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1 MECHANISM AND POLICIES FOR NATIONAL ECONOMIC RECOVERY 1 by Dr. Victor Wee Two weeks after the floatation of the Thai baht on July 2, 1997, the ringgit was allowed to find its own level. By January 1, 1998, the ringgit had depreciated by 35% and the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index fell by half. The currency depreciation and falling stock market worsened in 1998. Meanwhile, the rising number of corporate failures and non-performing loans affected the willingness of banks to lend. The country was in the grip of a severe credit squeeze, and the full impact of shrinking demand and rising corporate distress were felt by the entire economy. OBJECTIVES OF THE NEAC Early into the crisis, the Government recognised that the regional crisis would deteriorate further rather than improve during coming months. Therefore, a coordinated and concerted effort was needed to deal with the impending economic crisis to prevent the onset of a recession. Accordingly, the Cabinet established the National Economic Action Council (NEAC) on January 7, 1998 to serve as a consultative body in dealing with the economic problems and bring about economic recovery. The NEAC objectives were as follows: Restore public and investor confidence, particularly that of foreign investors, with regard to the economy, which is fundamentally strong; Ensure that the country does not enter into a recession as a result of the decline in the value of the ringgit and the fall in the share market; Revive the national economy and make it competitive globally by implementing decisions of the NEAC with regard to enhancing international competitiveness; and Strengthen the economic base of the country so as to achieve a developed nation status through rapid and sustainable economic growth. To achieve the above-mentioned strategic objectives, the NEAC performs its functions according to the following Terms of Reference: Identify current issues and challenges facing the economy based on observation and scrutiny by members of the NEAC or on the analysis undertaken by the Working Group of the NEAC; Guide the Secretariat or Working Group in - 1 studying all issues and challenges identified In Low Chee Keong, Financial Markets in Malaysia, Chapter 18, Malayan Law Journal, 2000. Draft copy. 2 - proposing effective and efficient strategies to address short-term, medium-term and long-term issues and challenges that have been identified - preparing detailed action plans for the proposals submitted; Discuss and scrutinise proposals that have been submitted and make decisions in accordance with the provisions of the law; Monitor the implementation of the decisions made and make amendments if necessary; and Submit to the Cabinet all important decisions made by the NEAC for its information and endorsement. The implementation of the decisions of the NEAC are closely monitored and coordinated to ensure that the desired effects are achieved. The value of NEAC in bringing about economic recovery is widely appreciated. Although it is generally regarded as having a finite life span, there is no indication how long it will continue within the government institutional structure following economic recovery. STRUCTURE OF THE NEAC The structure and modus operandi of the NEAC are so designed to enable it function efficiently and ensure that the decisions taken are implemented expeditiously and effectively. The full Council, which meets at regular intervals, comprises ministers, state governments, key government officials, as well as representatives from the private sector and interest groups. The NEAC is assisted by an Executive Committee, which meets almost daily to deliberate in policy and operational issues. The Executive Director is responsible for the implementation of the decisions. He is assisted by the NEAC Working Group, which looks into various aspects critical for restoring economic growth and stability. The Economic Planning Unit (EPU) acts as the Secretariat to the Council. Figure 1: Organisational Structure of NEAC National Economic Action Council Executive Committee Executive Director Secretariat Economic Planning Unit Working Group 3 MEMBERSHIP OF NEAC THE COUNCIL The are 26 members of NEAC, which include ministers with economic agencies,2 Executive Director of NEAC, Governor of the Central Bank, Chief Secretary to the Government, as well as representatives from industry, banking and finance, trade unions, consumer associations, and selected resource persons. Since Malaysia is a Federation of States, Chief Ministers of State Governments are invited to attend the meeting to provide input for decision making and the leadership for policy implementation at the state level. They are, however, not accorded full member status. The Prime Minister, Dato' Seri Dr. Mahathir bin Mohamad, is the Chair for the Council, while the Deputy Prime Minister, Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, is the Deputy Chair. Decisions are arrived at by consensus. EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE The Executive Committee (Exco) to NEAC meets to discuss on wide-ranging issues to draw up policies and strategies that can help resolve the economic problems and oversee the implementation of NEAC decisions. The commitment by this