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Development of Competition Policy, Economic Benefits and Reform Processes: Australia’s experience Paul Gretton 3rd ASEAN-CER Integration Partnership Forum Competition Policy: the CER approach 18 June 2013 Productivity Commission This presentation will cover • Background to reform in Australia • National Competition Policy Reform • Productivity Commission assessments of reform impacts • Current reform agenda • Some key messages Productivity Commission 2 The Australian Federal system – two sovereign political bodies, one geography Northern Territory Queensland Western Australia South Australia New South Wales Victoria Australian Capital Territory Tasmania Productivity Commission 3 The Australian Federal system – division of powers • The Australian Government • Powers determined by Constitution (1901) • Defence, foreign affairs, international trade, customs, currency • State governments have residual powers • Powers over state owned and unincorporated enterprises, • Provision of health, education, law and order & other services • Allocation of taxing powers • Changed significantly since federation in 1901 • Australian Government raises more revenue than expenditure obligations – States raise less • Reform with inter-jurisdiction dimension needs to be cooperative Productivity Commission 4 Australia’s economic reform imperative Per capita GDP ranking in OECD declined 1 Australia ranked 4th in 1950 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Australia ranked 14th in 1983 14 15 2006 2008 2000 2002 2004 1996 1998 1990 1992 1994 1986 1988 1980 1982 1984 1974 1976 1978 1970 1972 1964 1966 1968 1960 1962 1954 1956 1958 1950 1952 16 Source: The Conference Board and Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database, January 2009 Productivity Commission 5 Policy settings behind poor performance • Fragmented, high cost manufacturing • Protected by tariffs and tariff-quotas • Inflexible work practices • Low innovation and skill development • High cost utility services • Government infrastructure monopolies • State – electricity, gas, water, ports, rail • Australian government – communications • Regulated markets • eg agriculture, mining, professional services Productivity Commission 6 Progression of reform in Australia’s federal system • Removal of export licensing (mid-1960s) • Trade liberalisation (from 1973) • • • • Capital market liberalisation (from 1983) Pro-competitive reforms (from mid-1980s) Labour market deregulation (from mid-1980s) Human services administrative reforms (from late 1980s) • A coordinated ‘National Competition Policy’ (from 1995) • … complemented by macro policy and taxation reform (GST) Productivity Commission 7 Trade liberalisation – lower industry protection Effective rate of assistance Per cent 40 35 Manufacturing 30 25 20 Agriculture 15 10 5 0 1970-71 1975-76 1980-81 1985-86 1990-91 1995-96 2000-01 2005-06 2010-11 Source: Productivity Commission, Trade & Assistance Review, 2011-12, Annual Report Series, June 2013 Productivity Commission 8 National Competition Policy (NCP) • Coordinated and systematic approach to reform • Manifested in establishment of Committee of Inquiry into National Competition Policy in Australia (1992) • Agreed in 1995 by Council of Australian Governments (COAG) • COAG Membership – Prime Minister & state premiers • Sets reform agenda & policy directions • …for policy reforms of national significance which require cooperative action by Australian governments • By 2005 some matters still outstanding & further reform potential identified Productivity Commission 9 National Competition Policy framework • Competition Principles Agreement • Policy objectives and directions • Conduct Code Agreement • Extension of Australian Government Trade Practices Act to include ‘exempt businesses’ • Complementary state legislation • Implementation agreement • Competition payments to states – redress vertical fiscal imbalance, direct incentive to reform Productivity Commission 10 What Australia’s National Competition Policy did • Extended coverage of competition law • Gov’t businesses, unincorporated entities • Reform of public monopolies • Structural reforms to public utilities eg separated commercial & regulatory functions • Prices oversight of monopoly services by independent authorities – electricity, communications • Third party access to infrastructure – railways, pipelines • Initiated systematic review of all anti-competitive regulation • ~1800 items (eg agricultural marketing arrangements) Productivity Commission 11 What the ‘related’ infrastructure reforms were • Commenced in late 1980s • Affected