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UNIVERSITY OF ROME “LA SAPIENZA” Centro Interdipartimentale sul Diritto e l’Economia dei Mercati The Economics of Water Efficiency: A Review Amman, September 30 / October 4, 2005 Andrea Billi, Giovanni Canitano, Angelo Quarto A multi-faced approach to water efficiency Physical (absolute) efficiency: using the least possible amount of water Hydrological/engineering approach: focuses on the way to divert water sources to satisfy all demand using less water Economic efficiency: derive the maximum net benefit to society Economic approach: focuses on costs and values to balance supply and demand – Stand-alone welfare calculations – Multi-objectives mathematical programming Institutional efficiency: assess the functioning of an institution regarding water Environmental efficiency: optimal natural resource conservation Technological efficiency: extracting more valuable products for the same amount of inputs Why using an economic perspective? Water is unevenly distributed and its allocation is controversial, thus it is an important policy issue Most planners have biased or uniformed opinions about the hierarchical order of water uses to be satisfied: scarce water should be allocated to the most valuable sectors There are many interdependencies between the water sector and other sectors There are techniques to chose among several arrays of alternative and complementary water projects (supply expansion, demand management) for adapting demand and supply to local circumstances Cost recovery and financing issue are key aspect of a modern water investment policy Key concept on economic efficiency of water use Equal marginal values: allocate water so that all users and consumers derive the same value at the margin Marginal cost pricing: use water up to the point in which its marginal value is equal to its marginal cost the 2 principles give the right incentives to use water wisely The market process automatically satisfies both conditions When public policy dominates, the political process should mimic the market process economic analysis helps taking informed decisions on water projects and policies The basics of the economic analysis of water The hydrosocial water cycle Territory of Reference Returns Returns Abstraction Evapotranspiration Sea Sea Re tur ns Re tu rn s Sewage and refuse disposal... io ct ra st Ab Households n Sources of demand values Sources of supply costs Returns In situ use of precipitation Abstraction Physical Water Resource System Abstraction Atmosphere Other Industries (incl. Agriculture) RoW Economy Imports Collection, purification and distribution of water; Transport via pipeline RoW Economy Exports Economy The demand for water in WASAMED countries Water withdrawals, total pre-capita and by sectors 1998-2002 Major water consumer Households (%) Agriculture (%) Industry (%) Total water withdrawal per capita (m3/inhab/yr) Algeria 21.91 64.91 13.18 194.1 Cyprus 29.17 70.83 0.00 301.5 Egypt 7.76 86.38 5.86 968.7 Germany 12.35 19.79 67.86 570.9 Greece 16.34 80.44 3.22 708.3 Italy 18.19 45.10 36.71 771.9 Jordan 20.79 75.25 3.96 189.5 Lebanon 32.61 66.67 0.72 383.8 Malta 79.21 19.80 0.99 128.5 Morocco 9.76 87.38 2.86 419.0 Palestine - - - - Portugal 9.59 78.24 12.17 1,121.0 Spain 13.44 68.03 18.52 869.5 Syria 3.31 94.89 1.81 1,148.0 Tunisia 13.83 82.01 4.17 271.4 Turkey 14.81 74.23 10.95 533.7 Mean 20.20 67.60 12.20 571.9 Std. Dev 18.08 22.63 18.12 342.9 Source of data: FAO AQUASTAT Generic water demand function D( p) n i 1 Li qi ( p ) Four approaches to water valuation in agriculture ‘Farm budget’ approaches – Residual imputation – Change in net income Farm budget: theory of cost-minimizing producer, optimal water use patterns, programming methods the Value of Marginal Product (VMP) is equated to price or marginal cost Incremental benefits: net benefits with the project less net benefits without it Other approaches – Value added – Alternative cost Accounting for efficient water use The water sector interacts with all other sectors of the economy, and could become a binding constraint Water accounting registers the flows of water over time in and out of the physical system and the economy Water is treated as an asset, whose stock is calculated at the beginning and at the end of each given period The objective is to provide a large amount of data by disaggregating water inflows and outflows per supply source and demand sector, so that: – specific water accounting indicators can be calculated – more sophisticated estimations can be performed Modeling water policies Integrated economic-hydrologic models The most advanced tools for water policy analysis Take into account at the same time of: natural and physical processes structure of the economy proposed project / policies institutional setting Under a set of constraints: The The The The Natural (soil, water) Political (minimum allocations, subsidies) Institutional (prices, property regime) Financial (investment restrictions) Two types of nested models: Simulation: model the response of the hydro system to nonequilibrium conditions Optimization: maximize an objective function given the constraints Structure of integrated models: node-link Three types of components (nodes) Sources (rivers, canals, aquifers) Demands (off- and in-stream) Intermediate facilities (storage, treatment and recycling) The components are connected through the network infrastructure (links) Water demand is determined endogenously Water supply is given by the simulation model Externalities (ex: salinity of return flows) are taken into account Elements of constrained optimization Maximize the present value of farmers’ profits at each demand site over a chosen time horizon Based on the crop-water functions m PA T t 1 j 1 A jY j Pj m A j Fc j j 1 1 r t Tc j Q Wt PWt Disadvantages of integrated models Complexity (but can be simplified for broad policy assessments) Insufficient data (but steps could be envisaged to improve the models) Very site-specific (but can be generalized) Indicators Physical indicators of water use efficiency are limited in that either high or low values do not tell anything about the economic implications (higher or lower benefit to society) Economic indicators and indices of water use efficiency combine physical and economic data and also account for multi-period relationships Policy-related indicators of water use account for how water is used to meet social goals (ex: poverty alleviation) Main economic indicators Water productivity: PR W m j 1 Standardized Gross Value of Production: Profit per unit of water consumed: Cost recovery rate: Zj Q Wj P i P SGVP A i Pi world crop P b PUW dm WD PA dm dm , t RF dm , t time CRR TR S TC 100 Directions for the future Improve data collection Maintain regularly a water accounting perspective Carry out routinely the economic analyses Make use of Spatial Decision Support Systems (SDDS), as a combination of: Decision Support Systems (DSS) Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Thank you!