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Money and Banking Lecture 8 Aggregate Demand and Supply Analysis Ch. 22 Selcuk Caner Bilkent University 5/23/2017 1 Factors that Shift SRAS Costs of production – Tightness of the labor market – Expected price level – Wage push – Change in production costs unrelated to wages (supply shocks) 5/23/2017 2 5/23/2017 3 5/23/2017 4 5/23/2017 5 Self-Correcting Mechanism Regardless of where output is initially, it returns eventually to the natural rate Slow – Wages are inflexible, particularly downward – Need for active government policy Rapid – Wages and prices are flexible – Less need for government intervention 5/23/2017 6 5/23/2017 7 5/23/2017 8 Shifts in Long-Run Aggregate Supply Economic growth Real business cycle theory – Real supply shocks drive short-run fluctuations in the natural rate of output (shifts of LRAS) – No need for government intervention Hysteresis – Departure from full employment levels as a result of past high unemployment – Natural rate of unemployment shifts upward and natural rate of output falls below full employment – Expansionary policy needed to shift aggregate demand 5/23/2017 9 Conclusions Shift in aggregate demand affects output only in the short run and has no effect in the long run Shifts in aggregate demand affects only price level in the long run Shift in short run aggregate supply affects output and price only in the short run and has no effect in the long run The economy has a self-correcting mechanism 5/23/2017 10 5/23/2017 11 5/23/2017 12 5/23/2017 13 5/23/2017 14 5/23/2017 15