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Stats Day 22 More on Z-Scores SILENT DO NOW DO NOW: ACT Half Sheet HW due TOMORROW: Ch. 6 #17-19, 29, 33, 34 Objective • • SWBAT calculate likelihood/probability using a z-score chart SWBAT calculate a missing value given its likelihood/percentile and the normal distribution (mean, sd) Practice 68-95-99.7 • On the Boards! Example 2 (not on 68-95-99.7) • What if it is not EXACTLY 0, ±1, ±2, or ±3 standard deviations away from mean, how do we calculate probability? This is where we use the • STANDARD NORMAL MODEL • The Normal Distribution Notice how each line represents the number of standard deviations away from the mean..or the… Z-SCORE!!! Standard Deviation MEAN The Standard Normal Curve • The Distribution of Z-SCORES! THERE ARE NO UNITS! It’s the same for every set of data, no matter what you are talking about! Z-score as a shift and rescale of distribution • • • • When we make a z score, we take each data point and subtract a number (the mean) What would happen to the graph y=x if we subtracted 1 from each x value y=(x-1)? What changes?? We shift everything over (mean becomes 0) We subtract EVERY VALUE by that number What does not change?? SPREAD: Standard Deviation, Range, IQR Shift and Rescale • When we make a z score, we also take each data point and divide by a number (the standard deviation) CHANGING OUR SCALE TO STANDARD DEVIATION The Standard Normal Curve • The Distribution of Z-SCORES! THERE ARE NO UNITS! It’s the same for every set of data, no matter what you are talking about! YAY! How can this help us? • • N(500,100) Suppose you earned a 600 on one part of the SAT. What percentile are you? 1. Find Z score 2. What percent is to the LEFT?? We also have a chart! Since there are no units, we can use it for everything! Yesterday… • Focused on Normal Distribution, but saw that we could shift the normal distribution to show a distribution of zscores: the Standard Normal Curve • Today… • We will use z-scores the Standard Normal Curve Chart to determine percent and probability If it’s not exactly ±1, ±2, or ±3 SDs from the mean • If your z-score is not exactly ±1, ±2, or ±3, • The chart can tell you the percent! • • N(500,100) Suppose you earned a 680 on one part of the SAT. What percentile are you? 1. Find Z score 2. What percent is to the LEFT?? THE CHART ONLY GIVES YOU WHAT IS ON THE LEFT! • • N(500,100) Suppose you earned a 720 on one part of the SAT. What percent of test takers did better than you? 1. Find Z score 2. What percent is to the RIGHT?? (Draw a picture) The percent the chart will give you is the percent to the left… To get the right, subtract from 100! Z-SCORE CHART 1. 2. 3. 4. Find your z-score Draw a picture- vertical line at zscore and shade Look up z-score to tell you percent to the LEFT of your score (less than your score) Note: this is the percentile Determine if you want that percent (less than) or 100-[that percent] (more than) Z-Score • 1. What is the likelihood that you scored below an 18on this last ACT given N(18.8, 3.7)? • 2. That you scored above a 20? • 3. That you scored above a 22.5? Find the following in pairs 1) z < 2.88 • 2) z<-0.11 • 3) z > 0.24 • 4) -1.31 < z • 5) Drink prices at a coffee shop are distributed normally N(3.25, 1.00). What is the probability that your drink will cost more than $5? • Challenge • • Life span is distributed normally N(71, 14). What is the probability that you will live to at least 75 but no older than 90? Hint: Draw a Picture! • Find the percentages for each and subtract the larger from the smaller! Finding the Between • Find the percentages for each and subtract the larger from the smaller! Practice again! • What is the chance that a baby weighs between 4.5 oz and 8.5 oz given N(6, 1.7)? Stats Day 23 Final Z-Score Game SILENT DO NOW ON DESK: Chapter 6 #17-19, 29, 33, 34 DO NOW: Check HW with Grading Pen Homework: Bring Book on Monday Due TUESDAY Ch. 6 #31, 32, 36, 38, 41, 43 **Ch 6 Quiz Tuesday Quick Review • • **DRAW PICTURE P3 Class grades are normally distributed with a mean of 83 and a standard deviation of 5.1. What is the probability that a new kid entering my class will… • 1) get below an 80%? • 2) Above a 92%? • 3) Between an 85 and a 95%? • Trashketball! • • • You can use your notes Everyone in your group must have an answer To get the shots, everyone in group raises hands with completed work raised hand and not done? Disqualified from round • After each problem, the winning group will show work Question 1 • What percentile am I if I scored a 25 on the ACT that is normally distributed with N(21, 3.2)? Question 2 • What is the chance that I scored above a 93 on