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ACM Country Profile: Burundi Highlighting political, economic and business trends The UN Security Council on 18 February 2015 expressed concern regarding the presence of intimidation, political violence, arrests and detentions by government against opposition groups in the run-up to the 2015 elections in one of the world’s poorest countries. In January 2015, an unknown number of ‘rebels’ of the 54 who were arrested by police and soldiers with civilian help were reportedly shot and dismembered. Investigations have begun into what may be Central Africa’s latest war crimes. Bujumbura Index 2014-2015. Burundi is not considered a failed state, but its per capita GDP of US$ 303 is amongst the lowest in Africa. Seven out of 10 Burundians live in poverty, which excludes them from participation in a consumer society, automobile ownership and the purchase of service industry products. Burundi’s one hope for prosperity and liberation from its economic isolation is regional, through the formation of trade alliances with neighbouring countries. Government’s unwillingness to even consider tackling the corruption that inhibits business growth is evident in the World Bank’s Worldwide Governance Indicators negative score for Burundi of 1 out of a possible 100 points on the subject of controlling corruption. On the same 100 point scale, Burundi receives an abysmal 7 for government effectiveness, 15 for Rule of Law, 20 for regulatory quality and 22 for government accountability – all amongst Sub-Saharan Business Assessment: Africa’s worst scores and certain to give potential investors pause. Such “Burundi’s one hope Described invariably as poor and lacking in natural resources, landlocked bad government performance is not for prosperity and Burundi has a small middle class that likely to be tolerated forever by a disliberation from its cannot sustain a prosperous consumgruntled populace, and Burundi rates economic isolation er and services sector. Investors do only a 6 out of 100 for political stabilis regional, through face encumbrances according to the ity. The Corruption Perceptions Index the formation of World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business (Transparency International) gives trade alliances survey, which ranks the country a low Burundi 21 points out of 100, indicatwith neighbouring 152 out of 189 nations worldwide ing that the country’s affairs are largely countries.” (the 172nd worst for getting credit and corrupt. For a country of no apparent reflecting infrastructure inadequacies interest to international terror groups, the 181st worst for obtaining electriciBurundi receives a surprising 4.9 out of 10 score on The Institute for Economics and Peace’s ty). Investment opportunities are few. A third of the Global Terrorism Index, suggesting that internal strife economy is devoted to largely subsistence agriculture. Coffee, cotton, tea, corn, sorghum, sweet potatoes, is present. bananas, cassava, beef, milk and hides are the principal agricultural products, although these have yet Economic Assessment: to be produced in significant exportable quantities. Burundi’s economy is rated “mostly unfree” by the Some food processing operations exist and opportuHeritage Foundation and Wall Street Journal Index nities exist for more. Overall, industry is minor, comof Economic Freedom and is given an unimpressive prising 18% of the economy and employing only 2% of 5.6 out of 10 ranking by the Cato Institute Economic workers, compared to 94% of the workforce employed Freedom of the World Index. The country is large- in agriculture. However, industry experienced 4.5% ly uncompetitive, judging by its 3.1 out of 7 score in growth in 2013, suggesting that activity is picking up the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness in this sector. Africa Conflict Monitor | Consultancy Africa Intelligence (Pty) Ltd March 2015 Edition Political Assessment: National Profile CENTRAL AFRICA Table of Contents 69