* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download Food Security and Livelihood in Coastal area under increased
Survey
Document related concepts
Transcript
Food security and livelihood in coastal area under increased salinity and frequent tidal surge Abstract Food availability is a crucial dimension of food security in an agrarian society. It is largely realized through own food production of a specific society. Seasonality plays an important role in food security. This paper analyses the existing threat to food security and livelihood in coastal areas of developing countries, particularly in Bangladesh, with a focus on climate change and seasonality. There is a persistent food shortage during the sowing of crops and the pre-harvest period. The food deficit remains high during mid-August to end of October (68-95%) while it is the lowest in December (21%). During the pre-harvest period, farmers have to invest a lot of money at a time though they cannot afford it. Evidence suggests that food loans are common among the poor or small farmers during the food deficit period or in the event of flood. In response to the various sources on investment over 78% of the respondents were likely to have loans from micro-finance institutions and local individual money lenders. Problems remain as the salinity and over-fishing has drastically depleted open-water fisheries. Reviving livelihoods still remain a challenge for the vulnerable households especially in areas where agricultural diversity is very limited. Therefore, alternative livelihoods initiatives such as homestead or community-based cage fishing, cash grant and training on non-farm activities of women and men, generating employment through public work programmes need to be in place to ensure food security and livelihood of vulnerable people living in coastal areas. Keywords: Coastal area, Climate change, Food security, Livelihood, Salinity 1. Introduction Food security (FS) is an important issue in global south such as Bangladesh, particularly when it comes to the people affected by climate change. According to FAO, 805 million people are food insecure and of them 98% still live in developing countries (FAO, IFAD and WFP, 2014) and more than 30% are in South Asia (Lal et al., 2011). Increasing global food demand is largely determined by population growth (Tweeten and Thompson, 2009) as clearly mentioned by Sample (2007) that “To keep up with the growth in human population, more food will have to be produced worldwide over the next 50 years than has been during the past 10,000 years combined, the experts said”. Currently around 3 billion people, almost half of the world’s population, live within 200 kilometers of a coastline and this figure is likely to double by 2025 (Creel, 2003). In Asia and the Pacific, the sea level is expected to rise approximately 3–16 cm by 2030 and 7–50 cm by 2070 in conjunction with regional sea level variability (Preston et al., 2006) and the number of people facing floods in coastal areas will increase from 13 million to 94 million annually, with 60% of this increase occurring in South Asia (the coasts of Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Myanmar, and Sri Lanka) and 20% in Southeast Asia (the coasts of Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam) (Cruz et al. 2007). The highest number of undernourished was found in Asia, while the highest prevalence is in sub-Saharan Africa (FAO, 2013). However, in Bangladesh, almost 50 percent of the population lives in coastal areas (Brown, 2003). Bangladesh is one of the most vulnerable countries often faced with natural calamity (Huq, 2001; UNDP, 2007; Huq and Ayers, 2007; Yahya et. al., 2010; Piguet, 2008, Climate Risk Index, 2010). Higher growing season temperatures triggered by climate change can have dramatic impacts on agricultural productivity, thus household incomes, and overall food security (Battisti and Naylor, 2009; Droogers and Aerts, 2005; Alcamo et al., 2007; Barnett et al., 2005). It has been estimated that ensuring food security through costs of under nutrition interventions are as low as US$0.05–3.60 per person annually while it can reap benefits as high as 8–30 times the costs (Horton et al. 2009). Humanitarian, environmental and global security concerns demand a global commitment to improve the lot of the large proportion of the human population that is currently food insecure and requires prompt actions on building resilience to climate shocks and preparedness for adaptation, food price volatility, halting land degradation and boosting productive assets and infrastructure (Beddington et. al., 2012). The country like Bangladesh is under serious threat as a result of climate change and the coastal areas of Bangladesh are already affected through increased salinity as well as frequent tidal surge. The coast of Bangladesh is approximately 710 km long which has a very low-laying flat land comprising of 62 % of the land having an elevation less than three meters (Hasan, Mobassarul et al. 2009). Climate change threatens to decrease agricultural productivity, increase food insecurity (Alcamo et al., 2007; Barnett et al., 