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Chapter 15 Study Guide Case Study: When Wedges do more than Silver Bullets Each year new reports of heat waves, droughts, declining water supplies, unpredictable weather, and HIGH crop prices Artic sea ice reflects the sun’s energy and helps neutralize global climate But the artic sea ice has declined by HALF in summer Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere are retaining (keeping) more of the sun’s energy in the atmosphere The past 30 years have been the hottest in the past 1,300 years. Even a little bit of climate warming allows new crop pests and weeds to survive winters o also dries the soil so much that farmers have to irrigate crops more than usual o if farmers aren’t able to irrigate the crops they abandon the farm Parts in the western U.S rely on mountain snowmelt for water Climate change worries politicians and voters, yet we still have a hard time figuring out ways to stop it If we don’t reduce our output of CO2 emissions in the following years we will PERMANENTLY LOSE ICE CAPS AND PERMAFROST o This will cause rapid change o Our temperature will increase by 5-7 degrees Celsius o Sea levels will rise by 1 meter Our carbon emissions are triggering climate change o These changes will be very costly, human and economic terms Politicians are looking for a Silver Bullet (technology that will fix the problem all at once) o Nuclear fusion o Space based solar energy o A giant mirror to reflect sunlight away from earth But these cannot be created yet Immediate action is required in avoid the further melting of the polar ice caps Wedge Analysis: the breaking down of a large problem into smaller, bite- sized pieces o By adding up the problems we can see the total magnitude of their effects and decide if it’s worth trying to move forward Three Possible Solutions: o “Business as Usual”- follows the current pattern of constantly increasing CO2 output Triple CO2 and temp increase of 9 degrees Fahrenheit by 2100 Lead to a sea level rise of 0.5-1 m o “Stabilization Scenario”- prevent further increase of CO2 emissions Only doubles CO2 in the atmosphere Temp increase of 2-3 degrees Celsius Sea levels rise 29-50 cm o The third option: declining CO2 emissions could result in new energy sources and better land management Need to reduce annual carbon emissions by 7 BILLION TONS per year within 50 years Increase fuel economy in our cars Cut driving from average miles from 10,000 to 5,000 per year Better appliances in homes Increase efficiency in our coal power plants Reduce reliance on cars Use public transportation Cleaner power sources will also reduce asthma and other respiratory illnesses, saving health care costs and improving the quality of life This review talks about the composition and behavior of our atmosphere and the factor that make it change over time 15.1 Review: What is the Atmosphere? The atmosphere is layered with the more massive molecules near the ground surface Weather: short-lived and local patterns of temperature and moisture that result from this circulation Climate: long-term patterns of temperature and precipitation Earth’s earliest atmosphere consisted of light weight hydrogen and helium o Over billions of years that hydrogen and helium diffused into space o Volcanic emissions added carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, sulfur, and other elements o All the oxygen was introduced by photosynthesis, and blue green bacteria Clean dry air is mostly nitrogen and oxygen o Water vapor concentrations vary from 0-4% This depends on the air temp and the amount of moisture Aerosols- minute particles and liquid droplets o Atmospheric aerosols are important in capturing, distributing, or reflecting energy o These are also in the air Atmosphere has four distinct zones – These four zones contrast temperature, this results in differences in absorption of the sun’s energy o 1st layer: immediately adjacent to the earth’s surface- TROPSHPERE Air is in constant motion because it is redistributing heat and moisture around the globe The air absorbs energy from the sun warmed earth’s surface and from the moisture evaporating from the oceans Warmed air circulates in great vertical and horizontal convection currents. Contains 75 percent of the total mass of the atmosphere Within the troposphere temperatures drop rapidly with increasing distance from the earth reaching about -76 degrees Fahrenheit (at this point air is no longer warmer than its surroundings, and it ceases to rise) The boundary where mixing ends is called the tropopause Convection Currents- these occur when warm, low-density air rises above the cooler denser layer o Ex. A pot of simmering water on the stove. Water heated the at the bottom of the pot rises up above the cooler layers at the top creating convection circulation patterns Convection constantly redistributes heat and moisture around the globe The depth of the troposphere ranges from about 11 miles over the equator where heating and convection are intense to about 5 miles over the poles where the air is cold and dense Equator- heating and convection are intense Poles- air is cold and dense Stratospheric ozone- important for blocking ultraviolet solar energy 2nd layer- extends from the troposphere up to 31 miles: STRATOSPHERE o More dilute than the troposphere, but has similar composition – except has almost no water