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Senior Seminar 2 Winter 2011 ISP 4860 Section 001 (Bowen) Class 7, February 28 Course web site: www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11 Agenda • • • • Pictures New on course website Late / returned / future assignments Content: Ecosystem Services (review and extension) Food and Fish Water Approaches to Solutions • Writing Planning for Chapters 2 and 3 Grammar 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 2 New Course resources • www.is.wayne.edu/drbowen/SenSemW11 Global Warming • History Ecology • Unintended Ecological Consequences Fish and Food • Japan Recalls Whaling Fleet Consumption • Consumers hanging on to stuff longer • Rising world energy demand Earth monitoring examples • Earth Observer • Google Earth Engine 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 3 Assignments Coming Up • Past: choice of topic, Paper Planner for Chapter 1, List of references, file via Moodle • This Week - February 28: draft of Chapter 1 (the overview chapter, file via Moodle) • Next week (March 7) Drafts of Chapters 2 and 3 (status and trends, file via Moodle) • Two weeks (March 14) Spring Break • Three weeks (March 21) Revised Chapter 1 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 4 Topics • • • • • • Jeff Blake: Globalization Baron Crumpler: Sustainable food for the 21st century Juanita Hatcher: Water - polluted rivers in North America William Hurt: Energy Efficiency Pamela Jones: Urbanization Jennifer Kelley: disease/development with an emphasis on indigenous groups in Central America • Loreese Lee: Water Abuse • Michele Norris: populations that are being affected because of the destruction of fish (commercially or environmentally) as a food source • Diane Smith: Government funding for meeting the needs of treatment for diseases in the low income, poverty areas 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 5 Research portfolio • Self-assessment will be repeated two more times during semester March 7, next week (self-assessment) April 4 (self-assessment and Instructor assessment) 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 6 Late Assignments • Still three people without Moodle accounts: Elaine Hawkins Cardale Patterson Shannel Redding • Choice of topic – same three missing • Chapter 1 Planner missing: Juanita Hatcher, Elaine Hawkins, William Hurt, Cardale Patterson, Shannel Redding 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 7 Late Assignments • List of References: eight missing Jeff Blake, Juanita Hatcher, Elaine Hawkins, William Hurt, Michele Norris, Cardale Patterson, Shannel Redding, Diane Smith • Draft of Chapter 1: ten missing Jeff Blake, Baron Crumpler, Juanita Hatcher, Elaine Hawkins, William Hurt, Loreese Lee, Michele Norris, Cardale Patterson, Shannel Redding, Diane Smith 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 8 Late Assignments • Reminders: Putting work off makes it pile up Putting work off means forgetting how Part of grade is getting work in on time 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 9 So What? • If you are more than a week behind, get help From me: • Office hours one hour before class • Or Tue and Thu 2:30 – 3:30 in 216 Physics • Telephone, email, IM, make appointment Research Librarians • In person, at any WSU library 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 10 Citations with Web Example Lists of References • Most references look good. Some that I have questions about – noted in feedback. • MLA name is “Works Cited” (without the quotes) • Some have very incomplete bibliographic information. See The Everyday Writer or the MLA website on the course website. 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 12 Citations and Works Cited • Web example: on Works Cited page Page ID is first thing “Kenya Population.” World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. Feb. 2009. United Nations Population Division. 2/11/09. http://esa.un.org/unpp/p2k0data.asp. • Citation (Kenya Population) 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 13 Citations and Works Cited • Citation – what goes in the Chapter itself • Web page example First choice for citation is author name (not present in this example) If no author name go to second choice which is page title (used this in this example) If no title, third choice for ID would be name of organization If no page numbers, then citation is just top choice from above 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 14 Citations and Works Cited • On Works Cited page 2/28/11 Author (if given) Title (if given) Print publication information (if given) Electronic publication information Access information (including date accessed and URL in angle brackets <> Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 15 Content: Ecosystem Services Review Content: Ecosystem Services • Ecosystem services In SOP, “Prospects for Biodiversity” E.S.: emphasize what the natural world does for us and put a dollar value on it • Not 100% precise: do we include aesthetic values such as beauty and relaxation, and what are they worth in $? One estimate (link on course website) $1654T, when world GDP was $18T • Much of estimated value outside of markets 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 17 Ecosystem Services • Another list (Science article) 2/18/09 Atmospheric gas regulation Climate regulation Disturbance regulation Water regulation Water supply: Storage and retention of water Erosion control and sediment retention Soil formation Nutrient cycling Waste treatment Pollination Biological regulations of populations Habitat for resident and transient populations Food production Raw materials (e.g. lumber) Genetic resources Recreation Cultural Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 18 Ecosystem Services • Biodiversity Importance: indicates how reliable that service is • Biodiversity is the raw material for adapting to changes • If biodiversity decreases, extinction gets closer • Without biodiversity, cannot genetically adapt to changes • Humans can adapt in other ways than genetic but natural world cannot 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 19 Ecosystem Services • Biodiversity We are in the midst of large wave of extinctions – one of biggest ever • May be due to us • Deforestation pressures to gain farmland o We don’t even know what most of the species are • Fresh and saltwater overfishing, loss of diversity o Fish are adapting: stay small, propagate early » May not be healthy in long run • Cropland - monoculture 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 20 Millennium Ecosystem Assessment • UN project to do a comprehensive assessment of all ecosystems Years before and after 2000 Four areas of Ecosystem Services • Provisioning (water, food, fiber, etc.) • Regulating (air and water purification, flood control, etc.) • Cultural (Aesthetic, spiritual, recreational, etc.) • Supporting the other three (nutrient recycling, soil formation, etc.) 