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UROLOGICAL CANCERS IN WA L ES (DIAGNOSIS PERIOD 1995-2004) Occasional report S0602 Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction 2 Local Health Boards in Wales 3 Incidence of Urological Cancers in Wales, 1995-2004 4 Mortality of Urological Cancers in Wales, 1995-2004 10 Risk Factors and Aetiology of Urological Cancers 15 Health Statistics Wales 19 References 21 INTRODUCTION The following occasional report examines trends in incidence and mortality of urological cancers in Wales for the ten year period 1995-2004. Total numbers of cases are explored along with European Age Standardised Rates (EASR) per 100,000 population in Wales and by Local Health Board (LHB) in Wales to determine the variability of incidence and mortality rates throughout Wales. The EASR adjusts crude rates to take in effect the differing age structure that exists between the Welsh population and the European population. Thus direct comparisons between Welsh rates and European rates can be examined. For UK comparisons and review of risk factors we have extracted some figures and text from the UK and Ireland Cancer Atlas. WCISU contributed data and text to this collaborative UK project. 2 Figure A shows the LHBs in Wales that the following report examines. Figure A: Local Health Boards in Wales. NORTH WALES CANCER NETWORK Code Local Health Board NA Anglesey NC Gwynedd NE Conwy NG Denbighshire NJ Flintshire NL Wrexham NA NJ NE NG NL NC SOUTH WEST WALES CANCER NETWORK Code Local Health Board NN Powys NQ Ceredigion NS Pembrokeshire NU Carmarthenshire NX Swansea NZ Neath & Port Talbot NN NQ NS NU PL PP PH NZ PF NX PM PK PR PB PT PD 3 SOUTH EAST WALES CANCER NETWORK Code Local Health Board PB Bridgend PD Vale of Glamorgan PF Rhondda Cynon Taff PH Merthyr Tydfil PK Caerphilly PL Blaenau Gwent PM Torfaen PP Monmouthshire PR Newport PT Cardiff INCIDENCE OF UROLOGICAL CANCERS IN WALES 1995-2004 Urological Cancer can be split into various site specific cancers those being: • • • • • Prostate Cancer (ICD 10 code C61) Testicular Cancer (ICD 10 code C62) Penile Cancer (ICD 10 code C60) Bladder Cancer (ICD10 code C67) Kidney Cancer (ICD10 code C64-C66) Table 1 shows the total number of cases for urological cancers in Wales for the ten-year period 1995-2004. Table 1: Number of cases registered in Wales with urological cancers for the period 1995-2004. Male Prostate (males only) Testis (males only) Penis (males only) Bladder Kidney 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 1253 110 30 575 195 1262 97 34 634 198 1320 81 16 594 219 1298 92 23 604 190 1570 72 21 641 243 1655 75 25 637 219 1774 81 18 661 250 1807 87 19 604 239 2003 112 20 636 227 2281 94 21 671 267 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 225 119 228 105 229 132 238 144 252 150 262 139 244 133 247 156 246 161 252 163 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 1253 110 30 800 314 1262 97 34 862 303 1320 81 16 823 351 1298 92 23 842 334 1570 72 21 893 393 1655 75 25 899 358 1774 81 18 905 383 1807 87 19 851 395 2003 112 20 882 388 2281 94 21 923 430 Female Prostate (males only) Testis (males only) Penis (males only) Bladder Kidney Person Prostate (males only) Testis (males only) Penis (males only) Bladder Kidney Prostate cancer was the most common cancer in males for the ten year diagnosis period 1995-2004. This cancer accounted for approximately 21% of all male malignancies (excluding non-melanoma skin cancer). There were on average 1622 cases of prostate cancer per year for the period 1995-2004. Table 1 shows a general increase in prostate cancer incidence over the ten-year period 1995-2004 – this is attributed to Prostate 4 Specific Antigen (PSA) testing – cases are being diagnosed earlier than what they would have had it not been for PSA testing. There was a slight decrease in testicular cancer incidence in the late 1990s but have steadily increased throughout the early 2000s back to its mid 1990s level. Incidence figures for penile cancer steadily decreases throughout the ten year period investigated. Incidence of penile cancer is very rare and approximately 23 cases are diagnosed per year in Wales. Bladder cancer incidence figures continue to rise for both sexes for the period 19952004 (17% higher in 2004 compared with 1995 for males and 12% higher for females). Kidney cancer follows a similar trend as bladder cancer with a general increase in incidence for both sexes throughout the ten year period. Figure 1 shows the European Age Standardised Rate (EASR) per 100,000 population for three year rolling averages for urological cancers in males in Wales for the period 1995-2004. Figure 1: EASR per 100,000 population: three year rolling averages for male urological cancers in Wales 1995-2004. 