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23/05/2017 1 India’s Competitiveness as a Business Destination Rajeeva Ratna Shah Secretary Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion Ministry of Commerce & Industry Government of India November 13, 2003 23/05/2017 2 India – Land of Opportunities Fourth largest Economy (PPP) A safe place to do business Largest reservoir of skilled/semiskilled manpower Long-term sustainable Competitive advantage - High growth rate economy Largest democracy – political stability & consensus on reforms Second Largest Emerging Market Liberal & transparent investment policies Highest returns on investment; India 19.33%, China 14.25%, Thailand 13.3% 3 Strong Macro-Economic Performance Sustained Economic growth; 7% Current Year 8% Next quinqennium / decade Over 6% - Next 50 Years – Goldman Sachs Exports growth - over 19 % in 2002-03; Non Oil imports growing at 31%-Economic vibrancy Positive balance of trade with USA and China FII Investment – over US$ 5 billion so far this year Developed Banking system moving rapidly towards ICT integrated core banking/net banking Mature Capital Market – NSE third largest, BSE fifth largest in terms of number of trades 23/05/2017 4 Sustained Economic Growth (Base year: 1993-94 ) 9 8 7.8 7 6.5 GDP Growth Rate (%) 7 6.1 5.6 6 4.8 5 4.4 4.4 4 3 2 1 0 1996-97 23/05/2017 1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 Forecast) 5 Growing Foreign Exchange Reserves 100 46.64 42.5 80 33.5 35.5 43.6 47.5 75.43 37.2 38 40 17 22 26 56 49 45.35 42 35 54.15 60 20 48.8 91.35 28 42.26 21 30 14 7 0 0 1995-96 23/05/2017 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 (as on 17/10) 6 Select Indicators India: Average Annual Rate of Inflation (%age) External Debt / GDP Ratio (%age) 22.4 22.2 21 20 00-01 India 8.4 01-02 02-03 1=Low 10= High 00-01 India 7.4 Brazil 7.5 USA 7.4 Mexico 6.6 01-02 USA 7.2 Brazil 6.4 Czrch 6.3 M exico 6.3 02-03 Czrch 5.9 China 4.8 China 4.2 Availability of Qualified Engineers 23/05/2017 99-00 1=Low 10= High 99-00 Availability of Skilled Labour 7 Economic Liberalization Fiscal Policy Reforms : Industrial Policy Reforms : Interest rates brought down – Bank rate/Prime lending rate lowered Banking Sector reforms – prudential norms stiffened Securatization Act for better security for creditors Competition law enacted. Competition Commission constituted Independent regulators in place for Insurance sector (IRA) and Capital Markets (SEBI) Exchange Controls relaxed; 23/05/2017 Most items on Open General License, Quantitative Restrictions lifted; Monetary Policy and Financial Sector Reforms : Capacity licensing dispensed with Compulsory licensing only in 6 sectors: restrictions on grounds of national security, public health, public safety FDI policy being progressively liberalized Trade policy Reforms : Stable tax regime with just 3 rates for both Excise as well as Customs duties Full National treatment for foreign Cos. incorporated in India Profits and dividends can be freely repatriated; 8 Fiscal Consolidation Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act; Current account surplus for the last 2 years. Enlarging the tax base; Customs and Central Excise accounted for 61.5% in 2001 against 78.3% in 1990 Bank deposits are 48% of GDP, net NPLs are just 2.3 % of assets; Reduction in Bank Rates 23/05/2017 Surplus projected for 2003 & 2004 (EIU Business India Intelligence 8.10.2003) Bank rate reduced from 11 per cent to 6 per cent over the last five years with concomitant reduction in CRR to 4.5 per cent (w.e.f June 2003). The prime lending rates (PLRs) of public sector banks range from 9.0-12.25 per cent. 9 Taxation Reforms Rationalization of tax structure and re-engineering of tax system; Indirect Taxes Direct Taxes 23/05/2017 Reduction in peak customs tariffs from more than 300% and 22 major basic ad valorem rates in 1990-91 to 25% with only 3 rates in 2003-04. Overhaul of excise regime with introduction of a single CENVAT and a peak basic rate of 16% CENVAT plus 8 SED as of now. In 1990-91 there were 19 basic ad valorem duty rates with a peak basic rate of 110% Corporate tax rates rationalized and brought down to 35 per cent plus 5 per cent surcharge for domestic companies and 40 per cent for foreign companies. 