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 21 Millennium Ecosystem Assessment • General findings that are worse than previously thought Unfamiliar ecosystems in trouble also Interactions between ecosystems Unsustainable use • Examples: overfishing, overgrazing, overlogging (Michigan) Gap between world rich and poor is increasing 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 22 Biodiversity • Pretty sure species are disappearing at a high rate • Suspicion we might be a big cause (not that we are evil, but that we are ignorant) We can adapt to change quickly, and the species we tend to we can help But wild species take thousands of generations (insects and pests do well!) Forests, coral reefs, wetlands all shelter the young of many species from predation 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 23 Biodiversity • We need to become smarter about this • Until then we probably need to be more cautious • Is there a risk to us? We don’t know, but maybe 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 24 Content: Food / Fish Content: Food / Fish • Fish Pp 29 - 36 • Food: (Security) Pp 108 – 110 (Security) Pp 154 - 159 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 26 Fish • Much overfishing around the world US has relatively good control here Keep fishing allowances down so that stock is replenished • Countries where fish is more important in diet often overfish as population and prosperity grow Subsidies to fishermen – can make little sense “Factory” Trawlers – full processing plants 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 27 Fish • Coastal fish more numerous but overfished • Trend is to have to fish further from shore, deeper waters, for fish that were once rejected (Figure 3 Pg 42) 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 28 Factory Trawlers 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 29 Food • Issue today is Food Security – we have enough food, but many people do not have a reliable supply Pests, spoilage, pilfering • However, recent gains are stalling, food no longer rising as fast as population • For ~ 10,000 years, farmers selected best of local crop Much more productive of food for humans than original wild versions 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 30 Green Revolution • 1980s “Green Revolution” Government-financed research centers for major grains Found best rice genes from around world, put them in one type Done for all major grains Done through normal plant breeding, just select the breeds and put them together Came to require many resources: irrigation, fertilizer, pesticides (monoculture) 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 31 Green Revolution GMOs • 1980s “Green Revolution” Often too expensive for poor farmers • Now, Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs) Private commercial development Select genes from across species, even between plants and animals Transfer directly, without breeding Can decrease need for resources but seed is expensive 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 32 GMOs • Genes make proteins, so plant has proteins from different species Can tailor crops to type of farmland, etc. • But proteins are from foods, so known to be safe for human consumption: “Frankenfood” DB: “like chewing strawberries and hamburger together” Still, controversial in much of developed world Because of resource savings, poor farmers have little choice, but still expensive 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 33 Food Supply • Biggest need for more food will come from prosperity, if this leads to “eating higher on the food chain/web.” Factory farms generate large amounts of animal waste, can be an environmental and aesthetic hazard • Climate Change can disrupt agriculture • HIV/AIDS disrupting populations, killing adults • Education needed to apply modern methods 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 34 Food and Trade Policy • US subsidizes food exports US farmers well organized, dependent US Food aid often requires purchase of food from US • Local farmers in poor countries often cannot compete with these subsidized prices 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 35 World Controversy • Modern mechanized agriculture Vs improved earlier methods, e.g. less plowing (just make a slit) • Arguments: Ecosystem can’t take increase requirements for water, fertilizer, pesticides, plus do not like GMOs Earlier methods, even improved, can’t produce enough food 2/18/09 Senior Seminar W09, Class 6 36 Content: Water Water • How we consume water: Domestic – drinking, bathing, sanitation Agricultural – irrigation, animals Industrial, including electricity • Not equally distributed A few countries have most of the fresh water Asia – 60% of population, 30% of fresh water Conflicts if river, lake shared • Many people do not have adequate access Water-borne diseases – often preventable 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 38 Water Use by Sector Region Agriculture Industry Domestic Developing countries 81% 11% 8% Industrial countries 46% 41% 13% World 70% 20% 10% 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 39 Water • Water supply today characterized by large infrastructure projects Dams Aqueducts (enclosed) and canals (open, evap) Water and sewage plants Displaced people • In US, many smaller flood-control dams without efficient generators being torn down • Water heavy, bulky, expensive to transport 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 40 Sources with Problems • Rivers without flow into ocean Colorado, Nile, Yellow, others • Disappearing lakes Lake Chad (Africa), Aral Sea (Asia), Sea of Galilee, Dead Sea • Overpumping of