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Low pay in the UK: Lessons from research findings Damian Grimshaw Manchester Business School Director EWERC www.research.mbs.ac.uk/ewerc A longstanding problem 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Share of low-wage work 10% 0% A longstanding problem 60% £28,000 £26,000 GDP per capita 40% £24,000 £22,000 £20,000 30% £18,000 20% £16,000 Share of low-wage work £14,000 10% £12,000 0% £10,000 GDP per capita (chained volume measure) 50% A longstanding problem 60% £28,000 Union density £26,000 GDP per capita 40% £24,000 £22,000 £20,000 30% £18,000 20% £16,000 Share of low-wage work £14,000 GDP per capita (chained volume measure) 50% 10% £12,000 0% £10,000 ‘It takes drastic shifts in policy to create meaningful changes in [the incidence of low wage work]; Thatcher certainly acted more drastically than Blair did’ (Solow 2008: 13) And an outlier in Europe 25% 2002 2012 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% OECD database (full-timers only); France from Eurostat Is low productivity the main cause of low pay? The worker? • What abilities? Education? Motivation? • Youth –transitioning to better jobs? • Bargaining position –fair reward for skills & experience? • Gender –unequal division of caring responsiblities? Is low productivity the main cause of low pay? The worker? • What abilities? Education? Motivation? • Youth –transitioning to better jobs? • Bargaining position –fair reward for skills & experience? • Gender –unequal division of caring responsiblities? The job? • Skill requirements? • Capacity for learning? • Regular upgrading with technology? • Job design –what bundles of tasks? • Job value –gender bias? Employers exercise ‘constrained discretion’ in how they organise low-level jobs • Low average productivity in UK induces many employers to design production around low technology/ low quality products & services • But responses vary… Research reveals a major difference in the value employers place on the continuity and productivity of their workforces Employers exercise ‘constrained discretion’ in how they organise low-level jobs • Low average productivity in UK induces many employers to design production around low technology/ low quality products & services • But responses vary… Research reveals a major difference in the value employers place on the continuity and productivity of their workforces Casual labour Asset labour -Interchangeable parts -No business advantage in investment or continuity Workers’ value recognised & enhanced by job design, skill development & attachment to organisation Specific conditions impose constraints on, and open up positive opportunities for, employer discretion Specific conditions impose constraints on, and open up positive opportunities for, employer discretion Dominant customer effect? …evidence from a study of Local Authority procurement of Elderly Care We divided local authorities by type of procurement practice: i. Level of fees paid (low, medium, high) ii. Partnership orientation towards care providers (e.g. quality uplifts, long-term relations) iii. % of service users who were LA funded We estimated the quality of HR practices among care providers: • Six indicators (pay level, pay strategy, employee development, recruitment & retention, working time, work organisation) Dominant customer effect? quality of pay practices show significant differences between providers classified by fee level Dominant customer effect? … but controlling for other factors suggests an additional pound in unit fees only delivers an extra 18 pence in basic hourly pay Minimum wage effect? Can a rising MW be a catalyst to better pay and productivity? Can it ‘shock’ employers into adopting a high road, quality-based product market approach? • Longstanding inertia of low-skill, low pay, low cost production system • External shock incentivises employers to invest in technology, worker training, value-added product market strategy • Part of the LPC’s early thinking (eg 1998 report) But empirical evidence in the UK is limited –Why? • The level is too low? • Other market & regulatory conditions offset its positive effect (e.g. cost competition; SME obstacles to training investment) –vicious circle of constraints • Time to design and introduce a set of ‘beneficial constraints’ (Streeck) –but what? Minimum wage effect? The problem of an isolated regulatory instrument 30% 2003 2008 2012 Percentage of employees 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Women Men Paid MW plus 10% Women Men Paid MW plus 20% Women Men Paid MW plus 30% Increasing clustering of workers, especially women, in narrow ‘minimum wage job contours’ …. But why? Minimum wage effect? European comparative research points to the need for complementary pay practices and institutions 1) Some pay structures achieve ‘long-reaching ripple effects’, so that raising bottom rates of pay ripples through higher grades • Collective bargaining • Better designed HR pay practices Minimum wage effect? European comparative research points to the need for complementary pay practices and institutions 1) Some pay structures achieve ‘long-reaching ripple effects’, so that raising bottom rates of pay ripples through higher grades • Collective bargaining • Better designed HR pay practices 2) Others focus on ‘baseline ripple effects’ to ensure a premium over the minimum wage • Typical among employers not wishing to be seen as a ‘minimum wage employer’ • Reflects outcomes of many living wage practices • High risk of squeezed pay differentials above the new baseline New employer norms? • Marketisation and financialisation pressure all organisations for rapid responses to fastchanging circumstances Strong rise in flexibility in contracts, hours and wages Many employers minimise their responsibilities, shift to non standard contracts, reduce cost overheads, etc Produces too many precarious jobs (& shifts too many responsibilities to the state –tax credits, compliance inspectorates, etc.) New employer norms? The evolving character of Britain’s ultra-flexibility …. Cost Control C-Flexibility Flexibility bites back? Commodification Rubery, Grimshaw, Keizer (2015) Compliance Lessons for employers & for policy • Supply chain effects • Raising fees for low-wage services is a necessary but not sufficient condition for improving job quality –Can trade unions provide the needed leverage (e.g. living wage)? • Limits of Minimum Wage policy • Employers need to value their jobs carefully, not over-rely on the minimum wage as the going rate –What can be done to improve job design & pay policy? (e.g. higher pay for multifunctional contract cleaning jobs) • C-Flexibility • Need to move away from disposable, cost-minimising approach to a win-win functional flexibility –Is it the moment for a new partnership/stakeholder approach for Greater Manchester?