a test that was normally distributed as follows: N(88, 3.6)? Question 3 • What percent of basketball players have less than a .6 shooting percentage at the free-throw line if it is normally distributed N(.71, .09) Question 4 What percent of students score between a 21 and a 26 on the ACT that is normally distributed • N(21, 3.2)? • Question 5 • What percent of M&M packages weigh between 2.4 and 2.6 ozs given N(2.43, 0.4)? Question 6 • What percent chance is there that you will score more than 2 goals in a game given N(2.4, 0.8) Question 7 • Chip bag weights are normally distributed with a mean of 1.8 oz with a SD of .1oz. What is the probability of getting a chip bag that weighs 2 oz or more? Question 8 • Labrador retriever life spans are normally distributed N(11.8, 1.3). What is the probability that your chocolate lab lives between 14 and 15 years? Question 9 • The average room temperature in Pritzker is 70 degrees Fahrenheit with an SD of 5 degrees. What is the probability that your next room will be between 68 and 72 degrees? Exit Ticket Finding scores from percents • Say a school only accepts students in the top 10%(90th percentile). If the ACT is normally distributed N(21, 3.2), what score would you need to get on your ACT? WORK BACKWARDS 1. Draw a picture 2. Determine percent to the left 3. Find z in chart from percent 4. Plug in equation and solve for x Another Example • The organic chemistry class at Boston College, after their first test, suggests to its lowest 15% of students that they should drop the course. If the class has a distribution of N(78, 8.2), what score would you have to be above to stay in the class? Another Example • My friend just had a premature baby that was born in the 30th percentile of baby weights. If newborns have a normally distributed weight modeled by N(7.5lbs, 1.25lbs), how much did my friend’s baby weigh? Stats Day 24 Ch 6 Review SILENT DO NOW DO NOW: ACT Halfsheet Homework: Due TOMORROW Ch. 6 #31, 32, 36, 38, 41, 43 **Ch 6 Quiz TOMORROW Chapter 6 Topics 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Definition and formula of Z-Score Z-Score to compare two different data sets Normal Curve and 68-95-99.7 rule Standard Normal Curve Definition of percentile Z-score to find probability/percentile Less than 2. Greater than 3. Between 1. 7. 8. Given probability/percentile, find x Any relevant notation Sample Study Guide In Class Study Guide and Practice Quiz Stats Day 25 Ch 6 QUIZ Finding z-score on calculator! Unit 1 Group Teach • Each group will re-teach objectives to the class You must teach objectives with key points and at least 2 examples You will have max 10 min to teach • Begin prep with your group NOW! • • Homework • • • • • • Unit 1 Review Packet DUE in 3 DAYS This will be “Schrishuhn Style” You must complete the entire packet. I will assign a problem to students randomly and all problems will be put on the board. When you finish, check with me if it is correct. If you are correct you may do a room walk/visit others to check the rest of your answers and ask questions. (I suggest doing corrections in another color). Remember, this is studying for your test! When you have checked and visited you may sit down and try some extra credit! Stats Day 22 Group Teach SILENT DO NOW ON DESK: Group Teach Notes from Yesterday DO NOW: Spend 10 minutes preparing with partner for Group Teach Group Teach Homework • • • • • • Unit 1 Review Packet DUE in 2 DAYS This will be “Schrishuhn Style” You must complete the entire packet. I will assign a problem to students randomly and all problems will be put on the board. When you finish, check with me if it is correct. If you are correct you may do a room walk/visit others to check the rest of your answers and ask questions. (I suggest doing corrections in another color). Remember, this is studying for your test! When you have checked and visited you may sit down and try some extra credit! Stats Day 23 Group Teach SILENT DO NOW ON DESK: Group Teach Notes from Yesterday DO NOW: Spend 10 minutes preparing with partner for Group Teach Group Teach Homework • Unit 1 Review Packet DUE TOMORROW This will be “Schrishuhn Style” • You must complete the entire packet. • I will assign a problem to students randomly and all problems will be put on the board. • When you finish, check with me if it is correct. If you are correct you may do a room walk/visit others to check the rest of your answers and ask questions. (I suggest doing corrections in another color). Remember, this is studying for your test! • When you have checked and visited you may sit down and try some extra credit! • We will go over any further questions in the end! •