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Initiating Coverage May 2, 2016 STRATA Skin Sciences (SSKN) Initiation Report LifeSci Investment Abstract STRATA Skin Sciences (NasdaqCM: SSKN) is a medical technology company commercializing products for patients with serious dermatological disorders. In the US the Company commercializes XTRAC, an ultraviolet light system primarily for the treatment of psoriasis and vitiligo, using a pay-per-use model. XTRAC is broadly reimbursed for psoriasis by private insurance companies and Medicare/Medicaid. Recurring revenue from XTRAC in 2015 was $26.6 million, a 16% increase from 2014. VTRAC is a second ultraviolet light system sold internationally through distributors. We believe STRATA Skin can achieve steady recurring revenue growth going forward due its robust commercialization strategy. Analysts Key Points of Discussion Market Data ■ ■ ■ STRATA Skin is a Revenue Generating Medical Technology Company. STRATA Skin acquired a dermatology business in June 2015 that includes 2 ultraviolet (UV) light systems for the treatment of psoriasis, vitiligo, atopic dermatitis, and leukoderma. The main revenue driver is XTRAC, a laser that delivers targeted therapeutic light to the skin. It generated $26.6 million in recurring revenue in 2015, and we estimate 17% annual revenue growth going forward. A second UV light system called VTRAC is sold internationally. International revenues from XTRAC, VTRAC, and related parts generated $6.3 million in 2015 sales. Robust Commercialization Strategy in Place for XTRAC. STRATA Skin has a comprehensive commercialization plan in place to grow its recurring revenue business, in which dermatologists pay on a per-use basis. XTRAC is commercialized in the US using a 49-person sales and marketing team. The team is made up of direct sales representatives to increase the number of XTRAC placements, clinical technicians to train the sales team, a call center to drive new patients to existing XTRAC installments, and a reimbursement team to help patients obtain coverage. Additionally there is a 13-person field service and support personnel to conduct installations and provide routine maintenance. Successful Advertising Campaign a Major Source of Patient Volume. STRATA Skin’s call center and reimbursement team are part of a larger direct-to-patient outreach program that includes targeted advertising on television, radio, and social media. The goal of the program is to identify potential XTRAC users and send them to clinics or offices that have installed systems. It generates approximately 3,000 leads per month, resulting in over 700 appointments. The amount of advertising capital allocated to each channel is adjusted regularly to maximize the number of leads and appointments. Changes are made based on how well a particular channel, geographical location, or target audience is responding to the advertisements. Jerry Isaacson, Ph.D. (AC) (646) 597-6991 [email protected] Adam Evertts, Ph.D. (646) 597-6997 [email protected] Price Market Cap (M) EV (M) Shares Outstanding (M) Fully Diluted Shares (M) Avg Daily Vol 52-week Range: Cash (M) Net Cash/Share Debt (M)* Short Interest (M) Short Interest (% of Float) $0.93 $10 $71 10.5 78.9 81,962 $0.91 - $1.81 $3.3 $(0.83) $12.0 0.40 5.0% *Does not include convertible debentures. Financials FY Dec EPS Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2013A (1.66)A (1.72)A (1.72)A NA (6.05)A 2014A (1.63)A 0.12A (0.44)A (1.09)A (3.03)A 2015A (1.12)A (0.97)A (1.26)A (0.06)A (3.27)A Expected Upcoming Milestones ■ ■ ■ Continued growth of recurring revenue business. Further optimization of manufacturing and utilization of XTRAC/VTRAC inventory. Identify value from 3-D imaging technology. Page 1 For analyst certification and disclosures please see page 27 May 2, 2016 § Positive Dermatologist Feedback Regarding Partnership Model. STRATA Skin does not sell its XTRAC system in the US, and instead charges dermatologists a fee each time they treat a patient. The physician retains the difference between the fee and what he or she receives from the patient or insurance. As discussed above, STRATA Skin refers patients to dermatology clinics via its direct to patient outreach program. One dermatologist we spoke to has been practicing for over 30 years and runs 4 offices. He estimated that, depending on the office, 50-80% of patients who use XTRAC come from referrals. In addition to supplying a recurring revenue stream from the XTRAC treatments, referrals can also be a major source of new patients for the entire dermatology practice. § Universal Reimbursement for XTRAC use in Psoriasis. XTRAC is FDA cleared for use in patients with psoriasis, vitiligo, atopic dermatitis, and leukoderma. The majority of XTRAC treatments are for psoriasis patients due both to the larger number of patients and to near-universal reimbursement for this indication across private insurance and Medicare/Medicaid. Three Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes can be used for reimbursement and differ in the amount of body area that is targeted. Dermatologists receive from $157 to $240 per treatment depending on the code, and pay STRATA Skin between $65 and $95. Our discussions with dermatologists indicate that reimbursement of vitiligo and atopic dermatitis is limited but growing. The physicians also indicated that many vitiligo patients often pay out of pocket due to the lack of treatment options and a strong personal desire to address the condition. § Psoriasis and Vitiligo are Large Market Opportunities. More than 9 million patients in the US have psoriasis and vitiligo, the two indications most commonly treated with XTRAC. The device is indicated for all levels of psoriasis, mild, moderate, and severe. Several clinical trials have established the utility of excimer laser therapy for psoriasis. Patients typically achieve 75% to 90% disease clearance after 6 to 15 treatments and may remain in remission for 6 months or longer. Vitiligo impacts an estimated 400 per 100,000 individuals in the US, or approximately 1.3 million people. Groups such as the National Vitiligo Foundation suggest that as many as 5 million individuals in the US are living with the condition. Treatment options for vitiligo are limited and the emotional damage from the condition can be high. This creates a group of patients highly motivated to seek treatment, and light therapy is a cost effective, safe, and successful option for many patients. § Management Team is Familiar with XTRAC/VTRAC Devices. STRATA Skin acquired the XTRAC/VTRAC devices in June 2015 from PhotoMedex. CEO Mike Stewart, CFO Christina Allgeier, and certain STRATA Skin Board members held various senior management and Board roles at PhotoMedex in the past and have extensive experience with the XTRAC/VTRAC product lines. At the time of acquisition, a total of 94 individuals were offered employment at STRATA Skin, including sales, marketing, manufacturing, research, and engineering staff. We confirmed that many staff were retained during our site visit to the Company’s manufacturing facility in Carlsbad, California. The retention of skilled employees has led to a rapid changeover from PhotoMedex to STRATA Skin. Our discussions with physicians have confirmed that other than a temporary drop in referrals, the transition to STRATA Skin has been seamless. § Potential to Utilize 3-D Imaging Technology. STRATA Skin also owns the MelaFind device, which is a noninvasive imaging system used to assist dermatologists in diagnosing melanoma. It features a hand-held optical imager that shines 10 bands of spectral light of multiple wavelengths to non-invasively extract 3-D images and digital data from clinically irregular pigmented lesions, usually moles. The data are then analyzed utilizing sophisticated classification algorithms that were trained on a proprietary database of over 10,000 pigmented lesions. The system previously provided a binary yes/no result to dermatologists. In March 2016, STRATA Skin received FDA approval for a PMA supplement that changed the result output to provide more meaningful information for dermatologists Page 2 May 2, 2016 to use MelaFind in conjunction with other information about skin lesions. Positive reader studies supported the PMA submission and indicated that when incorporating MelaFind into melanoma detection, both sensitivity and specificity improved. STRATA Skin has the ability to harness this 3-D imaging technology for additional product development as it seeks reimbursement for MelaFind. Financial Discussion STRATA Skin reported total revenues of $18.5 million for the full year 2015 compared to $0.9 million in 2014. On a pro forma basis, which includes revenue generated at PhotoMedex, total revenues were $33.3 million for 2015. Recurring revenues accounted for $26.6 million and international and other revenues were $6.6 million. Pro forma recurring revenue growth was 16% from 2014 to 2015. Engineering and product development costs were $2.0 million for 2015 compared to $1.6 million in 2014. Selling and marketing expenses were $9.2 million, and general and administrative expenses were $10.0 million in 2015. Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was positive for the third and fourth quarters of 2015. Net loss for the year was $27.5 million. STRATA Skin ended December 2015 with cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments of $3.3 million. Page 3 May 2, 2016 Table of Contents Company Description .................................................................................................................................................................... 5 XTRAC/VTRAC .......................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Mechanism of Excimer Laser .................................................................................................................................................. 6 Commercialization Strategy .......................................................................................................................................................... 7 Direct to Patient Outreach ....................................................................................................................................................... 9 Reimbursement......................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Plaque Psoriasis ............................................................................................................................................................................. 10 Treatments for Plaque Psoriasis ............................................................................................................................................ 12 Market Opportunity and Revenue Projections ........................................................................................................................ 14 Current Revenue Growth ....................................................................................................................................................... 17 Projected Revenue Growth .................................................................................................................................................... 18 XTRAC/VTRAC Clinical Data Discussion ........................................................................................................................... 20 Prospective Clinical Study of XTRAC Laser in Patients with Mild to Moderate Plaque Psoriasis ............................ 22 Retrospective Study of XTRAC Laser in Patients with Psoriasis Lesions on the Scalp .............................................. 24 Competing Light-based Treatments for Skin Conditions ...................................................................................................... 25 Intellectual Property ..................................................................................................................................................................... 25 Management Team ....................................................................................................................................................................... 25 Risk to an Investment .................................................................................................................................................................. 26 Analyst Certification ..................................................................................................................................................................... 27 Disclosure ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 27 Page 4 May 2, 2016 Company Description STRATA Skin Sciences is a medical technology company commercializing products for patients with dermatological disorders. The Company’s lead product and main source of revenue is XTRAC, an excimer laser that is commercialized in the US using a pay-per-use model. XTRAC is an FDA cleared system used by clinical dermatologists to primarily treat patients with psoriasis. It delivers targeted ultraviolet (UV) light at 308 nm. Treatment sessions are reimbursed by Medicare/Medicaid and the majority of private insurance providers. STRATA Skin also sells a similar system called VTRAC to international customers through a distributor. VTRAC generates UV light using a lamp instead of a laser. The Company also owns MelaFind®, a non-invasive imaging system to assist dermatologists in diagnosing melanoma at its most curable and cost-effective stage. Efforts are underway to obtain reimbursement, lower the cost of device manufacturing, and identify new applications for the 3-D imaging technology used in MelaFind. XTRAC/VTRAC STRATA Skin’s XTRAC product is an excimer laser system FDA cleared for the treatment of psoriasis, vitiligo, atopic dermatitis, and leukoderma. It received marketing clearance in the US in March 2001 and is broadly reimbursed by major insurance providers for psoriasis. XTRAC is a targeted light therapy that delivers narrowband UVB directly to the site of disease, while sparing healthy skin from light exposure. VTRAC is an excimer lamp system used for the same diseases as XTRAC and is sold outside the US via STRATA Skin’s master distributor, GlobalMed, which reaches 25 countries. Both systems were acquired in June 2015 from PhotoMedex (NasdaqCM: PHMD) in a $42.5 million deal. Total pro forma revenue from both devices in 2015 was $32.9 million, including recurring revenues from XTRAC of $26.6 million, a 16% increase from the prior year. STRATA Skin has a comprehensive and targeted commercialization plan to maintain steady revenue growth. The XTRAC system is an FDA cleared device that uses xenon chloride (XeCl) gas to produce 308 nm light waves. A picture of an assembled system is shown in Figure 1. The gas is stored in a small tank in the bottom of the housing unit. During operation, gas is injected into a chamber where it is excited by an electrical current. Light is produced as electrons move from an excited energy state to a normal energy level. The light is transferred from the chamber to the patient using the liquid light guide shown in the image. The laser spot size is 4 cm2. STRATA Skin currently ships the assembled system and gas tank separately to dermatologists’ offices and a field support specialist conducts the installation. XTRAC is powered using a relatively common 110 volt outlet and does not require special electrical infrastructure or significant space in dermatology clinics. Page 5 echnology ment of: May 2, 2016 Figure 1. External View of the XTRAC System s virtually no side effects as s and other therapies soriasis by virtually all health rates established and ent 6 Source: STRATA Skin Reports We had the opportunity to visit STRATA Skin’s manufacturing facility in Carlsbad, California. Several members of the manufacturing team have been employed with STRATA Skin and/or the prior owner PhotoMedex for more than a decade, and they have invaluable experience with the systems. There are teams responsible for assembly, research and development, and refurbishing. Although the existing operation is efficient, the general manager of the facility indicated that several efforts are underway to improve the efficiency. STRATA Skin is responsible for the cost of the device and servicing. All systems and system refurbishments go through rigorous testing procedures to ensure that all systems placed in dermatologists’ offices or sold throughout the world adhere to strict specifications. This leads to proper energy output from the systems, resulting in effective treatments. STRATA Skin also manufactures the VTRAC system at the Carlsbad facility. Between the XTRAC and VTRAC devices, the Company ships approximately 100 units per quarter. Following our site visit, we are confident that the manufacturing operations are robust and cost effective, and new initiatives could improve efficiency even further. Mechanism of Excimer Laser STRATA Skin’s XTRAC system has activity across a group of skin conditions, and is approved for the treatment of psoriasis, vitiligo, atopic dermatitis, and leukoderma. The light therapy can treat these seemingly unrelated conditions via the ability to kill T-cells and stimulate melanin production from melanocytes. The cytotoxic effect on T-cells is helpful for patients with psoriasis and atopic dermatitis, and the melanin production benefits vitiligo and leukoderma patients. Below we discuss the mechanisms in more detail, using psoriasis and vitiligo as example diseases. Page 6 May 2, 2016 Psoriasis results from the excess growth of epithelial cells that form red, inflamed patches on the skin.1 T-cell infiltration is characteristic of the disease and infusing susceptible individuals with activated T-cells can trigger plaque formation.2 Invading T-cells secrete cytokines that promote inflammation and stimulate the aberrant growth and division of keratinocytes, making T-cells