vapor and nearly 1,000 times more ozone o Stratosphere is relatively calm, b/c warm layers lie above cold layers o So little mixing that when one-quarter is reflected by the clouds and atmospheric gases o Above the stratosphere the temp diminishes again in the mesosphere (middle layer) This region is made up of highly ionized (electrically charged) gases heated by a steady flow of high energy solar and cosmic radiation o The thermosphere (heated layer) begins at about 80km In thermosphere intense pulses of high energy radiation causes electrically charged particles (ions) to glow. This is called the aurora borealis & australis (northern and southern lights) o Ozone serves a very important function in the stratosphere OZONE IS A POLLUTANT NEAR THE EARTH’S SURFACE Ozone absorbs certain wavelengths of ultra violet solar radiation (UVB Rays) This energy warms the upper stratosphere so temp increases with elevation Stratospheric UV ABSORPTION also protects life on the earth’s surface o This is important because UV RADIATION causes damage to living tissues, crop failure, etc. o Air pollutants deplete stratospheric ozone, especially over the Antarctica This has allowed increased amounts of UV radiation to reach the earth’s surface No specific boundary marks the end of the atmosphere o Density of gas molecules decrease w/ distance from Earth until it becomes undistinguishable from the near- vacuum of interstellar space Absorbed solar energy warms our world Our sun gives out a lot of energy, but the energy is not evenly distributed around the globe Insolation- Incoming solar radiation is much stronger near the equator than at high latitudes Of the solar energy that reaches the outer atmosphere about one quarter is absorbed by carbon dioxide, water vapor, methane, ozone and other gases. o This energy absorption warms the atmosphere o The rest is absorbed by the Earth’s surface and water Surfaces that reflect energy have a HIGH ALBEDO o Many of these surfaces appear bright to us because they reflect light as well as other forms of radiative energy Surfaces that absorb energy have a LOW ALBEDO o These appear darker Ex. Black soil, pavement, and open water Of the 100%of incoming solar energy o atmospheric gases and clouds reflect about 25 o and the surface reflects about 5 o gases and clouds absorb 25% o and earth’s surface absorbs the remaining 45 Absorbed energy heats absorbing surfaces (asphalt parking), evaporates water, or provides the energy for photosynthesis in plants Thermodynamics: second law- absorbed energy is gradually reemitted as lower quality heat energy Water is extremely good at absorbing and storing energy For billions of years the artic has been mostly white which reflected much of the energy to hit the surface Now because it is melting it is causing the open water to capture and store the energy making it hotter Positive feedback loop- melting leads to further melting with huge consequences Atmosphere selectively absorbs longer wave lengths A lot of the energy is intense, high- energy light or near-infrared wavelengths which pass relatively easily through the atmosphere to the earth’s surface Energy which is re-released from the earths warmed surface (terrestrial energy) is lower intensity, longer wavelength radiation in the far- infrared part of the spectrum CO2 and water vapor absorb much of the long wave-length energy and re-release it in the lower atmosphere This long wave terrestrial energy provides most of the heat on the lower atmosphere The retention of long wave terrestrial energy in the atmosphere is called the Greenhouse effect b/c the atmosphere transmits sunlight while trapping heat inside Greenhouse effect is necessary for life o But too strong of a greenhouse effect can affect the environment and alter it in a way we are not used to Greenhouse gases- general term for trace gases that are especially effective at capturing the long wave-length energy Water vapor is the most abundant greenhouse gas Carbon dioxide is the most abundant and long lasting human caused greenhouse gas followed by methane Evaporated water stores energy, and wind redistributes it Near the equator the sun shines straight overhead and solar heating (and water evaporation) is most intense Mid latitudes sun is less intense At the poles the sun rarely shines as intense and heat absorption by the ground and water is very low Solar energy absorbed by the ground eventually reradiates as long wave infrared energy or heat o This energy warms the lowest layers of the air Warmer air expands and becomes less dense than the cooler air above it and begins to rise Convection cells- rising warm air produces vertical convection currents Convection is more vigorous near the equator at higher latitudes Hadley Cells- equatorial convection cells (one north and one south of the equator) Ferrell Cells/ Polar Cells- mid-latitude and polar cells o These have less intense heating and less vigorous circulation than the Hadley cells Where air rises in convection currents, air pressure at the surface is low Where is air is sinking or subsiding air pressure is high Incoming solar energy is also used to evaporate water Latent heat- water vapor adds up to huge amounts of stored energy Atmospheric circulation carries a great deal of heat and moisture from warm humid places to colder drier places. The redistribution of heat and water around the globe