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Talking points on… Chinese economy Government Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Essentials Chief of state, President: Hu Jintao Head of Gov’t, Premier: Wen Jiabao Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Politics 5% of Chinese are Communist 3 branches: – Executive – Legislative: unicameral, Nat’l People’s Congress – Judicial: supreme, Local & special courts Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Labor force 753.6 million (2002) Agriculture 50% Industry 22% Services 28% – Unemployment 10% Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Economy quadrupled between 1980 & 2000 It will double between 2000 & 2010 GDP growing at 8-9% 3rd largest importer in the world 4th largest exporter in the world Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma What we sell China Computer parts, communication equip Machinery & equipment Soybeans & cotton Aircraft & components Optics & medical equipment Mineral fuels Plastics & chemicals Iron & steel Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Pulp & paper What we buy from China Consumer electronics & appliances Textiles & clothing Footwear Toys & sporting goods Mineral fuels Furniture Leather & travel goods Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma China is not evenly developed PPP in Shanghai $5,000 PPP in rural areas $1,000 – PPP is Purchasing power per person compared to U.S. Coastal areas are richest… Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Special Economic zones Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Foreign Trade 1. European Union 2. U.S. 3. Japan Trade deficit with U.S. is $123 billion because of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods. Deficits with ASEAN, SK, Taiwan Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma 1/2 goods “ Made in China” are manufactured by U.S. or Japanese firms. Computer mouse that sells for $40 leaves only $3 in China – – China has to import raw materials China sells cheap labor & environmental protection Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Foreign Investment $540 billion in foreign investment since 1980 Majority from HK, Taiwan, Singapore, Cayman Islands by ethnic Chinese There are 300,000 Taiwanese in Shanghai – “They know how to bribe officials better than U.S. merchants do”. Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Origins of Foreign Direct Investment 2004 (in billions) Hong Kong BVI South Korea Japan U.S. Taiwan Cayman $19 $6.73 $6.25 $ 5.45 $3.94 $3.18 $2.04 Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma No Free lunch Price is trial and error system Moving from government control to privatization causing corruption in price setting Must keep balance of food to people One Child policy has reduced potential population by 300 million Chinese not rich enough to be old Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Environmental Pressures 2nd largest oil importer Acute water shortage – – – 14 tons of water to produce 1 ton of steel Some rivers running dry Yellow River tapped upstream more & more Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Energy, water, land are 3 shortages Using hot house agriculture with less water Land measured in mu (1/15 of an acre) Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Growth of cars—new & used 2001, ½ million 2002, 1 million 2003, 2 million 2004, 2.5 million – – 50% of market is VW Chinese pay 150% of the world mkt price for car Santana costs $40,000 Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma NEW CARS 2006 1 million NEW cars sold 2008 8 million NEW cars New factory building electric cars – – 20,000 expected 500 exported to U.S. Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Strength of China People & government are willing to change Resilience & adaptability Human resources Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma Challenges Trade issues & U.S. political pressures Intellectual property rights protection Standards Non-tariff barriers/customs/technical regulations Strategic issues Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma John Frisbee U.S. China Business Council, 2006 CIA Factbook—China, 2004 Dr. Zhou, Prof. of Ecnomics, Fudan University Summer 2004 Dr. Jessica Stowell, University of Oklahoma