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Exam #1 (answers) ECNS 303 February 19, 2015 Name________________________ You may use a calculator and scratch paper for this exam, but nothing else! 1.) (10 points) The conventional approach for modeling the demand for addictive substances posits an economic agent that maximizes the following utility function subject to a budget constraint U = f(C, X) where C represents the consumption of an addictive substance and X represents the consumption of a basket of other goods. This utility maximization problem produces the following demand function C = g(P, Y, Z) where P is the price of the addictive substance, Y is income, and Z is a vector of variables reflecting tastes. What are the exogenous and endogenous variables in the demand function for the addictive substance? Endogenous variable: C Exogenous variables: P, Y, and Z 2.) (20 points total) Consider a country that produces only three goods: ice axes, ice screws, and crampons. Sales and price data for these three products for three different years are as follows: # of pairs price per #ice axes price per #ice screws price per of crampons pair of Year sold ice axe sold ice screw sold crampons 1990 50 $100 100 $25 40 $100 2000 80 $200 150 $50 80 $120 2010 100 $250 220 $60 100 $180 a.) (3 points) Calculate nominal GDP in 1990 and 2010. Nominal GDP in 1990 = (50*100) + (100*25) + (40*100) = $11,500 Nominal GDP in 2010 = (100*250) + (220*60) + (100*180) = $56,200 b.) (4 points) Calculate real GDP in 2010 using 2000 as the base year. Real GDP in 2010 (2000 base yr.) = (100*$200) + (220*$50) + (100*$120) = $43,000 c.) (4 points) Calculate the GDP deflator in 2010 (use 2000 as base year). GDP deflator = Nominal GDP in 2010/Real GDP in 2010 = $56,200/$43,000 = 1.307 d.) (4 points) Calculate the CPI in 1990 using 2000 as the base year. {($100*80) + ($25*150) + ($100*80)}/{($200*80) + ($50*150) + ($120*80)} = 19750/33100 = 0.597 3.) (20 points total) Assume we have an economy where production can be described by the following function form F(K,L) = [K2 + L2]1/2 where K is capital and L is labor. a.) (7 points) Does this function exhibit the property of constant returns to scale? Make sure to show your work! No work, no points. Constant returns to scale requires that zY = F(zK, zL) Here, we see that F(zK, zL) = [(zK)2 + (zL)2]1/2 = [z2(K2 + L2)]1/2 = z(K2 + L2)1/2 Thus, it DOES exhibit the property of constant returns to scale. b.) (6 points) Solve for the marginal product of labor and for the marginal product of capital. MPL = L/(K2 + L2)1/2 MPK = K/(K2 + L2)1/2 c.) (7 points) Does this function exhibit the property of diminishing marginal returns to capital? Make sure to show your work mathematically! No work, no points. Via the quotient rule, ∂MPK/∂K = [(K2 + L2)1/2 – K2(K2 + L2)-1/2]/(K2 + L2) = L2/(K2 + L2)3/2 > 0 This function does not have diminishing marginal returns to capital. It has increasing marginal returns to capital. 4.) (15 points) Suppose output in the economy is described by the following Cobb-Douglas production function: Y = K1/2L1/2 Also, suppose that 20% of output is saved each year, 5% of capital depreciates each year, and the economy starts with 16 units of capital per worker. How much capital per worker exists in this economy at the beginning of the second year? What is the steady-state level of capital per worker? First, we solve for the per-worker production function by dividing both sides of the above equation by L Y/L = (K/L)1/2 Which we can rewrite as y = (k)1/2 Substituting in for k y = (16)1/2 = 4 (16 units of capital per work produces 4 units of output per worker) Given that 20% of output is saved and invested each year, we know that i = (0.2)(4) = 0.8 (0.8 units of output per worker is saved and invested each year) c = (0.8)(4) = 3.2 (3.2 units of output per worker is consumed each year) Given that 5% of capital stock depreciates each year, we know that δk = (0.05)(16) = 0.8 (0.8 units of capital per worker depreciates each year) So, we can solve for the change in the capital stock from this first year to the second year Δk = sf(k) – δk = 0.8 – 0.8 = 0 As a result, the amount of capital per worker that exists in this economy at the beginning of the second year is k stock at start of year 2 = (k stock at start of year 1) + Δk = 16 + 0 = 16 We were already in the steady-state!!! 