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session three the perfectly competitive market demand and supply curves revisited ………….1 market mechanism and equilibrium ………….2 market dynamics: shifting curves ………….3 market dynamics: long-run ………….5 market dynamics: key points ………….8 consumer surplus ………….9 producer surplus ………11 market efficiency analysis ……….13 price floor analysis ………14 price ceiling analysis ……….15 consumer tax analysis ……….16 tax incidence analysis ………17 key points ……….18 spring 2016 microeconomi the analytics of cs constrained optimal microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions demand and supply curves revisited ► Demand and supply curves revisited ► How does the market adjust to an equilibrium? demand curve The demand curve associates to each possible price level the utility maximizing consumption level. In particular, the optimal consumption satisfies the condition: MU(Q*) = P The demand curve is identical with the marginal utility curve. For a given quantity consumed the marginal utility shows by how much the satisfaction increases for the last unit is consumed. That unit is actually bought only if the price paid is no more than the marginal utility obtained. The height of the demand curve for a given quantity shows the maximum price the consumer is willing to pay for that quantity. Figure 1. Demand curve 30 25 MU = 25 – 2Q 20 15 10 5 0 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 10 12.5 quantity supply curve The supply curve associates to each possible price level the profit maximizing output. In particular: 30 for P Pshut-down, Q* satisfies P = MC(Q*) or Q* = Qmax 25 for P < Pshut-down, Q* satisfies Q* = 0 20 The supply curve is identical with the marginal cost curve. For a given quantity produced the marginal cost shows by how much the cost increases if the last unit is produced. That unit is actually produced only if the price obtained is no less than the marginal cost incurred (for that unit). The height of the supply curve for a given quantity shows the minimum price the producer is willing to accept for that quantity. 2016 Kellogg School of Management Figure 2. Supply curve lecture 3 MC = 3Q 15 10 5 0 0 2.5 5 7.5 quantity page | 1 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions demand and supply curves revisited ► Demand and supply curves revisited ► How does the market adjust to an equilibrium? the market mechanism A market mechanism is a set of rules through which agents (consumers, producers, government, market makers, etc.) organize the trade of goods by determining a price level at which the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied: market equilibrium. Figure 3. The market maker mechanism Figure 4. The web adjustment mechanism 30 30 P = 25 – 2Q 25 P = 3Q 20 (0) 20 (M) 15 P = 25 – 2Q 25 (M) (1) P = 3Q 15 10 10 5 5 0 (2) (3) 0 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 The market maker mechanism assumes that a benevolent individual (the market maker) receives from consumers and producers their demand and supply schedules (for each possible price what is the quantity demanded and supplied respectively). The market maker would simply match the two curves by finding the price at which the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied at point (M) the market equilibrium 2016 Kellogg School of Management 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 The web adjustment mechanism assumes the market will reach its equilibrium by successive adjustments of quantity supplied and demanded. Starting from point (0) at a price of $20 producers are willing to produce about 6.67 units at point (1). But for this output a maximum price of $11.33 at point (2) is paid by consumers which in turn prompts producers to reduce their output to 3.78 units at point (3) and so on unit point (M) – the market equilibrium – is reached. lecture 3 page | 2 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions market dynamics: shifting curves ► Demand and supply curves shifts ► Long run dynamics Figure 5. Shift in demand curve D1 Figure 6. Shift in supply curve D2 D1 S S1 S2 (M2) P2 (M1) P1 (M1) P1 (M2) P2 Q1 Q2 Q1 A shift in demand curve from D1 to D2 moves the equilibrium from (M1) to (M2). The change in equilibrium is a movement along the supply curve in this case. The equilibrium price increases from P1 to P2 while the equilibrium quantity increases from Q1 to Q2. 2016 Kellogg School of Management Q2 A shift in supply curve from S1 to S2 moves the equilibrium from (M1) to (M2). The change in equilibrium is a movement along the demand curve in this case. The equilibrium price decreases from P1 to P2 while the equilibrium quantity increases from Q1 to Q2. lecture 3 page | 3 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions market dynamics: shifting curves ► Demand and supply curves shifts ► Long run dynamics Consider a firm serving two markets characterized by demand curves D1 and D2. They intersecting at point (M0) which is the initial equilibrium in both markets (the initial supply curve is Sinitial for both markets thus the same price P0 and quantity Q0 are initially seen in both markets). Figure 7. Demand elasticity and shift in supply curve D1 The firm manages to decrease its marginal cost which result in a rotation downward in the supply curve to Snew for each market. In market one the new equilibrium is at point (M1) with price P1 and quantity Q1. In market two the new equilibrium is at point (M2) with price P2 and quantity Q2. Sinitial D2 Snew (M0) P0 P2 P1 (M2) (M1) What explains the different reaction in the two markets (notice that P1 > P2 and Q1 < Q2)? Which demand is more elastic at the initial point (M0)? Q0 Q1 Q2 A change in price will result in a higher change in quantity for a more elastic demand. In this case D2 is more elastic than D1 at the initial point (M0). 