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Maths Quest Maths B Year 11 for Queensland Chapter 11 Introduction to probability WorkSHEET 11.2 1 WorkSHEET 11.2 Introduction to probability Name: ___________________________ 1 Jason is a goalkicker in a Rugby League team. 186 Relative frequency = During the season he kicked 186 goals from 250 250 attempts. Find the relative frequency of his = 0.744 successfully kicking a goal. 2 2 A car manufacturer sells 32 000 cars over a 1500 Relative frequency = 100% period of 1 year. Each car has a one year 32000 warranty and 1500 of the cars sold need to have = 4.6875% repairs done under warranty. As a percentage, find the relative frequency of a car needing repairs under warranty. 2 3 A manufacturer of a video recorder keeps track Total number of video recorders = 300 2 of the age of recorders that are in need of Number needing repair in warranty period = 32 repair. Age (months) No. of videos 32 Percentage needing repair = 100% 0-3 2 300 3-6 6 = 10.7% 6 - 12 12 - 24 24 - 36 over 36 24 45 125 98 The manufacturing process will need to be upgraded. The manufacturer of the video recorders offers a 12-month warranty. If more than 10% of videos require repairs in the warranty period, the manufacturing process will need to be upgraded. Determine if this will be necessary. 4 Generate a series of 10 random numbers between 1 and 100. Answers vary 2 5 (a) Generate a series of random numbers to simulate 60 rolls of a die. Answers vary 4 (b) Draw a frequency histogram of your results. Maths Quest Maths B Year 11 for Queensland 6 Chapter 11 Introduction to probability WorkSHEET 11.2 Consider this table of calculator-generated random numbers. Use them to simulate the tossing of a coin and list the outcomes. 0.231 0.593 0.362 0.863 2 0 to 0.500 represents tail (T) 1 0.501 to 1.000 represents head (H) T, T, T, H, H, H, H, H, T, T 0.142 0.652 0.811 0.921 0.398 0.021 7 Given this sequence of 18 coin tosses, determine its long-run proportion for Tails. H, H, T, H, T, T, H, T, T, T, H, T, H, T,T,T,H, T, T, H. 8 A die which is suspected of being biased, 250 (unfair) is tossed 900 times and it was observed Long-run proportion = 900 that a ‘5’ appeared 250 times. Calculate the = 0.278 long-run proportion and comment, based on the 1 expected proportion. Expected proportion = 6 = 0.167 1 12 20 = 0.6 Long-run proportion of Tails = 2 The long-run proportion is not about equal to the expected proportion. Hence, the die is biased. 9 A travelling saleswoman records her daily success rate at selling carry-bags. Compute her long-run proportion of sales to houses visited for each day and comment on whether she is improving her ability as a saleswoman. Sales 5 Houses visited 22 10 2 20 10 30 8 25 12 15 24 25 14 20 Three trainee bakers record the number of loaves of bread sold and the number ordered for a month. Work out the proportions to find which baker is the most effective. Baker Loaves sold Loaves ordered 1 60 90 2 150 198 3 260 300 2 Sales 5 2 10 8 12 15 Houses visited 22 20 30 25 24 25 Proportion 0.23 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 The proportion of sales is increasing; thus, the saleswoman’s ability is improving. 2 Baker Loaves sold Loaves ordered Proportion 1 60 90 0.67 2 150 198 0.76 3 260 300 0.87 Baker 3 has the greatest proportion, 0.87, and hence is the most effective.