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1995-1997 1996-1998 1997-1999 Prostate 1998-2000 1999-2001 Testis Penis Bladder 2000-2002 2001-2003 2002-2004 Kidney The EASR takes into account the differing age structure in Wales compared with the European population. Figure 1 shows EASR for testis, penis, bladder and kidney are stable over the ten-year period whereas for prostate cancer there is a sharp increase in the EASR from approximately 70 per 100,000 population for 1995-1997 to approximately 110 per 100,000 population for 2002-2004. Figure 2 shows the trend in EASR per 100,000 population for female bladder and kidney cancer in Wales for the period 1995-2004. 5 Figure 2: EASR per 100,000 population: three year rolling averages for female urological cancers in Wales 1995-2004. 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1995-1997 1996-1998 1997-1999 1998-2000 1999-2001 Bladder 2000-2002 2001-2003 2002-2004 Kidney Figure 2 shows a slight increase in EASR per 100,000 population for bladder cancer in the late 1990s/early 2000s before falling back to its mid 1990s levels. Female kidney cancer shows a general increase in EASR per 100,000 population for three year rolling averages for the period 1995-2004. Table 2 shows the number of male and female urological cancers for the ten year period 1995-2004 for all twenty two Local Health Boards (LHB) in Wales along with 95% confidence intervals. Penile cancer is not shown due to the very small numbers of cases. 6 Table 2: Total numbers of cases registered with urological cancers by Local Health Board in Wales, 1995-2004. Male Total *Prostate (males) 95% CI EASR Total *Testis (males) EASR 95% CI Total Bladder EASR 95% CI Total Kidney EASR 95% CI Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy Denbighshire Flintshire Wrexham Powys Ceredigion Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire Swansea Neath Port Talbot Bridgend The Vale of Glamorgan Cardiff Rhondda Cynon Taff Merthyr Tydfil Caerphilly Blaenau Gwent Torfaen Monmouthshire Newport 393 688 922 686 787 682 853 408 751 1104 1423 695 680 696 1535 1151 234 670 378 378 524 585 81.3 85.1 101.1 100.3 93.5 90.2 88.3 75.6 93.7 87.9 96.0 77.2 86.7 94.4 96.1 84.9 70.8 71.7 85.0 70.5 89.4 73.4 (73.1,89.4) (78.7,91.6) (94.3,107.8) (92.6,108.0) (87.0,100.1) (83.4,97.1) (82.3,94.3) (68.1,83.0) (86.9,100.5) (82.6,93.1) (90.9,101.1) (71.4,83.1) (80.1,93.4) (87.3,101.5) (91.2,101.0) (79.9,90.0) (61.6,80.1) (66.2,77.2) (76.3,93.8) (63.2,77.7) (81.7,97.1) (67.4,79.5) 17 30 27 36 50 45 43 26 35 62 77 48 41 49 87 65 14 36 17 26 20 50 5.2 5.5 5.8 8.6 6.9 7.1 7.3 8.1 7.1 8.0 7.2 7.5 6.5 9.4 5.6 5.8 5.3 4.4 5.2 6.2 5.2 7.5 (2.7,7.7) (3.5,7.5) (3.6,8.1) (5.7,11.4) (5.0,8.8) (5.0,9.1) (5.1,9.5) (4.9,11.2) (4.7,9.5) (6.0,10.1) (5.6,8.8) (5.3,9.6) (4.5,8.5) (6.8,12.1) (4.4,6.7) (4.4,7.3) (2.5,8.1) (3.0,5.9) (2.7,7.7) (3.8,8.6) (2.9,7.5) (5.4,9.6) 153 263 303 240 333 274 262 155 251 452 511 305 251 261 572 434 112 308 127 179 187 324 32.6 34.7 35.2 35.8 40.1 36.9 28.0 30.4 32.5 37.3 35.2 35.0 32.8 36.0 35.9 32.7 34.8 33.2 30.4 32.8 34.2 41.8 (27.4,37.9) (30.5,39.0) (31.0,39.4) (31.1,40.4) (35.8,44.5) (32.5,41.4) (24.5,31.5) (25.5,35.3) (28.4,36.6) (33.8,40.8) (32.1,38.4) (31.0,39.0) (28.7,36.9) (31.6,40.4) (32.9,38.9) (29.6,35.9) (28.3,41.3) (29.4,37.0) (25.0,35.8) (27.9,37.7) (29.3,39.2) (37.2,46.4) 58 103 111 79 114 92 115 44 106 173 192 113 97 93 188 164 36 96 56 56 65 96 12.8 14.6 14.5 12.5 14.1 13.2 13.7 9.4 14.8 15.5 14.6 14.0 13.1 13.6 12.1 12.8 11.6 10.7 14.1 11.1 12.3 12.8 (9.4,16.1) (11.7,17.5) (11.7,17.3) (9.7,15.4) (11.5,16.8) (10.5,15.9) (11.1,16.3) (6.6,12.2) (11.9,17.7) (13.2,17.9) (12.5,16.7) (11.4,16.7) (10.5,15.8) (10.8,16.4) (10.4,13.9) (10.8,14.8) (7.7,15.4) (8.6,12.9) (10.3,17.8) (8.2,14.1) (9.3,15.3) (10.2,15.4) Wales 16223 87.4 (86.0,88.8) 901 6.5 (6.1,7.0) 6257 34.7 (33.8,35.6) 2247 13.3 (12.7,13.8) Female Total Bladder EASR 95% CI Total Kidney EASR 95% CI Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy Denbighshire Flintshire Wrexham Powys Ceredigion Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire Swansea Neath Port Talbot Bridgend The Vale of Glamorgan Cardiff Rhondda Cynon Taff Merthyr Tydfil Caerphilly Blaenau Gwent Torfaen Monmouthshire Newport 62 107 126 91 108 112 96 53 96 170 173 145 103 110 220 199 