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 page | 4 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions market dynamics: the long-run ► Demand and supply curves shifts ► Long run dynamics Figure 9. Shut-down and entry price: several firms Figure 8. Shut-down and entry price: one firm MC = S(1) MC = S(1) FRATC Pentry ATC S(N) Pentry Pshut-down Pshut-down Start with one firm that has a simple marginal cost function, i.e. MC(Q) = cQ. We already know that the shut-down price is the minATC and the entry price is minFRATC. The interpretation of these two thresholds is simple: - if the market price is expected to be forever below Pshut-down then the firm is better off to close - if the market price is expected to be forever above Pentry then the investor should incur the investment costs and setup an operational firm When several identical firms enter the market the shut-down and entry price thresholds have the same meaning. 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 page | 5 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions market dynamics: the long-run ► Demand and supply curves shifts ► Long run dynamics The market starts at point (M0). The market price P0 is below the shut-down price Pshut-down. Figure 10. Market exit Snew If the demand curve (D) is expected to remain the same forever then some firms will have to exit the market… What is the market dynamics? D Sinitial Pentry As firms et the market the supply curve starts to rotate to the left with the market price increasing as a result. Pshut-down The market intermediate equilibrium P0 points are all aligned along the demand curve. The exit process ends when enough firms exit the market to bring the market price just equal to Pshut-down. At point (M1) the market settles in the new equilibrium with an obvious contraction of the total output offered and at a higher price. 2016 Kellogg School of Management (M1) (M0) Q1 Q0 Market output decreases as a result of firms exiting the market. lecture 3 page | 6 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions market dynamics: the long-run ► Demand and supply curves shifts ► Long run dynamics The market starts at point (M1) with initial demand curve (D1). The market price is exactly Pshut-down. Say market demand expands to a new curve (D2) and is expected to remain at this new schedule forever… What is the market dynamics? Figure 11. Market entry (M2) P2 Snew D1 Pentry Obviously the new equilibrium is at point (M2) where the market price P2 is above the entry price... we expect Pshut-down some entry to occur… In the interim the existing firms will expand their output resulting in an increase in market output increase from Q1 to Q2. The entry process begins with new firms entering the market which rotate the supply curve to the right… The entry process ends when enough firms enter the market to bring the market price just equal to Pentry. 2016 Kellogg School of Management Sinitial D2 (M3) (M1) Q1 Q2 In the first phase market output increases as a result of existing firms increasing their output. lecture 3 Q3 The market output continues to increase as new firms enter the market. page | 7 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions market dynamics: key points ► Demand and supply curves shifts ► Long run dynamics ► The market equilibrium will be found at the intersection of demand and supply curves… ► We can distinguish the short-run dynamics and the long-run dynamics: - the short-run refers to the adjustment from a current equilibrium to the new equilibrium through an adjustment of output for existing firms - the long-run refers to the adjustment from a current equilibrium to the new equilibrium through an adjustment in the number of firms operating in the market (exit or entry) ► The critical point in understanding the long-run adjustment is always to consider the shut-down and entry threshold prices in relation to a “hypothetical” forever price level… 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 page | 8 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions government intervention and market efficiency ► Consumer surplus, producer surplus and market efficiency ► Government intervention ► Consider a consumer who has to decide how much he values each additional unit he might consume. Arguably each additional unit brings a lower satisfaction. Figure 12. Consumer surplus (I) 12 11 ► On the vertical axis we record the (hypothetical) amount the consumer is willing to give up for each unit… value for 1st unit ► Suppose that actually he can buy any number of units at the same price $4 per unit. How many units is he going to buy? value for 2nd unit 9 value for 3rd unit ► Given the conditions in the diagram he will buy 4 units value for 4th unit his valuation ($10) – price ($4) = surplus ($6) This is the area of the first vertical rectangle… ► For the second unit he gets a surplus