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Toward Mining Massive and Multi-dimensional Data for Extreme Hydrometeorological and Climate Event Analyses Ling Qiu1,2,3, Carlos M. Carrillo3, and Francisco Munoz-Arriola,3,4,5 1Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, 2UCARE Fellow; 3Biological Systems Engineering; 4School of Natural Resources, 5Affiliated to Robert Daugherty Water for Food Institute University of Nebraska-Lincoln Missouri River Basin(MRB) • MRB has 117 million acres in cropland. • Produce 46%, 22% and 34% US’ wheat, corn, and cattle, respectively. • Economic contribution of agricultural activity can be jeopardized by extreme hydrometeorological and climate events (EHCEs). Why do we study precipitation and temperature? • Precipitation and temperature are two of the most important variables to evaluate extreme events. • It is unclear if precipitation and Minimum and Maximum Temperatures’ patterns present a historical persistence in their occurrence. Precipitation Analysis DATASETS Introduction Anomalies • A spatially comprehensive hydrometeorological dataset for Mexico, the U.S., and southern Canada for the period of 1950-2013 (Livneh et al., 2015). • Includes observed and gridded daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperatures. • The resolution of the dataset is 1/16 degree(~6km) • ~40K grids in the MRB and 20K time steps by grid. Summer Summer EOF1 Dry Dry Summer Summer 29.06% Wet Wet Winter Winter PROGRAMING TOOLS EOF1 Dry Dry Matplotlib Winter Winter HCL Color • A python 2D plotting Research Question – Objectives - Hypothesis library. What are the main modes of spatial distribution and temporal • Make plotting easier in variability of extreme events (extreme warm/cold, dry/wet) in python. • MRB? • Capable of plotting various kinds of • Extract spatial patterns and temporal variability EHCEs. common plots. • Develop and implement data mining techniques for EHCEs • Users are able to • control most of the analyses using Python. details in a figure. MRB modes of spatiotemporal variability can be characterized as areas of historical water deficits/surpluses and warm/cold conditions at the basin scale. 31.15% Wet Wet HCL(Hue-ChromaLuminance) is based to how the human perception works. Users can directly control the three indexes in HCL. Temperature Analysis Anomalies EOFs Summer EOF1 Hot Summer Conclusions Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) • • Climate is characterized by nonlinearity and high dimensionality. • EOFs analyses are widely used to extract important spatiotemporal patterns of variability in atmospheric sciences (Wilks, 2006). • Python uses a method based on singular value decomposition (SVD) in EOF analysis. • The input to EOF analysis is a spatial-temporal anomaly matrix of a variable. • EOFs is our basic analyses for Data Mining of multidimensional data. EOFs We found that precipitation and temperature are the ideal meteorological variable to test spatiotemporal variability of extreme events using simple (composite analysis) and sophisticated (EOF) statistical techniques. The EOF data mining technique is able to portray the dry and wet events of the MRB climatic variability of the last 50 years. Wet and dry events in the interannual scale of variability are captured as the statistically dominant mode of EOF for summer and winter. Python codes for plotting and analysis used in this study were found to be very efficient to work on massive multidimensional climate datasets. • • 56.74% Cold Winter EOF1 Hot Winter References • • • Wilks, D. S. (2006). Statistical Methods in the Atomspheric Sciences (2nd ed., Vol. 91, International Geophysics Series). Burlington, MA: Elsevier. Livneh, B., Bohn, T. J., Pierce, D. W., Munoz-Arriola, F., Nijssen, B., Vose, R., . . . Brekke, L. (2015). A spatially comprehensive, hydrometeorological data set for Mexico, the U.S., and Southern Canada 1950–2013. Scientific Data. Retrieved March 04, 2016. Why HCL. (n.d.). Retrieved April 06, 2016, from http://hclwizard.org/why-hcl/ 66.94% Cold