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Global Financial Stability: What Role for the IMF? By Dean Baker Co-Director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) Thursday, October 9, 2008 19 49 19 52 19 55 19 58 19 61 19 64 19 67 19 70 19 73 19 76 19 79 19 82 19 85 19 88 19 91 19 94 19 97 20 00 20 03 20 06 Percent of 1954$ (1st Quarter) Real House Prices and Rent, 1947-2008 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 Year House Prices Rent 19 70 19 72 19 74 19 76 19 78 19 80 19 82 19 84 19 86 19 88 19 90 19 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 20 00 20 02 20 04 20 06 Percent Savings as a Percent of Disposable Income 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 19 56 19 59 19 62 19 65 19 68 19 71 19 74 19 77 19 80 19 83 19 86 19 89 19 92 19 95 19 98 20 01 20 04 20 07 20 08 -2 Percent Vacancy Rates 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Rental Ownership Offsetting a Trade Deficit that is 5.7 Percent of GDP 10 8 6 Percent 4 2 0 1 2 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 Savings Rate Government Deficit (share of GDP) 3