is essential to life on earth 15.2 Regional Patterns of Weather Precipitation happens when moisture cools and condenses The troposphere is heated when there is contact with the warmed earth’s surfaces Convection cells: these result when warm air rises Atmospheric circulation redistributes heat and moisture Weather: temperature, wind, and precipitation that change over days or weeks Weather patterns :happen b/c of uneven solar heating on the earth’s surface, together with spinning of the earth Water condenses as air cools, and air cools as it rises o Any time air is rising, snow, rain, etc. may form Cooling occurs b/c of changes in temperature with altitude Air cools as it rises o Pressure decreases Air warms as it sinks o Pressure increases Air rises in convection currents where solar heating is intense o Ex. The equator o Air rises when two air masses collide & must rise over each other o Air also rises when it encounters mountains If air is moist, condensation and rainfall are likely to occur as the air is lifted Colliding air masses get a lot of precipitation As air warms the moisture tends to evaporate o Ex. Warm areas usually do not get a lot of rain b/c of high pressure High pressure/dry conditions occur where convection currents are sinking Condensation nuclei: tiny particles of smoke, dust, sea salts, spores, and volcanic ash o These particles form a surface on which water molecules can begin to collect Without them even super cooled vapor they would still remain in a gaseous form The Coriolis Effect explains why winds seem to curve Northern Hemisphere winds bend clockwise o Ocean waves bend clockwise in northern hemisphere Southern Hemisphere bend counter clockwise o Ocean waves bend counter clockwise in southern hemisphere Coriolis Effect: curvature of the winds o Ex. Merry go round and throwing a ball from the middle o Predicts wind patterns and currents o Produces cyclonic winds/ wind movements controlled by the earth’s spin These winds spiral clockwise in high pressure in northern hemisphere Counter clockwise in southern hemisphere Top of troposphere are JET STREAMS – hurricane- force winds that circulate the earth o Jet streams affect weather patterns Warm and cold ocean currents strongly influence climate conditions on land Surface ocean currents result from wind pushing on the ocean surface When surface water moves, deep water rises up to replace it = deeper ocean currents Differences in ocean density also drive ocean currents o Depends of temp and saltiness of the water Gyres: huge cycling currents o They carry water north & south redistributing heat from low altitudes to high altitudes Ocean Conveyer system: water cools and evaporates, becomes less dense and salty and plunges downward creating a strong deep southward current Quantitative Reasoning Currents can shift abruptly Seasonal Rain Supports Millions of People Large parts of the world, especially near the tropics, get a lot of rain o Rain helps maintain ecosystems and human communities When rains don’t come it causes o Crop failure o Famine (starvation) Monsoons: regular seasonal rains Where ever sun shines a lot evaporation and convection of currents are very strong Reason for tropical and subtropical regions to have seasonal rain and dry seasons is b/c in that region intense solar heating and evaporation shifts through the year As earth orbits the sun, b/c of tilt of axis causes seasons As year shifts from summer to winter: o Solar heating weakens o Rainy season ends o Little rain may fall Frontal systems occur where warm and cold air meet Front: boundary between two air masses of different temperature and density Cold Front: when cooler air pushes away warmer air o cold, dense air of a cold front tends to hug the ground and push under the lighter, warmer air as it advances o as the warm air is forced upward, it cools, and its water vapor condenses to become ice crystals/ water droplets o air masses near ground move slower b/c of friction and turbulence near the ground surface when this happens upper layers of the moving mass move ahead of the lower layers Cold fronts generate strong convection currents as they push the warmer air upwards o Violent winds and thunderstorms are a result o Weather after cold front is nice and clear Warm Front: the advancing air mass is warmer than its surrounding air o b/c warm air is less dense than cool air the advancing warm front will slide up over cooler air masses o warm front and cold front different b/c gradual lifting and cooling in a warm front lacks the violent updrafts and convection currents that come with a cold front Warm front can have many layers of clouds at diff heights o Highest layer is called wispy cirrus clouds- made up of icy crystals Cyclonic storms can cause extensive damage Latent heat intensifies circulation thus producing swirling winds that capture more moisture and latent heat energy These storms swirl in a direction dictated by the Coriolis effect o Called Cyclonic Storms Hurricanes: very powerful storms filled with winds and rain Tornadoes: Swirling funnel clouds that form over land o Also considered cyclonic storms o Tornadoes generated by giant “supercell” frontal systems where strong, dry-air fronts collide with warm, humid air The bigger the temp difference the bigger/powerful the storm As warm air rises rapidly over dense cold air intense vertical convection currents