10 Infrastructure Development US$ 12 billion Highways Development Programme; 23/05/2017 Over 13,000 Kms of Highways being developed. US$ 22 billion ‘Sagar Mala’ programme to develop ports and shipping sector Modernization of Airports at New Delhi & Mumbai. World’s Fastest growing telecom market with unified licensing regime and world class international and domestic connectivity; The Electricity Act, 2003 enables captive generation and trading in electricity; 11 Brand India R&D base for 100 of Fortune 500 companies; Large pool of World class scientific and technical manpower; GE’s largest R&D Center outside US; Indian Institutes of Technology; Indian Institutes of Management. S&T policy aims at R&D investments of 2% of GDP by 2007 Among the only three Asian countries with super computing competence Strong base for manufacturing; 23/05/2017 Bharat Forge world’s largest forging facility Most major MNC’s like Volvo,GM,GE, Chrysler, Ford,Toyota, Unilever, Cliariant, Cummins, Delphi sourcing high quality components and hardware from India Essel Propack worlds largest manufacturer of laminated tubes(30% of global market/70% Indian,Chinese market). Hyundai Motors India – Global base for manufacturing small cars; Indica(100% indigenous car) being exported to Europe as Rover City. India exporting steel worth more than US$1 billion to China Hero Honda world’s largest manufacturer of motorbikes Precision Automation & Robotics India (PARI) - 20 Fortune 500 clients 12 Competitive Entrepreneurship Prevalence of foreign technology licensing – Rank 1 Availability of scientist and engineers – Rank 2 Quality of management schools – Rank 9 Firm level innovation – Rank 12 Firm level technology absorption – Rank 16 (Source: Global Competitiveness Report, 2002-03) 23/05/2017 India amongst the leading entrepreneurial hotbeds globally (Red Herring Clubs India with Israel) 13 The Emerging Market: India Traditional & Emerging Focus Traditional MNC Business Model Some MNCs? Local Firms Future Opportunity? 5-10 million, Rich PPP>$10,000, 50-60 m PPP $ 3-10,000, 150m PPP $ 2-3,000, 150m PPP>$ 2000, 500m 23/05/2017 © C.K. Prahalad 14 India a Preferred VC Destination in Asia-2001 Country Amt. Invested ($min) No. of Companies Australia $ 1,228.8 213 South Korea $ 1,228.1 169 India $ 907.6 101 China $ 628.0 23 Hong Kong $ 247.5 33 Taiwan $ 235.7 18 Singapore $ 186.2 38 Malaysia $ 65.1 11 Thailand $ 35.7 10 New Zealand $ 30.9 17 Indonesia $ 20.0 3 Philippines $ 4.8 3 $ 0.0 1 23/05/2017 Sri Lanka Source : AVCJ 15 Investing in India – Entry Routes Investing in India Automatic Route General rule No prior permission required Inform Reserve Bank within 30 days of inflow/issue of share 23/05/2017 Prior Permission By exception Prior Government Approval needed. Decision generally Within 4-6 weeks 16 Manufacturing Sectors with 100% FDI under ‘Automatic Route’ 23/05/2017 Cars and motor vehicles Refrigerator and fire fighting equipments Food processing Electronic Hardware Iron and steel Private Oil Refineries Agriculture tools and implements Fertilizers and pesticides Pollution control equipments Tyres and tubes Packaging products Construction Machinery Domestic air conditioners Electric motors, industrial electric furnaces Mining and Querying Machinery Steam engines and turbines Non-metallic mineral products Rice, oil mill machinery Chemical machinery Drugs and pharmaceuticals except those requiring industrial licensing Medical equipments Office computing and accounting machinery 17 Infrastructure Sectors with 100% FDI Under ‘Automatic Route’ 23/05/2017 Electricity Generation (except Atomic energy) Electricity Transmission Electricity Distribution Mass Rapid Transport System Roads and Highways Toll Roads Vehicular Bridges Ports and Harbors Hotel and tourism 18 Services Sector with 100% FDI under Automatic Route 23/05/2017 Advertising and films Computer related services Research and development services Construction and related engineering services Pollution control and Management services Urban Planning and Landscape services Architectural services Health related and social services Travel related services Road transport services Maritime transport services Internal waterways transport services 19 Sectors with Restrictions on FDI Sectors with limits on FDI Caps Sectors where FDI is prohibited 23/05/2017 Private Banking ( 49%) Insurance (26%) Domestic Airlines (40%) Basic and mobile services (49%) Print Media (26%) Defence production (26%) Gambling, betting, lottery Retail Trade Agriculture Plantation, except tea plantation 20 ‘Dreaming with BRICs: The Path to 2050’- by Goldman Sachs BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India & China) economies could be larger than G-6 in less than 40 years; India has potential to growth rate higher than 5% over the next 30 years and close to 5% as late as 2050; 23/05/2017 By 2025 over half of G-6 size against less than 15% at present; Only India among BRICs to have growth rates significantly above 3% by 2050; Indian economy can overtake Italy by around 2017, Germany by around 2027 and Japan by 2032; India has the potential to raise its per capita income in US$ terms by 35 times by 2050. 