44 116 54 75 77 86 11.0 10.1 10.8 9.3 9.8 10.9 8.1 7.3 9.5 10.5 9.4 12.0 9.7 11.5 10.1 11.0 10.4 9.4 9.0 10.7 10.6 7.4 (8.1,14.0) (8.0,12.2) (8.6,12.9) (7.1,11.5) (7.9,11.8) (8.7,13.1) (6.3,9.9) (5.1,9.4) (7.5,11.6) (8.8,12.2) (7.9,11.0) (9.9,14.2) (7.7,11.7) (9.2,13.8) (8.6,11.5) (9.4,12.7) (7.1,13.7) (7.6,11.2) (6.3,11.6) (8.1,13.2) (8.0,13.2) (5.7,9.2) 31 61 67 47 58 61 64 30 64 84 108 80 53 69 132 117 31 66 30 42 46 61 5.7 6.7 7.4 6.0 5.9 6.5 6.6 5.1 7.1 5.9 6.8 7.7 5.6 8.7 7.4 7.3 7.7 5.9 5.9 6.6 7.6 6.4 (3.5,7.9) (4.9,8.6) (5.4,9.3) (4.1,8.0) (4.3,7.5) (4.8,8.3) (4.9,8.3) (3.0,7.2) (5.2,9.0) (4.5,7.2) (5.4,8.2) (5.8,9.5) (4.0,7.2) (6.5,10.8) (6.1,8.8) (5.9,8.7) (4.8,10.6) (4.4,7.4) (3.7,8.2) (4.5,8.7) (5.3,9.9) (4.7,8.1) Wales 2423 10.0 (9.5,10.4) 1402 6.7 (6.3,7.1) It can be seen that LHBs in North Wales have the highest EASR per 100,000 population for prostate cancer compared with Wales as a whole (significantly higher in Conwy and Denbighshire). Note that penile cancer by LHB is not presented here due to the very small numbers observed by LHB in Wales. The highest rates of testicular cancer are located in the Vale of Glamorgan whereas the lowest rates of testicular cancer are located in the Isle of Anglesey and Monmouthshire. EASR per 100,000 population for male bladder cancer range from 28.0 per 100,000 population in Powys (significantly lower compared with Wales) to 41.8 per 100,000 population in Newport (significantly higher compared with Wales). EASR per 100,000 population for male kidney cancer vary throughout Wales. 7 EASR per 100,000 population for female bladder cancer and kidney cancer vary throughout Wales but are high in the Vale of Glamorgan for both cancers and low in Ceredigion for both cancers (significantly lower for bladder cancer). The following information was taken from the “Cancer Atlas of the UK and Ireland 19912000”. The report is available electronically by clicking on the above link. Figure 3 shows EASR per 100,000 population for each country and region of England in the UK and Ireland for the period 1991-1999 for prostate cancer. Figure 3: EASR per 100,000 population for prostate cancer by country and region of England in the UK and Ireland 1991-1999. Figure 3 shows that rates in Wales appear slightly higher than the UK and Ireland average although Ireland has the highest EASR per 100,000 population for prostate cancer. Figure 4 shows the standardised incidence ratio for testicular cancer by health authority in UK and Ireland 1991-1999. 8 Figure 4: Standardised incidence ratio for testicular cancer by health authority in UK and Ireland 1991-1999. * Ratio of directly age standardised rate in health authority to UK and Ireland average Figure 4 shows lower than expected rates in South Wales and higher than expected rates in North Wales. Scotland has the highest testicular rates. 9 MORTALITY OF UROLOGICAL CANCERS IN WALES 1995-2004 Table 3 shows the total number of deaths for various urological cancers for the ten year period 1995-2004 in Wales. Table 3: Total number of deaths for urological cancers in Wales for the period 1995-2004. Male Prostate (males only) Testis (males only) Penis (males only) Bladder Kidney 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 593 6 8 166 83 513 12 7 167 103 534 4 9 187 94 497 4 7 181 107 479 0 3 128 117 498 6 7 152 93 616 2 7 174 111 529 3 5 152 121 579 4 2 167 111 633 6 2 150 118 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 93 60 114 53 65 56 81 65 84 67 84 72 77 60 103 67 86 74 83 71 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 593 6 8 259 143 513 12 7 281 156 534 4 9 252 150 497 4 7 262 172 479 0 3 212 184 498 6 7 236 165 616 2 7 251 171 529 3 5 255 188 579 4 2 253 185 633 6 2 233 189 Female Prostate (males only) Testis (males only) Penis (males only) Bladder Kidney Person Prostate (males only) Testis (males only) Penis (males only) Bladder Kidney There are a very small number of deaths for testicular and penile cancer in Wales. The number of prostate cancer deaths initially fell by 19% from 1995 to 1999 but has increased from 2000 onwards. The numbers of male bladder cancer has remained stable whereas the numbers of deaths for male kidney cancer has increased over the ten year period. A similar trend is seen for female bladder and kidney cancer. Figure 5 shows the EASR per 100,000 population in Wales for three year rolling averages for mortality of male urological cancers for the period 1995-2004 and figure 6 shows the EASR per 100,000 population in Wales for three year rolling averages for mortality of female bladder and kidney cancer for the period 1995-2004. 