a good therapeutic target. The importance of T-cells in disease pathology is validated by approved therapeutics that modulate the immune system. TNF-α inhibitors broadly dampen the immune system and subsequently limit T-cell activation, and Stelara (ustekinumab) blocks IL-12/23, a pair of cytokines that are secreted by T-cells and promote inflammation. Light therapy also impacts psoriasis via Tcell targeting, and published data suggest that it directly kills T-cells via apoptosis. A study published in 1999 showed that narrowband UVB treatment led to depletion of T-cells in the dermis and epidermis.3 The treatment was also correlated with high levels of DNA fragmentation, suggesting that the UV light was depleting T-cells via apoptosis. More specific methods of measuring apoptosis confirmed that treated skin sites contained apoptotic T-cells. Other studies have indicated that 308 nm laser treatment is more effective at inducing T-cell apoptosis, which may be responsible for its robust clinical activity.4,5 The mechanism of action for XTRAC treatment of vitiligo is relatively well established and based on the natural tanning, or pigmentation, phenomenon from sunlight exposure. Vitiligo is due to depigmentation of the skin, and is especially problematic when it presents on the face, neck, and hands. UV light triggers several responses in melanocytes such as enhanced DNA repair to protect against mutagenesis, and stimulation of melanogenesis to produce melanin.6 The production of melanin pigments the skin and restores natural color in vitiligo patients. Commercialization Strategy XTRAC is commercialized in the US using a 49-person sales and marketing team. The team is made up of the following groups: § § § § Direct sales representatives to increase the number of XTRAC placements. Clinical technicians to conduct training and handle clinical questions. A call center to drive new patients to existing XTRAC installments. A reimbursement team to help patients understand their coverage status. The geographical distribution of the team is shown in Figure 2. Sales and field service staff are positioned in areas of high population density. STRATA Skin also uses an agency to place advertisements on TV, radio, and social Krueger, J.G. & Bowcock, A., 2005. Psoriasis pathophysiology: current concepts of pathogenesis. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases, 64 (Suppl 2), ppii30-ii36. 2 Wrone-Smith, T. & Nickoloff, B.J. et al., 1996. Dermal injection of immunocytes induces psoriasis. The Journal of Clinical Investigation, 98(8), pp1878-1887. 3 Ozawa, M. et al., 1999. 312-nanometer ultraviolet B light (narrow-band UVB) induces apoptosis of T cells with psoriatic lesions. The Journal of Experimental Medicine, 189(4), pp711-718. 4 Novák, Z. et al., 2002. Xenon chloride ultraviolet B laser is more effective in treating psoriasis and in inducing T cell apoptosis than narrow-band ultraviolet B. Journal of Photochemistry and Photobiology B: Biology, 67(1), pp32-38. 5 Bianchi, B. et al., 2003. Monochromatic excimer light (308 nm): an immunohistochemical study of cutaneous T cells and apoptosis-related molecules in psoriasis. Journal of the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology, 17(4), pp408-413. 6 Gilchrest, B.A. et al., 1996. Mechanisms of ultraviolet light-induced pigmentation. Photochemistry and Photobiology, 63(1), pp1-10. 1 Page 7 May 2, 2016 media, which encourages potential patients to engage the call center. At the end of 2015 there were 718 systems placed in the US compared to 620 at the end of 2014. An estimated 3,500 dermatologists have access to an XTAC machine since many systems are placed in dermatology clinics. The average system produces annualized revenues of over $40,000. Figure 2. Distribution of Commercialization Team Within the US Source: STRATA Skin Presentation The majority of XTRAC systems are provided to dermatologists at no up-front cost, and STRATA Skin receives its revenue as treatments are purchased and performed. This recurring revenue model has several advantages: § § § There is an economic incentive for dermatologists to use the device. XTRAC is reimbursed through 3 CPT codes at a range of $157 to $240 per procedure. Dermatologists pay STRATA Skin between $65 and $95 per treatment, and do so via the purchase of codes that unlock the machine for use. The difference between the cost per code and reimbursement is profit for the physician. Typical psoriasis patients receive 6 to 15 treatments to achieve a 75% or greater improvement in the disease. This means that depending on the amount of body surface area and number of treatments per patient, profit to the physician is between $500 to $2,200. The dermatologists are not responsible for upfront capital cost of the device. STRATA Skin supplies the XTRAC system to the clinic or office and STRATA retains ownership of the device. This approach allows the dermatologist to avoid a major capital purchase. All costs per treatment cover the use of the system, maintenance of the system, and access to all of STRATA’s resources for training, service, advertising, and reimbursement services. Dermatologists are not responsible for a maintenance contract. Since STRATA Skin owns the XTRAC systems in use. It conducts regular maintenance such as refilling the XeCl gas canister when necessary, and performs other repairs as issues arise. From our discussions with physicians, the lack of Page 8 May 2, 2016 major upfront and unpredictable ongoing costs is an attractive and differentiating feature of the XTRAC system. These advantages of STRATA Skin’s recurring revenue model help to drive new placements, since dermatologists have fewer barriers to overcome in the sign up process, and help to increase use of each placed system, since dermatologists benefit from the marketing and other services provided by STRATA. A major component of the commercialization plan that has helped transform sales growth is a direct to patient outreach program. Direct to Patient Outreach STRATA Skin has a direct to patient outreach program that includes targeted advertising, a patient advocate call center, and a reimbursement support team. The goal of the program is to identify potential XTRAC users via advertising and send them to clinics or offices that have installed systems. STRATA Skin uses an outside agency to place advertisements on television, radio, and social media. The advertisements direct potential XTRAC users to call a number or send an email for more information. We had the opportunity to visit STRATA Skin’s call center in Carlsbad, California. There is a team of approximately 15 employees who handle inbound calls and conduct follow up outreach to maintain a steady flow of patients to clinics with XTRAC systems. Agents help inbound callers identify a clinic in their geographical region that offers XTRAC, and assist with appointment booking. For callers that have reimbursement questions, the agent enlists a reimbursement specialist. Follow up calls are conducted to remind patients of their appointment, and to track whether the patient visited the dermatologist and received XTRAC treatment. Dermatologist Perspective: Referrals can be a major source of new patients for dermatologists that have an XTRAC device. One dermatologist we spoke to has been practicing for over 30 years and runs 4 offices. He estimated that depending on the office, 50-80% of patients who use XTRAC come from referrals. The direct to patient outreach campaign generates approximately 3,000 leads per month, resulting in over 700 appointments per month. Each channel is associated with a unique phone number so that the number of leads per channel can be easily tracked. STRATA Skin currently spends about $75,000 to $100,000 per week on advertising. The amount of advertising capital allocated to each channel is adjusted regularly to maximize the number of leads and appointments. Changes are made based on how well a particular channel, geographical location, or target audience is responding to the advertisements. Areas where the leads per dollar spent are low are deemphasized, and more capital is used in places where the leads per dollar spent are high. Agents are also rigorously analyzed for their performance and provided training to maximize leads and successful appointments. The data collected from incoming calls can also help the sales force place additional systems. For example, if there are many calls from a geographical location where no XTRAC systems are placed, there is likely a need for such treatment and an opportunity for dermatologists to generate new income. The sales team can use this information when engaging dermatologists in that region of the country. Page 9 May 2, 2016 Reimbursement STRATA Skin has a team of reimbursement specialists that help individuals better understand and navigate the reimbursement landscape. XTRAC is reimbursed broadly by private insurance companies and Medicare/Medicaid for