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1/4 Chapter 31 Key Concepts – Economic Growth Objectives of the chapter Measurements of growth Limitations of growth Business cycle • • • xx xx xx i. Define: xx ii. Describe/outline: xx iii. Explain/distinguish/draw: xx iv. Evaluate/discuss xx i. Define: xx ii. Describe/outline: xx iii. Explain/distinguish/draw: xx iv. Evaluate/discuss: xx i. Define: xx ii. Describe/outline: xx iii. Explain/distinguish/draw: xx iv. Evaluate/discuss: xx What is Economic Growth? (∆GDPr/t) National income will rise over a period of time. National income is… The total value of all incomes in the economy (wages, profits, dividends, interest, incomes, etc) o Y (on “Q” axis in AS-AD model) The value of total output/production in the economy (we use value-added since it’s impossible to estimate who the final end-user is! This is in fact AS! ) o AS in AS-AD model The value of total spending in the economy (this is the most common method and is in fact AD: C + I + G + X – M) o AD in AS-AD model Thus: Y = O = E National income is measured by GDP (gross domestic product), which measures the total value of all goods and services produced over a period of time. Growth Rate Growth rate is the amount by which GDP increases per year. Usually it rises because over a period of time, growth works like compound interest rates. GDP Limitations Inflation – growth rates are distorted by an increase of general price levels. Growth = Inflation Rate (no growth) Growth > Inflation Rate (growth) Growth < Inflation Rate (negative) *The use of real GDP will overcome this problem, which involved adjusting GDP for inflation. (GDPnom at tn/Pindex at tn) x 100 2/4 Population Changes – for e.g., if both GDP and population rise, it does not mean that people are better off. *The use of GDP per capita will overcome this problem. Statistical Errors – the government will take in numerous amounts of information and some can be entered inaccurately or even excluded. Values of Home Produced Goods – some G and S aren’t traded therefore it is not recorded in the economic activity. (Growing their own produce, setting up their own shops, DIY) Hidden Economy – unrecorded paid work. This also includes the black market and informal economy. GDP is an average! Thus a rise in GDP does not automatically mean living standards have improved for everyone. Other factors are leisure time, share of income, results of population, quality of G and S. The Economic Cycle 1. Boom (peak of the cycle) GDP is growing fast Expansion of existing firms, entering of new ones Demands will increase, therefore jobs will be created Wages and profits will both rise However… prices might rise too (potential to inflation) 2. Downturn Still growing but at a slower rate Demand for G and S will be flatter Unemployment starts to rise Wage increases slow down Many firms stop expanding and some will leave the market Prices rise more slowly and profits may fall 3. Depression (bottom of economic cycle) Associated with hardship 3/4 Demand falls for many G and S – especially non essentials Sharp rise in unemployment and bankruptcies Fall in prices Recession is a less severe version of depression 4. Recovery GDP starts to rise again, upswing of the economy Confidence is regained and there is an increase in economic activity Demand and price rise, unemployment falls Benefits of Economic Growth Increased incomes – people will have greater incomes on average. They will be able to purchase more G and S, things with better quality, improved housing. More leisure time – less working time is needed when the economic has grown. Greater life expectancies – healthier diets, medication and medical technology are more accessible therefore people can live longer. Better public services – economic growth enables the government to collect more tax revenue, which will be spent to services such as health care, education, transportation and the environment. All these will improve standard of living. Problems of Economic Growth Regional differences – some areas will benefit more than others, and this will lead to discontent. Environmental damage – the more the economy grows, more G and S (such as transportation) will be purchased. Some of them might damage the environment by contributing greenhouse gases, which cause global warming. Unsustainable growth – non-renewable resources such as oil, gas, gold and iron core will be used up. As a result future generations will not have fewer resources. Inflation – this is a result of the economy growing too rapidly. Inflation can be defined as a rise in general price rise which lowers purchasing powers or value of money, resulting a lower living standard. Christie Hartono 11J