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Finnish Innovation Fund “SITRA” FORUM FOR DEVELOPMENT OF ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN FINLAND REPUBLIC AND RUSSIAN FEDERATION PROSPECTS OF RUSSIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT November 15th 2007, Helsinki Elvira NABIULLINA Minister for Economic Development and Trade of the Russian Federation Average annual growth (%) (forecast) GDP Fixed capital Investment 2001-2005 2006-2010 6,1 6,3 9,9 12 Russian macroeconomic trends in 2007 Key macroeconomic indicators 2006 г. January – September 2007 г. January – September GDP, % 6,3 7,4 Fixed capital investment, % 11,8 21,2 Industrial output index, % 4,2 6,6 Real wages , % 10,6 16,2 Inflation 7,2 7,5 266,2 425,4 1 894,09 70,73 3 519,09 141,05 Gold/exchange currency reserves bln. USD Stabilization Fund ( 01.10.2007) bln. rubles bln. USD Russian macroeconomic situation is stable Key macroeconomic indicators (%) * 2003 2004 2005 2006 JanSept 2007 GDP 7.3 7.2 6.4 6.8 7.4 7.3 CPI 12.0 11.7 10.9 9.0 7.5 8.0 Industrial output 8.9 8.3 4 4.4 6.6 7.4 Fixed capital investment 12.5 13.7 10.9 13.7 21.2 18.2 Real wages 10.9 10.6 12.6 14.3 12.4 15.6 Retail trade turnover 8.8 13.3 12.8 13.9 14.8 14.5 MEDT estimations 2007* Strategic directions of long-term conception of social and economic development of Russia • guaranteeing the use of Russian global competition advantages in energy, transport and agriculture • creating strong scientific and technical complex • structural diversification of economy • development of democracy and guaranteeing of personal rights and freedoms, creation of economic and social conditions for realization of personal creative potential Investment (bln USD) 8 6 4 2 0 2005 2006 inflow investment first half of 2007 outflow investment 6 General Data on SME in Russian Federation Total quantity of SME – 1635.5 (increase by 15% as compared with the year of 2006) or about 50% of total number of enterprises in Russia; Number of employees – 10,355.4 thousand (800 thousand more than in 2006) or 25% of all employed in Russia; Investments in the fixed capital totaled 42.2 billion rubles (35% more than in the year of 2006); Contribution of SME to GDP totals 15-17%. 7 Main directions of state support of SME Financial support, assistance in receiving loans and credits Providing federal and municipal facilities lease on preferential terms Government procurement Information and consultanting support Creation of business incubators and technoparks 8 Institutes of development In the Russian Federation Financial institutes of development Created: In the process of creation: • Investment fund • State corporation “Bank of Development and External Economic Activities (Vnesheconombank)” • «Russian Venture Company» • «Agency of Mortgage Crediting» • «Russian Investment Fund of ICT» • «Russian Nanotechnologies Corporation» • «Fund for Support of Housing and Communal Service Reform» Institutes of development Non-financial institutes of development special economic zones (techno-promotional, industrial-manufacturing, tourist-recreational, port) technoparks, industrial zones, «business incubators» centers for technology transfer, subcontracting, design, energy saving 10 Thank you for your attention! Elvira NABIULLINA Minister for Economic Development and Trade of the Russian Federation