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Some backgrounds of China universal service---Village Access Project (Chunxia Bai) Page 1 Definition of UF in China China Administrative System (Mainland) Central Government Provincal government (31) Universal Service Project VA Target: Town and village The basic goal Administrative Villages /natural villages must have access to telephones The minimum requirement at least two telephones be available in an village, one in the public telephone booth and the other in the office of villagers' committee May 23, 2017 Federal State City (333) County (2861) Town (44067) Administrative Village (700 thousands) An administrative village might include several natural villages Page 2 VAP started in 2005, why? 3000 2500 2000 Since 2000, China telecommunication industry facilitated liberalization and privatization, in the meantime. gap between urban and rural in China enlarged and aroused concerns. 1500 1000 500 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Fixed Telephone in Urban(million) Fixed Telephone in Rural(million) •1997, ChinaTelecom (Hong Kong) with 51% private ownership set up, operated in 2 provinces; 1999-2000, Competition between ChinaTelecom and new carriers ( China Mobile, China Unicom , China Railcom, China Satcom ) started •2000, China Unicom IPO in New York and Hongkong stock markets, first foreign joint venture (AT&T) enter China telecom.service market; •2000-2004, 4 major carriers all became mixed ownership with strategic foreign investors join. 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Fixed Telephone Increase Rate in Urban(%) Fixed Telephone Increase Rate in Rural(%) Page 3 China Rural Communications development Phase in Goals Phase One (Before 1997) Phase two (before 2004) Phase Three (before 2007) Phase Four (by 2010) Phase Five (2020) All Counties established local Exchanges Network extend to towns and villages more than 95% of administrative villages have telephone Access at the end of 2005, 100% by 2007. VAP All natural villages access to phone. VAP All towns connect to Internet All families access to phones Now in Phase 3 and Phase 4 May 23, 2017 Page 4 Roadmap of China Universal Service (national level ) Scope Low Income Group Pubilc Service Organizations (Schools &Hospitals) High cost areas city town village family individual Coverage Basic Telephone Internet/Information services Services May 23, 2017 Phase three Phase four Phase five Page 5 Since 2007 VAP extend to three parts 2008 VAP statistics: 1. VAP: 99.7% administrative villages, 92.4% natural villages access to phones (at least two phones in each villages); 2. Rural Internet : – Whole country 98% towns access to Internet, among them 97% towns by Broadband. In 27 provinces Internet is available is available for all towns. – Whole country 89% administrative villages could connect to Internet, In 19 provinces Internet is available for every administrative villages. 3. Rural Information Service – Rural oriented Website, Town Information Station, and IT training , – experiments in 10 provinces Page 6 Broadband penetration rate gap in China China Broadband subscribers 71.84m ( 2008 is 83.4m), Top two in the world But national penetration only 5.3% Sharply Gap between regions: • Beijing Shanghai: 30%; • Eastern,8.45%; • Mid-ern, 3.46%; • Western, 2.98% TeleInfo,CATR,2007 Page 7 Mobile Communications gap 2003——2007年东中西部移动用户发展 2 0 0 7 年普及率对比 45% 30000 70% 40% 25000 60% 20000 50% 15000 40% 30% 10000 20% 15% 5000 10% 10% 0 单位:万户 35% 30% 25% 20% 0% 2003年 5% 0% 全国 乡村 累计移动用户(东部) 普及率(东部) 2004年 2005年 2006年 累计移动用户(中部) 普及率(中部) 2007年 累计移动用户(西部) 普及率(西部) 来源:MII Page 8 How to implement VA Project in China VA project is a kind of Socialistic Type of Campaign ----- Promoting rural economic development, enforcing rural education and enriching rural lives by establishing information infrastructures and service platform in rural areas. -----Several governmental departments including MIIT, NDRC, SASAC and MA involved in VAP in policy making and planning -----A Transition from Political Campaign to Market Oriented Mechanism Planner and manager: MII (now MIIT) and its provincial branches. Undertakers:6 telecommunications carriers( consolidated into 3 in 2008) Time frame: 2004 experiment in 13 provinces since 2005 rollout in whole country General goals to 2020.. MII, Telecomm. regulator; NDRC: competition authority; SASAC: public owner, MA: Ministry of agricult May 23, 2017 Page 9 Government roles in VA project Planning and tasks designation:MII makes the long term goals and annual plans , and distribute annual tasks to carriers. MII provincial branches PCB in charge of coordinating, supervising and examining. Processing management : Every quarter every TA assess every carrier achievements in its province and report to MII. MII make statistics analysis of whole nation and report to Central government, provincial governments, all carriers and main public medias. Privilege policies : Spectrum and numbering used in VA could be an exception of national uniform plan, flexible in choose new techs Tariff:carriers have the discretion of setting price ,only requirement is not higher than cities. Compared to restrict price regulation in cities (dominant carrier floor price, non-discrimination terminate fee between different carriers) May 23, 2017 Page 10 Investment From 2004 to 2008, Every Carrier invest VA project and fulfill the tasks by itself. They totally 460Billion RMB (99% used for equipments and engineering layout). Since 2006, Treasury department of Chinese Central government provide 3.5 to 4 billion RMB to subsidy 6 carriers for their deficits in VA project installation and maintenance. -----Carriers need put in its own money. Provincial governments provide some privilege policies in Tax, power supply and land usage .Some provinces have appropriate funds for VA. -----Provincial governments try to play more part. Long term---Establish Universal Service Fund May 23, 2017 Page 11 How to designate tasks? Principal:the more strength, the more assignment. Calculated by a study group consists of officers from MII, SASAC,NDRC and MA, representatives of six carriers, and neutral scholars, in terms of annual revenue, subscribers market share, etc. Distribution: Segment the 31provinces into six designate areas.