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JAMAICA STOCK EXCHANGE 38A Harbour Street Economic Overview The challenges facing the Jamaican economy are: high debt, crime, high unemployment and slow growth. Foreign exchange is derived mostly from tourism, remittances and bauxite/alumina. Tourism revenues account for roughly 10% of GDP, Remittances account for nearly 15% of GDP and Bauxite and alumina account for about 10% of GDP. Jamaican dollar is relatively stable, in 2011, the dollar depreciated marginally by J$0.74 or 0.86% Inflation rate in 2011 was 6.0%, which was a decline in comparison to the inflation rate of 11.7% in 2010. Economic Overview Real GDP grew by 1.5% in 2011, the first full year of growth realized since calendar year 2007. Total public debt is J$1.63 trillion or 131% of GDP Interest rates continue on a downward trend as the average yields of the Treasury Bills rates in December 2011 were: 28-Day – 6.48%, 90-Day – 6.21% and 180-Day – 6.46% Net International Reserves as at the end of January 2012 was US$1.88 billion Fiscal Policy The government is committed to a fiscal adjustment and the medium term programme projects a fiscal deficit of 4.6% of GDP towards a balanced Budget in FY2015/2016 Fiscal Policy Reduce spending Tax Reform – subsidies in health care and education along with other tax incentives As a result of the ballooning debt, in 2010, the Jamaican government took the initiative to execute a liability management exercise with the objective of realigning the domestic debt portfolio in relation to the maturity structure, which involved a voluntary debt exchange. Jamaica Debt Exchange Programme (JDX) The main characteristics of the JDX, which sought to exchange all market issued Jamaica and United States Dollar local securities were: A par-for-par exchange offer with no “haircuts”; Voluntary exchange of over 350 market issued domestic bonds valued at approximately $701.5 billion for 25 new benchmark bonds; Voluntary exchange of short dated high yielding interest bearing securities for longer dated securities with significantly lower yields; Extension of the maturity profile of the domestic debt portfolio in order to lower the refinancing risks; Achievement of substantial cost savings; Issue of an appropriate mix of fixed, variable and USD securities; and The introduction of new CPI-Indexed Investment Bonds. Following execution of the JDX, the results revealed a participation rate of 99.2% from investors. This included 100% participation from the financial institutions and represented $695.60 billion of the total eligible bonds. Monetary Policy The monetary based expanded by $11.2 billion or 14.0% during the December 2011 quarter, relative to $9.4 billion or 20.8% in the December 2010 quarter. 30-Day Certificate of Deposit remained at 6.25% throughout the December 2011 quarter Cash Reserve and Liquid Assets requirements were maintained at 12.0% and 26.0% respectively in December 2011 quarter. Monetary Policy For the December 2011 quarter, broad Jamaica Dollar money supply (M3J) increased by 9.3 per cent. This expansion was well above the increase of 3.4 per cent in the corresponding quarter of 2010 as well as the average growth of 6.0 per cent for the last five December quarters. The main source of expansion in M3J for the review quarter was a net unwinding of BOJ Certificates of Deposit (CDs) of $22.6 billion, or 18.6 per cent, relative to the net unwinding of $7.0 billion or 5.2 per cent in the December 2010 quarter . The acceleration in the money supply during the review quarter was reflected in increases of 7.9 per cent and 18.2 per cent in local currency deposits and currency in circulation, respectively. Monetary Policy Government Policy’s and the JSE Tax benefits – dividends (for residents) are tax free Tax benefits – capital gains are tax free Tax benefits – no transfer or stamp duty tax Junior Market – corporate tax is zero for the first 5 years after listing and years 6 to 10, corporate tax is 50% of the rate. Overview of JSE The Jamaica Stock Exchange began operations on February 3, 1969 Private company, full demutualization in 2008 JCSD – subsidiary of the JSE, keeps the share certificates for investors Junior Market US Dollar Equities Market Overview of the JSE JSE mandate is to provide a fair and efficient and transparent stock market JSE is obliged to protect the investors JSE operates and monitors trading activity Responsible for ensuring that timely material information is disclosed to