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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT & STATE FINAL DEMAND, JUNE QUARTER 2016 Summary CHART 1: GDP GROWTH (REAL, TREND) 6 In the June quarter 2016: Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.7% and was 3.1% higher than a year earlier in real trend terms. South Australian State Final Demand (SFD) rose 0.3% and was 1.3% higher than a year earlier in real trend terms. In seasonally adjusted terms, South Australian SFD rose by 0.6% in the quarter. Through the year growth 4 Real GDP growth (trend, %) Australian Real Gross Domestic Income, which indicates the purchasing power of total incomes generated by Australian production, increased by 0.6% in trend terms. 2 0 Quarterly Growth Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-16 Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-15 Further Analysis Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 Jun-07 Jun-06 -2 Quarter Trend data Australia’s non-farm GDP rose by 0.8% in the June quarter to be 3.3% higher than a year ago (see Chart 2). CHART 2: NON-FARM GDP GROWTH (REAL, TREND) 6 Through the year growth Farm GDP fell by 0.5% in the June quarter to be 2.5% lower a year ago. 2 0 Quarterly Growth Quarter Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 -2 Jun-07 Nationally, household consumption spending rose by 0.6% in the June quarter, government consumption rose by 1.2%, dwelling investment rose 1.9%, public investment rose by 4.4% but new business investment fell by 1.7%. Jun-06 Australian Domestic Final Demand (DFD) rose by 0.5% in the June quarter 2016 to be 1.5% higher than a year ago (see Chart 3). Real Non-Farm GDP growth (trend, %) 4 CHART 3: DFD GROWTH (REAL, TREND) CHART 4: SOUTH AUSTRALIAN SFD GROWTH (REAL, TREND) 8 6 Through the year growth Through the year growth 6 Real SFD growth (trend, %) Real DFD growth (trend, %) 4 4 2 2 0 0 Quarterly Growth Quarterly Growth -2 Quarter Among the states, SFD rose in the June quarter in New South Wales (up 1.2%), Victoria (up 0.8%), South Australia, Queensland and Tasmania (all up 0.3%) but fell in Western Australia (down 1.7%). Table 1: State Final Demand – Real, trend Jun qtr 16 vs Mar qtr 16 Jun qtr 16 vs Jun qtr 15 (% change) (% change) NSW 1.2 4.5 VIC 0.8 3.5 QLD 0.3 -0.1 SA 0.3 1.3 WA -1.7 -6.2 TAS 0.3 1.6 AUS (DFD) 0.5 1.5 Jun-16 Jun-15 Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Quarter South Australian State Final Demand (SFD) rose by 0.3% during the June quarter 2016—see Chart 4. In South Australia, during the June quarter, spending growth was recorded in household consumption (up 0.7%), public sector consumption (up 1.0%), dwelling investment (up 0.7%) and public sector capital investment (up 7.9%). A decline in spending was recorded in new private business investment (down 4.7%). Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 Jun-07 Jun-06 Jun-16 Jun-15 Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 Jun-07 Jun-06 -2 Table 2: Expenditure Components of SFD/DFD and GDP – Real, Trend 0.7 0.6 2.7 2.9 Household Consumption Government Consumption 1.0 New Business Investment -4.7 -1.7 -14.0 -9.6 Dwelling Investment 0.7 1.9 -0.4 8.1 Ownership Transfer Costs 4.1 -0.8 3.5 -3.1 Public Investment 7.9 4.4 25.5 7.3 SFD/ DFD 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.5 Exports* np 1.3 np 6.9 Imports* np 0.4 np -1.0 GDP np 0.7 np 3.1 1.2 4.1 4.1 *National data is for goods and services. State data is no longer published in this release. 7 September 2016 Next release of ABS Cat No 5206.0 is 7 December 2016 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 SFD/ DFD AUS Public Investment SA AUSTRALIA Ownership transfer costs AUS Dwelling Investment SA New Business Investment (% change) SOUTH AUSTRALIA 0.6 Government Consumption (% change) 0.8 Household consumption Jun qtr 16 vs Jun qtr 15 Real percentage point contribution to SFD/ DFD growth Jun qtr 16 vs Mar qtr 16 CHART 5: QUARTERLY PERCENTAGE POINT CONTRIBUTIONS TO SFD/ DFD GROWTH (REAL, TREND) Component Explanatory Notes Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total market value of goods and services produced in Australia within a given period. The state by state breakdown of this figure is Gross State Product (GSP), however estimates of GSP growth are only published annually. The main quarterly measure of state economic activity is State Final Demand (SFD), which is an estimate of the level of spending in the local economy by private and public sectors. Spending is reported on the consumption of goods and services, and capital investment. Spending (SFD) is not the same as production (GDP). SFD for example, includes spending by households and businesses on imports, which are not produced (and do not create jobs) in South Australia. SFD does not include South Australia’s exports, which do get produced and create jobs in the State. Real Gross Domestic Income measures the purchasing power of the production (GDP) occurring in Australia. It takes into account the impacts of changes in Australia’s terms of trade. GDP only measures the volume of goods and services produced, mined and farmed in Australia. If prices are rising for our exports this will lift our incomes. Real GDP does not measure this, but real GDI does.