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Ecuador Key facts (Territorial, demographic and economic data) Population (2010 projection): 13.7m Territorial area: 272,045 km2 (105,037 sq m) Capital: Quito GDP (Billions of current dollars, 2008): 52 Per capita GDP (2008, in 2000 dollars): 1,744.6 Growth rate of GDP per capita (2008, annual rate of variation): 5.0% Persons living in poverty: 39.0% and indigence: 14.2% Income or consumption distribution (Gini Index, 2005-07): 54.4 Real minimum wage (2008; 2000=100): 146.7 Rank in the UNDP Human Development Report index, 2009: 80 (high human development) Net foreign direct investment (Millions of dollars, 2008): 974 Key exports: oil, bananas, seafood, coffee, cocoa General sources: UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs; UNDP; UNCTAD; ECLAC; World Bank; Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico Notes: A Gini index of 0 represents perfect equality, while an index of 100 implies perfect inequality. Key dates (timeline) 1979 1981 1984 1988 1990 1992 1996 1997 1998 2000 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jaime Roldós Aguilera of Concentración de Fuerzas Populares becomes first civilian president following military rule. Brief border war with Peru. Roldós dies in a plane crash and is replaced by vicepresident, Osvaldo Hurtado. Conservative León Febres Cordero of Partido Social Cristiano becomes president. Social democrat Rodrigo Borja Cevallos of Izquierda Democrática becomes president. Indigenous organizations stage nationwide protests against austerity policies. Sixto Alfonso Durán-Ballén of centre-right Partido de Unidad Republicana becomes president but neoliberal reforms alienate unions and indigenous groups Businessman Abdalá Jaime Bucaram Ortíz of populist Partido Roldosista Ecuatoriano elected president, but neoliberal reforms spark protests. Bucaram deposed by congress for ‘mental incapacity’. Jamil Mahuad of centrist Democracia Popular-Unión Demócrata Cristiana elected. Mahuad’s decision to use US dollar as national currency provokes uprising under Colonel Lucio Edwin Gutiérrez and he is forced out. Vice-president, Gustavo Noboa, takes over. Gutiérrez wins elections at head of newly created Partido Sociedad Patriótica 21 de Enero in alliance with indigenous and Marxist groups. Congress dismisses supreme court, which Gutiérrez accuses of supporting opposition. Congress replaces Gutiérrez with vice-president, Alfredo Palacio. Protests over proposed free-trade deal with US. Rafael Correa of left-of-centre Alianza Pais wins presidential elections. Voters in a referendum support Correa’s plan to rewrite constitution. Alianza Pais wins majority on constituent assembly, which dissolves congress. Colombian strike into Ecuador sparks diplomatic crisis. Correa wins 64 per cent of votes in referendum to increase powers. He pledges to default on foreign debts. Ecuador expels two US diplomats. Alianza Pais dominates after legislative elections and Correa wins second term. Government refuses to extend US military lease of Pacific air base. Ecuador joins leftwing Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas (ALBA). Correa dismisses allegations seeking to link his election campaign with FARC funding. State control extended over oil industry, and Ecuador agrees not to drill for oil in Amazon rainforest in exchange for compensation from rich countries. Key political developments (summaries of current events) Years of instability culminated for much of the 1970s in military control and Ecuador’s transition to democracy since then has been fragile. Political development has been characterised by social unrest, irreconcileable tensions between coastal and highland areas, and poor relations between the executive and legislature that have cut short a number of presidencies. Although the military withdrew from power in 1979, the party system was weak and fragmented, and the tradition of populism strong. In 1979, the reformist Jaime Roldós Aguilera (1979-81) of the populist Concentración de Fuerzas Populares (CFP, Concentration of Popular Forces) in alliance with the Christian-democratic Democracia Popular (DP, Popular Democracy) became the first civilian president following military rule, but he died in a plane crash in 1981. He was replaced by his vice-president, Osvaldo Hurtado Larrea (1981-84), who struggled against a divided congress and amid economic difficulties to complete the term in 1984. The conservative León Febres Cordero (1984-88) of the Partido Social Cristiano (PSC, Social-Christian Party) succeeded him as president and initiated a raft of neoliberal reforms but again fell foul of economic crisis, a hostile congress and a recalcitrant military. His successor, the social democrat Rodrigo Borja Cevallos (1988-92) of the Izquierda Democrática (ID, Democratic Left) initiated austerity policies that caused large strikes, and indigenous organisations staged an historic uprising in 1990. In 1992, Borja was succeeded by Sixto Alfonso Durán-Ballén (1992-96) of the new centreright Partido de Unidad Republicana (PUR, Party of Republican Unity) who attempted tough neoliberal reforms but again alienated unions and indigenous groups. His successor, the businessman Abdalá Jaime Bucaram Ortíz (1996-97) of the populist Partido Roldosista Ecuatoriano (PRE, Ecuadorean Roldosist Party), benefited from a protest vote against established politicians but his neoliberal reforms rapidly provoked demonstrations that paralysed the country, and in 1997 congress removed him. Elections gave the presidency to Jamil Mahuad (1998-2000) of the centrist Democracia Popular-Unión Demócrata Cristiana (DP-UDC, Popular Democracy-Christian Democrat Union), but resistance to neoliberal policies persisted. Mahuad’s decision to use the US dollar as the national currency provoked a popular uprising under Colonel Lucio Edwin Gutiérrez Borbúa (2003-05) and Mahuad resigned. Gustavo Noboa (2000-03) of the DP-UDC took over as caretaker president and Gutiérrez won elections in 2002 at the head of the newly created Partido Sociedad Patriótica st 21 de Enero (PSP, Patriotic Society 21 of January Party) in alliance with indigenous and Marxist groups. A populist, Gutiérrez lacked a coherent party base and failed to deliver on promises to reverse neoliberal policies. Amid anti-government protests, congress replaced Gutiérrez with his Vice-President, Alfredo Palacio (2005-06). Palacio came under pressure to abandon free-market policies adopted by Gutiérrez and faced violent demonstrations over how oil revenues were spent. In March 2006, the country’s interior minister, Alfredo Castillo, resigned amid violent protests against free trade talks with the US, warning of the danger of a military coup. Disillusionment with the turbulence of recent years and traditional politicians allowed a populistic outsider to come to power later that year. Promising a social revolution to help the poor, Rafael Correa of Alianza País won presidential elections and has since pursued left-of-centre domestic policies and strengthened ties with leftwing leaders in the region. In 2007, voters in a referendum backed Correa’s plans to form a national assembly to dissolve congress and rewrite the constitution, although disputes broke out over the sacking of MPs for apparently seeking to obstruct the move. Correa was able to increase his powers in 2008, winning 64 per cent of votes in a referendum and pledging to default on foreign debts. His popularity in 2009 enabled Alianza País to dominate following legislative elections and for him to win a second term. The government took Ecuador into the leftwing Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas (ALBA) and refused to extend a US military lease of a Pacific air base. In 2010, Correa extended state control over the oil industry and this has strengthened Ecuador’s bargaining position in such issues as climate change. In August 2010, for example, the country agreed not to drill for oil in an area of the Amazon in return for payments from developed countries. One cost of Correa’s more radical positions, however, has been diplomatic, with serious strains developing with Colombia and the US. In 2008, a Colombian military strike into Ecuador sparked a diplomatic crisis, and in 2009 Ecuador expelled two US diplomats whom it had accused of interfering in its affairs.