21 India: FDI Outlook 23/05/2017 Rated as the best BPO destination; AT KEARNEY Best technology licensing regime - UNCTAD’s Global Competitiveness Report, 2003; Rated among the most favourite investment destinations (UNCTAD, JETRO, JBIC, Deutsche Bank, EIU, etc.) Major destination for foreign venture capital funds (Far Eastern Economic Review) Sixth most attractive investment destination – ATKEARNEY Business Confidence Index, 2003 Also among the top 10 Tourist Destinations. 22 Skilled knowledge Workforce India’s competitive edge is its manpower 23/05/2017 Over 380 universities (11200 colleges) 1500 research institutions Over 200,000 engineering graduates Over 300,000 post graduates from non-engineering colleges 2,100,000 other graduates Around 9,000 PhDs Knowledge workers in software and service industry increased from 6,800 in 1985-86 to 650,000 in 2003 23 ICT India’s Strengths IT Industry US $ 14 billion; growing at 50% p.a. Exports US $ 10 billion 2008 exports target : US $ 60 billion , to be 35% of India’s total exports; Job creation: a million direct & 2-3 Million indirect; High quality standards; 23/05/2017 62 SEI/CMM level 5 companies, two third of world’s total. 250 Fortune 500 companies clients of Indian firms; 24 India - The Back Office hub India has become the most preferred destination – Outsourcing trend increasing Customer needs are being met 23/05/2017 GE,TI, Intel, CISCO, Microsoft, Dell, Sun Micro, Oracle, LG, Ford, American Express and other financial sector companies; Large pool of skilled English speaking workforce – skills and scalability, 24x7 support Productivity and quality enhancement Conducive policy environment and Government support Highly improved telecom infrastructure Call center career is aspirational unlike a low choice in the West Indian ITES-BPO Industry 3000 2400 2500 US$ Million 2000 1495 1500 1000 930 565 500 0 1999-2000 2000-01 20001-02 2002-03 25 Cost savings by off shoring BPO services to India Key opportunity areas Impact* Overall cost saving Per cent Insurance 10.0-15.0 Retail financial services / Retail banking Pharmaceuticals 8.0-12.0** 5.0-6.5 Telecom 1.5-2.5 Automotive Airlines 23/05/2017 1.0-2.0 0.8-1.8 40-60% cost saving for processes offshored Claims processing Servicing Call centre operations Call centre operations Loan processing (consumer, corporate, mortgage) Research and development Call centre operations Billing Engineering and design Accounts payable/ receivable Revenue accounting Call centre operations Frequent flyer programmes 26 Country Advantage Likely to be Comoditized Country advantage (45-55% savings) 100 60-65 10-15 Original Cost base Factor Cost Savings Additional Telecom & management costs Task migration 23/05/2017 Vendor advantage (30-40% savings) 45-55 Off-shore Location cost 8-13 5-7 ConsoliTask ation, Reengi Standar- neering Dization & superior skills Task level improvement Does not Include gains from Over-delivery and continuous improvement 3-5 Economies of scale 15 Process Reengine -ering 30-35 New cost base Task aggregation And process level improvement 27 Biotech- India’s inherent strengths Rich Biodiversity Large reservoirs of valuable diagnostic and clinical data Vibrant and inventive pharmaceutical industry World class network of educational and research institutions Known strengths in mathematics, logic and computational skills Super Computing and Software strengths enable extensive use of bio-informatics in new drug discovery 23/05/2017 28 Global Business Leaders - Bullish On India’s Potential “India is a developed country as far as intellectual capital is concerned” JACK WELCH, GE “India can be a major part of Dell’s operations and we are looking to capitalize on India’s human capital” MICHAEL DELL, DELL 23/05/2017 “We are expanding our presence in India to take advantage of the ample R&D talent available” JOHN CHAMBERS, CISCO “India is handling the most sophisticated projects in the world..I am impressed with the quality of work” BILL GATES, MICROSOFT 29 Thank You Visit us at www.dipp.nic.in E-mail at [email protected] 23/05/2017 30 23/05/2017 31