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Download Module Saving, Investment, and the Financial System
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Saving, Investment, and the Financial System What is the relationship between Savings • Human capital • Physical Capital • The Source of Physical Capital SAVING and INVESTMENT Saving and Investment Saving = investment in a closed economy •This is called the saving-investment spending identity •When you add government and the foreign sector, it becomes more intense SAVING, INVESTMENT, AND THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM 4 Budget Deficits and Surpluses impact investment Budget surplus = an excess of tax revenue over govt spending = T–G = public saving Budget deficit = a shortfall of tax revenue from govt spending = G–T = – (public saving) 5 Foreign Markets also impact investment A dollar generated by national savings and a dollar generated by capital inflow are not equivalent. Investment spending financed by capital inflow comes at a higher national cost (the interest that must eventually be paid to a foreigner), than a dollar borrowed from national savings. THE INTEREST RATE The interest rate is the price, calculated as a percentage of the amount borrowed, charged by lenders to borrowers for the use of their savings for one year. Interest Rates and Inflation What are interest rates? Why do lenders charge them? Who is willing to lend me $100 if I will pay a total interest rate of 100%? (I plan to pay you back in 2050) If the nominal interest rate is 10% and the inflation rate is 15%, how much is the REAL interest rate? Real Interest RatesThe percentage increase in purchasing power that a borrower pays. (adjusted for inflation) Real = nominal interest rate - expected inflation Nominal Interest Ratesthe percentage increase in money that the borrower pays not adjusting for inflation. Nominal = Real interest rate + expected inflation Nominal vs. Real Interest Rates Example #1: You lend out $100 with 20% interest. Inflation is 15%. A year later you get paid back $120. What is the nominal and what is the real interest rate? Nominal interest rate is 20%. Real interest rate was 5% In reality, you get paid back an amount with less purchasing power. Example #2: You lend out $100 with 10% interest. Prices are expected to increased 20%. In a year you get paid back $110. What is the nominal and what is the real interest rate? Nominal interest rate is 10%. Real rate was –10% In reality, you get paid back an amount with less purchasing power. So far we have only been looking at NOMINAL interest rates. What about REAL interest rates? Loanable Funds Market Is an interest rate of 50% good or bad? Bad for borrowers but good for lenders The loanable funds market is the private sector supply and demand of loans. • This market shows the effect on REAL INTEREST RATE • Demand- Inverse relationship between real interest rate and quantity loans demanded • Supply- Direct relationship between real interest rate and quantity loans supplied 11 This is NOT the same as the money market. Loanable Funds Market At the equilibrium real interest rate the amount borrowers want to borrow equals the amount lenders want to lend. SLenders Real Interest Rate re DBorrowers QLoans Quantity of Loans 12 Loanable Funds Market Example: The Gov’t increases deficit spending? Government borrows from private sector Increasing the demand for loans SLenders Real Interest Rate Real interest rates increase causing crowding out!! r1 re D1 DBorrowers QLoansQ1 Quantity of Loans 13 Loanable Funds Market Demand Shifters 1. Changes in perceived business opportunities 2. Changes in government borrowing • Budget Deficit • Budget Surplus Supply Shifters 1. Changes in private savings behavior 2. Changes in public savings 3. Changes in foreign investment 4. Changes in expected profitability 14 Loanable Funds Market – Handout 15 Personal Finance Assets- Anything of monetary value owned by a person or business. Investment refers to business spending. Personal investments refers to the asset management of individuals Liabilities – what you owe 16 Bonds vs. Stocks Bond--Bonds are loans, or IOUs, that represent debt that the government or a corporation must repay to an investor. The bond holder has NO OWNERSHIP of the company. 17 Stock – Part ownership in a company Stockowners can earn a profit in two ways: 1. Dividends, which are portions of a corporation’s profits, are paid out to stockholders. 2. A capital gain is earned when a stockholder sells stock for more than he or she paid for it. A stockholder that sells stock at a lower price than the purchase price suffers a capital loss. 18 BONDS vs Stocks 20 2007B Practice FRQ 21 2007B Practice FRQ 22 2007B Practice FRQ 23