2005). It also challenges the livelihoods and survival of poor people, particularly small farmers, livestock keepers and the landless in least developed countries. The impact of climate change forces some to seek livelihoods elsewhere and may trap others into poverty. Every year people are migrating from coastal to urban areas because of environmental degradation in the form of frequent flooding, cyclones and storms, which makes their lives miserable. The continuous intrusion of salt water deep into the main land would be having severe negative impact on the eco-system and biodiversity, increase vulnerability of the landless poor farmers causing significant damages to natural and built infrastructure that weaken the fight against poverty and hunger by threatening their livelihood (Molden et al., 2010). The rationale of this study is to understand food security of people living close to coastlines and what is expected to happen with sea level rise influenced by climate change. Therefore, this article examines the challenges of food security under the wider geophysical, environmental and economic conditions in the south–western part of Bangladesh. Field research was carried in the coastal areas of Bangladesh with the purpose of identifying the links between the current food security and livelihood situation in the affected coastal areas of Bangladesh. 1.1 Status of Food Security in Bangladesh Food security is measured in terms of per capita food consumption at the national level by the average dietary energy supply (DES) in calories on the basis of national food balance sheets (FBS) and food supplies as national averages (FAO, 1996). According to the FAO, the average adult needs 2,300 kcal per day to lead a healthy and active life1. The people of Bangladesh have a long history of suffering from food insecurity (Siddique et al, 2015). Food insecurity in the present geographical area of Bangladesh prior to British rule (1757-1947) seems to have been relatively unknown (Talukder, 2008). According to Uppal (1984), Bengal lost 1.5 million people in 1943 in the most devastating famine of the twentieth century. In 1974, after three years of its 1 There are several different daily caloric benchmarks; the most widely used internationally is the FAO benchmark. It is calculated based on an average of normative calorie requirements the FAO calculates for individual countries. Until recently the benchmark was 2,100 calories per day. 2,300 calories reflects the FAO recommendation as of June 2012. independence from Pakistan, Bangladesh suffered its last major famine and the country lost another hundred thousand of its population. All these famines were due to a lack of access to food rather than food shortage, aggravated by a lack of political will to overcome the problem of unsustainable livelihoods (Dreze et al., 1995; Sen, 1999). On an average during the period 19621988, Bangladesh lost about 0.5 million tonnes of rice annually as a result of floods that accounts for nearly 30% of the country's average annual food grain imports (Paul and Rashid, 1993). Rice dominates food and water consumption patterns in the country; it contributed to 72% of the total calorie supply from food, and 81% and 79% of the total cropped and irrigated area, respectively, in 2010 (Amarasinghe et al., 2014). The people living in coastal areas of Bangladesh are suffering badly from deficiencies of nutrients like protein, fat, vitamins and minerals, causing various nutritional disorders and diseases. Most of the poor in coastal areas still rely on wheat through vulnerable-groups-development (VGD) scheme, food-for-education (FFE) and food-forwork (FFW) programmes and a chronology of food assisted programs is given in Table 1. The Fig. 1 shows that coastal countries (like Bangladesh) have lower food availability globally than landlocked countries, and that South Asia has lower food availability than the global average. Table 1 Chronology of food assisted programmes Fig. 1 Food availability in coastal vs. landlocked countries 2013 GFSI Availability Score 0-100, where 100 = best Source: Economist Intelligence Unit 3. Methodology A mixed method interpretative empirical study combining quantitative household survey as well as standard qualitative techniques such as focus group discussions and key informant interviews is carried out to identify the challenges of food security in the coastal areas of Bangladesh. The study was focused on how various driving forces like seasonal variation, tidal surges, salinity, sea level rise induced by global warming, climate change are affecting food production, food deficit as well as food accessibility. Quantitative part of the study was carried out to present descriptive statistics. Questionnaire survey; focus group discussion (FGD) and key informant interview were used as data collection techniques. The questionnaire survey was designed to gather information and data in a more structured format related to food intake, natural calamities and research participant’s perception about climate change, the other methods including FGD and interview focused on open ended opinions and views of the