psoriasis. Three Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes can be used for reimbursement and differ in the amount of body area that is targeted. The reimbursement level ranges based on the code as shown in Figure 3. Subject to geographical and specific insurer policy, national average reimbursement rates range between $157 to $240 per treatment. Figure 3. CPT Codes for XTRAC Treatment CPT Code Total treatment area Reimbursement 96920 96921 96922 <250 m2 250-500 m2 >500 m2 $157.18 $172.93 $239.89 Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Dermatologist Perspective: Indications such as vitiligo and atopic dermatitis are not always reimbursed, although our discussions with physicians indicate that this is slowly changing. The dermatologists also indicated that many vitiligo patients often pay out of pocket due to the lack of treatment options and emotional damage associated with the condition. As in any medical procedure, there are several variables associated with reimbursement of XTRAC such as the copay amount, the maximum number of allowable treatments, and which insurance plans are accepted by participating dermatologists. The reimbursement professionals provide patients with this information to remove any barriers to getting treatment. VTRAC is not sold within the US due to low reimbursement levels for lamp-directed treatment of psoriasis. Only laser procedures are eligible for reimbursement through the CPT codes listed above. Plaque Psoriasis Plaque psoriasis is a chronic autoimmune disorder that affects the surface of the skin. It is characterized by areas of dry, raised and inflamed clusters of epithelial cells called plaques, which are most commonly found on the elbows, knees, and scalp. Plaques appear in cycles known as flares, and can be triggered by bacterial or viral infections, stress, medications, and smoking. Psoriasis is rarely life threatening, however it causes emotional stress and significantly affects quality of life. The condition usually presents at the time of adolescence, although it may appear at any age, and is estimated to affect roughly 8 million individuals in the US.7,8,9 7 https://www.psoriasis.org/cure_known_statistics Page 10 May 2, 2016 There is no cure for psoriasis, although several treatment options can reduce the frequency and duration of flares. Topical treatments and light-based therapy such as XTRAC are used to treat mild and moderate forms of the disease, while XTRAC and systemic biologics including Humira (adalimumab), Enbrel (etanercept), and Remicade (infliximab) are commonly used for treatment of moderate-to-severe cases. Light therapy is also used in cases when biologics are unable to treat difficult plaques such as those on the scalp. Causes and Pathogenesis of Plaque Psoriasis. Plaque psoriasis is caused by the rapid turnover of epithelial cells. Figure 4 shows that these cells initially develop deep within the layer of the skin called the dermis, and then rise to the surface or epidermis as older cells die and are shed from the body. The process of cell turnover usually takes a month in healthy individuals. Psoriasis greatly accelerates cell turnover and causes clusters of epithelial cells to accumulate and form plaques.10 Figure 4. Schematic of Normal Skin and Psoriatic Skin Source: Food and Drug Administration The autoimmune response that triggers psoriasis is likely mediated by T-cells. The current model posits that T-cells patrolling the dermis respond to an unidentified self-antigen, and become activated. These activated cells secrete cytokines including IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α. The cytokines stimulate cells in the epidermis to rapidly divide and ultimately result in plaques.11 Types of Psoriasis. There are several forms of psoriasis. Each type is listed and described below. § Plaque psoriasis. This form is characterized by skin lesions that are red at the base and covered by silvery scales. Kircik, L.H., 2009. Anti-TNF agents for the treatment of psoriasis. Journal of Drugs in Dermatology, 8(6), pp546-559. Lowes, M.A. et al., 2007. Pathogenesis and therapy of psoriasis. Nature, 445(7130), pp866-873. 10 http://www.niams.nih.gov/Health_Info/Psoriasis/psoriasis_ff.asp 11 Al-Shobaili, H.A. & Qureshi, M.H., 2013. Pathophysiology of psoriasis: current concepts. Psoriasis- Types, Causes and Medication, Chapter 4. 8 9 Page 11 May 2, 2016 § § § § Guttate psoriasis. This form involves small, drop-shaped lesions that appear on the trunk, limbs, and scalp. Guttate psoriasis is most often triggered by upper respiratory infections. Pustular psoriasis. This form presents with blisters of noninfectious pus surrounded by irritated skin. Attacks of pustular psoriasis may be triggered by medications, infections, stress, or exposure to certain chemicals. Inverse psoriasis. This form involves smooth, red patches that occur in the folds of the skin near the genitals, under the breasts, or in the armpits. The symptoms may be worsened by friction and sweating. Erythrodermic psoriasis. This form of psoriasis can be very serious and requires immediate medical attention. It involves widespread reddening and scaling of the skin, and may be triggered by a reaction to severe sunburn or to taking corticosteroids or other medications. It can also be caused by a prolonged period of increased activity of psoriasis that is poorly controlled. Another condition associated with psoriasis is psoriatic arthritis (PsA), a form that produces joint inflammation and pain. It is worth noting that the skin lesions and joint pain do not necessarily have to occur at the same time. PsA will develop in roughly 40% of people with psoriasis,12 and due to its internal manifestation, is untreatable by light therapy. Symptoms and Diagnosis of Plaque Psoriasis. Plaque psoriasis is diagnosed following a physical examination. The main symptom of plaque psoriasis is development of thick, inflamed clusters of epithelial cells called plaques. Plaques are dry, cracked, and occasionally bloody skin deposits that can be associated with burning or itchy sensations. The elbows and knees are common sites of plaque flares, and chronic inflammation in these areas can lead to psoriatic arthritis. Clinicians will examine the plaques, and may perform a skin biopsy to rule out other related disorders. Quantifying Responses to Psoriasis Treatments. Clinicians use the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) to quantify the response to therapy. This index takes into account the affected body surface area (BSA) and the severity of the plaques as measured by the redness, thickness, and scaling of the skin. The two assessments are combined and assigned a number that ranges from 0 to 72, with 0 indicating no psoriasis, and 72 indicating maximal disease. PASI75, which is a typical endpoint for clinical trials, refers to a 75% improvement in the PASI score. Treatments for Plaque Psoriasis Treatment for plaque psoriasis is determined by the severity of the disease. Typical treatments for mild to moderate cases involve topical corticosteroids, topical vitamin D analogues, and light therapy. For moderate to severe disease, which involves greater than 20% body surface area, the treatment options include the XTRAC and biologic therapeutics such as TNF-α and IL-12/23 inhibitors, Otezla (apremilast), or a combination of one or more of these agents.13 In the sections below we highlight commonly used treatments for plaque psoriasis. Topical Treatments. Corticosteroids are the most common topical therapy for mild to moderate psoriasis patients.14 They have anti-inflammatory properties and are available in many strengths and formulations. More Mease, P.J. et al., 2014. Managing Patients with Psoriatic Disease: The Diagnosis and Pharmacologic Treatment of Psoriatic Arthritis in Patients with Psoriasis. Drugs, 74(4), pp423-441. 13 Feldman, S.R., 2015. Treatment of Psoriasis. UpToDate. 14 Afifi, T. et al., 2005. Topical therapies for psoriasis. Evidence-based review. Canadian Family Physician, 51(4), pp519-525. 