high-level committee to meet almost daily illustrates the importance of economic recovery on Malaysia's list of priority. The Executive Committee has the Prime Minister as the Chairman and the Deputy Prime Minister as the Deputy Chairman. The other members include Minister of Finance, Executive Director to NEAC, Governor of the Central Bank, and three members appointed by the Prime Minister. The membership also includes the Director General of Economic Planning Unit, who acts as secretary to NEAC, and the Special Officer to the Minister of Special Functions, who heads the NEAC Secretariat. EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Tun Daim Zainuddin, the First Finance Minister and the Minister of Special Functions, was appointed the Executive Director for the implementation of the decisions. During the last recession in the mid-1980s, Tun Daim had been the Finance Minister who engineered Malaysia's economic recovery. The terms of reference of the Executive Director are as follows: Responsible to the Chairman and/or Deputy Chairman; Empowered to coordinate all activities of the relevant authorities in reviving the national economy; Formulate and implement new strategies to ensure the attainment of the objectives of the NEAC; 2 These agencies are Ministry of Transport, Ministry of Works, Ministry of Primary Industry, Ministry of International Trade and Industry, Ministry of Education, Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Entrepreneur Development, Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs, and Ministry of Land and Cooperative Development. 4 Chair the Working Group on aspects critical to reviving investor confidence and strengthening the national economy; and Prepare and submit detailed reports to the Chairman/Deputy Chairman of NEAC. WORKING GROUP In assisting the Executive Director, the Working Group examines a wide range of issues, including foreign direct investment, banking and finance, capital market, currency, current account deficit, development of key economic sectors, and social issues arising from the economic crisis. Relevant parties are called in for discussions to address outstanding policy issues, clear operational bottlenecks or help resolve problems that work against economic recovery. Together with the Secretariat, the Working Group prepares memorandums for the consideration of NEAC. The members of the Working Group are appointed by name on recognition of their experience and expertise. As at June 30, 1999, the NEAC Working Group members are Tan Sri Thong Yaw Hong (Chairman of Public Bank), Tan Sri Wan Azmi Wan Hamzah (Chairman of Land and General Berhad), Datuk Dr. Zainal Aznam Yusof (Deputy Director General of the Institute of Strategic and International Studies), and Professor Madya Dr. Mahani Zainal Abidin from University of Malaya. The Executive Director of NEAC chairs the meeting of the Working Group. NEAC SECRETARIAT The NEAC Secretariat is established under the Economic Planning Unit and provides the secretariat support at all levels of NEAC. There are seven officers in the secretariat, all co-opted from the Economic Planning Unit. The Secretariat collaborates with the Working Group in undertaking analyses and providing timely reports to NEAC on critical issues. In addition, the Secretariat keeps a tab on the progress of implementation of the Recovery Plan and follow-up actions taken by the Government. The NEAC secretariat and Working Group maintain an open-door policy and provide the "hotline" for various parties from the government, industry and public to give immediate feedback on government policy. As a result of the streamlined organisation structure and lines of communication, decisions can be made by NEAC very quickly in addressing wide-ranging issues. NEAC COMMUNICATIONS TEAM The function of the team includes disseminating information to the local and foreign media on the implementation of the National Economic Recovery Plan (NERP). It also helps in highlighting the progress of the plan implementation and maintains the NEAC homepage on the Internet. Members of the communications team are recruited from the market on a contract basis and have experience in public relations and mass media. NATIONAL ECONOMIC RECOVERY PLAN The NEAC was prepared and launched a comprehensive National Economic Recovery Plan (NERP) on July 23 1998, after having assessed Malaysia’s unique situation and attributes. This plan was drawn up after extensive consultations with Federal and State Government leaders, senior and retired government officials, captains of industries, representatives from industry groups, trade unions, professional associations, media, women organisations, non-governmental organisations, and multilateral agencies, such as the World Bank and IMF. The NERP presents the framework for action to counter the negative effects of the ringgit depreciation and stock market collapse and recommends wide-ranging proposals for economic stabilisation and structural reform. As its starting point, the Recovery Plan takes stock of the country’s financial and real economic sectors in order to seek out new ways to 5 strengthen them further. It presents recommendations to address and rectify the weaknesses in the system that had dampened the growth prospects of the economy. The National Economic Recovery Plan