分片包干——指定区域 Every carrier in charge of making the villages and towns in his designated area accessible and affordable to telephone. According MII Five-year-plan, accomplish designated tasks (the numbers of unconnected villages) in set timeframe and in designated provinces. Each carrier’ task is consistent but might be adjusted at the beginning of every year after a intensive discussion and bargain May 23, 2017 Page 12 Technology and Service selection -Technology: low cost, wide coverage; fool-proof and robust; Domestic equipments preference. - Network : Achieve VA goals by extending its existing networks Fiber/copper loop,; GSM& CDMA, FWA SCDMA (China innovated system oriented to rural), VSAT, Globalstar and AceS -Cheap and practical user terminal equipments, e.g, Rural information sets, Economic handsets, Easy Computers -Service, 119, e-governments, agricultural produce related information service. local Exchange (FSTN/Cellular) Relay/Trunk (wireless/wire line) Wireless Access base station SCDMA System Fixed Wireless Terminal SCDMA-400M: for villages in mountains and islands . SCDMA-1800M: for towns in plains McWiLL: Broadband Wireless access to Internet. May 23, 2017 Page 13 Why non/little-subsidy UF policy works in China Undertakers are all state-owned common carriers. 3State-owned enterprises have special roles in china economy system and relationship with governments. There are 3 basic Service providers (common carriers, state-owned), 1844 national value-added service providers( 90% are private).20000 local VAS providers. Political pressure High rank Managers are nominated by Central Government. Their Assessment includes both economics achievements and political corrects. Social pressure State-owned establish from scratch by public capitals, the public ever sacrificed personal benefits for their growth; Generally have high reputation in Chinese, the public expect them more social accountabilities than ordinary enterprises. Long term profits attraction enable carriers leverage between government and private shareholders New subscribers more and more come from rural market (accounts for 30%).Compared to city market, less competition. Convinced by China Mobile’s successes in rural markets. May 23, 2017 Page 14 Relationship of stated-own business and government There are about 100 state-owned business now. In future the number will drop to 50 or so by privatization and consolidation. They are under the supervision of three different departments of Chinese central government. Their joint aggressive pushes made non-subsidy universal services in China possible. NDRC SASAC realizes public state-owned Assets Supervision ownership and administration Commission National Development and Reform Commission, enforce antitrust related issues Industry regulator the business plays in, (for telecommunications carriers, is MIIT) Industry development and market regulation policy conflicts of different departments might give carriers excuses for elusive behaviors Page 15 Challenge—non-subsidy policy sustainable? How much state ownership should and could in common carriers’ operation? Unclear Central –local government jurisdictions Lack of systematic institution arrangements Page 16 China Economy System Evolution Since 1990s Economy restructure by Privatization, Globalization, Liberalization 1949-1979 Planned Economy Public sector 95% • • state-owned and -run enterprises (basic and key industry) Collective owned and run enterprises at different administrative levels ( province, city, county, town, village) Separate the ownership and management of public sector Privatize state-owned and collective enterprise Stimulus policy for private sector growth (2nD FDI country) Private sector • • Small self-employed business others set public assets supervision system and market regulation system Socialist Market Economy 2007 About 40% GDP public sector • State-owned enterprises Partially privatization •Collective enterprises totally or partially Privatization 90% •Private companies play an important role. Page 17 Socialist market economy • • • Market plays fundamental role in resource allocation and price set Economy shared by diverse forms of capital Public sector be dominant player in infrastructure and key industries. absolute or relative share holding adopted under different circumstances e Transitional Can go there? How to get there? No one has clear ideas. No emulated path. “Crossing the river by feeling for the stones” (Deng xiaoping) 18 Page 18 Transitional institutional environments Present: ambiguous governments’ roles; legislation behind practice; inconsistent rules. Someday? in future: Systematic institutional arrangements Astonishing changes for 1.3 billion people in 30 years compared to cultural traditions and history burdens of 5000 years •Industrialization ---50% rural population engages in agricultural produce, 1978 is 80% •Urbanization 7000m lives in countryside without public utility and social security, unemployment pressure •Globalization Weak domestic private capital, lack expertise in international trade rules etc. •Hard to reach national consensus because of heavy controversies; •Corruption, during privatization •Compromise between different benefit groups, domestic need and international pressures Adjusting and reforming gradually • Transition from lots of temporary departmental rules to formal law ; • A lot of coordination case by case among different level governments, and government-enterprises. Page 19 Central and local government jurisdiction in VAP Two-layer regulation former • Central level (MII) Infrastructure &basic service; inter-province VAS; Common carriers • Local level (PCB) PCBs are Provincial branches of MII, independent of local government Local VAS (non-facility information service) Local VAS providers UFO: VAP—Basic telephone present •Central level (MIIT) Basic service and inter-province VAS by MIIT Carriers supervised by NDRC+SASAC+MIIT •Local level ( PCB) PCBs become an department of provincial governments they located; PCB jurisdiction keep unchanged UFO: VAP +Internet access +Rural information service Local governments try to play a part in local ICT service development. But they have not enough influence in carriers and many provinces have to rely on central-level investment on UFO. Page 20