allow investors to make prudent decisions If listed companies fail to do so - the JSE will take action within the Rules Overview of the JSE The JSE: Ensures brokers meet the fit and proper standard for operation of a brokerage Operate Compensation Fund to secure investors Has regulatory responsibility to ensure that: Companies meet basic criteria at the time of listing Companies continue to meet these criteria throughout Companies comply with Rules, including Provision of timely information to investors Encourage good corporate governance practices New Listings No. of Year Listings Capital Raised Industry 2002 2003 2005 1 1 1 1.02 Billion 626.14 Million 911.2 Million Finance Finance Finance 2006 2008 2009 2 6 1 519 Million 4,266 Million 100 Million Finance & Gaming Finance & REIT Finance 2010 2011 10 Finance, Manufacturing, 1,302.6 Million Retail & Tourism 6 Finance, Manufacturing, 3,028.2 Million Retail & Insurance Additional Capital Raised Year Rights Issues Capital Raised Industry 2004 1 258.7 Million Communications 2005 3 1,823.8 Million Finance, Retail & Insurance 2007 1 501 million Finance 2008 1 127 Million Other Benefits for Listing Raise capital for refinancing of debts, expansion projects, development of new products, etc. Enhance corporate profile, as such the ability to secure additional financing Provide liquidity for shareholders Share options are available to employees Market valuation Movement in the Indices From 2006 to 2011, the JSE Index depreciated on average by 0.09%. However, from 2008 the JSE Main Index has gradually increased by 6.02% on average. JSE Index 120,000.00 110,000.00 Points 100,000.00 90,000.00 80,000.00 70,000.00 60,000.00 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Movement in the Indices The Business Insider ranked the JSE as one of the 11 Best Performing Stock Markets of 2011. They calculated yearly returns for some 100 global exchanges to see how indexes compared to each other. Findings: less than 15% of markets are in positive territory. JSE ranked 6th, up 12.8% Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/11-best-performingstock-markets-2011-2011-12?op=1#ixzz1pyJLKd70 Top 20 Stocks for 2011 2011 Top Twenty Price Appreciation Winners Company Jamaica Money Market Brokers Barita Investments Limited Pegasus Hotel Ciboney Group Berger Paints (Jamaica) Kingston Wharves National Commercial Bank Jamaica Desnoes & Geddes Supreme Ventures Sagicor Life Jamaica Capital & Credit Financial Group Pan Caribbean Financial Services Losers % Open Close Company 210.00% 136.68% 87.26% 66.67% 59.20% 48.00% 4.00 1.99 12.01 0.03 2.01 4.00 12.40Trinidad Cement Limited 4.71Cable & Wireless (Jamaica) 22.49Salada Foods Jamaica 0.05Guardian Holdings Limited 3.20Lascelles, deMercado & Co 5.92Caribbean Cement Company 45.24% 42.90% 38.25% 38.12% 19.32 3.59 2.17 7.24 28.06Jamaica Broilers Group 5.13 3.00 10.00 37.88% 3.30 4.55 36.28% 19.49 26.56 Mayberry Investments Limited Scotia Investments Jamaica Gleaner Company 31.98% 31.32% 29.41% 2.47 22.00 1.70 3.26 28.89 2.20 Pan Jamaican Investment Trust Hardware & Lumber GraceKennedy Limited Jamaica Producers Group Carreras Limited 27.65% 26.88% 23.51% 18.57% 15.92% 47.01 4.65 51.00 20.25 53.07 60.01 5.90 62.99 24.01 61.52 % Open Close (65.45%) (39.39%) (31.77%) (25.00%) (4.10%) (2.28%) 53.00 0.33 13.00 220.00 305.00 3.07 18.31 0.20 8.87 165.00 292.50 3.00 (1.50%) 6.01 5.92 Performance of the Securities on the Junior Market in 2011 SECURITIES Access Financial Services Limited Blue Power Group Limited Cargo Handlers Limited Dolphin Cove Limited Jamaican Teas Limited Lasco Distributors Limited Lasco Financial Services Limited Lasco Manufacturing Limited Average Price Appreciation(%) % Change (8.00%) 29.57% 0.38% 68.51% 25.25% 284.29% 140.93% 142.26% 85.40% Appreciation in Price Since Listing Securities JMMB Limited Mayberry Investments Limited Supreme Ventures Limited Carlton Savannah REIT (Jamaica) Ltd. Access Financial Services Limited Year % Change Listed in Price 2002 198.80% 2005 -35.45% 2006 -37.63% 2008 -23.52% 2009 150.82% Global Vision GlobalVision Features Support for trading in multiple asset classes • Equities • Equity Derivatives • Fixed Income (Government and Corporate Bond) • Currencies e.g. forward FX, options • Credit Derivatives • Asset-Backed Securities • Property Derivatives • Soft Commodities Feature-rich Front-End, Rules based Direct Market Access • Fix Gateway • An API for straight through processing to back office systems Trading Platform – Overview