research participants. During data analysis and interpretation, Grounded theory (Glaser and Strauss, 1967; Lingard et al., 2011) and pair debriefing techniques (Dusaj, 2014) were used to get feedback from the stakeholders and finally triangulation was made from the collected data. 3.1. Study Area Satkhira district is located in south-western part of Bangladesh, namely Khulna division. It lies along the border with West Bengal of India. It is bordered to the north by Jessore district, to the south by the Bay of Bengal, to the east by Khulna district and to the west by Pargana district of West Bengal, India as shown in Fig. 2. The annual average maximum temperature reaches 35.5°C and minimum temperature is 12.5°C. The annual rainfall is 1710 mm. The main rivers are the Kopotakhi River across Dargapur union of Assasuni Upazilla, Morichap River, Kholpotua River, Betna River, Raimangal River, Hariabhanga River, Ichamati River, Betrabati River and Kalindi-Jamuna River (DoE, 2009). The physical features of the study area have been dominated by surface water systems, the proximity of the sea in the south, the dynamic morphology that is greatly governed by sedimentation processes, and the human induced influence on the entire hydro-geophysical characteristics of the region. Satkhira having extremely flat topography and located within 1-5 meters from the mean sea level. The southwestern Region of Bangladesh has been subjected to a plethora of hydro-geo-morphological hazards which include poor drainage through its river systems, high rates of sedimentation on river beds, acute low flow conditions during the dry season, salinity ingress along the rivers, cyclonic storm surge, moisture stress in the dry season, rise in sea level, and to a lesser extent, flood (Halcrow-WARPO, 2001). As the region is located in the coastal zone, it is significantly influenced by tidal effects. According to available statistics on Coastal Zone, majority of the land is within one meter from mean sea level, a significant proportion of which again falls below high-tide level (Islam, 2005). The study area is affected by flood, storm surge and cyclones as shown in Fig. 3. The inter-tidal floodplains located along the southern part are generally inundated twice in a day. Fig. 2 Map showing the Satkhira district (Source: Local Government Engineering Department) Fig. 3 Incidence or prevalence of different types of natural disasters in the study area (Source: Shams and Takashi, 2013) The survey was carried out in the village called Burigaoalini in Shyamnagar Upazila, Sathkhira district. The total number of households in in the study area is 1493 and inhabitants of these household, male 52.36% and female 47.64%. Literacy rate among them is 37.3% (BBS, 2011). The incomes of the people are shown in Fig. 4. It is observed based on the household survey (n=126) and the previous studies carried out by Shams and Takashi, 2013 that 39% of household’s falls below the national poverty line of less than US $ 2 per day or US $ 60 per month against the national average of 26% (Bhowmick, 2013) falling below the poverty line. Satkhira district is more vulnerable to natural disasters as compared to coastal areas like Bagherhat, Potuakhali and Barisal. It has been seriously affected by Cyclone Sidr (2007) and Aila (2009). It was estimated that from 2009 to 2011 the total loss of rice yield in Satkhira district was USD 1.9 million (Rabbani et al., 2013). Apart from natural disasters like cyclones and flood, the study area is proximity to the Sundarbans, one of the world’s largest mangrove forest and the UNESCO World Heritage. In the last three decades, the region has undergone severe forms of environmental degradation, which devastated livelihoods of primarily the farming communities, and lately of those involved in other livelihoods - one of the major reasons for selection of this particular study area. Fig. 4 Income range of the people in the study area (Source: Shams and Takashi, 2013) The general occupation of the inhabitants in the Satkhira district during 80s had been farming (76.6 %), mostly based on paddy cultivation (FAO, 1985). Since 1980s in many costal areas fry collection has became main source of livelihood for women and children (Halim et al, 2001; Mahmood and Ansary, 2013). 3.2. Research tools Both quantitative and qualitative data were collected for this study by using following research tools. 3.2.1. Questionnaire survey A total number of 126 households were surveyed which were 8.44% of the total households within the research site. The designed close-ended questionnaire was generally focused on the household income, livelihood, and food consumption pattern. The questionnaire was designed with multiple choice answers. Table 1 Occupation of the people surveyed 3.2.2. Focus Group Discussion Three FGDs were conducted in the study site to get enrich empirical qualitative data. One was arranged local health professionals (e.g. village doctors2); second one was conducted separately with locally well-known knowledgeable persons. The last one was conducted with women. Each FGD comprised of 7 members. One of the field investigators presented the issue on the perception of food security and climate change and the other two members of the team recorded the responses of the participants on specific issue. After the each FGD session, the raised issues were reviewed and the reports on each FGD were prepared on the basis of responses from the participants. 