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Analysis of factors affecting resilience towards climate change on several islands in the Spermonde Archipelago, Sulawesi, Indonesia Sainab Husain a, Sebastian C.A. Ferse b, Marion Glaser b aRegional Development and Marine Management Study Program, Hasanuddin University, Kampus Tamalanrea, Makassar 90245, Indonesia [email protected] bLeibniz Center for Tropical Marine Ecology, Fahrenheitstr. 6, 28359 Bremen, Germany Background: Global climate change impacts natural ecosystems, with consequences for the livelihoods of people depending on these systems. Projected impacts for coastal regions and small islands include sealevel rise, increased erosion (Fig. 1), saltwater inundation, increased storm frequency and intensity, and decrease in fisheries resources. Both anticipative and adaptive capacity can reduce the negative impacts and vulnerability of coastal communities. To develop resilience management, an understanding of factors contributing to communities‘ strength and resilience in the face of climate change is needed. Potential sources of resilience include social capital, environmental awareness, availability of assets and governmental support. The objectives of the present study were to assess factors affecting the resilience and adaptive capacity of small island communities in the face of climate change. Methods: Four islands in the Spermonde Archipelago of South Sulawesi, Indonesia (Fig. 2) were examined between March and July 2010. Islands were selected to represent different administrative regions and different prevailing fishing methods. At each island, 40 questionnaire interviews containing 51 questions were conducted at household level. Each interview lasted between 1.5 and 2h. Fig. 1: Erosion of many islands has increased in recent years, causing buildings to be washed into the sea. Fig. 2: Map of the study area, showing the four islands visited. The location within Indonesia is indicated by the inset map. Indicators of social resilience: 40 χ2=12.000, p=0.007 affected not affected 35 30 25 20 15 40 χ2=132.514, p<0.0001 clear clear, odorless, salty clear, smelly, tasteless murky, smelly, salty 35 30 Fig. 4: Quality of well water on the four research islands. 25 20 15 10 5 0 Awareness: 100% of respondents reported climate-related environmental changes; the perceived changes differed between islands. However, only 1/3 of the respondents thought that all island inhabitants were aware of these changes. Badi Bonetambung Saugi Barrang Caddi Fig. 3: Number of respondents that have directly been affected by erosion or flooding. Exposure: 60% of respondents expected that climate change will threaten their livelihoods, and 41% feared that it will affect their basic needs. Two of the islands had no drinking water sources. 10-15 % of respondents on the other two islands felt that climate change will affect their freshwater sources. Water quality and the incidence of erosion and flooding differed significantly between islands (Figs. 3, 4). For 66% of respondents, ecosystem degradation led to reduced living 10 marine resources, and 36% saw it as connected with erosion. Flooding was 5 mentioned on only one of the islands. 0 Badi Bonetambung Saugi Barrang Caddi Capacity to respond/Vulnerability: Water sources differ between islands – while Saugi relies almost exclusively on local wells, Bonetambung drinking water comes from the mainland or neighboring islands. Only 25% of respondents were able to envisage responding to erosion or flooding under current conditions. The most common strategies were to live with relatives or to build a new house on the same island. Community organizations to deal with disaster management existed only on Badi and Saugi. On only one island, almost half of the respondents were aware of media or other efforts to communicate the risks of environmental impacts. On the other islands, almost no one had heard of such efforts. On three islands, about half of the respondents stated there had been natural resource management workshops for disaster risk reduction. On three islands, a large majority were aware of external financial support programs. While accessibility to these programs differed significantly between islands, about half of all respondents said they were easily accessible to all people in need. Case examples: A rich trader had already bought land on the mainland and was planning to move there should the climate situation worsen. (Barrang Caddi) A 300 m breakwater was promised by the government two years ago. Only 80 m were constructed, but they led to increased erosion elsewhere. Construction has stopped since. (Bonetambung) In 2005, a desalinization plant was built by assistance from Japan. It was hardly used. Not long after construction, the building collapsed due to erosion. Drinking water is brought from the mainland at about 0.5 US$ per 20 liter. (Barrang Caddi) In the 1970s, the freshwater was still obtained from the island aquifer. Since the 1980s, rainy season not sufficient to replenish the wells, and the water gets saltier – now, water is transported from the mainland. (Badi) Implications for supporting adaptation strategies: Climate change impacts are already felt throughout Spermonde, and are bound to increase. Government support to help communities adapt to these impacts is urgently needed. Both exposure and response capacity differ between islands. The reach of government programs varies by administrative region. Most of the problems identified (e.g. water shortage, land loss due to erosion) can not be resolved by the communities themselves, and the need for government support, e.g. in the construction of breakwaters, was voiced by most respondents. Government interventions need to be tailored to each specific island context, and should include solutions beyond the islands themselves, as resources there have reached their limits (Fig. 5). Income alternatives to fisheries in the face of worsening weather conditions (Fig. 6) and support for establishing new lives on the mainland, i.e. by providing job training and housing support, should be considered. Fig. 6: Increased intensity of wind and waves threatens the fishers, who use small boats for their fishing trips in the archipelago. Fig. 5: Aerial view of Barrang Caddi. Every available piece of land is filled with houses.