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Economic Analysis Division 2 September 2015 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT & STATE FINAL DEMAND, JUNE QUARTER 2015 Summary CHART 1: GDP GROWTH (REAL, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 6% In the June quarter 2015: 0% Quarterly growth Further Analysis Jun-15 Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 -2% Jun-07 Australian Real Gross Domestic Income, which indicates the purchasing power of total incomes generated by Australian production, decreased by 0.4% in seasonally adjusted terms. 2% Jun-05 South Australian State Final Demand (SFD) fell 0.2% but was 0.8% higher than a year earlier, in real seasonally adjusted terms. 4% Jun-06 Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose 0.2% and was 2.0% higher than a year earlier in real, seasonally adjusted terms. Real GDP grow th (seasonally adjusted, %) Through the year growth Quarter Seasonally adjusted data CHART 2: NON-FARM GDP GROWTH (REAL, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Australia’s non-farm GDP rose by 0.2% in the June quarter to be 1.9% higher than a year ago (see Chart 2). Australian Domestic Final Demand (DFD) rose by 0.8% in the June quarter 2015 to be 1.2% higher than a year ago (see Chart 3) Nationally, household consumption spending rose by 0.5% in the June quarter, public consumption rose by 2.2% and public capital spending rose by 4.0% but new business investment fell by 0.7% and dwelling investment fell by 1.1%. Through the year growth Real non-farm GDP grow th (seasonally adjusted, %) Farm GDP fell by 2.6% in the June quarter but was 4.1% higher than a year ago. 6% 4% 2% 0% Jun-15 Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 Jun-07 Jun-06 Jun-05 Quarterly growth -2% Quarter Next release of ABS cat. no. 5206.0 is 2 December 2015 1 Economic Analysis Division 2 September 2015 CHART 4: SOUTH AUSTRALIAN SFD GROWTH (REAL, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) CHART 3: DFD GROWTH (REAL, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 8% 9% Through the year growth Through the year growth 6% Real SFD grow th (seasonally adjusted, %) Real DFD grow th (seasonally adjusted, %) 6% 4% 2% 0% 3% 0% -3% Quarterly growth Quarter Jun-15 Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 Jun-07 -6% Jun-06 Jun-15 Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-09 Jun-08 Jun-07 Jun-06 Jun-05 -2% Jun-05 Quarterly growth Quarter South Australian State Final Demand (SFD) fell by 0.2% during the June quarter 2015—see Chart 4. In South Australia, during the June quarter, spending growth was recorded in public sector capital investment (up 8.4%), public sector consumption (up 1.9%) and household consumption spending (up 0.8%). Declines in spending were recorded in dwelling investment (down 14%) and new private business investment (down 5.0%). Among the states, SFD rose in the June quarter in Western Australia (up 1.5%), Victoria (up 0.9%), NSW (up 0.8%) and Tasmania (up 0.5%), but declined in Queensland (down 0.8%) and South Australia (down 0.2%). TABLE 1: State Final Demand – Real, Seasonally Adjusted Jun qtr 15 Jun qtr 15 v Mar qtr 15 v Jun qtr 14 (% change) (% change) NSW 0.8 3.3 VIC 0.9 3.0 QLD -0.8 -3.3 SA -0.2 0.8 WA 1.5 -1.8 TAS 0.5 0.7 AUS (DFD) 0.8 1.2 Next release of ABS cat. no. 5206.0 is 2 December 2015 2 Economic Analysis Division 2 September 2015 CHART 5: QUARTERLY PERCENTAGE POINT CONTRIBUTIONS TO SFD/DFD GROWTH (REAL, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) TABLE 2: Expenditure Components of SFD/DFD and GDP – Real, Seasonally Adjusted Jun qtr 15 Real contribution to SFD/DFD grow th (seasonally adjusted, percentage point contribution) 1.0 Jun qtr 15 SOUTH AUSTRALIA AUSTRALIA 0.8 v Mar qtr 15 v Jun qtr 14 (% change) (% change) SA AUS SA AUS Household Consumption 0.8 0.5 3.5 2.5 Government Consumption 1.9 2.2 2.6 4.0 New Business Investment -5.0 -0.7 -7.4 -6.8 Dwelling Investment -13.8 -1.1 -5.0 7.4 Ownership Transfer Costs 1.9 4.4 5.4 3.1 Public Investment 8.4 4.0 -15.2 0.4 SFD/DFD -0.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 Exports* N/A -3.3 N/A 4.5 Imports* N/A -0.7 N/A -0.7 Explanatory Notes GDP N/A 0.2 N/A 2.0 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total market value of goods and services produced in Australia within a given period. The state by state breakdown of this figure is Gross State Product (GSP), however estimates of GSP growth are only published annually. *National data is for goods and services. State data is no longer published in this release. 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 SFD Public Investment Ownership transfer costs Dwelling Investment New Business Investment Household consumption -0.8 Government Consumption -0.6 Component The main quarterly measure of state economic activity is State Final Demand (SFD), which is an estimate of the level of spending in the local economy by private and public sectors. Spending is reported on the consumption of goods and services, and capital investment. Spending (SFD) is not the same as production (GDP). SFD for example, includes spending by households and businesses on imports, which are not produced (and do not create jobs) in South Australia. SFD does not include South Australia’s exports, which do get produced and create jobs in the State. Real Gross Domestic Income measures the purchasing power of the production (GDP) occurring in Australia. It takes into account the impacts of changes in Australia’s terms of trade. GDP only measures the volume of goods and services produced, mined and farmed in Australia. If prices are rising for our exports this will lift our incomes. Real GDP does not measure this, but real GDI does. Next release of ABS cat. no. 5206.0 is 2 December 2015 3