contains six objectives, 40 lines of actions, and over 580 recommendations. The objectives of the Recovery Plan are: 1. Stabilising the Ringgit 2. Restoring market confidence 3. Maintaining financial stability 4. Strengthening economic fundamentals 5. Continuing the equity and socio-economic agenda 6. Revitalising adversely affected sectors OBJECTIVE 1: STABILISING THE RINGGIT The volatile and depreciating ringgit had been the key factor causing the crisis. The Recovery Plan recommends four lines of actions. First is the adoption of an exchange rate regime that provides flexibility but reduces volatility. Second, Malaysia should aim to increase its external reserves equivalent to at least 5 months of retained imports (around RM84 billion) to build confidence in the ringgit. In order to reduce dependence on the US dollar, the Recovery Plan proposes Malaysia’s exports should be quoted in the currency of the country concerned, while the mechanics for bilateral 6 TABLE 1: PLAN FOR ACTION UNDER NERP Objective 1: Stabilising the Ringgit Appropriate choice of exchange rate regime Reduce an over-dependence on the US dollar Increase External Reserves Adopt a Balanced Interest Rate Policy Objective 2: Restoring Market Confidence Improve Transparency and Regulatory Environment Establish Rules for Assisting Industries and Companies Increase Consistency of Policies Adopt Liberal and Market-Based Policies Improve Public Relations Improve the Dissemination of Economic Information Objective 3: Maintaining Financial Market Stability Preserve the Integrity of the Banking System Establish Agencies Along the Lines of FDIC/RTC Recapitalise the Banking Sector Monitor Closely Overall Credit Expansion Improve the Capital Market Develop the PDS Market Objective 4: Strengthening Economic Fundamentals Increase the Quality of Investments Improve the Balance of Payments Maintain a Balanced Public Sector Financial Position Maintain an Appropriate Monetary Policy Maintain Price Stability Increase Labour Competitiveness Source: National Economic Recovery Plan: Agenda For Action Objective 5: Continuing the Equity and Socio-Economic Agenda Ameliorate the Hardship from Poverty Address the Issues on Bumiputera Equity Ownership Expand Employment Opportunities Expand Tertiary Education Address the Problem of Graduate Unemployment Control the Influx of Foreign Workers Gear Up State Corporations to Face the Crisis Revamp Cooperatives and Cooperative Banks Protect Environment for Sustainable Development Objective 6: Revitalising Affected Sectors Resource-Based Industries Mining and Petroleum Manufacturing Information Technology Motor Industry Construction Property Infrastructure Transportation Freight Forwarding Tourism Industrial Development Finance Institutions Insurance and Reinsurance and multilateral payment arrangements for trade among ASEAN countries should be worked out quickly. Finally, the interest rate should be lowered since high interest rates are damaging for business. OBJECTIVE 2: RESTORING MARKET CONFIDENCE The weakening of confidence has prolonged the currency crisis. Accordingly, restoring market confidence is an important step to stabilise and strengthen the currency. Under this objective to shore up confidence, the Recovery Plan proposes improvements to the regulatory environment, as well as increasing the transparency and consistency of Government policies. In addition, there are recommendations on improving public relations and economic information dissemination. There should be more frequent release of economic data and stronger enforcement by regulatory authorities, such as the Securities Commission and Kuala Lumpur Stocks Exchange. There would be rules for assisting industries and companies in trouble. The assistance granted by the Government to companies in distress will be guided by the criteria of national interest, strategic interest, and equity considerations under Malaysia's New Economic Policy and National Development Policy. There should be no bailout of individual investors or lenders using public funds, except for industries and corporations in key, strategic sectors of national interest. In a rescue involving public funds, private investors and lenders must take their appropriate ‘haircut’. The NERP recommends increasing policy consistency, adopting liberal market-based policies, and improving public relations in order to enhance the image of the country both domestically and overseas. OBJECTIVE 3: MAINTAINING FINANCIAL MARKET STABILITY The Recovery Plan places special attention on addressing the weaknesses in Malaysia’s financial system that have arisen from rapid credit growth and high exposure to property and stock markets. The actions under the Recovery Plan include closer surveillance of banks, encouraging bank mergers, and addressing the worsening collateral and nonperforming loans (NPLs). In addition, it recommends the establishment of an asset management corporation for the removal of NPLs from banks and a special purpose vehicle for bank recapitalisation. Meanwhile, overall credit expansion should be monitored closely and a bond market should be developed for large infrastructure projects. The Recovery Plan makes specific proposals to improve the capital market and developing the private debt securities market. They include strengthening the