of $4 as: consumer surplus 8 7 ► As long as his valuation of a certain unit is at least as high as the price he has to pay for it he will buy that unit ► For the first unit he gets a surplus of $6 as: 10 6 5 (price) P = $4 4 3 value for 5th unit value for 6th unit 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q his valuation ($8) – price ($4) = surplus ($4) This is the area of the second vertical rectangle… consumer surplus 2016 Kellogg School of Management The total consumer surplus is the sum of all the per unit surpluses ( = own valuation – price) for each unit demanded. lecture 3 units demanded page | 9 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions government intervention and market efficiency ► Consumer surplus, producer surplus and market efficiency ► Government intervention Figure 13. Consumer surplus (II) price ($) ► If we consider now that the good can be divided in very small units we get a “smooth” demand curve for the good. ► Moreover aggregating demand over all consumers in the market we can talk about the market demand for the good and consumers’ surplus defined as ► The total consumer surplus is the area under the demand curve and above the price charged. 12 11 value for 1st unit 9 value for 2nd unit value for 4th unit Area = ½ ∙ (8) ∙ (4) = 16 consumer surplus 8 7 value for 3rd unit ► For the case shown in the diagram we get: 10 6 5 (price) P = $4 4 3 value for 5th unit value for 6th unit market demand 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q units demanded 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 page | 10 microeconomics the analytics of constrained optimal decisions ► Consumer surplus, producer surplus and market efficiency ► Government intervention lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention government intervention and market efficiency Figure 14. Producer surplus (I) price ($) ► Consider a producer who has to decide how much it costs her each additional unit he might produce. Arguably (under increasing marginal cost) each additional unit brings a higher cost. 12 ► On the vertical axis we record the cost – the amount the producer is willing to give up for each unit produced… 10 ► Suppose that actually she can sell any number of units at the same price $4 per unit. How many units is she going to sell? 8 11 9 7 ► As long as her cost of a unit is at most as high as the price she receives for it she will produce and sell that unit cost of 6th unit 6 cost of 5th unit 5 ► Given the conditions in the diagram she will sell 4 units cost of 4th unit 4 ► For the first unit she gets a surplus of $3 as: cost of 3rd unit 3 cost of 2nd unit 2 cost of 1st unit 1 price ($4) – her cost ($1) = surplus ($3) This is the area of the first vertical rectangle… ► For the second unit she gets a surplus of $2 as: 0 (price) P = $4 producer surplus 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q price ($4) – her cost ($2) = surplus ($2) This is the area of the second vertical rectangle… producer surplus 2016 Kellogg School of Management The total producer surplus is the sum of all the per unit surpluses ( = price – cost for unit) for each unit sold. lecture 3 units produced page | 11 microeconomics the analytics of constrained optimal decisions ► Consumer surplus, producer surplus and market efficiency ► Government intervention lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention government intervention and market efficiency Figure 15. Producer surplus (II) price ($) ► If we consider now that the good can be divided in very small units we get a “smooth” supply curve for the good. 12 ► Moreover aggregating supply over all producers in the market we can talk about the market supply for the good and producers’ surplus defined as 11 ► The total producer surplus is the area above the supply curve and below the price received. 8 ► For the case shown in the diagram we get: Area = ½ ∙ (4) ∙ (4) = 8 market supply 10 9 7 cost of 6th unit 6 cost of 5th unit 5 cost of 4th unit 4 cost of 3rd unit 3 cost of 2nd unit 2 cost of 1st unit 1 0 (price) P = $4 producer surplus 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q units produced 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 page | 12 microeconomics the analytics of constrained optimal decisions lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention government intervention and market efficiency Figure 16. Market equilibrium and total surplus price ($) 12 ► The quantity traded and trading price in a free-of-constraints market is obtained at the intersection of demand and supply curves. demand 11 10 supply 9 8 7 6 ► The total surplus is the sum of the consumers’ and producers’ surpluses. (CS) 5 (price) P = $4 4 3 (PS) 2 consumers’ surplus (CS) light gray area producers’ surplus (PS) dark grey area total surplus 1 0 ► In this case (left diagram) the equilibrium price is P = $4 and 4 units are traded. Consumers’ surplus is the area below the demand curve and above the price paid. Producers’ surplus is the are above the supply curve and below the price received. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q (CS) + (PS) ► For the case shown in the diagram we get: Total surplus = 16 + 8 = 24 equilibrium Defines the market outcome in terms of price and quantity. efficiency Related to the possibility to obtain a total surplus at least as high (through a different pair of price and quantity) as the total surplus obtained through the market outcome. 