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Maths Quest Maths A Year 12 for Queensland WorkSHEET 10.2 Chapter 10 The normal distribution and games of chance WorkSHEET 10.2 1 Normal distribution and probability Name: ___________________________ 1 The mean result for an English test for Year 11 students is 60% and the standard deviation 10%. (a) Draw a normal distribution curve marking x-scores equivalent to 1, 2 and 3 standard deviations either side of the mean (b) /50 6 (a) 1SD = 10% 2SD = 20% 3SD = 30% What percentage of students obtained more than 80% for the test? (b) 80% is 2SD above mean. 95% of scores lie within 2SD above and below the mean So 5% of scores lie below and above 2SD from the mean. This means that 2.5% of scores lie above 80%. 2 The mean life of a certain battery is 30 hours. The standard deviation is 1 hour. Within what limits will the life of the battery almost certainly lie? The life of the battery will almost certainly lie within 3 standard deviations of the mean. Minimum life 30 3 1 h 27 h Maximum life 30 3 1 h 33 h So 99.7% of the batteries would almost certainly have a life in the range 27 h to 33 h. Where necessary, use the Standard Normal Tables on page 481 in your textbook to find the area under the standard normal curve. 4 Maths Quest Maths A Year 12 for Queensland 3 Chapter 10 The normal distribution and games of chance WorkSHEET 10.2 2 In a normal distribution, find values for each of the following. (a) Pz 1.2 (b) Pz 1.2 (c) Pz 1.2 (d) P 1.2 z 1.2 (a) Pz 1.2 0.8849 (b) P z 1.2 1 0.8849 4 0.1151 (c) P z 1.2 Pz 1.2 0.1151 (d) P 1.2 z 1.2 1 2 0.1151 1 0.2302 0.7698 4 Results for an end of semester Maths A test had a mean of 58% and standard deviation of 12%. What is the probability that a student selected at random received 80%? 6 x x z s 80 58 12 22 12 1.83 P 80% Px 80 Pz 1.83 0.9664 5 At the TAB, a gambler bets $50 on a horse at 4 to 1. If the horse wins: (a) what amount does this bet win? (a) Amount won chances of losing bet chances of winning 4 $50 1 $200 (b) how much does the gambler receive? (b) Return to gambler win bet $200 $50 $250 4 Maths Quest Maths A Year 12 for Queensland Chapter 10 The normal distribution and games of chance WorkSHEET 10.2 3 6 Convert odds of 2 to 1 on to a probability. 7 In a game of two-up, a spinner tosses 2 coins. What is the probability of the spinner tossing a HH then a TH? The odds 2 to 1 on means 1 : 2. This represents 1 chance of losing to 2 chances of winning. So out of the 3 chances there are 2 of winning. 2 Pwinning 3 4 6 PHH 0.25 PTH 0.25 0.25 0. 5 PHH then TH PHH PTH 0.25 0.5 0.125 8 A roulette wheel has 38 compartments: 18 red, 18 black and 2 green. What is the chance of the moving ball landing in a compartment coloured: (a) red? (b) green? (c) blue? (a) Pred (b) Pgreen (c) Pblue 18 38 9 19 2 38 1 19 0 38 0 6 Maths Quest Maths A Year 12 for Queensland 9 Chapter 10 The normal distribution and games of chance WorkSHEET 10.2 4 Lucy loves playing Solitaire on the computer. From experience she has found that she can complete the game 5 times in 15 attempts. How many times would Lucy expect to complete the game in 75 attempts? Pcompleting 5 15 1 3 Expect number of completion s in 75 attempts 5 1 75 3 25 10 At a fete, 500 tickets are sold at $1 each. The prize is valued at $300. What is the expected gain or loss by a person who buys 1 ticket? 300 499 1 500 500 300 499 500 500 199 500 0.398 Expected gain So a loss of 40c is expected. 5