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Consumer Demand McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Patterns of Consumption • 70% of household budgets is spent on housing, transportation and food. • “Essential” items have changed from years ago. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. How the Consumer Dollar Is Spent Other goods and services 11.0 Entertainment 5.4 Housing (shelter, furnishings, upkeep) 36.4 Medical care 6.1 Clothing 4.9 Food 14.9 Transportation 21.3 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Determinants of Demand • What determines what we buy? – The sociopsychiatric explanation – The economic explanation McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. The Sociopsychiatric Explanation • The desire for goods and services arises from our needs for social acceptance, security, and ego gratification. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. The Sociopsychiatric Explanation • “Keeping up with the Joneses” • Self preservation • Expressions of affluence McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Affluent Teenagers 84% 81% 77% Television Stereo Computer Video game system DVD player CD burner Cell phone Auto In-line skates Digital Camera Pager/beeper 64% 61% 49% 47% 37% 34% 27% 9% 0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Percent of Teens Owning Item 90 100 © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. The Economic Explanation • Demand – The ability and willingness to buy specific quantities of a good at alternative prices in a given time period, ceteris paribus. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Determinants of Market Demand • Tastes — desire for this and other goods – If a study says ice cream is good for you, the demand for ice cream would increase. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Determinants of Market Demand • Income (of the consumer) – If you won the lottery you might buy more ice cream. – The demand for ice cream would increase, shifting the demand curve to the right. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Determinants of Market Demand • Expectations (for income, prices, tastes) – If you knew you were going to get rich soon you might deplete savings to buy more ice cream now. – Increases the demand for ice cream. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Determinants of Market Demand • Other goods (their availability and prices) – If the price of chocolate candy bars increased, you might buy ice cream instead of a candy bar. – Increases the demand for ice cream. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Determinants of Market Demand • The number of consumers in the market. – If the number of buyers in the ice cream market increased, the demand for ice cream would also increase. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Market Demand • The total quantities of a good or service people are willing and able to buy at alternative prices in a given time period. • Market demand is the sum of individual demands. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Utility Theory • Economists assume that the more pleasure a product gives, the higher price buyers are willing to pay. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Utility Theory • Students who like butter are willing to pay more for buttered popcorn than non-buttered popcorn because it offers more total utility. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Total vs. Marginal Utility • Utility is the pleasure or satisfaction obtained from good or service. • Total utility is the amount of satisfaction obtained from entire consumption of a product. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Total vs. Marginal Utility • Marginal utility is the change in total utility obtained by consuming one additional (marginal) unit of a good or service. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Total vs. Marginal Utility • Marginal utility is the change in total utility obtained by consuming one additional (marginal) unit of a good or service. change in total utility Marginal utility = change in quantity McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility • The marginal utility of a good declines as more of it is consumed in a given time period. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility • A student who enjoys popcorn can eat all he wants for free. – The first box consumed is rewarding. – The second box good. – A third box decent, etc. – After eating a sixth box, he gets sick. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility • Did the sixth box increase his satisfaction? • No, it had a negative marginal utility. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility • As long as the marginal utility is positive, the consumer receives additional satisfaction and total utility increases. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility • Additional quantities of a good yield increasingly smaller increments of satisfaction. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Total vs. Marginal Utility Marginal utility Decline in total utility Rising total utility 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 QUANTITY OF POPCORN McGraw-Hill/Irwin MARGINAL UTILITY (utility per box) TOTAL UTILITY (utility per show) Total utility Diminishing marginal utility Negative marginal utility 1 2 3 4 5 6 QUANTITY OF POPCORN © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Utility Theory • An absolute measure of utility is not possible because the perception of satisfaction differs among individuals. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Utility Theory • Diminishing marginal utility is a common experience. • It is a sufficient basis for economic predictions of consumer behavior. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Utility Theory • Why do we waste water even though it is vital to human life? – We consume so much water that additional water offers little (if any) marginal utility. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Price and Quantity • Many forces determine how much we are willing to buy. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Price and Quantity • Economists focus on the relationship between price and quantity rather than trying to explain all the forces at once. – This is the ceteris paribus assumption. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Demand • The concepts of marginal utility and ceteris paribus explain the downward slope of the demand curve. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Demand • With given income, taste, expectations, and prices of other goods and services, people are willing to buy additional quantities of a good only if its price falls. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Demand • The higher the marginal utility, the more you are willing to pay. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Demand • Diminishing marginal utility explains why price must decrease in order for you to continue to buy a good or service. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Law of Demand • According to the law of demand, the quantity of a good demanded in a given time period increases as its price falls, ceteris paribus. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Demand Schedule Price 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 Quantity Demanded 1 2 4 6 9 Price 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 Quantity Demanded 12 16 20 25 30 0.05 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Demand Curve • The quantities of a good a consumer is willing and able to buy at alternative prices in a given time period, ceteris paribus. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. PRICE (per ounce) Demand Curve $0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin A B As marginal utility declines, so does the willingness to pay C D E F G H I J 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 QUANTITY DEMANDED (ounces per show) © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Price Elasticity • The response of consumers to a change in price is measured by the price elasticity of demand. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Price Elasticity • The price elasticity of demand is the percentage change in quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price. percentage change in quantity demanded Price elasticity (E) = percentage change in price McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Price Elasticity • The price of popcorn goes up 20% and the quantity demanded goes down 10%. • The elasticity is: percentage change in quantity demanded –10% (E) = = = – 0.5 percentage change 20% in price McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Elastic vs. Inelastic Demand • Demand can be elastic, inelastic, or unitary elastic. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Elastic Demand • Demand is elastic if the absolute value of E is greater than 1. • Consumer response is large relative to change in price. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Inelastic Demand • Demand is inelastic if the absolute value of E is less than 1. • Consumers are not very responsive to price changes. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Unitary Elastic Demand • Demand is unitary elastic if the absolute value of E equals 1. • The percentage change in quantity demanded is equal to the percentage change in price. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Elasticity Estimates Elastic Unitary Inelastic Estimate Estimate Estimate Airline travel 2.4 Private 1.1 Cigarettes 0.4 (long run) education Fresh fish 2.2 Radios and 1.2 Coffee 0.3 television New cars 1.2-1.5 Shoes 0.9 Gasoline 0.2 (short run) (short run) McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Elasticity Estimates • Products that have elastic demands are airline travel, fresh fish and new cars. • Products that have inelastic demand are cigarettes, gasoline and coffee. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Price Elasticity and Total Revenue • Price elasticity explains why producers cannot charge the highest possible price. • Higher prices may actually lower total sales revenue. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Price Elasticity and Total Revenue • Total revenue — the price of a product multiplied by the quantity sold in a given time period. Total revenue = price X quantity sold McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Elasticity and Total Revenue Price $0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 Quantity Total Demanded Revenue 1 $0.50 2 0.90 4 1.60 6 2.10 8 2.40 Price $0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 Quantity Total Demanded Revenue 12 $3.00 16 3.20 20 3.00 25 2.50 30 1.50 1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. PRICE (per ounce) Elasticity and Total Revenue $0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin F Price cuts increase total revenue if E>1. Price cuts decrease total revenue if E<1. G H Total revenue Total revenue = $3.00 Total = revenue $3.00 = $3.20 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 QUANTITY DEMANDED (ounces per show) © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Elasticity and Total Revenue • Price cuts reduce total revenue if demand is price inelastic. • Price cuts increase total revenue if demand is price elastic. • Price cuts do not change total revenue if demand is unitary elastic. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Determinants of Elasticity • Differences in price elasticity are explained by several factors: – Necessities vs. luxuries – Availability of substitutes – Relative price McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Necessities vs. Luxuries • Some goods are so critical to our everyday life that we regard them as necessities. • Demand for necessities is relatively inelastic. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Necessities vs. Luxuries • A luxury good is something we’d like to have but aren’t likely to buy unless our income jumps or the price declines sharply. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Availability of Substitutes • The greater the availability of substitutes, the higher the price elasticity of demand. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Relative Price • Elasticity increases as the price of the product increases relative to the consumer’s income. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Caveat Emptor: The Role of Advertising • Advertising campaigns are often designed to exploit our senses and lack of knowledge. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Are Wants Created? • Advertising is not the only reason consumption has increased. • Personality and social interaction dynamics have changed how much we consume. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Are Wants Created? • A successful advertising campaign is one that shifts the demand curve to the right. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. PRICE (dollars per unit) The Impact of Advertising on a Demand Curve Demand curve after advertising Demand curve before advertising 0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin QUANTITY DEMANDED (units per time period) © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Consumer Demand End of Chapter 4 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.