regulatory framework, addressing the weaknesses of market participants and activities, and speeding up the approval process of the private debt securities market. As a matter of national interest, the authorities must address the growing domination of the Central Limit Order Book, an unauthorised trading of Malaysian shares in Singapore. OBJECTIVE 4: STRENGTHENING ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS Although Malaysia has generally good economic fundamentals, there are several areas where these can be strengthened further. The actions include increasing the quality of investments, improving the balance of payments, and increasing labour competitiveness. In addition, a balanced public sector financial position, an appropriate monetary policy, and price stability should be maintained. Indicators such as total factor productivity (TFP) and incremental capital output ratio (ICOR) suggest that the quality of investments in the country could be further improved. 8 Wastage should be cut and cost reduced to increase the efficiency of investments. Large-scale investments with high import content should be prioritised since they require a large amount of capital and place the external balance under pressure. Malaysia should continue in its efforts to improve the balance of payments by strengthening the merchandise account, reducing the services account deficit, and reducing deficit in transfers. There would be severe contraction of private consumption and investment as a result of the economic crisis. Despite the expected fall in government revenue, the Recovery Plan argues that the government should not contribute to further economic contraction by cutting down public expenditure. Instead, it recommends that the government should go for a budget deficit in 1998 and 1999 to make up for the decline in private sector activities. The Recovery Plan strongly recommends that Bank Negara should ease monetary supply to ensure that credit is available for businesses to continue generating economic activities. This is to avoid unnecessary business failures due to the lack of access to funds. The Government is strongly committed to non-inflationary policies and should adopt by supply enhancement measures and reduce distribution and marketing costs to ease supply constraints and bottlenecks. To enhance Malaysia’s international competitiveness, wage increases should reflect productivity gains. OBJECTIVE 5: CONTINUING THE EQUITY AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC AGENDA The equity and socio-economic agenda address the need for a social safety net in order to lessen the pain associated with the financial crisis. The economic contraction had badly affected household income, employment opportunities, and Bumiputera share ownership. As less Malaysians go overseas for studies, there is the need to expand tertiary education to satisfy the surge in local demand. State corporations and cooperatives have to be revamped in order to be more focussed in their activities. The commitment to preserve the environment should continue despite the pressures of reduced financial resources in the public and private sectors. OBJECTIVE 6: REVITALISING AFFECTED SECTORS The crisis has wide ranging implications on sector performance and prospects. Many sectors have been adversely affected by rising costs, falling demand, increasing financial problems, and mounting debts. The industries that have initiated expansion programmes in previous years are now faced with excess capacity and underutilisation of equipment and manpower. The Recovery Plan discusses the key issues and makes recommendations for the twelve sectors adversely affected by the crisis. It also supports the promotion of IT and Multimedia Super Corridor (MSC) as the way into the future. THRUSTS OF THE RECOVERY PLAN The main features of the macroeconomic policies in the National Economic Recovery Plan can be summarised as follows: Fiscal stimulus Easing monetary policy Selective capital control measures Reforming the financial and corporate sectors 9 FISCAL STIMULUS The Government eased its fiscal policy and took immediate action to avoid a deeper economic recession. In July 1998, government expenditure was increased to RM7 billion to promote exports and counteract a decline in domestic demand. These measures combined with a decline in government revenue resulted in a budget deficit of RM5 billion or 1.9% of GNP in 1998. Priority was given to projects involving agriculture, low- and medium-cost housing, education, infrastructure and public facilities, health, rural development and poverty eradication. The Government also announced the establishment of a RM5 billion fund for infrastructure projects, such as mass-transit railway transportation, ports, highways, water supply projects, and waste disposal and sewerage projects. Since the economic crisis affected certain sectors and the poor disproportionately, the Government increased the size of special funds to support the export sector, small and medium enterprises, low- and mediumcost housing development, food producing and processing, New Entrepreneurs Fund, and the rehabilitation of small and medium industries. The 1999 Budget continues with the expansionary fiscal policy, while maintaining fiscal prudence and discipline. Emphasis is placed on agriculture