10 Figure 5: EASR per 100,000 population: three year rolling averages for mortality of male urological cancers in Wales 1995-2004. 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1995-1997 1996-1998 1997-1999 Prostate 1998-2000 1999-2001 Testis Penis Bladder 2000-2002 2001-2003 2002-2004 Kidney Figure 6: EASR per 100,000 population: three year rolling averages for mortality of female urological cancers in Wales 1995-2004. 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1995-1997 1996-1998 1997-1999 1998-2000 Bladder 11 1999-2001 Kidney 2000-2002 2001-2003 2002-2004 EASR per 100,000 population in Wales are constant for mortality of testicular cancer and penile cancer. EASR for bladder cancer and kidney cancer are stable for males whereas for prostate cancer there is a decrease for the first four periods followed by an increase for the later periods. For female urological cancers an increase in EASR per 100,000 population for kidney cancer is followed by a decrease in EASR per 100,000 population for bladder cancer and vice versa. This can also be seen in males (but not so clear due to the scale used). Table 4 shows the total number of deaths and EASR per 100,000 population by LHB in Wales for the period 1995-2004. Penile cancer and testicular cancer figures are not shown here due to the very small number of deaths in Wales for this period. Table 4: Total numbers of deaths for urological cancers by Local Health Board in Wales, 1995-2004. Male *Prostate (males) Total EASR 95% CI *Testis (males) Total EASR 95% CI Total Bladder EASR 95% CI Total Kidney EASR 95% CI Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy Denbighshire Flintshire Wrexham Powys Ceredigion Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire Swansea Neath Port Talbot Bridgend The Vale of Glamorgan Cardiff Rhondda Cynon Taff Merthyr Tydfil Caerphilly Blaenau Gwent Torfaen Monmouthshire Newport 138 259 276 216 200 212 291 147 308 363 434 242 239 222 481 407 88 272 144 126 175 231 28.4 31.9 28.0 28.5 23.5 27.5 28.4 26.0 38.9 28.5 28.1 26.5 29.6 29.1 27.6 30.7 25.8 29.8 34.4 23.9 29.2 28.7 (23.6,33.2) (28.0,35.8) (24.6,31.4) (24.6,32.4) (20.2,26.8) (23.8,31.3) (25.1,31.7) (21.7,30.3) (34.5,43.3) (25.5,31.5) (25.4,30.8) (23.0,29.9) (25.8,33.5) (25.2,33.0) (25.0,30.1) (27.6,33.8) (20.3,31.3) (26.1,33.4) (28.6,40.1) (19.6,28.2) (24.8,33.6) (24.9,32.5) 3 0 2 3 2 1 1 0 1 3 6 2 2 1 3 1 1 6 1 4 0 4 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.6 (0.0,1.8) (0.0,0.0) (0.0,1.0) (0.0,1.0) (0.0,0.6) (0.0,0.3) (0.0,0.2) (0.0,0.0) (0.0,0.5) (0.0,0.8) (0.1,1.0) (0.0,0.7) (0.0,0.7) (0.0,0.5) (0.0,0.4) (0.0,0.3) (0.0,1.0) (0.1,1.2) (0.0,1.1) (0.0,1.8) (0.0,0.0) (0.0,1.2) 24 68 70 63 75 69 91 33 80 119 105 84 76 61 151 111 32 87 38 55 51 81 4.6 8.8 7.5 8.6 9.0 9.0 9.3 5.5 9.8 9.4 7.0 9.1 9.4 8.2 8.9 8.3 9.3 9.5 9.0 9.7 9.2 9.9 (2.7,6.5) (6.6,10.9) (5.6,9.3) (6.4,10.7) (7.0,11.1) (6.8,11.1) (7.3,11.2) (3.6,7.4) (7.6,12.0) (7.6,11.1) (5.6,8.4) (7.1,11.2) (7.2,11.6) (6.1,10.3) (7.4,10.3) (6.7,9.9) (6.0,12.6) (7.4,11.5) (6.1,12.0) (7.1,12.3) (6.6,11.7) (7.7,12.1) 23 39 64 37 58 41 51 23 47 85 91 54 49 38 78 71 24 51 31 20 35 48 5.2 5.2 8.2 5.6 7.0 5.9 6.1 4.5 6.6 7.3 6.8 6.6 6.8 5.2 4.9 5.5 7.6 5.5 7.8 3.8 6.4 6.1 (3.1,7.4) (3.6,6.9) (6.1,10.3) (3.8,7.5) (5.2,8.9) (4.1,7.7) (4.4,7.9) (2.6,6.4) (4.7,8.6) (5.7,8.9) (5.4,8.2) (4.8,8.3) (4.8,8.7) (3.5,6.9) (3.8,6.0) (4.2,6.8) (4.5,10.8) (4.0,7.0) (5.0,10.5) (2.1,5.5) (4.2,8.5) (4.3,7.8) Wales 5471 28.8 (28.0,29.5) 47 0.3 (0.2,0.4) 1624 8.6 (8.2,9.0) 1058 6.1 (5.7,6.5) Total Kidney EASR 95% CI Female Total Bladder EASR 95% CI Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy Denbighshire Flintshire Wrexham Powys Ceredigion Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire Swansea Neath Port Talbot Bridgend The Vale of Glamorgan Cardiff Rhondda Cynon Taff Merthyr Tydfil Caerphilly Blaenau Gwent Torfaen Monmouthshire Newport 17 35 44 32 39 46 36 26 34 53 51 57 48 31 70 71 16 37 24 33 32 38 2.5 2.6 2.9 2.6 3.2 3.7 2.3 3.4 2.6 2.6 2.1 3.8 3.9 2.6 2.6 3.4 2.8 2.7 3.6 3.7 3.6 2.8 (1.2,3.8) (1.7,3.6) (1.9,3.9) (1.6,3.6) (2.1,4.2) (2.5,4.8) (1.5,3.1) (2.0,4.9) (1.7,3.6) (1.9,3.4) (1.5,2.7) (2.7,4.8) (2.7,5.1) (1.6,3.6) (1.9,3.2) (2.5,4.2) (1.4,4.2) (1.8,3.6) (2.0,5.2) (2.4,5.1) (2.3,5.0) (1.8,3.7) 13 30 36 18 22 39 36 13 29 41 37 29 27 26 59 60 13 34 21 18 15 29 1.9 2.9 3.1 1.6 2.0 3.9 3.0 1.8 2.8 2.4 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.8 3.7 2.2 1.8 2.9 (0.8,3.0) (1.8,4.1) (2.0,4.3) (0.7,2.5) (1.1,2.9) (2.6,5.3) (1.9,4.1) (0.7,2.9) (1.7,3.9) (1.6,3.2) (1.2,2.4) (1.4,3.2) (1.5,3.5) (1.7,4.1) (2.2,3.9) (2.5,4.3) (1.3,4.9) (1.8,3.8) (2.0,5.5) (1.1,3.2) (0.9,2.8) (1.8,4.0) Wales 870 2.9 (2.7,3.1) 645 2.7 (2.4,2.9) 12 Gwynedd has the highest EASR per 100,000 population in Wales at 31.9 per 100,000 population for prostate cancer and Flintshire has the lowest EASR (significant compared with Wales) per 100,000 population. Southern areas of Wales tend to have the highest EASR per 100,000 population for bladder cancer. Note that where the total number of deaths for a LHB is small, an increase of just one or two cases can dramatically affect the EASR per 100,000 population. The following information has been taken from the “Cancer Atlas of the UK and Ireland 1991-2000”. Figure 7 shows the EASR per 100,000 population for mortality of male and female bladder cancer by country in the UK and Ireland and region of England for the period 1991-2000. Figure 7: EASR per 100,000 population for bladder cancer by country and region of England in the UK and Ireland 1991-2000. The EASR per 100,000 population is lower in Wales than the UK and Ireland average for both males and females. The highest rates are located in Scotland whereas the lowest rates are located in Ireland for both sexes. Figure 8 show the standardised mortality ratios by health authority in the UK and Ireland for prostate cancer and testicular cancer for the period 1991-2000. 13 Figure 8: Standardised mortality ratios by health authority in UK and Ireland 19912000. Prostate cancer Testicular cancer * Ratio of directly age standardised rate in health authority to UK and Ireland average The map for prostate cancer generally shows similar ratios throughout the UK and Ireland whereas the mortality ratios for testicular cancer show greater variation throughout the UK and Ireland. Mortality ratios of testicular cancer are higher in parts of Wales compared with other health authorities but the highest mortality ratios are found in parts of Ireland and Scotland. 14 RISK FACTORS AND AETIOLOGY OF UROLOGICAL CANCERS (Text taken from the Cancer Atlas of the UK and Ireland) PROSATE CANCER The aetiology of prostate cancer is not well known. Despite evidence of important variations in incidence from international comparisons and studies of migrants, specific causal factors (such as environmental, life-style, diet, and occupation) have not been identified conclusively. An area of current research is diet and obesity.2,3 In the past, many studies have explored reproductive characteristics and sexual habits, including frequency of intercourse and masturbation, but with inconsistent results.4 It is clear that black men have higher incidence than white men. In the SEER Program of the United States National Cancer Institute, the age-standardised incidence in black men is about 70 per cent higher than in white men.1 In the UK, the largest concentrations of black people are in London and particularly in Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham (19 per cent); and East London and the City (14 per cent). Neither these areas, nor London as a whole, appear to have particularly high incidence rates of prostate cancer (Map 20.2). Consistent with the relatively high incidence in Ireland observed in this study, a study of Irish migrants found increased incidence in Irish men living in the UK.5 The main difficulty with aetiological research in prostate cancer is the heterogeneity of the disease, ranging from highly prevalent but clinically indolent cancers, to highly aggressive and often fatal disease.6 Any assessment of incidence or survival will be highly sensitive to the intensity of diagnostic procedures in the community (for example, through testing for PSA) and to temporal and spatial variation in the use of such procedures. The mortality rate is much less influenced by such changes. In research into possible causes of prostate cancer it is imperative that asymptomatic, PSA-detected disease is considered separately from symptomatic disease, as the risk factors could be different. Because of these issues, it may be preferable to use prostate cancer mortality as an endpoint, even in research into possible causes. TESTICULAR CANCER There is a considerable body of evidence, both indirect and direct, which indicates that the rate-limiting steps in the development of testicular cancer occur very early in life, most probably early in gestation around the time of differentiation of the genital organs.7,8-11 