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massive galaxies at high redshift: models confront observations rachel somerville STScI GIRLS; Leiden, September 2008 shock heating & radiative cooling photoionization squelching merging star formation (quiescent & burst) SN heating & SNdriven winds chemical evolution stellar populations & dust z=5.7 (t=1.0 Gyr) z=1.4 (t=4.7 Gyr) z=0 (t=13.6 Gyr) Springel et al. 2006 Wechsler et al. 2002 fairly broad consensus: SN-driven winds remove baryons in small-mass halos some process(es) prevent(s) cooling in large-mass halos (radio jets, clumps, conduction, cosmic ray pressure?) rss, Hopkins, Cox, Robertson & Hernquist 2008, MN in press quenching of massive galaxies (note the slope is wrong for low mass galaxies. this is not due to AGN FB, & cannot be easily solved by ‘tweaking’) stellar mass rss, Hopkins, Cox, Robertson & Hernquist 2008, MN in press hot vs. cold flows halos with primarily “cold” vs. “hot” flows separated by a critical mass of few x 1012 Msun at low redshift (e.g. Birnboim & Dekel 2003; Keres et al. 2004); heating processes only effective when a quasi-static hot gas halo is present (i.e. in large mass halos) simulations: A. Kravtsov dense cold filaments can penetrate the hot medium in large-mass halos at high redshift 1014 1013 Mvir [Mʘ] all hot 1012 cold filaments in hot medium Mshock~M Mshock>>M* * all cold 1011 1010 109 Mshock Dekel, Birnboim, Zinger, Kravtsov M* 0 1 2 3 redshift z 4 5 QSO/bright mode associated with optical/Xray luminous AGN/QSO triggered/fed by mergers or secular (bar) instabilities high accretion rates (0.1-1 LEdd), fueled by cold gas via thin accretion disk may drive winds that can shut off further accretion onto the BH and sweep the ISM out of the galaxy Radio Mode radio galaxies (classical FR I and FR II type sources); generally no optical emission lines ‘low accretion state’ (low Eddington ratio, <10-3 Bondi accretion or ADAF?) jets may heat gas in a hydrostatic hot halo, offsetting or quenching cooling flow time-dependent IMF? SFR at high-z overestimated? star formation history blue: fiducial model (cLCDM 8=0.9) red: WMAP3 orange: no cooling if Mh<1011 Msun stellar mass build-up all stars star formation in bursts stellar mass function evolution Fontanot, de Lucia, Monaco & rss in prep “raw” model predictions solid: MORGANA dash: Munich Mill. dot-dash: rss08 with convolved errors stellar mass assembly without mass errors with errors (0.25 dex) solid: MORGANA dash: Munich Mill. dot-dash: rss08 data: red: Conselice et al. blue: composite MF Fontanot et al. in prep star formation rate density as function of galaxy mass solid: MORGANA dash: Munich Mill. dot-dash: rss08 green: GOODS; blue: Zheng et al. (COMBO-17) red: Conselice et al.; cyan: Mobasher et al. 2008 Fontanot et al. in prep evolution of the SF ‘main sequence’ data: red square: Drory et al. 2008 blue: Bell et al. 2007 cyan: Martin et al. 2007 green: Grazian et al. 2006 magenta: Noeske et al. 2007 red x: Chen et al. 2008 blue diamond: Dunne et al. 2008 Fontanot et al. in prep archeological downsizing data: Panter et al. 2007 data: Gallazzi et al. 2007 Fontanot et al. in prep when did the red sequence emerge? the red sequence is still clearly identifiable in the field & clusters up to z~1 (Bell et al. 2005; Faber et al. 2007) recently, a population of massive red galaxies detected in the field at 2<z<3 (Kriek et al. 2008; Taylor et al. 2008) very red populations discovered in clusters up to z~2, but absent by z~3 (Zirm et al. 2008; Kodama et al. 2008) Kriek et al. 2008 field population Zirm et al. 2008 color-magnitude relation for coma black points: SDSS red points: SAM Trager & rss 2008 rest-frame u-r for proto-clusters (M>1014 Msun) z~0 SDSS RS Millennium z=2 clusters ‘field’ RS from Taylor et al. ECDFS observed frame J-H for proto-clusters (M>1014 Msun) z=2 Zirm et al. data H(AB) Testing physical parameter extraction from broad-band photometry created SAM mock catalogs (including dust & IGM) and extracted U-, B-, and Vdropouts using GOODS selection criteria added photometric errors by bootstrapping from GOODS data ran a fairly standard BC03-based SEDfitting code on ACS+ISAAC+IRAC photometry (extract stellar mass, stellar population age, and SFR) S. Lee, R. Idzi, H. Ferguson, rss, T. Wikland, M. Giavalisco -19% -65% x2 U-drops (z~3); redshift fixed -25% -58% x2 B-drops (z~4); redshift fixed B-drops; redshift fit U-drops with largest mass errors U-drops with smallest mass errors z~0.4-1.4 DEEP+Palomar photometry fixed redshift bootstrapped photometric errors Bundy et al. (2006) mass estimation method no significant offset or mass trend --> scatter ~0.15 dex Stringer et al. 2008 parameter estimation summary sources of error: mismatch between assumed “tau” SFHs and SAM predicted SFH ‘hiding’ of mass beneath young stellar population ‘conspiracy’ of overestimated age (--> higher mass estimate) + ‘youth bias’ (lowers mass estimate) actually reduces mass errors two-component models (with ‘maximally old’ component or secondary burst) produce improved age & SFR estimates, but poorer mass estimates! summary differences between observational datasets much larger than differences between models! number/mass density of massive galaxies is reproduced fairly well by models (when mass errors convolved) to z~2 SFR of massive galaxies at z~1-2 underestimated by factor of ~few in models if observational estimates taken at face value (IMF, AGN contamination, large errors in SED-fit based estimates?) low mass galaxies form too early in models --> mass assembly “upsizes” rather than “downsizes” massive galaxies in large mass halos are being quenched too late in models (RS emerges late) errors in stellar masses, SFR, and ages derived from SED fitting to broad-band photometry at high redshift may be larger than we think... bias in line-strength derived ages mass weighted age LS derived age for 20 realizations of a Coma-sized halo stellar mass Trager & rss 2008 star formation histories of early type galaxies as a function of stellar mass SF histories of E’s in hierarchical models show qualitatively correct ‘downsizing’ behavior but, probably not strong enough (new evidence from /Fe ratios -- Arrigoni, Trager & rss in prep) the original downsizing plot ~SSFR ~stellar mass Cowie et al. 1996 the many manifestations of ‘downsizing’ SF history from lookback studies (original Cowie definition): star formation activity shifts to lower mass galaxies over time mass assembly histories: high mass galaxies assembled early, low mass galaxies assembled later archeological downsizing: stellar ages are younger in low mass galaxies, indicating a later epoch of SF chemo-archeological downsizing: higher [/Fe] ratios in more massive galaxies indicate a shorter epoch of formation