and rural development and protection of lower income groups from the adverse effects of the financial crisis. The larger expenditure combined with the expected decline in Government revenue is expected to result in a budget deficit of RM16.1 billion or 6% of GNP in 1999. EASING MONETARY POLICY The availability of finance is essential for business to continue generating economic activities and avoid unnecessary business failure due to the lack of access to funds. Thus, measures were also taken to ensure that productive activities continue to receive financial support: Statutory reserves requirement (SRR) had been gradually reduced from 13.5% in February 1998 to 8% in July, 6% in September 1, and 4% in September 16, 1998 to increase liquidity in the banking system. The reduction of the SRR helps to reduce the banking transactional costs as well as increase liquidity in the banking system. Part of the reduction of SRR, that is, from 6% to 4%, was for the purpose of providing the funds for bank recapitalisation. Actions have been taken to reduce the interest rates on loans and ease restrictions on debt repayments. The three-month intervention rate fell from a high 11% in June 1998 to 6% currently. This will ease the pressure of loan repayment as well as reduce the cost of business. The period of the NPL has been reverted to 6 months in September 1998 from 3 months in March 1998 to give some breathing space to the affected companies and business. Bank Negara Malaysia publishes both definitions of NPL for comparability. 10 SELECTIVE CAPITAL CONTROL MEASURES Despite attempts to stabilise the economy for the good part of 1998, these efforts were nullified by the volatility of the ringgit. As a small country, Malaysia can ill-afford the costs associated with internationalising the ringgit. The interest rates for ringgit deposits offered offshore were around 30-40% at the height of the crisis, while domestic interest rates were around 11%, thereby prompting the outflow of the ringgit, which was later used to short the ringgit. The movements of the ringgit were closely tied to the Kuala Lumpur stock market, as well as the stock markets and currencies of the crisis-hit countries in the region. From the level of 1084 on 2 July 1997, the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index plunged to 571 on 2 January 1998 and slid further to its lowest level of 262 on 1 September 1998. Accordingly, selective capital control measures had been adopted on September 1, 1998 to regain monetary independence and insulate the Malaysian economy from further deterioration in the world economic and financial environments. The ringgit was pegged at RM3.80 to US dollar or at US$0.26. The measures effectively made the ringgit nontradable outside the country, bring offshore ringgit back to the country, and reduce the ability of non-residents to trade in ringgit. There is also a 12-month holding period for foreign portfolio investment. In order to ensure the effective operation of the capital control measures, the unlicensed bourse trading of Malaysian equities outside the country was terminated. The Central Limit Order Book International (CLOB) in Singapore was closed down on September 15, 1998. These are strong pre-emptive measures to preserve the recent gains made to stabilise the domestic economy and create an environment conducive for the revival of consumer and investor confidence. The capital control measures are selective in nature and essentially three pronged: 1. Bring the ringgit back and put an end to the offshore ringgit markets that are responsible for ringgit volatility. This prong prevents the trading of the Malaysian currency. 2. Peg the ringgit at RM3.80 to the US dollar. 3. Reduce stock market volatility by imposing a 1-year holding period for ringgit assets owned by non-residents, who must park their funds in external accounts. This deters the movement of short-term capital from causing excessive volatility in domestic financial markets, especially equities. The ringgit was completely convertible in the current account, as well as all dealings affecting foreign direct investment. There is no restriction to the repatriation of dividends, interest, rental, commission, fees, royalties and profits from the sale of assets in Malaysia. Disbursements or repatriation of external account balances are allowed for expatriates and foreign workers in Malaysia, Malaysians working/studying overseas, non-Malaysian students studying in Malaysia, and companies with Multimedia Super Corridor status. The new capital control policy is not meant to inhibit foreign direct investment or interfere with the repayment of foreign debt. It is to prevent speculation of the ringgit and manage short-term capital flow, which can be destabilising when suddenly withdrawn. In 1997, Malaysia experienced US$9.5 billion net outflows of portfolio equity investment, which amounted to 10 per cent of its GDP. The sudden outflow of funds created dislocations to the whole economy and is inimical to the corporate sector. The new exchange control measures do not affect the normal conduct of economic activity and continue to guarantee the free flow of foreign direct investment. The changes 11 are aimed at containing speculation on the ringgit and minimising the impact of shortterm capital inflows. Malaysia