12 Page 12 May 2, 2016 potent formulations are better at reducing psoriasis symptoms,15 but come with a greater risk of side effects. Side effects include skin thinning, dilated blood vessels, stretch marks, and pigmentation changes. Many patients ultimately fail corticosteroid therapy. The other common topical treatment for mild to moderate psoriasis patients is the use of vitamin D analogues. They are as active as certain corticosteroid strengths and the tolerability profile is favorable. Patients often use a combination of topical corticosteroids and vitamin D analogues to manage disease. Other agents are available although used less frequently, which include retinoids, anthralin, and a by-product of coal tar. Light Therapy. Light therapy involves targeted or systemic exposure to light from the ultraviolet spectrum. The ultraviolet range is from 10 nm to 400 nm. UVA is between 315 and 400 nm and UVB is between 280 and 315 nm. UV light therapy works by altering the cytokine profile in the skin, causing apoptosis of activated T-cells, and promoting immunosuppression.16 Broadband UVB was the initial spectrum used for psoriasis and light was generated using mercury vapor lamps. PUVA is a type of UVA therapy that involves oral ingestion of 8methoxypsoralen (8-MOP) to improve DNA crosslinking in T-cells and promote greater cell death. It is particularly effective, but comes with the risk of significant burns and cutaneous malignancy. Narrow band UVB between 300 and 320 nm is the most common type of light therapy. The narrow bandwidth strikes a balance between maximal activity and minimizing side effects such as redness and burns. It requires multiple treatments to clear lesions. STRATA Skin’s XTRAC system is a narrow band UV laser that delivers 308 nm light in a targeted fashion. Systemic Therapy. Systematic therapies are used to treat patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. They include both immunosuppressive and immuno-modulatory drugs like methotrexate (MTX) and cyclosporine A (CsA). MTX and CsA are effective treatments, however their long-term use is associated with significant toxicity. CsA use is limited to one year in the US due to potential irreversible vascular abnormalities, interstitial fibrosis, and renal toxicity.17 Patients treated with MTX may develop liver and bone marrow toxicity, which can be lethal. Biologics. The biologic therapies for moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis inhibit TNF-α, a key inflammatory cytokine. Humira (adalimumab), Enbrel (etanercept), and Remicade (infliximab) all target TNF-α and have been approved for treatment of psoriasis. The anti-TNF-α therapies are effective, and can lead to PASI75 scores of greater than 70% after 12 weeks of treatment. Although the side effect profile for these agents is mild compared to other treatment options like MTX or CsA, they increase the risk of serious infection, heart failure, and lymphoma. In addition, approximately 40% patients do not respond to anti-TNF-α or lose response after over time. Another biologic therapy that has gained market share since approval in 2009 is Stelara (ustekinumab), which is an IL-12/23 inhibitor. Stelera is similar in efficacy to the anti-TNF-α agents, and produces PASI75 scores in 60-70% of patients after 12 weeks of treatment. The compound is administered via subcutaneous injection and costs approximately $50,000 per year. Similar to TNF-α inhibitors, the side effect profile includes a risk for severe opportunistic infections. Mason, J. et al., 2002. Topical preparations for the treatment of psoriasis: a systemic review. British Journal of Dermatology, 146(3), pp351-364. 16 Wong, T. et al., 2013. Phototherapy in psoriasis: a review of mechanisms of action. Journal of Cutaneous Medicine and Surgery, 17(1), pp6-12. 17 Vorhees, A.V., 2009. The psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis pocket guide. National Psoriasis Foundation. 15 Page 13 May 2, 2016 Dermatologist Perspective: One of the dermatologists we spoke with found the hurdle of reimbursement and risk of severe infections too high, and personally does not prescribe biologics. This clinical dermatologist, who has been practicing for more than 30 years, refers patients who may need biologics to a rheumatologist. He treats all mild to moderate psoriasis patients who have failed topical treatments with XTRAC. PDE4 Inhibitors. Celgene’s twice daily oral therapy for psoriasis, Otezla (apremilast), is a small molecule inhibitor of the enzyme phosphodiesterase 4. In the pivotal trial for apremilast, 33.1% of subjects receiving drug achieved PASI75, compared to 5.3% for patients on placebo. Apremilast is generally well tolerated, although some patients experience gastrointestinal side effects, including diarrhea, nausea, and vomiting. Treatment is estimated to cost approximately $22,500 per year. Summary. There are many treatment options for patients with psoriasis. Some target the same patient population, and each one has a different safety and efficacy profile. Figure 5 shows the four main categories of treatments and our opinion of how well they perform on cost, safety, and efficacy. Green indicates that the treatment is positive for that feature and red indicates a weakness. Targeted phototherapy is especially promising for mild, moderate, and severe patients since it strikes the right balance between cost, safety, and efficacy. Figure 5. Balance Between Target Population, Cost, Safety, and Efficacy for Psoriasis Treatments Treatment Over-the-counter topicals Prescription topicals Targeted phototherapy Biologics Target population Mild to moderate Mild to moderate Mild to severe Moderate to severe Cost Safety Efficacy Source: LifeSci Capital Market Opportunity and Revenue Projections There is a large market opportunity for STRATA Skin’s XTRAC device in the US, and recurring revenues in 2015 were $26.6 million, a 16% increase from 2014. More than 9 million patients in the US have psoriasis and vitiligo, the two indications most commonly treated with XTRAC. The US prevalence of psoriasis is approximately 3.2% in adults, which translates to approximately 7.8 million affected individuals.18 These patients place a large burden on the economy, with direct and indirect annual costs of more than $112 billion in the US.19 75% of psoriasis cases are Rachakonda, T.D. et al., 2014. Psoriasis prevalence among adults in the United States. Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology, 70(3), pp512-516. 19 Carpentieri, A. et al., 2016. Retrospective analysis of the effectiveness and costs of traditional treatments for moderate-tosevere psoriasis: A single-center, Italian study. Journal of Dermatological Treatment, 28, pp1-7. 18 Page 14 May 2, 2016 mild to moderate, which is what we consider to be the main target population for XTRAC.20 Vitiligo impacts an estimated 400 per 100,000 individuals in the US, or approximately 1.3 million people.21 Other reports by groups such as the National Vitiligo Foundation suggest that as many as 5 million individuals in the US are living with vitiligo. Treatment options for vitiligo are limited and the emotional damage from the condition can be high.22 This creates a group of patients highly motivated to seek treatment, and STRATA’s XTRAC therapy is a cost effective, safe, and effective option for many patients. In Figure 6 we outline the total number of psoriasis and vitiligo patients in the US that could benefit from XTRAC. For the addressable psoriasis patients we excluded the patients with severe disease who also suffer from psoriatic arthritis and have no skin involvement. The remaining patients with severe psoriasis may be candidates for XTRAC upon disease presentation, or they may receive therapy for difficult-to-treat areas such as the scalp following biologics. For the addressable vitiligo patients we included only individuals with involvement of the head and neck since this location tends to respond best to therapy. The total number of addressable population of psoriasis and vitiligo patients in the US is 8 million. The estimate does not account for the subgroup of patients who do not seek treatment for mild forms of psoriasis, or patients who are responding to first-line topical treatments and may not require light therapy. Mason, J. et al., 2002. Topical preparations for the treatment of psoriasis: a systemic review. British Journal of Dermatology, 146(3), pp351-364. 21 Jacobson, D.L. et al., 1997. Epidemiology and estimated population burden of selected autoimmune diseases in the United States. Clinical Immunology and Immunopathology, 84(3), pp223-243. 22 Parsad, D. et al., 2003. Quality of life in patients with vitiligo. Health and Quality of Life Outcomes, 1:58. 20 Page 15 May 2, 2016 Figure 6. Target Population for XTRAC in Psoriasis and Vitiligo Psoriasis Vitiligo US adult population (2014) 245 million US population (2014) 318.9 million Prevalence 3.2% Prevalence 400 per 100,000 Total psoriasis patients 7.8 million Total vitiligo patients 1.3 million Percentage of mild and moderate 75% Patients with face involvement 28-50% (midpoint 39%)23,24,25 Percentage of severe patients with psoriatic arthritis and no skin involvement 15% - - Addressable psoriasis patients 7.5 million Addressable vitiligo patients 500,000 Total addressable patients: 8 million Source: LifeSci Capital In 2015 XTRAC systems were used in approximately 354,000 treatments. Each psoriasis patient typically receives between 6 and 15 treatments to put their disease in remission, which can last up to 6 months or more. Vitiligo patients may require 20 treatments to correct their condition. If assuming that 70% of XTRAC users have psoriasis and 30% have vitiligo, it would suggest that approximately 25,000 psoriasis patients and 5,000 vitiligo patients were treated in 2015. The analysis suggests that a substantial number of individuals with disease that are not being treated with XTRAC, and that STRATA Skin can significantly grow revenues going forward. STRATA Skin is expanding the use of XTRAC in two ways: 1) placing new systems in dermatology offices and clinics, and 2) increasing the number of patients treated per system. The commercialization strategy is outlined in more detail earlier in this report, and includes: § § § § § Direct sales representatives to increase the number of XTRAC placements. Field service and clinical support personnel to conduct installations, training and provide routine maintenance. Targeted advertising via TV, radio, and social media to identify and engage new patients. A call center to drive new patients to existing XTRAC installments. A reimbursement team to help patients understand their coverage status. Habib, A. & Raza, N., 2012. Clinical pattern of vitiligo. Journal of the College of Physicians and Surgeons—Pakistan, 22(1), pp61-62. Fatani, M.I. et al., 2014. The clinical patterns of vitiligo “hospital-based study” in Makkah region, Saudi Arabia. Journal of Dermatology & Dermatologic Surgery, 18(1-2), pp17-21. 