The susceptible cell population from which testicular germ cell cancers arise are most likely the primordial germ cells, which in normal development differentiate into spermatogonia in males or oocytes in females. Occasionally, primordial germ cells persist in the undifferentiated state and give rise to a pre-malignant condition known as testicular carcinoma in situ, which in turn has a very high probability of progression to invasive cancer after the onset of puberty.12 Consistent risk factors for testicular cancer are congenital malformations of the genital organs (particularly cryptorchidism – failure of the testicles to descend into the scrotum), low birth weight and intrauterine growth retardation, low maternal parity, and subfertility.13-15 Other postulated risk factors include maternal exposure to exogenous 15 oestrogens during the first trimester of pregnancy, and a history of trauma to the affected testicle.16 It has been suggested that heritability plays a role in the aetiology of testicular cancer, with a family history of testicular cancer among first degree relatives being a postulated risk factor.16 It has been estimated that the risk of testicular cancer in the brothers of cases is 2.2 per cent.17 Rates of testicular cancer vary between different ethnic groups and different European populations, with higher rates in males of European origin than Asian and black males.18 The incidence in England and Wales is amongst the highest in the world.19 In the SEER cancer registries of the United States National Cancer Institute, the age-standardised incidence rate is five times higher in white males than in black males. In Los Angeles, where incidence rates are reported separately by ethnic group, the rates are: nonHispanic white 5.7 per 100,000; Hispanic white 3.1; Japanese 2.3; black 1.4; Chinese 1.0; Filipinos 0.8; and Koreans 0.6. Rates around 1.0 per 100,000 or lower are reported from China, India and Pakistan. BLADDER CANCER Substantial epidemiological evidence supports a relationship between bladder cancer and cigarette smoking. It has been suggested that up to 40 per cent of all male and 10 per cent of female cases might be ascribable to this exposure.20 The relative risks are around 2-3 fold.21 The causative links were established as the result of positive associations from at least 8 cohort and over 15 case-control studies, the best known cohort study being that of British doctors.22 The striking consistency of their findings, the dose-response relationships23,24 and the identification of at least two known bladder carcinogens in cigarette smoke (2-naphthylamine and 4-aminobiphenyl) as well as the identification of aromatic amine based DNAadducts, 25 all give confidence that there is a causative link. However, there are only weak overall correlations in incidence between the sexes and very little agreement with the geographical pattern of lung cancer in the UK and Ireland or with long-term trends in lung cancer in either sex. The geographical distribution of bladder cancer, despite the links with cigarette smoking, does not show a marked association with areas of higher tobacco consumption, as does that for lung cancer. This seems to indicate that cigarette smoking is not a dominant factor in the aetiology of the condition and raises the possibility that the associations with smoking may be confounded with other factors. The relative risks found in some studies may be related to the kind of tobacco smoked. Black tobacco (composed of air-cured tobacco) used more in southern Europe produces more 4- aminobiphenyl in the mainstream smoke than blond (fluecured) tobacco.26,27 The risk of bladder cancer is 2 to 3 times higher among smokers of black tobacco than among smokers of blond tobacco.28 Bladder cancer is strongly linked to occupational and environmental exposure to chemicals. Occupational exposure is estimated to be the cause of around 20 per cent of current bladder cancer cases. Studies in the dye intermediates industry and the rubber industry in the 1950s have indicated that arylamines such as 2-napthylamine, benzidine and (in the USA) 4-aminobiphenyl are all human bladder carcinogens.29,30 Consequently, the industrial use of 2-napthylamine and of benzidine was banned in the UK in 1950 and 1962, respectively. However, deaths from occupational cancer may take place several decades after initial causal exposures. Long latent periods of up to 40 years or more from first industrial exposure are observed and therefore, despite removal of known carcinogens, occupationally caused bladder cancers may continue to be diagnosed and account for the excess bladder mortality that occurs to workers in the chemical industry. 