remains committed to the market mechanism and to liberalisation. But a free market can only operate under conditions of a stable and efficient global currency and financial systems. RELAXATION OF CAPITAL CONTROLS As economic conditions improve, the Government relaxed the capital control measures by adopting the repatriation levy in the place of the 12-month holding period to make Malaysia more attractive to portfolio investors. Under this new measure, there are two sets of repatriation levy, depending on whether the funds came in before or after February 15, 1999. For funds that came in before February 15, 1999, a graduated taxation scheme will be applied to the capital value depending on how long the funds are retained within the country. The investment is valued at the date of the investment or 1 September 1998, whichever is earlier. A 30% levy is imposed on capital repatriation on/before 31 March 1999; a 20% levy for repatriation on/before 30 May 1999; a 10% levy on or before 1 September 1999. There will be no levy on the principal for repatriation after 1 September 1999. As of 15 February 1999, new investments into Malaysia will be subject to profit tax on repatriation, but there will be no levy on the principal capital. A levy of 30% will only be imposed on profits if repatriated within 12 months from the date the profit is made, and 10% if the profit is repatriated after more than 12 months. It should be noted that the levy is only imposed on investments in shares, bonds and other financial instruments but does not apply to investment in properties. 12 Table 2: Repatriation Levy Funds brought in before Feb. 15, 1999 Principal Principal as at Repatriated On Sept. 1, 1998 March 31, 1999 Funds brought in on or after Feb. 15, 1999 Levy 30% Up to 7 months Sept. 1, 1998 May 30, 1999 20% No levy Exceeding 7 months but not more than 9 months Sept. 1, 1998 Aug 31, 1999 10% Exceeding 9 months but not more than 12 months Sept. 1, 1998 Sept. 1, 1999 0% Exceeding 12 months Profits Repatriation during 12-month holding period-No levy Repatriated during period up to 12 months profits are made--30% levy Repatriation thereafter--10% levy Repatriated thereafter-10% The repatriation levy was adopted after getting feedback from foreign fund managers and after considering the improvements in the domestic economy. The replacement of capital controls with the repatriation levy is important to getting Malaysia re-accepted by the international capital market investors, not just to get re-listed into the international stock indices. With the eventual re-acceptance, Malaysia will be able to tap international capital at reasonable costs. Since the imposition of capital controls on September 1, 1999, the KLCI rebounded from a level of 262 to 847 as on July 8 1999. The market capitalisation during the period rose by RM368 billion, or 1.3 times the size of GDP. The amount of net inflow of foreign portfolio funds was estimated at RM3.9 billion between mid-February and June this year. MECHANISM FOR BANKING AND CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING The Recovery Plan gives top priority to programmes addressing the financial sector problems brought about by the crisis. The government has established a new institutional framework for addressing the liquidity needs of weaker financial institutions and for restructuring and consolidating the banking system. The Government established Danaharta, a new asset management company, by an Act of Parliament to remove the NPLs from the balance sheets of financial institutions at fair market value and to maximise their recovery value. This will free the banks from the burden of debts that had prevented them from providing loans to their customers. Banks would be provided with liquidity and they can realise capital losses on problem loans once and for all. The price 13 to be paid is set at a fair value following due diligence reviews to establish the quality of assets and their estimated recoverability. For the achievement of Danaharta's objectives, banking institutions with NPLs above 10% of total loans are required to sell off the NPLs to bring down the NPL ratio. Danaharta would only acquire NPLs above RM5 million, and will also manage and dispose of non-performing assets through the financial, operational, and management restructuring of debtor organisations. Banking institutions that do not dispose their NPLs to Danaharta are required to write-down the value of the loans, restructure these loans or refer them to the Corporate Debt Restructuring Committee. Figure 2: Mechanism for Financial and Corporate Sector Restructuring Corporation Danamodal New Loans Bank New Capital Sell NPLs at Fair Market Value Danaharta Rehabilitate Borrowers Issue Bonds Restructure Existing Facilities Corporate Debt Restructuring Committee (CDRC) With the removal of NPLs from the banks' balance sheets, there is the need to ensure that banks are sufficiently capitalised. The Government recognises the constraints that banks would face in raising capital on their own under the crisis environment. For this purpose, Danamodal, a special purpose vehicle, was set up to capitalise and consolidate the banking sector by injecting capital into viable but under-capitalised banks to ensure that they meet the standards for capital adequacy. The