25 Vora, R.V. et al., 2014. A clinical study of vitiligo in a rural set up of Gujarat. Indian Journal of Community Medicine, 39(3), pp143146. 23 24 Page 16 May 2, 2016 The direct-to-patient campaign, which includes the advertisements, call center, and reimbursement support, was implemented in 2012. As a result, STRATA Skin has experienced significant growth in XTRAC installments and revenue per system. Figure 7 shows the increase in installed XTRAC systems since the beginning of 2012. There were 268 systems installed at the beginning of 2012 and 718 at the end of 2015. STRATA Skin expects to increase installments by 25 systems per quarter going forward. This goal seems reasonable considering the growth in the last 2 years. Figure 7. Increase in Placed XTRAC Systems 800 718 700 XTRAC Systems Installed 620 600 501 500 400 300 350 268 200 100 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: STRATA Skin Reports Average revenue per system has increased considerably since the direct-to-patient campaign was launched. In 2012 the average revenue per system per quarter was $6,300, which has grown to $10,400 in 2015, or approximately $42,000 per year. STRATA Skin estimates that the average revenue per system will continue to increase over the next several years. Our estimates suggest that at the current level of revenue per system, each XTRAC is being used for two treatments per business day. Considering that a treatment typically lasts less than 15 minutes, it is reasonable to expect that revenues per system will continue to increase. Current Revenue Growth STRATA Skin reported 2015 revenues of $18.5 million, which includes revenue from XTRAC/VTAC since the products were acquired in June 2015. Pro forma total sales in 2015 were $33.2 million, consisting of $26.6 million in recurring revenue and $6.6 million from international and other product sales. Recurring revenues from XTRAC grew 16% from 2014 to 2015, as shown in Figure 8. The quarterly recurring revenues for 2015 are also shown. There is always a decrease in revenues in the first quarter of the year since most insurance companies reset their deductables. Patients often spread out the cost of their deductable over the course of the year and so fewer treatments are performed at the beginning of the year. Page 17 May 2, 2016 Figure 8. Recurring Revenue of XTRAC System $30,000 16% year over year growth Recurring Revenue $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $FY 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 FY 2015 Source: LifeSci Capital Projected Revenue Growth STRATA Skin’s revenue is derived of recurring revenues from its US-based XTRAC business and from system and parts sales in international markets. Each segment of the business has a unique growth rate and gross margin. We constructed a revenue model based on potential growth rates for each business segment. Revenues are shown in Figure 9 and are based on the following assumptions: § § § § Growth of XTRAC System Placements: We estimate that STRATA Skin will increase the net number of XTRAC systems in the US by 100 per year. STRATA Skin management have guided that they believe XTRAC installments could eventually reach 2,500. There are approximately 11,000 clinical dermatologists in the US, suggesting that this number of installments is feasible. Number of Treatments per XTRAC System: The revenue per XTRAC system has increased by a compound annual growth rate of 18% since 2012, which is primarily driven by a greater number of treatments per system. We conservatively assume that treatments per system will increase by 7.5% per year. Average Revenue per Treatment: STRATA Skin receives between $65 and $95 per treatment depending on the reimbursement code used. We assume that the average revenue will be $75 per treatment. Dermatology Equipment Sales Growth: We assumed that international sales of XTRAC and VTRAC will remain steady. The other revenue category is from sales of the MelaFind system, and we do not model additional sales in 2016 and beyond. Our estimates suggest that total revenues will grow approximately 17% per year and double before 2020. Recurring revenues will grow at a slightly higher rate and double before 2019. Page 18 May 2, 2016 Figure 9. Forward Revenue Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 718 493 818 530 918 570 1,018 613 1,118 659 1,218 708 354,200 $75 $26.6 M 433,796 $75 $32.5 M 523,340 $75 $39.3 M 623,875 $75 $46.8 M 736,546 $75 $55.2 M 862,608 $75 $64.7 M Dermatology Procedures Equipment Revenue Growth per year: flat $6.0 M $6.0 M $6.0 M $6.0 M $6.0 M $6.0 M Other Revenue $0.3 M - - - - - Total Revenue $32.9 M $38.5 M $45.3 M $52.8 M $61.3 M $70.7 M Dermatology Recurring Procedures System Placements in US at end of year Number of Treatments per System Growth per year: 7.5% Total number of Treatments Average Revenue per Treatment Recurring Revenue Source: LifeSci Capital Using the revenue assumptions above, we constructed a model to estimate forward EBITDA that is shown in Figure 10. The recurring revenue business and equipment sales through distributors each have a different cost of revenue. The gross margin in 2015 was approximately 68% for recurring revenue and 45% for equipment sales. Those assumptions were used to calculate the gross margin across all revenues. In 2015 there were $7 million in costs associated with the MelaFind system, including a $4.8 million write-off for excess and obsolete inventory. We expect minimal costs associated with MelaFind going forward. In the figure we included STRATA Skin’s reported revenues and expenses for 2015. Considering that XTRAC and VTRAC were acquired in mid-2015, we also included an estimated 2015 column to get a better understanding of the COGS and operating expenses associated with these new assets. The estimate column shows the total 2015 revenues from XTRAC and VTRAC. COGS and operating expenses were estimated by projecting values from the fourth quarter of 2015 to the rest of the fiscal year. We believe that the expenses incurred during the fourth quarter of 2015 are more representative of the real costs associated with the XTRAC and VTRAC businesses and can provide a better launching point for estimating future expenses. The model for future expenses assumes that as a percentage of revenue, all expenses will decline, including engineering and product development costs, marketing expenses, and general and administrative costs. Our estimates suggest that EBITDA will be positive for the full year 2016 and grow to over $20 million by 2020. Page 19 May 2, 2016 Figure 10. Forward EBITDA Estimates Total Revenue $18.5 M 2015 estimate $32.9 M COGS $13.7 M $13.8 M $13.7 M $15.9 M $18.3 M $21.0 M $24.0 M $4.8 M 26% $19.1 M 58% $24.8 M 64% $29.4 M 65% $34.5 M 65% $40.3 M 65% $46.7 M 66% $2.0 M $2.0 M $2.3 M $2.3 M $2.6 M $2.5 M $2.8 M 11% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% $9.2 M $12.8 M $15.0 M $16.7 M $18.5 M $20.2 M $21.9 M 50% 39% 39% 37% 35% 33% 31% $10.0 M $11.2 M $10.8 M $11.8 M $12.7 M $13.5 M $14.1 M 54% 34% 28% 26% 24% 22% 20% ($7.4 M) ($6.9 M) ($3.3 M) ($1.4 M) $0.7 M $4.1 M $7.8 M $4.1 M $6.8 M $8.0 M $9.4 M $10.9 M $12.7 M $14.7 M 12% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% ($3.4 M) ($0.04 M) $4.7 M $8.0 M $11.7 M $16.8 M $22.5 M 2015 actual Gross Profit Gross Margin Operating Expenses Engineering and Product Development % of Revenue Selling and Marketing Expenses % of Revenue General & Administrative Expenses % of Revenue EBIT Plus Depreciation and Amortization % of Revenue EBITDA 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 $38.5 M $45.3 M $52.8 M $61.3 M $70.7 M Source: LifeSci Capital We note that there are ongoing interest payments associated with STRATA Skin’s acquisition of the XTRAC/VTRAC assets. The acquisition was funded via a private placement. The deal included senior secured notes, and convertible debentures and