5.) (10 points) Suppose the country of Andersonland is described by the Solow model with population growth and technological progress. In the country of Andersonland, the growth rate of output is .05 per year, the depreciation rate is .10 per year, and the capital-output ratio is 4. Suppose Andersonland is currently in a steady state. Calculate the savings rate in this steady state. (Hint: recall that the growth rate of output is equivalent to the sum of the population and technological progress growth rates) In the steady state, we know that Δk = sf(k) – (δ+n+g)k = 0 Solving for the savings rate, we obtain the following sf(k) = (δ+n+g)k s = [(δ+n+g)k]/f(k) because δ=.10, n+g = .05, and k/y = 4, we can make the following substitutions s = [(.1 + .05)k]/y = (.1 + .05)(4) = .60 s = .6 (or a savings rate of 60%) 6.) (15 points total) Suppose the following national income per capita equation describes the economy y=c+i a.) (7 points) In a model that includes population growth and technological progress, solve for the condition that describes the Golden Rule. We know that the Golden Rule steady-state is the particular steady-state where consumption is maximized. We also know that our steady-state level of consumption is described by the following modification of our national income equation c* = f(k*) – (δ + n + g)k* To solve for the level of c* that maximizes the above equation, we take the derivative of c* with respect to k* dc*/dk* = df(k*)/dk* - (δ + n + g) = 0 => MPK = δ + n + g b.) (8 points) Suppose you are a policymaker that is in charge of setting a savings rate that maximizes steady-state consumption per worker. Show graphically the savings rate you would choose. n, g, δ (δ + n + g)k* f(k*) c*Golden Rule sf(k*) k*Golden Rule Choose the savings rate, s, above that maximizes the distance between f(k*) and (δ + n + g)k* k* 7.) (15 points total) Note: this problem is difficult, so allocate your time appropriately before trying to answer this one. Consider how unemployment would affect the Solow growth model. Suppose that output is produced according to the production function Y = Kα[(1 – u)L]1-α where K is capital, L is the labor force, and u is the natural rate of unemployment. The national saving rate is s, the labor force grows at rate n, and capital depreciates at rate δ. a.) (10 points) Express output per worker (y = Y/L) as a function of capital per worker (k = K/L) and the natural rate of unemployment. Also, solve for the steady-state values of k and y. To find output per worker we divide total output by the number of workers: Y/L = {Kα[(1 – u)L]1-α}/L y = (K/L)α(1-u)1-α y = kα(1-u)1-α Notice that unemployment reduces the amount of output per worker for any given capital-labor ratio because some of the workers are not producing anything. Our steady-state level equation looks like what we are used to: sy = (δ+n)k Plugging in for y: skα(1-u)1-α = (δ+n)k k* = (1-u)(s/(δ+n))1/(1-α) Unemployment lowers the marginal product of capital per worker and, hence, acts like a negative technological shock that reduces the amount of capital the economy can maintain in steady state. Finally, to get steady-state output per worker, plug the steady-state level of capital per worker into the production function: y* = ((1-u*)(s/(δ+n))1/(1-α))α(1-u*)1-α = (1-u*)(s/(δ+n))α/(1-α) Unemployment lowers steady-state output for two reasons: for a given k, unemployment lowers y, and unemployment also lowers the steady-state value k*. b.) (5 points) Suppose that some change in government policy reduces the natural rate of unemployment. Describe how this change affects output both immediately and over time. You may use a graph (although it is not necessary for this problem) to support your answer. As soon as unemployment falls from u1 to u2, output jumps up from its initial steady-state value of y*(u1). The economy has the same amount of capital (since it takes time to adjust the capital stock), but this capital is combined with more workers. At that moment the economy is out of steady-state: it has less capital than it wants to match the increased number of workers in the economy. The economy begins its transition by accumulating more capital, raising output even further than the original jump. Eventually the capital stock and output converge to their new, higher steady-state levels.