injection of capital will enhance the resilience of banks and increase their capacity to grant new loans, thereby speeding up the economic recovery process. Danamodal would coordinate its activities with Danaharta, as well as the banking institutions in strengthening the institutions' capital, liquidity and profitability positions. As a pre-requisite to receiving capital injection, banking institutions seeking recapitalisation from Danamodal are required to make a firm commitment to sell their NPLs in excess of 10% of total loans. Danamodal will also press ahead to bring about reforms in the management of the banks receiving its capital injection. Danamodal has a finite life span and would sell its stakes in the banking institutions once the economic recovery programme is fulfilled. Malaysia has a comprehensive legal framework for corporate transactions that also cover bankruptcy and reorganisation process. Although market-based restructuring options are available under the Companies Act, the government has added new measures to facilitate and finance corporate restructuring. To complement the restructuring of the financial system by Danaharta and Danamodal, the Corporate Debt Restructuring Committee (CDRC) was set up in August 1998 to facilitate debt restructuring of viable companies outside the courts. The aim is to minimise losses to creditors, shareholders and other stockholders, avoid placing viable companies into liquidation or receivership, and to enable banking institutions to play a greater role in rehabilitating the corporate sector. The CDRC adopts a constructive approach and framework to enable creditors and debtors to come together and devise a workout plan amicably without resorting to legal procedures. The CDRC complements the role of 14 Danaharta and Danamodal to accelerate the pace of economic recovery by providing an approach for banking institutions to play a greater role in the financial rehabilitation of the corporate sector. Figure 3: Progress Cycle of Corporate Debt Restructuring Creditors' Meeting Application Received Viability Study Carried Out Creditors Exit Creditors' Meeting Restructuring Proposal Proposal Rejected Revised Restructuring Proposal Sold to Danaharta Creditors Agreed Implementation Creditors Agreed By June 1999, Danaharta had removed RM38 billion of NPLs from the banking system. Danamodal had injected RM6.16 billion into 10 banking institutions. As a result, the risk weighted capital adequacy ratio rose from 10.2% to 15.1%, way above the minimum Basle standard of 8%. In the case of corporate debt restructuring, CDRC received 60 cases amounting RM32.6 billion worth of debts. Six cases were withdrawn or rejected because the applications did not meet the established criteria of CDRC. Eleven cases were completed involving RM10.9 billion, whereby the creditors have accepted the debt restructuring proposals. The remaining 43 cases are at different stages of progress, which include viability studies, awaiting restructuring proposals, awaiting revised restructuring proposals, or awaiting lender's decision. RECOVERY MANAGEMENT MEASURES Currently, the NEAC is monitoring the feedback of the recommendations from agencies, which are required to report the progress of implementation under their purview. The NEAC Secretariat reports regularly to the Cabinet and provides regular updates to the press and the Internet on the implementation of NERP. To date, most of the recommendations of the National Economic Recovery Plan have already been taken up by the agencies. They include measures to stabilise the ringgit, restore market confidence, restore financial market stability, and strengthen economic fundamentals. There have also been substantial progress made in implementing measures that address equity and socio-economic issues as well as the adversely affected sectors. Some of the recommendations, however, require additional preparatory work, especially those requiring legislative input or further study. Furthermore, some agencies face operational problems or have counter proposals to make. Whatever the implementation status or problems encountered, the Cabinet is duly kept informed. Agencies are required to submit regular reports on progress, which are presented to the Cabinet for their information. There is also a monthly press release to inform the public on the progress achieved. After addressing the macroeconomic issues, the NEAC is now examining specific issues that can pose a problem to economic recovery. Among some of the measures that receive special attention are: Accelerate implementation of public sector projects. There had been underachievement in the implementation of public-funded programmes in 1998 amounting to around one-fifth of the development allocation. This had muted the effect of the fiscal stimulus of the government. Accordingly, 15 Ministers and the heads of government agencies are now required to track the progress of programme implementation in their agencies and provide a report to the NEAC on a fortnightly basis. Push for increased bank lending. Banks are encouraged to lend to viable and productive projects, which offer prospect of good returns. The target for credit expansion for 1999 is 8% growth. Attract foreign direct investments (FDI). Malaysia continues to encourage foreign direct investments to