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Determinants of Supply Aims: The nature of supply The relationship between price and supply Market supply Causes of shifts in the supply curve The Law of Supply Supply is the quantity of a good or service that a producer is willing and able to supply onto the market at a given price in a given time period The basic law of supply is that as the market price of a commodity rises, so producers expand their supply onto the market A supply curve shows a relationship between price and quantity a firm is willing and able to sell The Supply Curve Price Supply An increase in price will cause an EXPANSION in Supply. P2 P1 P3 A fall in price will cause a CONTRACTION in Supply. Q3 Q1 Q2 Quantity Explaining the supply decision The “quantity supplied” is the amount sellers are willing and able to offer for sale at a single price The change in the price of the good itself causes a movement ALONG the supply curve Supply curves normally slope upward. Why? Rising prices act as an incentive for producers to expand output – potential for higher profits Increased output may lead to higher costs of production But not all economists accept this convention (A2 theory) Increased output might lead to lower costs per unit (known as economies of scale) An outward shift in the Supply Curve Price S1 S2 P1 Q1 Q2 Quantity An inward shift in the Supply Curve Price S3 S1 S2 P1 Q3 Q1 Q2 Quantity Causes of shifts in market supply Changes in production costs Wages,raw materials and components, energy, rents, interest rates Government taxes and subsidies Changes in technology – ICT can reduce long term costs but are expensive in SR Climatic conditions (important for agricultural supply) Changes in the number of producers in the market Changes in the objectives of suppliers in the market Changes in the prices of substitutes in production The profitability of alternative products (substitutes) or those with joint supply (crude oil = petrol and paraffin and diesel) Expectation of future price changes Shifts in the Supply curve… What would cause the supply of butter to rise? Reduction in costs of producing – e.g. nitrogen fertiliser = more used by farmers = better grass = more milk Better technology in producing butter More govt subsidies to farmers Increase in profitability of skimmed milk ….. Because butter and cream products are jointly produced with skimmed milk. Pause for mini exercise – cut out strips Weather conditions favourable for favourable grass yield. for you to select! More examples of shifts in supply – Mini exercise 1 What reasons might be given for the supply of potatoes to fall? For what reasons might the supply of leather rise? What reasons might be given for the supply of cod to fall? For what reasons might the number of plumbers grow? What reasons might be given for the number of teachers to fall? What reasons might there be for the number of new houses being built rise? The Supply Curve Price 100 The supply curve shows the quantity of a product that a supplier is willing and able to sell at a given price in a given time period 90 80 Supply (S) 70 Price £ 60 P1 50 There is usually a positive relationship between price and quantity supplied 40 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Quantity (000 units per month) 120 140 Quantity Supplied (Qs) The Supply Curve Price 100 90 80 An expansion of supply 70 P2 Price £ 60 S1 P1 50 40 30 An increase in market price causes an expansion of quantity supplied as producers respond to the incentive of higher prices and higher potential profits. 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Quantity (000 units per month) 120 140 Quantity Supplied (Qs) The Supply Curve Price 100 A lower market price will lead to a contraction in total output 90 80 70 S1 Price £ 60 P1 50 P2 40 A contraction of supply 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Quantity (000 units per month) 120 140 Quantity Supplied (Qs) An Outward Shift in the Supply Curve Price 100 Shifts in the supply curve mean that more or less will be supplied onto the market at each price level 90 80 70 Price £ 60 S1 S2 P1 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Quantity (000 units per month) 120 140 Quantity Supplied (Qs) An Inward Shift in the Supply Curve Price 100 90 S3 80 70 S1 Price £ 60 A fall in supply means that less is supplied onto the market at each price P1 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Quantity (000 units per month) 120 140 Quantity Supplied (Qs) So get your whiteboards ready…. Write on one side MOVEMENT ALONG On the other Your Go SHIFT Remember that PRICE = contraction or expansion All other factors = SHIFT inwards or outwards… Mini exercise 2…. New oil fields starts up in production In each case BE PREPARED TO EXPLAIN • Whether THE move along the supply curve is a contraction or expansion The demand for central heating rises The price of gas falls •Or whether THE shift in the supply curve is to the left or right Oil companies anticipate a surge in demand for central heating oil The demand for petrol rises New technology decreases the cost of oil refining All oil products become more expensive. Supply images …. The milk market! The supply of milk The milk supply chain Factors affecting the market supply of milk The price of raw milk from farmers Productivity in milk industry The number of suppliers in the industry Costs of packaging and transportation Government subsidies to milk producers Joint Supply Two products are in joint supply when a rise in the output of one product leads to a rise in the supply of the other product Can ewe think of examples of joint supply? Diagram to show joint supply Two products are in joint supply when a rise in the output of one product leads to a rise in the supply of the other product S Beef Price Price S Beef hide P2 S1 P3 P1 D1 P4 D D Q1 Q2 Quantity bought and sold Qa Qb Qc Quantity bought and sold Homework Worksheet D:\How the market works\Worksheets\4. Shifts in supply.doc