generate as it rises o This releases latent heat and speeds up within the supercell o If these penetrate the stratosphere and collide with jet streams it creates even stronger convection currents 15.3 Natural Climate Variability Milankovitch cycles : periodic shifts in the earth’s orbit and tilt o Changes the distribution and intensity of sunlight reaching the earth’s surface How climatologists find evidence o Tree rings: The widths let them count back to find dry or wet seasons o Remains of plants or pollen: Found in lake beds or marine mud o Ice cores: KEY sources of data b/c they provide long climate records Scientists sometimes use snow bubbles: o Snow falls to ground with bubbles o Bubbles can determine the atmosphere and how the weather was at the time the snow fell o Can also detect ash layers and spikes in sulfate concentrations that record volcanic eruptions o MOST IMPORTANTLY we can look at isotope of oxygen Because of the snow fall and other ways climatologists use to see the weather, we can now see that CO2 concentrations have varied In cold years water molecules with lighter oxygen atoms evaporate more easily than water atoms with heavier isotopes o Bu looking at this climatologists can see temps from over time and see the temp changes against CO2 concentrations There is a strong correlation between atmospheric temps and CO2 concentrations Now we know that CO2 concentrations have varied between 180-330ppm (parts per million) Ice core data also shows that the climate now is warmer than it has ever been since the beginning of civilizations El Nino is an ocean-atmosphere cycle Oscillations: periodic shifts There are oscillations in ocean currents and atmospheric circulation over the years and decades EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION: the weakened upwelling currents and warming water led to the disappearance of fish Sometimes between el nino events the water (coastal) becomes so cold that and these are called la nina o These two are called el nino southern oscillation The core of the ENSO system is a huge pool of warm surface water in the pacific that sloshes back and forth between Indonesia and south America Trade winds also help drive ocean currents in the pacific Upwelling currents along the coast of south America draw the cold nutrient rich water from deep in the ocean o Supports the school of fish Every 3-5 years convection currents weaken the pool of warm surface water goes back east across the pacific toward Peru and Cali el nino affects us because it brings heavy rains from Cali o la nina brings extreme dry HOT weather ENSO related droughts are predicted to strengthen and intensify b/c pool of water is expanding 15.4 Anthropogenic Climate Change Anthropogenic: Human caused global climate change o most important environmental issue CO2 concentrations have increased by 0.5% each year Every may CO2 levels drop slightly as plant growth captures the CO2 in photosynthesis During northern winter levels rise again as plants release the CO2 CO2 levels are rising by more than 2ppm per year The IPCC accesses data for policymakers Intergovernmental Panel on climate Change : brought together scientists and government representatives from 130 countries to see the evidence of effects of climate change Fourth Assessment Report (AR4): published in 2007 by the work of 2,500 scientists o Newer ar5 published in 2013-2014 paves the way for newer work to be done in favor of climate control o 90% probability that the recent climate changes have been from human activities Increases in carbon emissions have exceeded too much o Artic ice is shrinking o If this continues there will be a 3-6 foot increase of ocean water which will flood coastal cities H2O is a gas that is especially good at holding heat/ energy in the atmosphere o Blocking and absorbing these long wave lengths CO2 can stay decades in the atmosphere and is very good at capturing long- wave lengths CO2 doubled in the last 40 years CO2 produces 76.6 % of human caused climate impacts o 1st most important gas in atmosphere Methane is the 2nd most abundant gas in the atmosphere o 14% of greenhouse output o Absorbs 23 times more energy as CO2 o Produced when plant matter decays in oxygen-free condition, also from natural gas wells At the bottom of wetlands Nitrogen oxide: 3rd most important greenhouse gas o Accounts for 8% of greenhouse gases in atmosphere o Produced from agricultural processes, plant decays, vehicle emissions o Important because it is really good at capturing heat Burning fossil fuels is or most abundant source of greenhouse gas Fossil fuels produce 50% of greenhouse gases o Deforestation and agriculture 30% o And industry produces 20% Positive Feedbacks Accelerate Change Melting of polar ice will increase energy absorption o b/c water has lower albedo than ice Peat: soggy, semi decayed plant matter accumulated over thousands of years o As peat dries it releases CO2 and CH4 o Release of these two can cause the same as CO2 ever burned Increased ocean evaporation could make the snowfall at high latitudes even worse o It would also restore some of some of the high albedo surfaces How do we know recent climate change is caused by humans?? We are doing an uncontrolled experiment o We keep adding more greenhouse gases to the air without knowing the consequences o We also do not have another earth to use after we destroy this one