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Net foreign liabilities of retail banks 2002-10 160000 140000 120000 € million 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 -20000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Relative scale: austerity compared to bank creditor bail-out €bn Annual Austerity relative 2008 budget €bn Cumulative Austerity relative 2008 budget 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Bkg contribution to deficit 2009 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2008 Note: Based on Smyth and Barnes, 2013; IBRC not treated as Govt sector; ignores deficit reducing guarantee fees etc post 2013. 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Bkg contribution to deficit 2008 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Relative scale: austerity compared to bank creditor bail-out €bn Annual Austerity relative 2008 budget Bkg contribution to deficit Note: Banking data based on Smyth and Barnes, 2013; IBRC not treated as Govt sector; ignores deficit reducing guarantee fees etc post 2013. Green bar includes the value of the Government’s holdings of bank equity 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Bkg outlay including investment 2008 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 €bn Cumulative Austerity relative 2008 budget Bkg contribution to deficit Bkg outlay including investment Ireland: GDP, GNP 1999-2014 Quarterly €mn 50000 45000 40000 GDP GNP 35000 30000 25000 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Ireland: Total employment thousands, quarterly 1999-2014 2200 2100 2000 1900 1800 1700 Total employment 1600 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Ireland: Construction employment thousands, quarterly 1999-2014 280 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 Construction employment 80 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Real House Prices Dublin 350 1996-2014 300 250 200 150 100 Dublin ESRI Dublin CSO Q1 2014 Q1 2012 Q1 2010 Q1 2008 Q1 2006 Q1 2004 Q1 2002 Q1 2000 Q1 1998 Q1 1996 50 Jan-15 Jan-14 Jan-13 Jan-12 Jan-11 Jan-10 Jan-09 Jan-08 8 Jan-07 % Jan-06 10 Jan-05 Jan-04 Jan-03 Jan-02 Jan-01 Jan-00 Jan-99 Jan-98 Jan-97 Jan-96 Jan-95 Irish 10-year yields and spread over bunds 1995-2015 14 12 Ireland Germany 6 4 2 0 14 Irish 10-year yields and spread over bunds 2007-2013 12 10 % 8 6 4 2 0 Ireland Germany