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Check web page: Updated study questions & HW #1! From Primack, Essential of Conservation Biology Permian Extinction From National Geographic, September 2000 Species “Life” From New Scientist 23 October 1999 Background Extinction • Averaged over the history of life on earth – 1 species every few years. • Current expected background rate – Expected species “life” is 1 – 10 million years. – Extinction rate between 1 x 10-6 and 1 x 10-7 – 1 to 10 spp. per year (assuming ~ 10 million spp.) Proposed Agents of Mass Extinctions • Changes in climate (global cooling) and sea level (marine regression). • Asteroid impacts (especially K/T). • Volcanic eruptions Climate Change (Glaciation) Stanley’s research on bivalves during Pleistocene cold adapted: no change warm adapted: declined Glacier Gulf stream cold adapted: no change warm adapted: no change Marine Regression Current sea level Continental shelf: loss of habitat refuges Conical island: no loss of habitat Climate Change Evidence • Glaciation associated with Ordovician ME. • Equivocal evidence for global cooling during Devonian, Cretaceous, and Permian ME’s. • No major glaciation associated with Triassic ME. • A major glaciation ca. 300 million years ago and lasting 90 million yrs did not result in an ME. • Tentative Conclusion: glaciations are not currently regarded as a necessary cause for ME’s. Alvarez Hypothesis Iridium Profile Chicxulub Crater Possible Consequences of “IMPACT”! • • • • • Global dust cloud Global warming / cooling Global wildfires Acid rain Tidal wave Evidence for Alvarez Hypothesis • • • • Iridium and shocked quartz at KT boundary. Chicxulub crater Synchronicity in Cretaceous extinctions (?) Tentative Conclusion: Almost certainly implicated at least in part with Cretaceous extinction Evidence for Impact Extinctions • Strong evidence for Cretaceous ME • Associated with Permian ME • Several impact events NOT associated with ME’s. • Tentative Conclusion: Does not appear to be a general explanation for ME’s. Volcanic Eruptions Volcanic Eruption Hypothesis • Eruptions boost greenhouse gasses. • Global warming releases sub-sea-floor methane, further increasing global warming. • The heat itself might drive species to extinction. • The altered climate might induce changes in ocean circulation, biological productivity and ultimately cause oceanic anoxia. Evidence for Volcanic Eruptions • Associated with Cretaceous, Triassic, and Permian ME’s. • Triassic ME has no sign of methane. • Significant lava flows 120 MYBP associated with methane release but no ME. • Tentative Conclusion: More work is needed to assess this hypothesis – especially relevant to current climate change. Plants and Mass Extinctions? Summary of Mass Extinctions • Multiple causes: – – – – marine regression glaciation asteroids volcanic eruptions • Some type of climate change probably always implicated. Extinctions Past and Present • Early mass extinctions • Blitzkrieg in the Pleistocene • Recent extinctions