2 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Growth-adjusted figures do not show 2004-2007 increase 42 41 40 % 39 38 37 1998 1999 2000 EU-27 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 EU-27 cyclically adjusted 2007 2008 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Share of revenue accruing to sub-central level 11.2 20 11 19 10.8 18 10.6 17 10.4 16 10.2 15 10 14 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Local government (left scale) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 State government (right scale) 2008 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Revenue by function 2008 Capital 22.8% Consumption 27.4% Labour 49.9% European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Implicit tax rates (ITRs) 38 ITR Labour 32 % 26 ITR Capital ITR Consumption 20 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Type of measures adopted: CIT • Corporate Income Taxation Base or special regimes ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ Statutory rate ▲▲ Timing (revenue effect) ◄ • • ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼ ►►►►►►► ►► • • This table shows the number of measures adopted during the crisis and their impact (widening or narrowing of the base, changes in the rate, timing of tax payment) Most measures in corporate taxation involved tax relief Changes in the rate have been overwhelmingly cuts Most of the time the reforms have narrowed the CIT base although the opposite took place too Many measures eased the terms for paying taxes European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Type of measures adopted: PIT Personal Income Taxation Base or special regimes Rates ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ ▲▲ ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼ Timing (revenue effect) • • • ►►►►►►► • Most measures in personal taxation have involved tax relief, but also many increases are present Slightly higher number of rate cuts than increases As in CIT, most reforms have narrowed the base but the opposite has frequently happened, too Many measures eased the terms of payment European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Type of measures adopted: VAT • VAT Base or special regimes Rates Timing (revenue effect) ▲▲▲ ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ ◄ ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼▼▼▼ ▼▼▼ ►►►►►►►► ►►► • • • VAT stands out for its clear-cut patterns Clear prevalence of rate increases over cuts … but also clear use of base narrowing measures to favour particular categories of goods Significant recourse of measures to ease the business liquidity European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Type of measures adopted: excise duties • Excise duties Base or special regimes ▲▲▲▲ ▼ Rates ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ ▲▲ ▼▼▼▼ Timing (revenue effect) • • • Excise duties have been widely used to raise revenue Clear prevalence of rate increases over cuts Limited use of base measures – mostly to widen base No business liquidity measures European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Corporate income tax rates 40 35 30 25 20 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 EU-27 2001 2002 2003 2004 EA-16 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Corporate income tax rates 55 Japan 50 45 United States 40 35 BRIC average 30 EU average 25 20 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Development of top statutory personal income tax rates 55 50 45 40 35 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 EU-27 2001 2002 2003 2004 EA-16 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Development of standard VAT rate 20.5 19.5 18.5 17.5 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 EU-27 EA-16 EU-27 projection EA-16 projection 2008 2009 2010 2011 European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Notable increases in VAT standard rates EE: 18 -> 20 LV: 18 -> 21 LT: 18 -> 21 HU: 20 -> 25 ES: 16 -> 18 FI: 22 -> 23 EL: 19 -> 23 UK: 17.5 -> 20 (2011) RO: 19 -> 24 (announced) European Commission / Taxation and Customs Union Additional information • The full report and an executive summary are available at the following address: • http://ec.europa.eu/taxtrends