key infrastructure sectors • Electricity – establishment of national electricity market, structural separation, corporatization … • Gas – removal of barriers to interstate trade, corporatization … • Road transport – greater uniformity of regulation (driver licensing, standards & vehicle registration) • Water & sewage – corporatization, pricing … • Implemented through intergovernmental agreements • Some government enterprises also privatized – but not reform requirement Productivity Commission 12 Productivity Commission review - Productivity growth in major reform sectors over 1990s raised GDP Percentage points Total 2.5% Productivity Commission 13 …and increased household incomes Percentage change Productivity Commission 14 Opening of economy and reform improved Australia’s relative economic performance Per1 capita GDP ranking in OECD countries 2 3 Australia ranked 4th in 1950 Australia back to 5th in 2008 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Australia ranked 14th in 1983 14 Source: The Conference Board and Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database, January 2009 Productivity Commission 15 2006 2008 2002 2004 2000 1996 1998 1992 1994 1988 1990 1984 1986 1980 1982 1976 1978 1972 1974 1968 1970 1964 1966 1960 1962 1958 1954 1956 1950 1952 15 Key National Competition Policy success factors • Wide recognition of need for national reform • Agreement to reform agenda by Council of Australian Governments (COAG) • Presumption in favour of competition • Effective implementation mechanisms • Common principles • Independent oversight & monitoring bodies • (ACCC, NCC) • Financial incentives – payments to States Productivity Commission 16 Continuing national reform • Reform imperative remains • Globalisation, Environmental management, Ageing of population • COAG’s current reform agenda has 3 streams • Competition and regulation stream • NCP continued • Human capital stream • Reforms to raise workforce productivity & participation • Education, health, workforce participation • The environment stream • Covering key environmental issues such as carbon emissions & water management Productivity Commission 17 COAG’s current implementation framework • Supported by Intergovernmental agreements • National Agreements (mainly ongoing activities), National Partnership Agreements (mainly new policies), & Implement plans • Progress monitoring by COAG Reform Council • Independent reporting on impacts & benefits by Productivity Commission every 2-3 years • • • • Terms of Reference from Assistance Treasurer Bring evidence on realized and potential impacts Quantify economy-wide, regional & distributional effects Assessment if scope for improvement Productivity Commission 18 The Commission is to report every 2 to 3 years on economic impacts of COAG reforms • Inaugural report released April 2012 • It covered • 17 ‘Seamless National Economy’ deregulation priorities • Vocational education and training (VET) • Required to provide information on • Economy-wide impacts, regional & distributional impacts • Whether Australia’s reform potential is being achieved, & opportunities for improvement Productivity Commission 19 Business cost savings (gross) considered possible through SNE reforms Productivity Commission 20 Achievement of cost saving would raise GDP • … by $6 billion in current dollars per year • $3.6 b Direct benefits from cost reductions • $2.4 b Indirect benefits • Majority of these gains could accrue by 2020 100 Share of gains realised over time 80 60 40 Continued efforts required to achieve gains 20 0 -20 2007-08 Productivity Commission 2014-15 2021-22 2028-29 2035-36 2042-43 21 2049-50 Vocational education — Higher attainment could raise national output in longer run $ billions (2010-11) 30 25 20 15 Reforms yet to be implemented Reforms implemented 10 5 0 Productivity Commission • Some increases in training activity achieved already – should deliver gains • Reaching COAG target would require additional educational resources • As always, projected outcome sensitive to modelling assumptions • Net gains sensitive to ‘cost effectiveness’ of educational service delivery and relevance of qualifications 22 Key messages • Ongoing pressure to maintain/enhance international competitiveness • Need high level political commitment and constant attention • Establish & maintain workable framework suited to local conditions • Clear idea of reform objectives • Appropriate incentives for change • Effective implementation, including independent monitoring & review • Community awareness of economy-wide gains • Socialise economic benefits Productivity Commission 23 www.pc.gov.au Productivity Commission 24