3.2.3. Key informant interviews Ten interviews were conducted to collect the information on the specific issues on climate change and its impact on health. Interviews were conducted with two most well–known knowledgeable persons from each segment of the coastal community. Questions were asked by one of the researchers and responses were written down by two other researchers. Interview process has been conducted with five stakeholders groups: 1) Fishing community, 2) Staffs of forest office, 3) Teacher of madrasa/school, 4) Local residents, and 5) Non- government service personnel etc. 3.3. Data validation and analysis The survey data was edited for accuracy and coded manually to generate descriptive statistics as well as making visual presentation. For triangulation, quantitative data was supported by qualitative data derived through interview and focus group discussion methods. However, cross2 locally called as kabiraj or palli chikitshak, homeopathic doctors and health workers of NGOs etc. checking was carried out through pair debriefing and sharing findings with stakeholders to ensure the quality and validate the generated data and interpretation. 4. Findings and Discussions Household survey showed that among the inhabitants 31.75% lives on agriculture, 26.72% involved with aquaculture/shrimp farming, 26.19% of them are Government employees and 19.84% are Local Government Representatives (Table 2). The study identifies the underlying causes for food security and its correlation with natural disasters, climate change and seasonality. How livelihoods have evolved over the years in the coastal areas has been discussed. It is an all-out effort to understand the paradox why people involved with food production being often food insecure. The research participants’ perceptions about food security in the coastal areas vary with their economic status. To most men and women, food security means they have enough food to be fed three times a day which includes rice with vegetables. Mominur Rahman who is a farmer mentioned “If I can have a full stomach three times a day, I would treat myself as very lucky indeed”. Therefore, participants who are living in poverty interpret food security as having a full stomach i.e. free from hunger. Women living in coastal areas prefer to stock food at home rather than to have money in hand. As one of the female participants said: “If men have money in hand then they can spend that money for purposes other than buying food. But if we have food then we can use it for consumption and sell it at the time of other needs”. The study also finds that 32% people think food accessibility is a major challenge. Specially, women prefer to have a stock of food at home over having money in hand, expressed that: “We might have money in hand but still have no food when we need it. Sometimes, though we have money, it is not possible to buy food as markets are on weekly basis and sometimes far away and it is difficult to find a person to buy it”. It was found from our survey that 78% respondents in the study area preferred food loan during the pre-harvest period or in the event of flood. Rice is taken as a food loan and has to be paid back with interest but no collateral is required. This type of borrowing relies on personal relations, client-patron relationships and social networking. The loans have to be repaid with rice after harvesting at a high rate of interest. When a food loan is not available, people have to borrow money or sell their assets. Borrowing money varies from short to long-term arrangements. Among the respondents, 48% mentioned that obtaining money is the major problem for the upcoming crop production. In response to the various sources on investment over 78% of the respondents were likely to have loans from micro-finance institutions and money lenders. Most of the NGOs provide their loans only for production purposes. But the survey reveals that borrowers are using the money for consumption purposes, especially for buying food. It is reported that this practice of using production loans for consumption puts families into a cycle of debt. Fish consumption by the poor is seasonal as fishes have gone beyond the reach of common people. Over 79% of the respondents claimed that they consumed fishes twice in a week in the past than at present. Ashim Kumar aged 42, a farmer said that: “When I was young, we could have fish such as koi (Anabas testudineus), shing (Amblyceps mangois), magur (Clarias gariepinus)) almost two times a week and now the fishes are hardly in our weekly diet as many of them are hard to find”. They once fished in open water during the floods and in the swamps during the winter and the dry season. The salinity and over-fishing has drastically depleted open-water fisheries. In the past, milk was mostly consumed through various