warrants to purchase $3.0 million shares of common stock that are convertible at $0.75 per share. There was $10 million in senior secured notes that was subsequently replaced with long-term debt in December 2015. The new debt of $12 million carries an interest rate of LIBOR plus 8.25% and payments are interest only for the first 18 months. The remaining cost of the acquisition was financed with $32.5 million in convertible debentures that can convert into 43.3 million shares at a price of $0.75 per share. The debentures carry an interest rate of 2.25%. These ongoing interest payments will impact the ability to generate positive net income. XTRAC/VTRAC Clinical Data Discussion The utility of 308 nm laser treatment of psoriasis plaques has been demonstrated in several clinical studies, dating back to 1997. Figure 11 lists 10 such studies and their topline results. The data indicate that treatment of plaque Page 20 May 2, 2016 psoriasis with XTRAC results in sustained resolution of plaques with minimal AEs. When compared to existing treatment modalities, the XTRAC offers several advantages, including fewer adverse events, improved plaque clearing, and fewer total treatments. Below we present data from two clinical studies that helped to establish the safety and efficacy profile of XTRAC. The first demonstrates its generalized application and the second addresses treatment of scalp psoriasis. Figure 11. Clinical Studies Supporting the Use of an Excimer Laser for Psoriasis Trial # of Subjects Result Bonis, B. et al., 199726 10 Complete plaque psoriasis resolution after mean 8 treatments with 308 nm laser versus mean 30 treatments with narrowband UVB therapy; 8 patients symptom free 2-years after laser treatment. Trehan, M. & Taylor, C.R., 200227 16 Significant clearing of plaques in 11 of 16 subjects treated with 308nm laser; 4 month remission in 5 patients. Novak, Z. et al., 200228 21 Resolution of plaques regardless of impulse frequency. Feldman, S.R. et al., 200229 92 Trehan, M & Taylor, C.R., 200230 15 Taneja, A. et al., 200331 14 Fikrle, T. & Pizinger, K., 200332 28 Patients who received 10 treatments with 308 nm laser had 84% chance of achieving 75% improvement; 72% of patients achieved 75% improvement with median of 6.2 treatments. All subjects achieved 95% improvement after a median of 10.6 treatments; significant improvement at 4, 8, and 16 weeks posttreatment (p<0.01). Significant improvement in plaques with 308 nm laser treatment compared to control in treatment-resistant patients (p<0.001); mean of 81% improvement after mean of 10 treatments. 13 of 14 patients treated 308 nm laser achieved 50% reduction of psoriasis severity index score. Bonis, B. et al., 1997. 308nm excimer laser for psoriasis. Lancet, 350, pg1522. Trehan, M. & Taylor, C.R., 2002. High-dose 308-nm excimer laser for the treatment of psoriasis. Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology, 46(5), pp732-737. 28 Novák, Z. et al., 2002. Xenon chloride ultraviolet B laser is more effective in treating psoriasis and in inducing T cell apoptosis than narrow-band ultraviolet B. Journal of Photochemistry and Photobiology B: Biology, 67(1), pp32-38. 29 Feldman, S.R. et al., 2002. Efficacy of the 308-nm excimer laser for treatment of psoriasis: results of a multicenter study. Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology, 46(6), pp900-906. 30 Medium-dose 308-nm excimer laser for the treatment of psoriasis. Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology, 47(5), pp701708. 31 Taneja, A. et al., 2003. 308-nm excimer laser for the treatment of psoriasis: induration-based dosimetry. Archives of Dermatology, 139(6), pp759-764. 32 Fikrle, T. & Pizinger, K., 2003. The use of 308 nm excimer laser for the treatment of psoriasis. Journal der Deutschen Dermatologischen Gesellschaft, 1(7), pp559-563. 26 27 Page 21 May 2, 2016 Gerber, W. et al., 200333 142 85% of 102 patients treated with 308 nm laser using standard dosing protocol had 90% of greater improvement with a median of 10.8 treatments. Pahlajani, N. et al., 200534 16 91% improvement in 4 children treated with 308nm laser after mean of 12.5 treatments. Morison, W.L. et al., 200635 35 49% of patients with scalp plaques achieved 95% or greater improvement after a mean of 21 treatments. Source: LifeSci Capital Prospective Clinical Study of XTRAC Laser in Patients with Mild to Moderate Plaque Psoriasis A post-approval study (PAS) was conducted to support the use of XTRAC as a treatment of psoriasis plaques. The XTRAC system was able to reduce psoriasis lesions and their severity in the majority of patients without significant side effects. It achieved this activity using 10 or fewer treatments. Broadband UVB therapy, on the other hand, typically takes 25 or more treatments. Post-Approval Study Design. This was a multicenter study conducted in 5 dermatology offices in the US and included 124 individuals with stable, mild to moderate plaque psoriasis involving less than 10% body surface area.36 Patients were excluded if they had received systemic treatment within the past 8 weeks or phototherapy or topical treatment within the past 4 weeks. Patients were treated twice per week for a maximum of 10 treatments. Dosing was determined by first establishing the minimal erythemal dose (MED), which is defined as the minimal laser energy required to produce well defined redness of uninvolved skin. Starting doses were 3 times the MED. Patients were evaluated using PASI criteria at baseline and after the 4th, 5th, and 10th treatments, and upon lesion clearing. Trial Results. Treatment with the XTRAC 308-nm excimer laser led to a substantial improvement in plaque severity and amount of body surface area affected by plaques. Out of the 124 patients enrolled, 92 completed 10 treatments and/or achieved PASI75. 72% of the 92 (66/92) achieved PASI75 with an average of only 6.2 treatments required. 80 patients completed 10 treatments and/or achieved PASI90. 35% of the 80 (28/80) achieved PASI90, which required an average of 7.5 treatments. There were 2 psoriasis patients who required only 2 treatments to achieve a 90% resolution of their plaques. Gerber, W. et al., 2003. Ultraviolet B 308-nm excimer laser treatment of psoriasis: a new phototherapeutic approach. The British Journal of Dermatology, 149(6), pp1250-1258. 34 Pahlajani, N. et al., 2005. Comparison of the efficacy and safety of the 308 nm excimer laser for the treatment of localized psoriasis in adults and in children: a pilot study. Pediatric Dermatology, 22(2), pp161-165. 35 Morison, W.L. et al., 2006. Effective treatment of scalp psoriasis using the excimer (308 nm) laser. Photodermatology, Photoimmunology & Photomedicine, 22(4), pp181-183. 36 Feldman, S.R. et al., 2002. Efficacy of the 308-nm excimer laser for treatment of psoriasis: results of a multicenter study. Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology, 46(6), pp900-906. 33 Page 22 May 2, 2016 The study data indicate that as patients received additional XTRAC laser treatments, the probability of achieving PASI75 or PASI90 increased. Figure 12 shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for probability of having less than 75% or 90% PASI score improvement after 0 to 10 treatments. The curves are derived from 116 patients who completed 1 or more treatments and were evaluated for response. The top panel represents the probability of patients not achieving PASI75. As the treatment number increases, so does the likelihood of disease resolution, and patients who received 10 treatments had an 84% chance of achieving PASI75. The bottom panel represents the probability of patients not reaching the PASI90, a more difficult endpoint to achieve. After 10 treatments, there was a greater than 40% chance of achieving PASI90. Figure 12. Probability of Not Achieving PASI75 or PASI90 After up to 10 XTRAC Laser Treatments Source: Feldman, S.R. et al., 2002 Page 23 May 2, 2016 The extensor surfaces such as the elbow are notoriously difficult to treat, and an example of treatment success with the XTRAC laser is shown in Figure 13. The before image on the left is the elbow of an 11-year-old girl showing a plaque. The image on the right shows near-complete clearing after only 4 treatments with the XTRAC excimer laser. These areas in particular are places XTRAC can be useful for patients who have received biologics. Figure 13. Treatment of Elbow Psoriasis Plaques with XTRAC Source: Feldman, S.R. et al., 2002 The safety profile of XTRAC was favorable, especially when compared to systemic agents such as methotrexate. The most common adverse events were skin redness (51%), blisters (45%), hyperpigmentation (38%), and erosion (25%). Side effect such as pain, itching, and peeling occurred in less than 10% of patients. No patients discontinued the study due to adverse events. Retrospective Study of XTRAC Laser in Patients with Psoriasis Lesions on the Scalp A retrospective study was conducted to understand the effectiveness of the XTRAC 308-nm excimer laser as a treatment of scalp psoriasis. As a background, scalp psoriasis is typically resistant to topical and ultraviolet light treatments. It is thought that the hair shaft acts as a physical barrier to prevent the passage of photons to the affected area. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the ability of XTRAC to circumvent this issue by allowing for targeted delivery of UV light. Trial Results. Thirty-five patients with psoriasis who had failed intensive topical therapy and were treated with XTRAC were analyzed retrospectively.37 All patients experienced symptom improvement such as reduction in Morison, W.L. et al., 2006. Effective treatment of scalp psoriasis using the excimer (308 nm) laser. Photodermatology, Photoimmunology & Photomedicine, 22(4), pp181-183. 37 Page 24 May 2, 2016 discomfort and itching. Of the 35 patients, 49% achieved greater than 95% clearing, and 94% had between 50% and 90% clearing. The average number of treatments required for clearing was 21. All patients experienced some degree of phototoxicity such as blistering and redness, but recovery was rapid. Competing Light-based Treatments for Skin Conditions There are several ultraviolet lamp systems that deliver UVA and UVB light for the treatment of skin conditions like psoriasis. Broadband UV therapy can be less desirable than targeted laser machines due to exposure to non-diseased skin, which also limits the ability deliver high intensity light. One company, other than STRATA, markets an excimer laser that competes with the XTRAC. RA Medical Systems (private) markets the Pharos device. From our research, there appears to be minimal clinical data supporting Pharos as a treatment for psoriasis and vitiligo. In fact, we identified only 2 studies in psoriasis patients.38,39 The other differences between XTRAC and Pharos is that RA Medical Systems sells the Pharos device, requires dermatologists to carry a service contract, and does not provide a source of patient referrals to clinics. As discussed below, this model may be less desirable to dermatologists. Dermatologist Perspective. Our discussions with dermatologists suggest that STRATA Skin’s partnership model is substantially more attractive than the model of purchasing a competing device and carrying a service contract. The partnership model reduces upfront costs, does not require the dermatologist to hold a service contract, and provides a source of new patients via STRATA Skin’s advertising and call center. Intellectual Property STRATA Skin has 10 issued US patents and 1 German patent related to its XTRAC and VTRAC products. The Company also has trade secrets and technical know-how related to the manufacture and marketing of the systems. Management Team Michael Stewart President and Chief Executive Officer Michael Stewart became the President and Chief Executive Officer of STRATA Skin Sciences on December 15, 2014 and has been a member of the Company’s board of directors since August 5, 2014. Mr. Stewart previously served as president, chief executive officer and board member of NASDAQ-traded Surgical Laser Technologies, Inc. from 1999 until its sale in 2002 to global medical device and skin health company PhotoMedex. During his Goldberg, D.J. et al., 2011. 308-nm excimer laser treatment of palmoplantar psoriasis. Journal of Cosmetic and Laser Therapy, 13(2), pp47-49. 39 Kagen, M. et al., 2012. Single administration of lesion-limited high-dose (TURBO) ultraviolet B using the excimer laser: clinical clearing in association with apoptosis of epidermal and dermal T cell subsets in psoriasis. Photodermatology, Photoimmunology & Photomedicine, 28(6), pp293-298. 38 Page 25 May 2, 2016 tenure as CEO of Surgical Laser, Mr. Stewart led all executive and internal operations, successfully transforming the company from a product sales model to a service model driving revenue and profit growth that positioned Surgical Laser Technologies for its ultimate sale to PhotoMedex, Inc. Post-acquisition and during his continuing tenure with PhotoMedex, Mr. Stewart held the positions of chief operating officer and executive vice president and led the domestic and international sales organizations, marketing, product development and engineering, manufacturing and service operations. He successfully developed and executed a reimbursement strategy for the company’s flagship dermatology product that resulted in the issuance of new Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes and reimbursement by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and coverage policies with virtually all major insurance companies. Christina Allgeier Chief Financial Officer Christina L. Allgeier was appointed to the position of Chief Financial Officer of STRATA Skin Sciences in November, 2015. Ms. Allgeier has served as the Company’s Chief Accounting Officer and has over 15 years of experience in the medical laser field. Ms. Allgeier joined STRATA Skin Sciences as a result of the recent acquisition of the XTRAC and VTRAC business. Ms. Allgeier graduated with a B.S. in accounting from Penn State University and holds a license from the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania as a certified public accountant. For the past fifteen years Ms. Allgeier had been employed by PhotoMedex, Inc., including a period with Surgical Laser Technologies, Inc. which was acquired by PhotoMedex in 2002. Ms. Allgeier served as Chief Accounting Officer of PhotoMedex from December 2011 until the purchase of the assets from PhotoMedex in June 2015. From November 2009 until the reverse acquisition of Radiancy, Inc. by PhotoMedex in December 2011, Ms. Allgeier served as Chief Financial Officer of PhotoMedex. Risk to an Investment An investment in Strata Skin Sciences is considered to be a high-risk investment. Strata Skin commercializes light therapy systems in the US via an internal sales and marketing team, and internationally through distributors. Regulatory approval to market a product does not guarantee that it will penetrate the market, and sales may not meet the expectations of investors. Furthermore, unknown competitors may emerge and Strata Skin, like any company, may be required to spend significant capital to maintain its position within the market. Strata Skin also has substantial ongoing interest payments derived from long-term debt and convertible notes that may impact its ability to generate positive net income in the future. Page 26 May 2, 2016 Analyst Certification The research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research analysts are primarily responsible for this report, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover or within the document individually certifies), with respect to each security or subject company that the research analyst covers in this research, that: (1) all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or subject companies, and (2) no part of any of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report. DISCLOSURES This research contains the views, opinions and recommendations of LifeSci Capital, LLC (“LSC”) research analysts. LSC (or an affiliate) has received compensation from the subject company for producing this research report. Additionally, LSC expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from the subject company in the next three months. LSC (or an affiliate) has also provided non-investment banking securities-related services, non-securities services, and other products or services other than investment banking services to the subject company and received compensation for such services within the past 12 months. LSC does not make a market in the securities of the subject company. Neither the research analyst(s), a member of the research analyst’s household, nor any individual directly involved in the preparation of this report, has a financial interest in the securities of the subject company. Neither LSC nor any of its affiliates beneficially own 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of the subject company. LSC is a member of FINRA and SIPC. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but LSC or its affiliates (LifeSci Advisors, LLC) do not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to LSC and/or its affiliates and the analyst's involvement with the company that is the subject of the research. Any pricing is as of the close of market for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute LSC’s judgment as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, companies, financial instruments or strategies to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make his/her/its own independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies/industries based on company specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. Additional information is available upon request. No part of this report may be reproduced in any form without the express written permission of LSC. Copyright 2016. Page 27