aquifers (what feeds wells), unsustainable • Loss of habitat River beds Wetlands 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 41 Water Scarcity 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 42 Water • Often a source of international conflict Middle East • Some degree of water scarcity: Today, 40% of world population needs more water 2025 – over 75% estimated to need more water • Much growth in poor cities already short of water • Much water is wasted – evaporation, leakage from pipes: 45% 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 43 Water Conflicts • Fewer than might be expected • Farmers Vs Cities Connection between water and food • Upstream Vs Downstream • Example: Israel/Palestine Israel 2x population but 7x water 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 44 Goals and Challenges • UN goal to reduce by half by 2105 the population without adequate access Not on target • Problems with this goal: 2/28/11 Regional & international water conflicts Unsustainable groundwater use Climate Change Declining ability to monitor water use Long lead times, uncertain projections Much population growth in poor cities with unsustainable water use already Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 45 Possible New Approaches • Focus on basic human needs • Pricing to encourage efficient sustainable use Low/no water use in sanitation Efficient industry Drip agriculture, furrows to slow runoff • Recycling – suit quality to use • Include all stakeholders in planning 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 46 US Water Productivity SOP, Pg 66 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 47 Recycling - Suiting Quality to Use • Potable (drinkable) is highest quality • Now, all water is potable • Could use bathwater for watering lawn or flushing • Can be done industrially also 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 48 Water and … • • • • • • • • Water and Food Water and Global Warming Water and Population Water and Development Water and Ecosystem Water and Disease Water and Urbanization Water and Sustainability 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 49 Content: Approaches to Solutions Approaches to Solutions: Supply or Demand? Area Increase Supply Food & GMOs (agriculture) fish Fish farming Water Purification, desalination Energy Biofuels, nuclear, drill Reduce Demand Eat lower on food chain More efficient agriculture, recycling Efficiency • Solutions often offered as either-or • Must be smart about increasing supply 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 51 Approaches to Solutions: Supply or Demand? Increase Supply Pro Con 2/28/11 Reduce Demand Cannot be sure of cutting demand enough Could make present supply sufficient, even reduce it, better for ecosystem Expensive, hard for May be a hard sell poorest to adopt , may harm ecosystem Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 52 Approaches to Solutions: Supply or Demand? • If neither approach can be guaranteed, is it prudent to have both in hand? • Can we find another path to prosperity besides “stuff”? E.g. “virtual stuff”? Base needs: water, food, air • “Virtual stuff” even here, especially for food – make “lower on the food chain” eat like “higher on the food chain” • Even some helps Other needs could be more virtual if done well 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 53 Writing Writing: Words That Sound the Same • More words that sound alike: 2/28/11 perspective Vs prospective dual Vs duel conscience Vs conscious do Vs due verses Vs versus site Vs sight who's Vs whose feat Vs feet read Vs reed vary Vs very rigor Vs rigger Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 55 Writing: Explanations • If you explain a term, name or acronym, do this the first time you use it. Examples: A term not in common use, such as Battery Electric Vehicle Always spell out an acronym If you are going to put the title of a book in the body of your paper, do this the first time you use it. If you are going to describe a person, such as Kennedy, either naming this person as the author of a book, or to describe his/her qualifications 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 56 Writing: Explanations • Do not assume that your reader knows an uncommon piece of information before you explain it. The explanation comes: Before the use OR Possibly later in the same sentence OR At the latest in the very next sentence. 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 57 Writing: Word Choice • who Vs whom – which one to use? • Alternate phrasings, to avoid being repetitive: Nouns: [name e.g. Kennedy], author, writer, authority, expert, precede with “this” Verbs: writes, claims, asserts, points out, tells us, documents (include an object as in “documents this”) 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 58 Writing: Joining Words • Two words used as one adjective (modifies a noun or another adjective) are joined with a hyphen (unless the joined form is a word in its own right). Hyphen examples: • • • • 2/28/11 my recently-purchased computer my just-refurbished home a wholly-owned car a highly-regarded authority Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 59 Writing: Joining Words • Two words used as one adjective (modifies a noun or another adjective) are joined with a hyphen (unless the joined form is a word in its own right). Non-hyphenated examples: • every day Vs everyday o I do this every day o … my everyday china … • no where Vs nowhere o “bridge to nowhere” 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 60 Small Groups • • • • Answer questions from cards Answer goes on separate paper Report is names plus answers Done when report is in 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 61 Writing (Review) • Sentences Verb, Subject, Complete Thought Sentences: incomplete (part), runon (two) • Number (singular = one, plural = more) Do not change without a reason and a warning to reader • Tense (past, present, future) Do not change without a reason and a warning to reader 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 62 Writing (Review) • Punctuation Apostrophe for contraction or possession but not pluralization • Words that sound alike Common, get a dictionary or a list 2/28/11 Senior Seminar 2, Class 7 63 Sentence Discussion What is wrong with these sentences?