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Economic Census and related sources Sarah Cohen Duke University 00:00 From the Census Bureau • Economic Census every five years • County Business Patterns every year From the Bureau of Economic Analysis • Regional economic accounts (State, local GDP) • Regional input-output modeling system (RIMS II - $270) From Bureau of Labor Statistics • Quarterly Employment and Wages with location quotients Economic data sources 00:29 • How much does my area depend on one or a few businesses or industries? (location quotient) • How likely are the projected jobs and tax revenue for new stadiums, economic development subsidies or a WalMart? • Estimate the effect of price spikes, shortages on your local area (localizing national stories) • Quick way to understand the important drivers in a region or a new beat. Story examples 2:25 • Tampa Bay area was dependent on back office jobs. The story warned of the coming bust from offshore operations and automation. • In the Washington area, the number of employees working for contractors was greater than the number working for the government. More Stories 3:20 Economic vulnerability 4:48 • Based on where economic activity happens • Usually excludes government • Industry, not product, based. • Establishments, not companies • Confidentiality limits a lot of publication • Overlapping sources and methods Concepts 5:54 Sector Econ Census County Bus Pat Quarterly BLS Agriculture No* No Yes Government No* No Yes** Self-employed, domestic No No No Small estabs (<5) Yes Yes No*** • • • The Census of Agriculture from the Agriculture Department and Census of Governments available from the Census Bureau can be added for basic data elements. BLS employment excludes active military and national intelligence agencies BLS includes all establishments covered by unemployment insurance. Some very small employers don’t have to cover their employees. Source comparison 10:20 Economic Census 12:09 Basic industry data by state 13:26 14:26 Useful ratios 14:27 Industry series 18:35 County business patterns 19:21 20:21 Location quotients 22:47 Zip codes – industry 24:52 Quarterly Emp & Wages 25:35 Location quotient calculator 27:56 • Use multi-screen, not the single screen. • Tables very difficult to read – save the series codes and do it that way. Getting other QEW data 30:31 Change the display 32:20 Regional economic accounts 32:49 • State and metro area GDP estimates – based on production areas, easy to use • Local (county) personal income estimates, adjusted to reflect where people live, not where they get their money • Includes sources of income and does not shield as much data. Metro area GDP 34:07 35:10 • Lets you estimate for yourself economic impacts. • Useful for government economic development spending, loss of industry, new stadiums • Very complex, costs $275 for your area, but may be worth the investment to understand it. RIMS 35:40