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Committee: GA 2 - Economic and Financial Council (ECOFIN) Head Chair: 김연우 Younwoo Kim Deputy Chair: 신나래 Narae Shin Agenda 1: Economic diversification of natural resource dependent nations 1. Introduction On April 25th, 2016, Mohammed bin Salman, the Deputy Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, announced the "Saudi Vision 2030" project, declaring the country's intent to move towards sustainable development. As the world's second largest oil producer, Saudi Arabia had reserved over 2,665.7 billion barrels (approximately 18% of world oil reserves) in 2014. Yet, despite its abundance of natural resources, the country had declared to reform its oil-dependent industrial structure. This recent declaration underscores two important issues. First, the lack of natural resources. Natural resources are inevitably limited in quantity, and as the world has become more industrialized and modern technology requires more resources, depletion has accelerated as well. This phenomenon is an urgent problem to both the countries dependent on natural resources and the countries that are heavy consumers of said resources. As oil produces more than 70,000 goods, including (but not limited to) plastic, acrylic, cosmetics, medicines, and clothes, a lack of resources itself can directly result in the lack of goods that we use in our daily lives. Second, the development of newer industries. As resource-producing countries that depend on fossil fuels to sustain their economy are failing to protect their resources, we must urge the development of new, sustainable alternatives that can replace their original methods. According to the RGI (Resource Governance Index - an index used to observe effectiveness, transparency, and accurate usage of natural resources within supplying countries) among the 58 countries that account for 85% of oil production, 90% of diamond production, and 80% of copper production, 9 countries are almost completely dependent on their natural resources. This fact demonstrates that the managing of natural resources is not effective within many countries and thus calls for an alternative. A few months ago, the world economy was extremely unstable because of the most recent Oil Shock. As many oil dependent countries had a significant role in this chaos, we should consider implementing a diverse range of national policies to address this issue. Also, we should acknowledge this problem as not just a region-specific issue, but as a global problem as well. 2. History: Case of resource-dependent countries - NAURU “Many resources that we are using now are all borrowed from future generations.” -1968, Garret Hardin While the status quo of resource usage is grave, many people don’t realize its seriousness. The case of Nauru, a small island in East Oceania warns us about the importance of solving this problem. Placed between Australia and Hawaii, Nauru is the 3rd smallest country in the world after Vatican City and Monaco. While its entire population is smaller than 10,000, it had, at one point, a higher per capita income than the United States due to its phosphate ore production (a valuable component of crop fertilizers). The citizens of Nauru did not need to pay taxes, house expenses, school expenses, hospital bills as they were all provided by the country. However, as the quantity of phosphate ore began to deplete in the 1990s, Nauru faced a severe economic bust. While the government attempted to maintain its economy by creating a harbor and developing the fishery industry, the citizens were unable to provide the labor needed because they had never actually worked in their lives. The small island of Nauru was unable to grow crops due of its excessive mining, and as government corruption and failed overseas investment led the economy to plummet even further, Nauru, which was once the country that was the wealthiest in the world with 20,000~30,000 dollars of income per citizen, has now become a country with an unemployment rate of 90%, and a 2,500 dollar per capita income. Furthermore, the excessive phosphate ore mining has increased the possibility of the island being flooded by the ocean and sinking under sea level. If the country's horrible economic performance, along with the worldwide trend of climate change, continues, Nauru is likely to become a relic of the past. 3. Previous actions from each country As natural resource dependency is the main obstacle of long-term economic growth, economic diversification policies are vital for many countries. However, many resourcerich nations are failing to produce new income sources besides the oil, gas and mining resources they already produce. Rapid price swings, public anxiety, macroeconomic stability, and the crowding out effect within the domestic industry are all problems that arise from natural resource dependency. The following list shows polices that were adopted by a number of resourcedependent countries to combat this problem and their effectiveness. • Bolivia Bolivia attempted to develop industries other than gas and mining through legislative measures. However, due to massive financial costs and political resistance, the government has stopped promoting the policy. • Botswana The government of Botswana emphasized the distribution of private sector activities. However, the private sector is still comprised of many underdeveloped industries. The economy still depends only on mining, and public expenditures are used to develop the private sector, which only gives more burden to the nation. • Chile Chile is also one of the most resource-abundant countries in the world. Chile's exports are affected by high copper prices and currency appreciation. Diversification and more sophisticated levels of efforts are still required in Chile's economy. • Ecuador Ecuador is already trying to diversify its exporting commodities. However, key exports are still limited to a small number of goods and products. • Indonesia Indonesia is striving to develop other business industries by reinforcing local capacity and upgrading infrastructure. Furthermore, the business sector is aiming to cooperate with the government by engaging with the institutions under it. • Kazakhstan Kazakhstan is known for its poor financial regulation, weak institutions, inappropriate economic policies and the disadvantages of its geographical location. These four problems make the country unable to properly diversify its economy. • Mexico Mexico, the largest oil producing country in Latin America, has promoted greater diversity in export commodities. However, Mexico's other exports have yet to outgrow the profit it gains from its natural resources.. • Peru While Peru has experienced rapid economic growth and a decline in severe poverty, its economy is still centered on mining. 4. Definition of key terms & points Natural resource dependent countries Natural resource dependent countries are countries that heavily depend on natural resources, more specifically, when natural resources account for more than half of their countries’ economy. • Comparative advantage A country has a comparative advantage at producing something if it can produce it at lower cost than anyone other country. One does not compare the monetary costs of production or even the resource costs (labor needed per unit of output) of production. Instead, one must compare the opportunity costs of producing goods across countries. This term can be useful in explaining relationships between trading countries. • Economic diversification Creating diverse resources to sustain a country's economic growth rather than depending on only one resource. • Resource dependency-theory Resource dependence theory (RDT) is the study of how the resources of organizations affect the behavior of the organization. • Resource curses Ironically, countries that have abundant energy or resources also tend to have slower economic growth and lower standards of quality of life. This phenomenon is caused by the unfair distribution of the wealth gained by exporting natural resources. 5. Possible solution & Conclusion Post-oil era Ever since the Industrial Revolution of the 18th century, the world economy has experienced both rapid economic development and exponential population growth. Because of this trend, however, main crops such as wheat and rice are severely depleting and the amount of natural resources needed will only continue to increase. Therefore, as a solution to the lack of resources, resource-dependent countries are searching for alternative industries to sustain their economy and build a greener environment. This modern era is now known as the “Post-oil era”, and while we still have many obstacles to overcome, we should consider them as global problems and cooperate to find a solution. • Bibliography • http://www.resourcegovernance.org/sites/default/files/documents/rwi_ econ_diversification_intro1.pdf • http://www.resourcegovernance.org/analysistools/publications/diversification-resource-dependent-countries • http://www.resourcegovernance.org/blog/will-oil-rich-libya-gobankrupt-less-four-years • http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3251567/Photographerdocuments-life-Nauru-bottle-milk-costs-20-children-head-cock-fightsschool.html