take advantage of its low costs, educated and skilled labour, high quality infrastructure, and conducive business environment. Strengthen corporate governance. Steps have been taken to enhance transparency by improving disclosure by corporations as well as improving the ownership structures with potential abusive conduct by large shareholders at the expense of minority shareholders. Several measures, including amending legislation and rules, have been taken and a special report have been prepared under the Ministry of Finance to raise the standards of corporate governance in Malaysia. Diversify into low import content, high linkage resource-based industries. There is active promotion of industrial diversification into resource-based and other export-oriented industries with high local content and other spin-offs where Malaysia can derive maximum returns. FINANCING THE NERP An estimate of RM62 billion (US$16.3 billion) would be required to finance the recovery throughout 1998-2000. This will cover the requirements of Danaharta, Danamodal, the Infrastructure Development Fund, and additional allocations for the Seventh Malaysia Plan (see Table 3). The funds would be obtained from the cheapest and non-inflationary sources. Two-thirds of the requirements would be funded domestically, while the remaining would come from foreign loans. Some of the foreign sources include Japan EXIM Bank, Sumitomo Bank of Japan, Overseas Economic Cooperation Fund, and multilateral sources such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank. Table 3: Funding Requirements for Economic Recovery, 1998-2000 Programme Danaharta Danamodal Infrastructure Development Fund Additional Seventh Malaysia Plan Allocation Total RM billion 15 16 5 26 62 Source: White Paper: Status of the Malaysian Economy, 6 April 1999 16 Table 4: Sources of Funds, 1999-2000 Source Foreign Sources Bilateral Multilateral Sovereign bonds/loans Total Foreign Sources Local Sources Outstanding Cash Balance RM billion 10.0 3.0 8.0 21.0 Provident, Pension & Insurance Funds 42.0 Provident, Pension & Insurance Funds Oil Revenue 30.0 9.0 Annual Inflows Total Local Sources Grand Total 81.0 102.0 Source: White Paper: Status of the Malaysian Economy, 6 April 1999 TABLE 5: FUNDING FOR DANAHARTA RM billion 15 Requirement Sources of Funds Government contribution Govt-guaranteed loans Zero-coupon bonds issued to financial institutions 1.5 3.5 10 TABLE 6: FUNDING FOR DANAMODAL Danamodal's requirement on a worst-case scenario Sources of funds Paid-up capital from Bank Negara Malaysia Zero-coupon bonds sold to banks Other sources if required RM billion 16 3.0 7.7 5.3 CONCLUSION Malaysia is the only Asian crisis-hit country with its own recovery plan tailored for its own needs. Since the adoption of selective capital control measures, the ringgit had stabilised and confidence was restored in the market. By June 1999, the major part of financial sector recapitalisation and reforms by Danaharta and Danamodal has largely been completed, six months ahead of schedule. In May 1999, the level of non-performing loans for the banking system moderated at 7.9% of total loans (or 13.0% based on the 3month classification). The next stage for Danaharta is the management and disposal of assets to maximise recovery value, while Danamodal will press ahead to reform the management of the banks under its assistance sector so that they emerge leaner and stronger. After five quarters of contraction, Malaysia's macroeconomic situation improved markedly, with most indicators pointing to a positive second quarter in 1999. Exports have been rising consistently since October 1998, boosting Malaysia's external reserves, 17 now up to nearly seven months of retained imports. Wealth has increased with favourable effects on consumers. Private consumption like cars, houses and consumer durable picked up, while the transactions demand for money had turned positive for the first time in April 1999. Inflation rate has fallen to 2.9% in May 1999 and is expected to remain low throughout the year. There is renewed ability of Malaysia to access foreign capital markets. The Government's bond issue of US$1 billion in June was three times oversubscribed, reflecting the confidence of foreign investors in Malaysia's economy. Foreign direct investment continued to flow into the country although the flows have slackened because of existing excess capacity. Malaysia's economic recovery plan has helped to turn around the economy. The monetary and fiscal policies adopted under the NERP reversed the economic contraction and promoted growth. The very destructive and highly distortive effects of ringgit speculation and destabilising flows of portfolio capital are addressed by the selective capital control measures. Malaysia's economic prospect for 1999 looks good. Total investment will show positive growth, with increased public investment and the corporate sector responding to rising demand and replenishing stocks. Nevertheless, being a very open economy, Malaysia will be subject to the uncertainties in the external environment, while the domestic corporate sector will require time to heal the wounds sustained during the severe economic crisis. July 14, 1998 Papers/NEAC-Chapter.DocVic The Regulation of Financial Markets in Malaysia by Low Chee Keong, Chinese Univ of HK