16 Also, recent studies still show excess risk of bladder cancer in workers of the rubber industry with no recorded exposure to 2-napthylamine. This indicates that other agents in this industry may be associated with the occurrence of bladder cancer among rubber workers.31 The source of other possible chemical carcinogens causing bladder cancer is more controversial, being based largely on case-control studies only. It is possible that leather workers,32 painters,33,34 truck drivers,35 aluminium workers,36 and those in jobs with a high exposure to printing inks, cutting oils and solder37 all might be at some slight excess risk of bladder cancer. The risk areas for females had a higher percentage of workers in textile-related occupations.38 High-risk areas had more male glass workers and female ceramic workers than the national average.38 Investigation of excess bladder cancer mortality for the period 1968-78 in London using death certificate data showed significant rate ratios for all road transport drivers and leather workers.39 It is possible therefore, that the observed regional variation in bladder cancer incidence and mortality could in part be a reflection of a number of different occupational exposures from industries concentrated in different areas of the UK and Ireland. Some treatments for cancer have been attributed to increasing the risk of subsequent bladder cancer. The alkylating agent cyclophosphamide used largely in cancer chemotherapy confers a risk of bladder cancer.40 Ionising irradiation undoubtedly can cause bladder cancer in people heavily exposed, such as those treated for cervix cancer by external beam radiation.41 However, this risk cannot provide a geographical explanation of bladder cancer patterns, as these risks apply only to a welldefined and small group of people. Environmental studies show increasing evidence that arsenic ingestion causes a risk of bladder cancer. Documented causes are exposure to high levels of arsenic in the national environment as occurred in Taiwan,42 or (unusual) arsenic ingestion of Fowler’s solution as a medication.43 Chlorination of drinking water has been linked to a modestly increased risk of bladder cancer in the USA44 but the levels of chlorination in the British Isles are low (well within World Health Organisation guidelines) and generally uniform in those houses supplied with mains water. However, the excessive use of phenacetin (acetaminophen) confers a risk of cancer to the urethelial tract generally.45 Since the analgesic has been banned in the UK, this is at best, a historical risk. Genetic susceptibility is associated with bladder cancer aetiology. It is not known whether this genetic susceptibility varies geographically and so whether it contributes to the overall pattern of distribution. The geographical distribution of bladder cancer in the UK is unlikely to be influenced by any of these factors. KIDNEY CANCER About 85 per cent of kidney cancers are renal cell carcinomas, with most of the remaining cases being transitional cell carcinomas of the renal pelvis and ureter. Renal cell carcinomas have a tendency to spread to other parts of the body via the blood stream rather than the lymph nodes, giving rise to metastases, particularly in the lungs. For cancer of the renal pelvis and ureter, studies have found that cigarette smoking is a major risk factor,46-48 although for renal cell carcinoma, the association with smoking is weaker.48-52 The use of phenacetin-containing analgesics is a major risk factor for cancer 17 of the renal pelvis and ureter,53 but there are no current UK Marketing Authorisations (product licenses) for any products containing phenacetin as an active substance. There is evidence of increased risk of renal cell carcinoma with excess body weight 51,5456 and since the prevalence of obesity is increasing in the UK population, it may have contributed to the increasing incidence.57 In addition, medications related to the treatment of hypertension or the severity of hypertension itself are also possible risk factors.58 For patients who undergo renal dialysis, there is increased incidence of acquired cystic disease of the kidney, which predisposes to kidney cancer, particularly in males.59 While inherited factors such as von Hippel-Lindau Syndrome60 are very rare, these patients develop multiple types of cancer and are thus at greater risk of developing kidney cancer. Although the main treatment is surgery, kidney cancer responds to biological treatments, the main ones being interleukin-2 and interferon. Kidney cancer is, however, not very responsive to chemotherapy or radiotherapy. 