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Today we are covering from the specification: Investigating Populations - Key Terms Habitat Abundance Random sampling Systematic sampling Quadrat Transect Frequency Percentage cover Mark-release-recapture Studying Habitats • When studying a habitat, ecologists will first estimate the populations of the species living there. • The abundance of each species can never be known exactly, but sampling can give reasonably accurate estimates. Why would it be wrong to try to count every individual of a population? • Small samples are studied at random locations, and then scaled up to fit the entire habitat. • There are of course, a range of ecological techniques at an ecologist’s disposal. Definitions Write a definition for the terms: - Habitat - Abundance - Quantitative data - Qualitative data Introducing Sampling Techniques The approach to sampling can be in one of two ways: 1. Random 2. Systematic Random Sampling: This is usually employed when trying to eliminate bias. Two numbered axis can be laid out over the sample area. Generation of random numbers provides co-ordinates for areas to study. Systematic Sampling: A similar grid is laid over the entire area, but samples are taken at regular intervals. Time-consuming... but more reliable? How do we go about sampling in the field? Random walking One random sampling technique is random walking. This involves choosing a random number between 0 and 360 to act as a compass bearing, then choosing another random number to determine how many paces to walk before reaching the sample point. start sample point 6 of 39 © Boardworks Ltd 2008 Quadrats • A quadrat is just a fancy square used by biologists/ecologists. • There are two types of quadrat: Frame Quadrat Point Quadrat How would you use each of these in the field? What data could you collect? Random sampling and quadrats 8 of 39 © Boardworks Ltd 2008 More About Quadratting Three things to consider when using quadrats: 1. The size of the quadrat: Depends on the size of species being investigated, or what kind of groups or colonies the species live in. 2. The number of samples being taken in the area: The more samples you take in the habitat, the more reliable the results will be - depends if time is an issue. 3. The position of each quadrat: Producing unbiased results within a small time-frame is the best idea. Random sampling would work well. A problem that arises during quadrat sampling is the clumping of plants. To get around this... We measure the ‘mean density’ or ‘percentage cover’ instead. How could you use a quadrat to estimate the population of daisies in this field? Random Sampling • Use 2 tape measures at right angles along adjacent sides of the field. • Use a random number generator (e.g. on your calculator) to generate pairs of numbers. • Use these pairs as coordinates to locate a random point on the field. • Place the quadrat and count the number of daisies within. • Repeat so you have at least 10 results. • Scale up to find the mean population density – how would you do this? Mean Density • You count all the individuals of a single species in a quadrat. Do this for several quadrats (as painstaking as it may be). • The quadrat must be of a known size. • Plug the numbers into the following formula: Estimated mean density = Total number of individuals counted Number of quadrats x Area of quadrat Let’s have a go at some fieldwork! What to do with your results We use statistical tests to see if the results are significant. • Χ2 (Chi-squared) – used to test whether there is a significant difference between your observed results and some theoretical expected data. • Spearman’s rank – used to test for correlation between sets of data from the same sample. • Standard error and 95% confidence limits – used to test for differences between mean values. Standard Error and 95% Confidence Limits • Is there a significant difference between the mean population densities in the two areas we tested? You’ll get one of these in the EMPA. Statistics and EMPAs - State null hypothesis - Which test will you use? - Why? - Calculate test statistic - Interpret the test statistic in relation to your null hypothesis. Use the words probability and chance in your answer. Null hypothesis Results of an experiment could be due to random chance. Only way to support your hypothesis is to reject a null hypothesis. Null hypothesis states there is no link/correlation/difference between results. → Depends on statistical test used. Probabilities • We normally work at the 5% probability level (P=0.05). • To reject the null hypothesis (and accept your own hypothesis), you must be sure that there is ≤5% probability that the results are due to chance. Why use SE? Standard Error with 95% Confidence Limits What can this test tell you? If there is a statistically significant difference between two (or more) means. What is the null hypothesis? There is no difference between the mean ………… (for ………… and ………...). Worked example A student investigated the variation in the length of mussel shells on two different locations on a rocky shore. The student measured the shell length of 10 mussels at each location. What is the null hypothesis? There is no statistically significant difference between the mean lengths of the two samples of mussels. If the 95% confidence limit around the means do not overlap, then you can reject the null hypothesis. e Calculating SE and 95% CL 1. State null hypothesis 2. Calculate mean and standard deviation 3. Calculate SE and 95% confidence limits: Step 2: Calculate mean and SD for both groups Group 1: SD = (x – x)2 n–1 = 1296 = 12 10 – 1 Group 2: SD = (x – x)2 n–1 = Group 1 mean = 58mm 368 10 – 1 = 6.4 Group 2 mean = 31mm Step 3: Calculate the SE for both groups Group 1: SE = SD = n 12 10 = 3.8 Group 2: SE = SD n = 6.4 10 = 2.0 Step 3: Calculate the 95% confidence limits Mean ± 2 x SE Group 1: Upper limit = 58 + (2 x 3.8) = 66 Lower limit = 58 – (2 x 3.8) = 50 Group 2: Upper limit = 31 + (2 x 2.0) = 35 Lower limit = 31 – (2 x 2.0) = 27 Calculating SE and 95% CL 4. Compare 95% confidence limits (you may wish to use a graph). If the confidence limits overlap: If the confidence limits do not overlap: - the means are not significantly different - the means are significantly different - accept null hypothesis - reject null hypothesis - >5% probability the differences in means are due to chance. - ≤5% probability the differences in means are due to chance. Step 4: Plot means and confidence limits Mean ± 2 x SE Mean shell length/ mm Data set The 95% confidence limits do not overlap, therefore there is a significant difference between the two means. We reject the null hypothesis as there is equal to or less than a 5% probability that the differences in means are due to chance. Now try the examples on the sheet. Remember: 1. State your null hypothesis. 2. Calculate the mean and standard deviation. 