types of food. Milk price has gone up by 11 times in the last three decades and consumption of milk in the study area is less than 37 mg/capita/day as compared to the recommended value of 250 mg/capita/day. The Table 3 below shows the food consumption of the study area and makes a comparison with National and other countries average as shown in Table 4. Table 3 Weekly Intake of an Adult living in Coastal Area Table 4 Global food consumption kcal/capita/day (source: FAO 2002, Joachim von Braun (2007), Joachim von Braun (2009), Akramov et al., 2010) The gendered division of labor in agricultural and food production is prominently visible in the study area. Women are mainly responsible for the post-harvest processing of food grains. Poor women have to manage and prepare food with limited resources during the time of crisis and often they have to go hungry and feed their children and husbands. The legitimacy of women’s and children’s claims to food may rest on the continuation of the household and undermined by its breakdown (Kabeer, 1991). Seasonality plays a crucial role in food security. There are three cropping seasons in Bangladesh: winter, summer, and the monsoon. During summer, jute, aush, BR3, BR11 and BR29 (high-yield varieties) and new hybrid varieties of rice and maize are grown. During the monsoon season, roadcast or transplanted aman, deep-water aman, and BR11 rice varieties are grown, and during the winter, boro and high-yielding varieties of rice including wheat, pulses, mustard, sesame, winter vegetables, potatoes, sweet potatoes, and spices are grown. There is a persistent food shortage during the sowing of crops and the pre-harvest period, when farmers have to invest a lot of money at a time when they cannot afford it. The people face food deficiency more or less all throughout the year as shown in Fig. 5. The food deficit remains high during mid-August to end of October (68-95%) while it is the lowest in December (21%). This is due to rainy season as most of the lands are inundated by flood water and foods are not easily available. They thus have to generate resources by selling food grains and cash crops, or by borrowing. Farmers have to tighten their grip on consumption during this time. The pre-harvest period is the very crucial period for the farmers. Most of them have to ration their consumption during these periods, especially during March to April and during August to October, especially during the last half of the October to cope with floods. They have to cook less compared to other times and sometimes have to take only two meals per day. They rely on sweet potatoes to replace rice during pre- harvest time. Sometimes the men in the household temporarily migrate to Dhaka for earning leaving their family members at home. The food deficit is less during the month DecemberJanuary due to harvesting period for rice and growth of vegetables. For the quantitative data, average non-staple calorie intake was used as an indicator for household security, as this represents the real food security status more sharply than other indicators. Whenever there is a food shortage, households try to maintain their calorie intake to an optimum level. First, households avoid expensive foods such as non-staple foods, and then they switch to cheap staple foods like sweet potatoes, potatoes, wheat or corn. Non-staple food intake has a lower priority in a situation of food shortage. Hence, non-staple calorie intake gives a good insight into household food security. Agricultures (31.75%) though considerably reduced from 76.6% in 1980s still represent the main livelihoods in the coastal areas of Satkhira. A sizable percentage (26.72%) of rural costal population is directly or indirectly involved in fisheries. With prevalence of brackish water facilitates, the aquaculture sector (shrimp cultivation mainly) represents major livelihood opportunity in the area where the annual pattern is shrimp-fallow-Boro. As mentioned earlier almost 43% of the communities in the studied area reported that they do not produce Aman as those are dedicated shrimp area. Shrimp ghers generate a significant demand of labor especially in the preparatory phases i.e. earth works, liming and lining etc. The problems of water logging occurred due to fish pond and shrimp ghers in the study area. According to the respondents, due to the water scarcity, loss of crop yield and fisheries many people involved with farming are migrating to urban areas as day laborers (51.59%). The fisherman is switching to other alternative occupation such as working in the brick field (73.01%), earth digging (9.52%) and in mills and factories (15.08%) as shown in Fig. 6 below. Among the respondents, 80.95% respondents said that a drought like situation exists over last 5 years and this has resulted into accumulation of salts. In the past, during rainy seasons the salts were washed away to the sea by the rush of heavy rain water. Fig. 6 Alternative source of employment Seasonal migration on a contract basis to obtain rice is common among poor households. Circular migration among some of the poor and well-off households for wage labor and business purposes is also taking place. Out-country migration is relatively rare due to their lack of affordability. 