18 HEALTH STATISTICS WALES The Welsh Health Survey relies on a self-completed questionnaire. The results, therefore, reflect people’s own understanding of their health rather than a clinical assessment of their medical condition, and their own interpretation of the health services they have used. The survey results are weighted to take account of unequal selection probabilities, and for differential non-response. The following data is taken from Health Statistics Wales (2006, National Assembly for Wales). Table 5 shows health related lifestyle age standardised statistics for adults by Unitary Authority in Wales, 2003-2005. Table 5: Health related lifestyle (adults) by Unitary Authority, 2003-2005 (a). Smoking Alcohol consumption (b) Binge drinking (c) Unitary Authority Isle of Anglesey Gwynedd Conwy Denbighshire Flintshire Wrexham 28 31 28 26 26 26 37 39 35 35 37 39 16 17 17 17 17 19 44 42 43 42 39 40 33 35 31 32 30 25 52 52 51 50 53 57 Powys Ceredigion Pembrokeshire Carmarthenshire Swansea Neath Port Talbot 24 26 26 28 26 29 38 33 38 37 40 45 19 14 16 16 19 20 45 46 43 43 38 40 36 37 33 30 26 26 51 49 55 54 53 56 Bridgend The Vale of Glamorgan Cardiff Rhondda; Cynon; Taff Merthyr Tydfil Caerphilly Blaenau Gwent Torfaen Monmouthshire Newport 29 25 27 28 27 28 31 29 22 26 44 40 39 45 48 42 47 41 35 38 22 19 21 24 22 21 23 20 20 20 38 43 41 35 38 36 35 36 43 38 29 28 27 25 29 25 27 27 32 29 57 53 53 60 58 56 59 56 49 54 Wales Source: Welsh Health Survey 27 40 19 40 29 54 Consumption Physical Overweight of fruit and activity (e) or obese vegetables (d) (a) Observed percentages are shown here, for age-standardised percentages see the Welsh Health Survey report. For details of measures (eg units, portions) used please see note at beginning of chapter. (b) Usual alcohol consumption above daily guidelines. (c) Alcohol consumption on heaviest drinking day in previous week above 'binge drinking' threshold. (d) Met guidelines the previous day. (e) Met guidelines the previous week. 19 Smoking: Those who smoke at least occasionally. Alcohol consumption: The advice is that men should not drink more than 4 units of alcohol per day, and women should drink no more than 3 units of alcohol per day. These daily benchmarks apply whether you drink every day, once or twice a week, or occasionally. A unit of alcohol is 10ml of pure alcohol. The list below shows the number of units of alcohol in common drinks:• 1 pint of ordinary strength beer, lager, stout, cider or shandy = 2 units • 1 pint of strong beer, lager, stout or cider = 3 units • 1 small glass of wine, sherry or vermouth = 1 unit • Single spirit measure (whisky, gin, vodka etc) = 1 unit • 1 alcopop = 1.5 units Binge drinking: twice daily guidelines (ie more than 8 units for men, more than 6 units for women). Consumption of fruit and vegetables: Guidelines are that 5 or more portions should be eaten per day. Physical activity: Undertaking physical activity according to the guidelines of at least 30 minutes of moderate or vigorous physical activity, at least 5 days a week. The 30 minutes can be built up in blocks of at least 10 minutes. Examples of each type of activity are: • light activity – housework or golf; • moderate activity – heavy gardening or fast walking; • vigorous activity – running or aerobics. Overweight or obese: The Body Mass Index (BMI) estimates how healthy our weight is, given our height. However it does not distinguish between mass due to body fat and mass due to muscular physique, nor does it take account of the distribution of fat. It is calculated as your weight in kilograms divided by the square of your height in metres. A person is classed as overweight or obese if the BMI is 25 or more. Height and weight of respondents are self-reported, and there is evidence to show that some people tend to under-report weight and/or over-report height, resulting in an under-estimation of the prevalence of overweight and obesity (Roberts, 199561). The Cancer Atlas of the UK and Ireland states that cigarette smoking is a major risk factor for bladder cancer and kidney cancer. The Welsh Health Survey results show areas in North Wales and South East Wales having the highest smoking rates, the highest being in Gwynedd and Blaenau Gwent. 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