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New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC L. Mulukova, Е. Murzacheva, J. Filatova Moscow 2009 Small business financing: Russia and countries of Central and Eastern Europe, 2006 Ekaterina Murzacheva Moscow 2009 Financial strategy of nascent entrepreneurs Nascent entrepreneur Numerical characteristics, sources, motives, experience, perception GEM database and methodology opportunities Descriptive analysis Financial structure Start-up/Own capital Payback amount Payback time 3 Factor analysis Self-financing Informal capital Formal capital Expected returns New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC The structure of financial sources: upper bound, 5% significance level Percentage of early entrepreneurs: demand Percentage of informal investors: supply Self-fin. 50% 40% Gov. pr. Family 30% 20% 10% Friend Family 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Coll. 0% Banks Coll. Bus. Ang. 4 Friend Strang. New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Factors influencing the early entrepreneurs’ choice of funding structure Hypothesis 1 Scale effect Financial expansion of the early business depends on both internal motivation and financing opportunities Hypothesis 2 Efficiency effect Early entrepreneurs‘ expectations about future returns are influenced by internal perception and financing opportunities Hypothesis 3 Global effect 5 The prevalence of informal investments in the economy characterizes the socio-economic development of a nation New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Empirical evidence (2006) Scale effect: Efficiency effect: Ordinal scale used: Test quality: Scale effect Efficiency effect 6 the amount of start-up capital is a dependent variable the expected returns on the invested capital is a dependent variable contingency Kendall criterion the level of significance is in brackets •Russia •Hungary •Slovenia •Germany •Latvia •Czech Republic New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Informal investors among adult population, % The influence of GDP per capita on the supply of informal funds in countries-GEM participants (2006) 25% Y=0,077-3,5328E-06X+ 5,6873E-11X2 20% R2=0,247 15% 10% 5% 0% 0 10000 GDP per Sample distribution 7 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 capita (real prices, $) Adjusted regression Estimated regression New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Summary • Low expected returns are often combined with prevalence of informal financial sources • Type of prevailing financial source determines the amount of start-up capital attracted: scale effect • Expected returns are connected with the self-assessment of own abilities But: the results differ among various countries: • In case of countries with weak formal financial system informal investments substitute unavailable and/or unstable formal sources (India, China, Russia, Slovenia) • In case of countries with sound formal financial system the rate of informal supply is low (Germany, UK, Japan) • GDP higher than average is combined with a higher role of informal funding (Iceland, USA, Ireland, Norway) – not a loss of trust in formal credit institutions but high importance of social networks enables access to start-up funding in richer societies 8 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Further prospective of the research What is the sense behind excessive informal financing? 1. 2. 3. 4. Informal support absorbs non-demanded business risk in the economy The lack of the quality control and as a result credit risk concentration Evaluation: Basel Committee on banking Supervision – IRB advanced methodology Results: maximum share of the GDP needed to cover risks caused by entrepreneurial activity in order to make the economy more sustainable to systematic fluctuations % of GDP (USD, PPP) 2.50% 9 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC The Phenomenon of Parallel Entrepreneurship in Russia, CEE and BRIC Julia Filatova Moscow 2009 Definitions Two types of entrepreneurs mentioned in the literature: Serial entrepreneurs - those who go through the successive stages of starting, developing, and closing a venture, and then move on to float a new venture. Parallel (portfolio) entrepreneurs – those /managing more than one company at any one time. owing Parallel entrepreneurship characteristics: • Executive decisions decentralization; • Risk diversification; • Umbrella structure. 11 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Level of Parallel Entrepreneurship: GEM Data, 2006 60% Level of parallel entrepreneurship in Russia – 22%. Peru 50% Indonesia Level of parallel entrepreneurs Philippines China 40% Colombia Jamaica Thailand Finland Australia Malaysia US Ireland Netherlands Brazil Japan Iceland Norway Turkey Croatia Greece Chile Germany Spain 30% South Africa Argentina Canada Slovenia 20% Czech Republic Belgium Sweden Italy Mexico United Arab Emirates France 10% Denmark Hungary Latvia Uruguay India Russia United Kingdom Singapore 0% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Countries 12 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Comparison of parallel entrepreneurs with novice entrepreneurs Differences between parallel entrepreneurs and novice entrepreneurs Higher share of external financial sources Older Better educated Psychologic motivation > economic Higher level of human capital PE: Higher level of social capital Higher estimation of social environment 13 Higher level of adaptation Higher estimation of entrepreneurial environment Higher level of selfesteem New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Business strategies of parallel entrepreneurs RUSSIA •Business activities: Wholesale and retail trade (40%), Personal/consumer service activities (18%), Transport and communications (13%). •Average number of co-owners: 3 persons. •Average number of employees: 5 workers. •Estimated business growth: 1,8 times. •Non-innovation business orientation. •Low export potential. •Financial recourses shortage •High integration into entrepreneurial networks. 