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EPA’s Development, Community and Environment Division: Tools for Evaluating Smart Growth and Climate Change February 28, 2002 Ilana Preuss How do current development patterns impact Environmental Quality? Urbanized land area in the US quadrupled since 1954 - from 1950 to 1990, large metro land areas increased twice as fast as their populations From 1980 to 1997, VMT grew by 63%, almost 3 times the rate of population growth – Average length of work trips rose by 36% from ‘83-‘95 In 1997, the transportation sector emitted 32% of the US CO2 emissions from fossil fuels – Projected to grow by 47.5% from 1996-2020 How can Smart Growth address Environmental Impacts? Current development patterns have large impacts on the environment, including climate change and water. Smart Growth promotes choices & alternatives: – variety of transportation options and housing opportunities – mixed land uses – preserves open space & directs development to existing communities Activities of EPA’s Development, Community and Environment Division Information-sharing through the Smart Growth Network – EPA created 3 years ago – national, regional and local partners and members encourage environmentally, fiscally, and socially smart metropolitan development Exploring innovative policy opportunities Tool Development – Smart Growth INDEX model (SGI) – Water model Smart Growth INDEX (SGI) Overview Community Sketch Planning Analytic Tool Compare impacts and outcomes from alternative development scenarios Enhances local decision-making capacity for: • • • • • • Cleaner air and water Reduction of CO2 emissions Protection of wetlands Restoration of brownfields Protection of open space Better transportation planning SGI: A Sketch Planning Tool Can be applied in any community or region with a GIS Generates outputs useful to both technical and nontechnical users Operates in two different modes: – Projects environmental impacts from future growth patterns (forecast mode) – Calculates environmental impacts at a moment in time (snapshot mode) Simultaneously addresses changes in vehicle travel with changes in land use patterns SGI’s value to states and communities Models and displays impacts that may not otherwise be highlighted in traditional models – Promotes the principles of Smart Growth Provides more sophisticated tool to communities without access or resources to run more advanced models Variety of uses: master plans, transit station plans, environmental reviews, brownfields v. greenfield comparisons, air quality and climate impacts A valuable tool for public involvement – clear visualization of trade-offs Inputs: SGI Data Requirements Land use plan Housing data (single or multifamily) Employment data (service, retail or other) Existing and future street centerlines Transit routes Population and Employment Growth projects (in forecast mode) Outputs: Sample SGI Indicators Population density (residents/sq. mi) Land use mix Housing transit proximity Employment transit proximity Vehicle miles traveled/day/capita Air pollution (lbs/yr/capita from criteria pollutants) Climate Change (CO2/tons/yr/capita) Energy consumption Park space availability/access SGI Output Display Indicator Description Persons/sq. mile Persons (residents and employees) per sq. mi. Ratio of total jobs to total housed workers. Proportion of dissimilar land uses among a grid of one-acre cells. Length of street in miles divided by areas of neighborhood in square miles (miles per sq. mile.) Percent street frontage with sidewalks Ratio of shortest walking distance from outlying nodes to neighborhood center vs. straightline distance Ratio of intersections vs. intersections and cul-de-sacs Average distance from dwellings to closest transit stop in feet. Percent of dwellings within 1/4 mi. of transit stops Jobs/housing balance Land use mix Street network density Sidewalk completeness Route directness Street connectivity Average distance to transit stop Housing near transit Ideal Scenario 100,000 Fells Point Scenario 75,570 1.0 6.93 1.0 0.63 10 34.6 100 100 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.67 600 229 100 90 Source: MD Office of Planning SGI Models Development Alternatives SGI Pilot Communities OPEI selected 20 communities with: – the ability to create environmental benefits through smart growth approaches – adequate technical, data, and staffing requirements to run the model In addition to local governments, EPA continues to work with NJ, MD and MN Wrapped up Phase I as of January 31, 2002 Sites: DE - Wilmington Examined brownfield redevelopment scenarios in Wilmington, DE Targeting development alternatives on particular sites: – high density residential – intense commercial – industrial development Sites: MD - Digital Harbor Study area at Fells Point in Baltimore, MD Generation of new jobs and housing Examined air quality impacts – Reduction in VMT, emissions and greenhouse gases Sites: MA - Metropolitan Area Planning Council Hudson, MA pilot project to examine the impact of 2 development proposals – Intel jobs – Condo units Examines the proximity of residential development to available transit Sites: TX - San Antonio Evaluation of City Plng Dept’s land use alternative and community alternative in relation to environmental impacts Found a 6 percent decrease in GHG emissions Next Steps Reporting on Phase I results Beginning Phase II of pilot projects and site selection Interested in working with states to partner application of SGI in communities and regions Continually improving air quality analysis while adding water quality indicators For more Information: Development, Community and Environment Division (DCED) – [email protected] – [email protected] For information on SGI: – www.epa.gov/smartgrowth/sg_index.htm – www.crit.com