3. Calculate the standard error. 4. Calculate the 95% confidence limits. 5. Check to see whether the confidence limits overlap or not. 6. Write a conclusion, stating: 1. Whether or not the confidence limits overlap 2. Whether you accept or reject the null hypothesis 3. What the probability is that the differences between means occurred by chance. Now: • Use the data you collected (you can also collect data from other groups to provide a more reliable mean) to work out whether or not there is a significant difference in the population density for the two areas. Transects • Transect sampling is more of a systematic technique, but can be adapted to a random technique if required. Line transects A line transect is useful for examining the effect of a change in habitat on biodiversity; for example, the effect of a stream running through a field or wood. A line is drawn through the area to be examined. Any species touching the line at fixed intervals (e.g. 1 m) is recorded. 33 of 39 © Boardworks Ltd 2008 Line transect data This graph shows the presence of each species along the line of the sample. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 distance along transect (m) 7 A line transect does not reflect the density of each species along the line, so is therefore only useful as a very basic analytical tool. 34 of 39 © Boardworks Ltd 2008 Belt transects A belt transect is similar to a line transect, but provides more detailed data. Rather than simply recording the type of species touching the line, quadrats are taken at regular intervals along the line to identify the number/density of the species along the belt. 35 of 39 © Boardworks Ltd 2008 Belt transect data The graph for a belt transect shows the density of the species present in the area, rather than just presence/absence. no. individuals 120 100 grass moss reed dandelion clover 80 60 40 20 0 36 of 39 1 2 3 4 5 quadrat no. 6 7 © Boardworks Ltd 2008 Transects • Use a tape measure or transect line. • Allow us to see changes as you move across an area, e.g. does the population density of bluebells change as you move further into the woods? • Line transect/belt transect? • With/without quadrats? • Placed randomly Depends upon what you’re investigating! What about animals? 1. 2. 3. 4. What we’ve seen up until now is fine for sampling plant populations, but studying animals and insects is trickier. A set of animals are caught and then marked in some way. They’re then released back into the community. After a specified length of time, the community is revisited and a number of individuals are caught again. The number of marked individuals is counted. The population size is calculated: Studying animal populations 39 of 37 © Boardworks Ltd 2009 Field study 40 of 37 © Boardworks Ltd 2009 Common sampling techniques 41 of 37 © Boardworks Ltd 2009 Learning check – use the book to help you answer the following questions 1. What is the difference between random and systematic sampling? 2. What types of animal can be sampled using a frame quadrat? 20 min 3. In the context of quadrat sampling, what is meant by species frequency? 4. If there are 2100 daisies, evenly distributed in a 10 m by 10 m area, what would you expect the species density of the daisies to be? 5. What is meant by percentage cover? 6. If you obtained three ‘hits’ with a needle on a particular species of plant, while using a tenneedle point quadrat, what percentage cover would you record for that plant species? 7. In what kind of environment would you collect samples along a transect line? 8. What precaution must be taken when marking mobile animals as part of the mark–release– recapture technique? 9. When using the mark–release–recapture technique, why must a reasonable length of time be left between release and recapture? 10. If 20 rabbits are marked and released and then, of 15 recaptured a week later, 5 are found to be marked, what would you estimate the size of the rabbit population to be in the area sampled? Learning check 1. What is the difference between random and systematic sampling? In random sampling, sampling points are chosen randomly. In systematic sampling, sample points are taken at regular intervals or in some other fixed pattern. 2. What types of animal can be sampled using a frame quadrat? Sessile, or non-moving, animals and sedentary, or slow-moving, animals. 3. In the context of quadrat sampling, what is meant by species frequency? The number of quadrats in which a particular species is found. 4. If there are 2100 daisies, evenly distributed in a 10 m by 10 m area, what would you expect the species density of the daisies to be? 21 per m2. 5. What is meant by percentage cover? The proportion of an area covered by a plant or sessile or sedentary animal. Learning check 6. If you obtained three ‘hits’ with a needle on a particular species of plant, while using a ten-needle point quadrat, what percentage cover would you record for that plant species? 30% 7. In what kind of environment would you collect samples along a transect line? One in which there is a transition between communities along an environmental gradient, e.g. a beach. 8. What precaution must be taken when marking mobile animals as part of the mark– release–recapture technique? The marking must not affect the animals’ mobility or survival chance. 9. When using the mark–release–recapture technique, why must a reasonable length of time be left between release and recapture? To allow marked animals to mix in with the unmarked population. 10. If 20 rabbits are marked and released and then, of 15 recaptured a week later, 5 are found to be marked, what would you estimate the size of the rabbit population to be in the area sampled? 60 Key words & definitions Key word Definition Habitat The place where an organism normally lives, which is characterised by physical conditions and the species of other organisms present. Random sampling Random sampling is used to avoid any bias in collecting data. Avoiding bias ensures that the data obtained is valid. Systematic sampling Samples are taken at regular intervals within a set sampling area. Timeconsuming... But more reliable? Abundance Counting the number of individuals of a species in a given space. Frequency Frequency is the likelihood of a particular species occurring in a quadrat. It gives a quick idea of the species present and their general distribution within an area. However it does not provide information on the density and detailed distribution of species. Percentage cover Is an estimate of the area within a quadrat that a particular plant species covers. Advantage – data be collected rapidly & individual plants do not need be counted Disadvantage – less useful organisms occur in several overlapping layers. Mark-releaserecapture Known number animals caught, marked and released. Some time later given number of individuals are collected randomly and mark recorded.