5. Conclusion and Recommendation Food availability is a crucial dimension of food security. However, the connection between the physical environment and making a living should come as no surprise. The prolonged flooding and intrusion of salt water in the coastal area has significantly affected the livelihoods and income status of the vulnerable households depending on marginal farming and agricultural day labor with a average daily food intake of 1748 kcal against the national average of 2215 kcal. There is a persistent food shortage during the sowing of crops and the pre-harvest period. The food deficit remains high during mid-August to end of October (68-95%) while it is the lowest in December (21%). The present study finds the existing food security challenges in coastal areas of Bangladesh is due to degradation of environment, intrusion of increased salinity and frequent tidal surges resulting from sea level rise and threat from climate change. Reviving livelihoods still remains a challenge for the vulnerable households especially in areas where agricultural diversity is very limited. This also limits the access to income with serious implication on food security and nutritional status of the vulnerable population. Failure to secure livelihoods in coastal areas is expected to drive millions of vulnerable people to the cities located further upland. In order to overcome the challenges of ensuring livelihood and food security following measures should be taken: Support should be given to rehabilitate marginal farmers, day laborers with cash grant and cash. There should be incentive such as food for training on homestead gardening, fisheries production and poultry rearing. A fundamental policy shift is needed in water and energy use in food systems, which requires investments for tackling climate change; conserving water and energy resources developing salt tolerant varieties of rice and vegetables, building resilient farming systems and reforming local food market and trade. Cash grant and training on non-farm activities of women for example micro-business for women in the form of handicrafts is a potential subsectors. The literacy rate must be increased along with life-skill for sustainable development so that they can switch to other options for livelihood. There should be mechanism in place to combine indigenous and scientific knowledge to address the challenges of climate change and threat to the livelihood of the poor people living in coastal areas. The Government should provide safety net to ensure food security through sustainable water management policy with meaningful participation of all stakeholders living in the coastal areas. Priority should be given to producing food which consumes less amount of water and develop varieties of crops which could have resistance to salinity of water. There is an urgent need to establish robust emergency food reserves and financing capacity that can deliver rapid humanitarian responses to vulnerable populations threatened by food crises. Finally, as there is no easy solutions to vulnerability of coastal people affected by climate change, but there could be other possible ways forward to reduce food insecurity by improving the livelihoods of poor people through technological innovations. Specially it is important to encourage entrepreneurs to develop local technological capabilities and capacities to grow more and wider variety of food and to integrate their activities into the wider national economy. In this case, public-private partnership (PPP) should be in place to secure livelihood of the local people. References Akramov, K.T., Yu, B. and Fan, S. (2010). Mountains, Global Food Prices, and Food Security in the Developing World. IFPRI Discussion Paper 989. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. Alcamo, J., Dronin, N., Endejan, M., Golubev, G. and Kirilenko, A. (2007). A new assessment of climate change impacts on food production shortfalls and water availability in Russia. Global Environmental Change, 17 (3–4), 429–444. Amarasinghe, U. A.; Sharma, B. R.; Muthuwatta, L.; Khan, Z. H. (2014). Water for food in Bangladesh: outlook to 2030. IWMI Research Report 158. Colombo, Sri Lanka: International Water Management Institute (IWMI). Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), (2011). District wise Population as on Population Census 2001.Accessed on 11 November, 2014 from http://www.bbs.gov.bd/webtestapplication/userfiles/Image/Population%20Census%202011/Satk hira%20District/ Barnett, T.P., Adam, J.C. and Lettenmaier, D.P. (2005). Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature, 438 (7066), 303–309. Barrett, C.B. (2010). Measuring food insecurity. Science, 327 (5967), 825–828. Battisti, D. S. and Naylor, R. L. (2009). Historical Warnings of Future Food Insecurity with Unprecedented Seasonal Heat, Science, 323(5911), 240-244. Beddington, J., Asaduzzaman, M., Clark, M., Fernandez, A., Guillou, M., Jahn, M., Erda, L., Mamo, T., Van Bo N., Nobre, C.A., Scholes, R., Sharma, R. and Wakhungu, J. (2012). Achieving food security in the face of climate change: Final report from the Commission on Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Change. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). Copenhagen, Denmark. Available online at: http:\\www.ccafs.cgiar.org/commission. Bhowmick,N. (2014). "After Much Heartbreak, Some Good News at Last for Bangladesh". Time. 18 July 2013. Retrieved 25 October 2014. Brown, K. (2003). Integrating conservation and development: A case of institutional misfit. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 1(9), 479-487. Creel, L. (2003). Ripple Effects: Population and Coastal Regions. Population Reference Bureau. Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau and Measure Communication.. Cruz, R.V., Harasawa, H., Lal, M., Wu, S., Anokhin, Y., Punsalmaa, B., Honda, Y., Jafari, M., Li, C. and Ninh. N. H. (2007). Asia. Climate Change (2007): Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 469-506. Dreze, J., Sen, A. and Hussain, A. (1995). The political economy of hunger: Selected Essays. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Droogers, P., Aerts, J. (2005). Adaptation strategies to climate change and climate variability: a comparative study between seven contrasting river basins. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Parts, A/B/C 30 (6–7), 339–346. Dusaj, T. K. (2014). Five Fast Fixes: Debriefing. Clinical Simulation in Nursing, 10 (9), 485486. FAO. (1985). Report on Tidal Studies, Fisheries Resources Survey System, FAO/UNDPBGD/79/015, April, 1985. Available at http://www.fao.org/docrep/field/003/ac352e/AC352E00.htm#TOC accessed on 18 July, 2014. FAO. (1996). Food, agriculture and food security: developments since the World Food Conference and prospects. Rome: FAO. FAO. (2002). Urban Food Insecurity and Malnutrition in Developing Countries: Trends. Available at http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/ess/documents/food_security_statistics/FoodConsumptio nNutrients_en.xls. FAO. (2003). Agriculture, Food and Water, and Agriculture, A contribution to the World Water Development Report. FAO. (2008). Food Outlook: Global Market Analysis. FAO, Rome, November. FAO. (2013). The State of Food Insecurity in the World 2013: The multiple dimensions of food security. FAO, IFAD and WFP. (2014). The State of Food Insecurity in the World 2014: Strengthening the enabling environment for food security and nutrition. Rome: FAO. Glaser, B. G. and Strauss, A. L. (1967). The discovery of grounded theory: strategies for qualitative research. Chicago: Aldine. Global Food Security Index. (2013). Global food security index 2013, an annual measure of the state of global food security, The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2013, Available at http://foodsecurityindex.eiu.com/. Halim, S., Mallick, D., Reza, O., Hasan, S. R., and Kabir, S. A. (2001). Women and children study. Centre for Advance Studies, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Hannan, M. M., Dutta, A., Kabir, H. (2010). Household demand for dairy products in Bangladesh: An Application of AIDS Model, J. Bangladesh Agril. Univ., 8(1): 121–126. Horton, S., Shekar, M., McDonald, C., Mahal, A. and Brooks, J.K. (2009). Scaling Up Nutrition: What Will it Cost? Washington, DC: World Bank. Huq, S. (2001). Climate Change and Bangladesh. Science, 294, 16-17. Huq, S. and Ayers, J.M. (2007). Critical list: the 100 nations most vulnerable to climate change, in IIED Sustainable Development Opinion. International Institute of Environment and Development: London. Joachim von Braun. (2007). The World Food Situation: New Driving Forces and Required Actions, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C. Joachim von Braun. (2009). Food security under stress from price volatility, agricultural neglect, climate change and recession, IPC Spring Seminar Salzburg, May 11, 2009. Kabeer, N. (1991). Gender dimensions of rural poverty: analysis from Bangladesh. Peasant Studies 18, 241-262. Kabeer, N. (1994). Reversed Realities: Gender hierarchies in development thoughts. London: Verso. Kerry, T., Stavros, G. Rebecca, C., Roy, B. and Jacob, B. (2004). Economic valuation of water resources in agriculture From the sectoral to a functional perspective of natural resource management. FAO Water Reports 27, Rome. Lal, R., Sivakumar, M.V., Faiz, S.M.A., Rahman, A.H.M.; Islam, K.R. (2011). Climate Change and Food Security in South Asia. New York: Springer. Lingard, L., Albert, M. and Levinson, W. (2011). Grounded theory, mixed methods and action research. BMJ2008;337:a567. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.39602.690162.47 Mahmood, S. M. S. and Ansary, B. S. (2013). Shrimp fry collection as alternative livelihood: a case study on the Southwest coastal region of Bangladesh. ASA University Review, 7(2): 139149. Molden, D., Oweis, T.Y., Steduto, P., Kijne, J.W., Hanjra, M.A., Bindraban, P.S., Bouman, B.A.M., Cook, S., Erenstein, O., Farahani, H., Hachum, A., Hoogeveen, J., Mahoo, H., Nangia, V., Peden, D., Sikka, A., Silva, P., Turral, H., Upadhyaya, A. and Zwart, S. (2007). Pathways for increasing agricultural water productivity. In: Molden, D. (Ed.), Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management in Agriculture, Water for Food, Water for Life: A Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management in Agriculture. International Water Management Institute, London: Earthscan, Colombo. Paul, B. and Rashid, H. (1993). Flood damage to rice crop in Bangladesh. The Geographical Review, 83(2), 151-159. Piguet, E. (2008). Climate change and forced migration. Research Paper No. 153. Geneva: UNHCR Evaluation and Policy Analysis Unit. Preston, B. L., Suppiah, R., Macadam, I. and Bathols, J. (2006). Climate change in Asia/Pacific Region, CSIRO, Australia. Rabbani, G., Rahman, A., Mainuddin, K. (2013). Salinity induced loss and damage to farming households in coastal Bangladesh. International Journal of Global Warming, 5(4), 400-415. RVCC. (2003). Report of a Community Level Vulnerability Assessment Conducted in Southwest Bangladesh. A report prepared by the Reducing Vulnerability to Climate Change (RVCC) Project, CARE Bangladesh, Dhaka. Sample, I. (2007). ‘Global food crisis looms as climate change and population growth strip fertile land’. The Guardian, 31 August 2007. Sen, A. (1999). Poverty and famines. Delhi, India, Oxford University Press. Shams, S. and Honda, T. (2013). Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources: A Case Study of Coastal Area in Bangladesh, Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference on Engineering and Applied Sciences (ISCEAS 2013), November 21-23, 2013, Okinawa, Japan,1117. Siddique, M. A. B.; Biswas, J. C.; Salam, M. A. and Islam, M. A. (2015). Implications of Climate Change, Population and Resource Scarcity for Food Security in Bangladesh. In: Nagothu, U. S. (ed), Food Security and Development: Country Case Studies (pp. 104-126). New York: Routledge. Talukder, R. K. (2008). Food Security in Bangladesh: National and Global perspective. Paper presented at the 13th National Conference and Seminar on Climate Changes: Food Security in Bangladesh. Bangladesh Agricultural Economist Association, 30 August, Dhaka. Tweeten, L., and Thompson, S. (2009). Long-term global agricultural output supply demand balance. Farm Policy Journal, 6 (1), 1–16. UNDP. (2007). Country-in-focus: Bangladesh. UNDP RCC web bulletin, 2007(2). University Press. Uppal, J.N. (1984). Preface: Bengal famine of 1943: A Man-made Tragedy. Delhi, India: Atma Ram & Sons. Yahya, S. M., Shams, S., Islam, A. K. M. S., Mahmud, K. (2010). Climate Change Impacts on Flood Vulnerability for Dhaka City. Proc. of International Conference on Environmental Aspects of Bangladesh (ICEAB10), Japan, Sept. 2010, 37-39. Table 1 Chronology of food assisted programs Name of the program Nature and target PL-480 (no longer in existence) Provides food for construction of roads, dams, etc. 1960 Food-for-Work (FFW) Provides food for construction of roads, dams etc. Provides food for maintenance of rural roads. Provides food for vulnerable households (especially after the floods of 1988, 1998 and 2004) Provides food for vulnerable households (especially destitute women) Provides food to school children 1974 Rural Maintenance Program (RMP) Vulnerable Group Feeding (VGF) program Vulnerable Group Development (VGD) Food-for-Education (FFE) Year of initiation 1978 1979 1985 1999 Table 2 Occupation of the people surveyed Pattern of Occupation Number Agriculture 40 Business involving shrimp farming/fishing 12 Teaching 3 Legal Practice 3 Social Service 4 Journalist 2 Student 2 Physician 2 Local Government Representative of them 17.2 % involved with 25 fishing Government Employee 33 Total 126 % 31.75 9.52 2.38 2.38 3.17 1.59 1.59 1.59 19.84 26.19 100.00 Table 3 Weekly Intake of an Adult living in the study area Food Type Weight (g) kcal/g Egg Rice Fish Wheat Vegetables Lintel Meat Milk Total 60 5200 120 700 840 700 50 37 1.48 1.29 1.09 3.39 0.45 3.53 1.25 0.66 kcal/week 88.8 6708 130.8 2373 378 2471 62.5 24.42 12236.52 kcal/day 12.69 958.29 18.69 339.00 54.00 353.00 8.93 3.48 1748.07 Table 4 Global food consumption kcal/capita/day (source: FAO 2002, Joachim von Braun (2007), Joachim von Braun (2009), Akramov et al., 2010) World Industrial countries Developing Countries South Asia Bangladesh Study Area (Coastal Area) 1965 2358 2947 2054 2017 1935 - 1975 2435 3065 2152 1986 1948 - 1985 2655 3206 2450 2205 2191 - 2013 2803 3380 2681 2403 2215 1748 Fig. 1 Food availability in coastal vs. landlocked countries 2013 Global Food Security Index (GFSI) Availability Score 0-100, where 100 = best Source: Economist Intelligence Unit Fig. 2: Map showing the Satkhira district (Source: LGED) 44% 47% Flood Cyclone Storm surge 9% Fig. 3 Incidence or prevalence of different types of natural disasters in the study area (Source: Shams and Takashi, 2013) Fig. 4 Income range of the people in the study area (78 Tk = 1 USD; Source: After Shams and Takashi, 2013) Respondents % 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Food Deficit: Respondents % Fig. 5 Percentage of Households having food deficit during various months of the year (Source: Household Survey) Fig. 6 Alternative source of employment (source: Household Survey)