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 page | 13 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions government intervention: price floor Figure 17. Price floor analysis non-binding floor price ($) 12 12 demand 11 supply A 9 B 6 C 5 4 2 A E 3 floor PF = $2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 B C 4 D 8 9 10 Q 2 floor PF = $8 market outcome 5 market outcome 1 0 oversupply 6 units 7 7 3 supply 8 8 6 demand 11 10 10 9 binding floor price ($) D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 left diagram right diagram change consumers’ surplus A+B+C A –B–C producers’ surplus D+E B+D +B–E total surplus A+B+C+D+E A+B+D –E–C 2016 Kellogg School of Management ► For a binding case the floor has effect on the market: the floor becomes the transaction price. ► Whenever the price floor is binding the producers would like to produce more than what the consumers demand (oversupply). E 1 0 ► Price floor: a minimum price imposed in the market (the price in the market cannot be less than the price floor). lecture 3 10 Q deadweight loss page | 14 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions government intervention: price ceiling Figure 18. Price ceiling analysis non-binding ceiling price ($) 12 12 demand 11 supply A 9 ceiling PC = $8 8 B 6 4 1 0 A 4 3 2 F 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 C 5 market outcome E D B 8 9 10 Q 0 market outcome E D ceiling PC = $2 F shortage 3 units 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 left diagram right diagram change consumers’ surplus A+B+C A+B+D +D–C producers’ surplus D+E+F F – D–E total surplus A+B+C+D+E+F A+B+D+F –E–C 2016 Kellogg School of Management ► Price ceiling: a maximum price imposed in the market (the price in the market cannot be more than the price ceiling). ► For a binding case the ceiling has effect on the market: the ceiling becomes the transaction price. 8 6 C 5 2 supply 7 7 3 demand 11 10 10 9 binding ceiling price ($) lecture 3 10 Q ► Whenever the price ceiling is binding the consumers would like to buy more than what the producers offer (demand surplus). deadweight loss page | 15 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions government intervention: taxes Figure 19. Consumer tax analysis no taxes price ($) 12 12 demand 11 A price paid by consumer 7 B 6 C 5 4 market outcome E D tax paid by consumer 0 A PC 8 7 6 B C 5 4 E D market outcome price received by PD 2 producer 1 F F 1 9 3 2 1 supply 10 8 3 demand 11 supply 10 9 consumer tax of $6 per unit price ($) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 10 Q 1 left diagram right diagram change consumers’ surplus A+B+C A –B–C producers’ surplus D+E+F F –D–E B+D +B+D A+B+D+F –E–C government revenue total surplus 2016 Kellogg School of Management A+B+C+D+E lecture 3 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q deadweight loss page | 16 microeconomics the analytics of constrained optimal decisions ► Tax on consumers lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention government intervention and market efficiency consumer tax of $6 per unit price ($) 12 demand 11 supply 10 9 price paid by P 8 consumer C tax paid by consumer 7 tax burden on consumer tax burden on producer A 6 B C 5 equilibrium price, P* 4 no taxes 3 market outcome E D price received by 2 PD producer 1 F 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q For the consumer tax case the difference between the price paid by consumer (PC) and the price received by the producer (PD) is exactly the tax (t): PC – PD = t Using the equilibrium price for “no taxes case” (P*), the above difference can be written as (PC – P*) + (P* – PD) = t The “tax burdens” (TB) for consumer and producer respectively are then: 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 P P * TBconsumer C t TBproducer P * PD t page | 17 microeconomics lecture 3 the perfectly competitive market & government intervention the analytics of constrained optimal decisions ► DEMAND: demand key points - shows the willingness to pay for each unit ► CONSUMER consumer surplus SURPLUS: - the difference between the willingness to pay and the actual payment for all units that the buyers ends buying - critical issues: clearly identify the price paid for each unit and the number of units that the consumer buys; the surplus is calculated only for the units actually bought supply ► SUPPLY: - shows the minimum price accepted by the producer for each unit to be produced ► PRODUCER producer surplus SURPLUS: - the difference between the price received for each unit sold and the cost of producing those units - critical issues: clearly identify the price received for each unit and the number of units that the producer sells; the surplus is calculated only for the units actually sold total surplus ► APPLICATIONS: - represent the sum of consumer and producer surpluses (and other agents in economy) ► DEADWEIGHT deadweight loss LOSS: - the surplus that is lost as a result of a certain change in market conditions - it is important to remember that the deadweight loss is a relative measure: calculate the total surplus under scenario 1 and scenario 2 – the change in total surplus (if negative) gives you the deadweight loss – if the change is positive you obtained a surplus gain 2016 Kellogg School of Management lecture 3 page | 18