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Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL)
Adaptation initiatives
in the Netherlands
Jelle van Minnen
Rob Swart (Alterra)
Outline
2
- Dutch Adaptation Research
- Dutch Adaptation Policy
- Delta committee
- PBL study on climate robustness
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Dutch Research Programmes
3
• Living with Water
(finalizing)
• Room for Climate
(finalizing)
• Knowledge for Climate
(running)
• Evaluation Water Plan
(in concept)
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Dutch Research Programmes (ii)
4
Climatic Change
DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9576-4
Adapting to climate change in The
Netherlands: an inventory of climate
adaptation options and ranking of
alternatives
K. de Bruin · R. B. Dellink · A. Ruijs · L. Bolwidt · A. van
Buuren · J. Graveland · R. S. de Groot · P. J. Kuikman · S.
Reinhard · R. P. Roetter · V. C. Tassone · A. Verhagen · E.
C. van Ierland
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Governmental programme ARC
5
Where?
water, spatial planning,biodiversity,….
Who? => multi governance
- Min. of Housing, Spatial planning & Environment
(leading)
- Min. of Transport, Public works & Water management
- Min. of Agriculture, Nature & Food security
- Union of Provinces
- Union of Municipalities
- Union of Water boards
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Governmental programme ARC (ii)
6
- Biodiversity
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
- Safety
Alterra
Governmental programme ARC (iii)
7
What?
•Preparing NAS
•Discussion on required initiatives
•Coordination actions towards a climateproof Netherlands=> routeplanner
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Recent policy developments
8
- Advice of Deltacommittee on climate change, adaptation and
water management (sept. 2008)
=> Advice considered in new National Waterplan (2009)
- Request to PBL: developing integrated options on long term
spatial strategies for climate-proofing of the Netherlands
phase 1 Scoping report (2009)
=> basis for policy letter(Summer 2009)
phase 2 Options for LT spatial strategies (2010) => basis for governmental
and societal discussion
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Delta committee
9
- Starting point; Be prepared for worst case
Deltacommissie:
+6oC in 2100
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Delta committee (ii)
10
- Outcome: Safety first
-Substantial decrease of probability of large numbers of
casualties -> comparable with other hazards.
-Improve safety against flooding with factor 10 at least
- Technical solutions e.g.:
- failure-proof dikes
- continuing suppletion
- Kabat et al., 2009:
Nature Geoscience, Vol. 2 July 2009
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Delta committee (iii)
11
12 recommendations
1. Flood protection level
2. New urban development plans => CBA
3. Areas outside the dikes => not impede discharge
4. North Sea coast => Sand suppletion
5. Wadden Sea area => natural processes
6. South-western Delta: Eastern Scheldt => barriers
7. South-western Delta: Western Scheldt
8. South-western Delta:Krammer-Volkerak
Zoommeer => flood areas
9. The major rivers area => no further delay
10. Rijnmond => re-routing water
11. IJssellake area => fresh water reservoir
12. Political, administrative, legal, financial
Delta law, commissioner, fund
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
PBL Scoping report – analysis of main challenges
12
Topics addressed:
- Safety against flooding
(LT sea level rise)
- Fresh water availability
(drought, water quality, salinisation)
- Agriculture
(water, extreme weather events, diseases)
- Nature
(spatial connectivity, environmental conditions)
- Human health
(heat, air quality, allergies, vector borne diseases)
- Energy supply
(availability of cooling water, link with sust.energy)
- Transport
(air, roads, waterways)
- Recreation and tourism
(improved recreational conditions  potentially
adverse effects)
Alterra
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Spearheads for a climate-proofing the Nederlands
13
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
Follow-up: research in 2009/2010
14
Research: options for long term spatial strategies
Analysis
2008/2009
Developing options spatial strategies
2009/2010
Comparison
Criteria:
Climate change
- Robustness, flexibility
- Costs short term/long term
- Benefits short term/long term
Selection of
main challenges
- Achievement of policy goals
- Governmental challenges
- Instruments
- Financing
- Interference EU policies
- Risks
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra
15
Thank you
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Alterra