14 INDIA •Business activities: Retail trade, hotels & restaurants (51%), Agriculture, hunting, fishing (11%), Manufacturing (9%). Average number of co-owners: 1 person. •Average number of employees: 13 workers. •Estimated business growth: 1,9 times. •Rather innovation business orientation. •Rather low export potential. •Financial recourses shortage •High integration into entrepreneurial networks. BRAZIL •Business activities: Retail trade, hotels & restaurants (21%) Wholesale trade (21%), Manufacturing (19%). Average number of co-owners: 1 person. •Average number of employees: 2 workers. •Estimated business growth: 2,6 times. •Non-innovation business orientation. •Low export potential. •No financial recourses shortage. •Rather low integration into entrepreneurial networks. CHINA •Business activities: Retail trade, hotels & restaurants (43%), Manufacturing (19%), Personal/consumer service activities (13%). Average number of co-owners: 3 persons. •Average number of employees: 18 workers. •Estimated business growth: 4,5 times. •Non-innovation business orientation. •Rather low export potential. •No financial recourses shortage. •High integration into entrepreneurial networks. New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Business strategies of parallel entrepreneurs Network business forming strategies: Existing business transfer to a new legal platform (50%) Businesses are coincide by the type of business activity BUT there are distinctions at the particular sphere (9%) Necessity based strategy: administrative barriers and business instability overcoming New business supplement with the existing one (27%) Strategy of fastening in the market niche Businesses are not connected with each other (14%) Strategy of maximum risk diversification OR strategy of personal preferences realization 15 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Reasons for parallel entrepreneurship Possible reasons for parallel entrepreneurship in Russia: Heterogeneous structure of parallel entrepreneurs Opportunity based factors: Necessity based factors: Personal features - strongly expressed «entrepreneurial spirit», Administrative barriers pressure, Resource security: sufficient amount of social and human capitals. Business and personal risks diversification strategy in conditions of environmental instability. Possible reasons for parallel entrepreneurship in other countries: Financial benefits (to gain benefits from the start-up status), Tax minimizing strategy, Growth-oriented behavior (using of social and economic capital and networks of already existing business to establish a new venture). Tacit growth strategy in the situation of high risks of vertical growth (pressure of bigger firms dominating the market, high taxes, etc.). 16 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Summary The parallel entrepreneurs identified during the APS 2006-2008 in Russia are mainly self-employees and owners of micro-business. Entrepreneurial group with high growth potential from the point of social and human capitals. BUT Entrepreneurial group with low growth potential from the point of structure of financing sources and innovation orientation. 17 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Team entrepreneurship in Russia, Eastern Europe and BRIC: some evidences of GEM 2006-2008 Linara Mulukova 2nd Moscow year of MSc Applied Methods of Social Analysis of Markets Programme 2009 Team entrepreneurship Team entrepreneurship - conducting or starting a business jointly with partners, sharing ownership with them. Team entrepreneurship is one of the means of risk diversification and fundraising, raising capital of different forms (economic, social, human, etc.). Possible reasons for running business collectively: - entry barriers - absence of support infrastructure - highly developed social networks - cultural and historical prerequisites 19 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Team entrepreneurship in Russia Team entrepreneurship rate, 2006-2008 57% 43% Team Individual Team entrepreneurs vs individual ones: - younger (means - 33 vs 37, medians – 31 vs 38) - opportunity-based (38% vs 1% - opportunity (have job) and 9% vs 45% - necessity (+opportunity)) - more favourably assess regional conditions for business start-up (44% vs 31%) - less working full time (50% vs 73%), more retired and students - more nascent entrepreneurs (65% vs 28%) - less new and established owners (23% and 19% respectively vs 44% and 34%) 20 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Dynamics of team entrepreneurship in Russia 100% 90% 80% 70% 63,7% 55,1% 60% 48,2% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2006 21 2007 2008 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Team entrepreneurship in Russia, EE and BRIC countries Eastern Europe Top-5 countries: Iceland (70%) United Arab Emirates (68%) France (66%) Russia (64%) Belgium (60%) 70% 63,7% 57,1% 60% 52,9% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Russia Czech Republic Hungary BRIC Bottom-6 countries: Jamaica (26%) Brazil (27%) Indonesia (30%) Philippines (32%) Japan (34%) Thailand (35%) 70% 63,7% 60% 50% 37,2% 40% 26,6% 30% 20% 10% 0% Russia 22 59,0% India China Brazil New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Team entrepreneurship in Russia and EE and BRIC countries Russia less think that “successful new business leads to high level of status and respect”; more nascent entrepreneurs, less owners of functioning business Eastern Europe Czech Republic – more business angels; more think that “there are lots of good opportunities for starting a business”; more think that “starting a new business is a good career choice”; less work full time, more retired and students; more nascent, less established entrepreneurs Hungary – more have required knowledge and skills; more nascent, less established 23 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Team entrepreneurship in Russia and EE and BRIC countries Russia less think that “successful new business leads to high level of status and respect”; more nascent entrepreneurs, less owners of functioning business BRIC India – more female; more have negative business experience; less have required skills; less work full time, more homemakers; lower income; lower level of education; more not working; more nascent entrepreneurs, less owners of functioning business China – less have negative business experience; less have required skills; less think that “people prefer uniform living standard’; less think that “starting a new business is a good career choice”; less work full time, more work part time or homemakers; higher income; higher level of education; more not working; more nascent, less established entrepreneurs Brazil – more know other entrepreneurs; more think that “there are lots of good opportunities for starting a business”, that “people prefer uniform living standard”; higher income; higher level of education; more nascent, less established entrepreneurs 24 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Team entrepreneurship in Russia and EE and BRIC countries Russia 2006: Nascent entrepreneur “+” 66,1% matches Russia 2006-2008: 2007, 2008 “-” Age “-” Owner of a business (new or established) “-” 71,2% matches Eastern Europe 2006: 65,8% matches Age “-” Agrees that “Starting new business is a good career choice” “+” Owner of a business (new or established) “-” 25 New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Team entrepreneurship in Russia and EE and BRIC countries BRIC with Russia 2006: 75,8% matches Brazil, China, India “-” Age “-” Has knowledge and skills to do a start-up “-” Agrees that “People prefer uniform living standard” “+” Higher levels of education “+” BRIC without Russia 2006: Age “-” Expects to do a start-up in 3 years “+” Shut down business in past 12 months “-” Has knowledge and skills to do a start-up “-” Higher levels of education “+” 26 76,3% matches New Results in Early Entrepreneurship study in Russia, CEE and BRIC Thank you for your kind attention!