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“Teach A Level Maths” Statistics 1 The Binomial Distribution: Mean and Variance © Christine Crisp The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance Statistics 1 AQA MEI/OCR OCR "Certain images and/or photos on this presentation are the copyrighted property of JupiterImages and are being used with permission under license. These images and/or photos may not be copied or downloaded without permission from JupiterImages" The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance There are very simple formulae that we can use to find the mean and variance of a Binomial Distribution. I’ll illustrate the formulae with an example. The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance Suppose X ~ B(3, 0  4) . The probability distribution is P(X  0)  P(X  1)  P(X  2)  P(X  3)  0 216 0 432 0 288 0 064 Can you find the mean using the formula for any discrete probability distribution? If you’ve forgotten how to calculate the mean, the results written in a table may remind you: x 0 1 2 3 P( X  x ) 0 216 0 432 0 288 0 064 mean, m =  xP( X  x)  0  0  216  1 0  432  . . .  1 2 Can you spot the link to the parameters of the distribution ( n = 3 and p = 0·4 )? The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance Suppose X ~ B(3, 0  4) . The probability distribution is P(X  0)  P(X  1)  P(X  2)  P(X  3)  0 216 0 432 0 288 0 064 Can you find the mean using the formula for any discrete probability distribution? If you’ve forgotten how to calculate the mean, the results written in a table may remind you: x 0 1 2 3 P( X  x ) 0 216 0 432 0 288 0 064 mean, m =  xP( X  x)  0  0  216  1 0  432  . . .  1 2 ANS: 1  2  3  0  4 so, m  np The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance X ~ B(3, 0  4) Now for the variance: x 0 1 2 3 P( X  x ) 0 216 0 432 0 288 0 064 The formula for the variance of any discrete probability distribution is 2 2 x P ( X  x )  m   0 2  0  216  1 2  0  432  2 2  0  288  3 2  0  064  1 2 2  0 72 The link with the parameters isn’t so easy to spot this time but it’s easy to remember. It is variance  npq The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance e.g.1 Find the mean and variance of the random variable X where X ~ B(10, 0  3) Solution: mean, m  np variance  npq  m  10  0  3  3  variance  10  0  3  0  7  2  1 SUMMARY The mean of a Binomial Distribution is given by mean, The variance is given by m  np variance  npq The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance Exercise 1. Find the mean and variance of the random variable X where (a) X ~ B(20, 0  5) (b) X ~ B(15, 0  3) (c) X ~ B(7, 0  02) (d) X ~ B(12, 0  25) Solutions: (a) n  20, p  0  5, q  0  5  mean  np  10 variance  npq  5 (b) n  15, p  0  3, q  0  7  mean  np  4 5 variance  npq  3 15 The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance Exercise 1. Find the mean and variance of the random variable X where (a) X ~ B(20, 0  5) (b) X ~ B(15, 0  3) (c) X ~ B(7, 0  02) (d) X ~ B(12, 0  25) Solutions: (c) n  7, p  0  02, q  0  98  mean  np  0 14 variance  npq  0 1372 (d) n  12, p  0  25, q  0  75  mean  np  3 variance  npq  2 25 The following slide contains repeats of information on earlier slides, shown without colour, so that it can be printed and photocopied. The Binomial Distribution – Mean and Variance SUMMARY The mean of a Binomial Distribution is given by mean, The variance is given by m  np variance  npq e.g.1 Find the mean and variance of the random variable X where X ~ B(10, 0  3) Solution: mean, variance m  np  m  10  0  3  3  npq  variance  10  0  3  0  7  2  1