Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
_________________________________________________________________________________ Chapter 6 Continuous Random Variables § 6.1 Probability Density Functions • Definition: Let X be a random variable. Suppose there exists a nonnegative real-valued function f:R->[0,) such that for any subset of real number A which can be constructed from intervals by a countable number of set operations, P(X A) = A f(x) dx. Then X is called absolutely continuous, or simply continuous. The function f is called the probability density function (pdf) of X . __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ • Properties of the pdf (a) F(t) = P(- < X t) = -t f(x) dx (b) Since F() = 1, so - f(x) dx = 1. (c) If f is continuous, then F'(x) = f(x). (d) For real a,b, a b , b P(a X b) = a f(x) dx (e) P(a < X < b) = P(a < X b) = P(a X < b) b = P(a X b) = a f(x) dx * Example 6.1 Let the pdf of X be f(x) = xe-x 0 x>0 otherwise. (a) Find (b) Find cdf of X (c) Find P(2 < X < 5) and P (X > 7) Solution: Since - f(x) dx = 1, thus (a)0 xe-x dx = 1 => [-(x+1)e-x ]0 = 1 => = 1. t (b) F(t) = 0 f(x) dx = [-(x+1)e-x ]0 __________________________________________________________ t = -(t+1)e-t +1. Thus © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ F(t) =0 = -(t+1)e-t +1 t<0 t0 (c) P(2 < X < 5) = F(5) - F(2) and P (X > 7) = 1 - F(7) . * see Example 6.2 § 6.2 Density Function of a Function of a random Variable __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ • To find the density function of a new random variable Y, which is a function of a known random variable X, there are two methods: (a) Find the cdf of Y and then differentiate, (b) find fY directly from fX (Method of transformation, change of variable). * Example 6.3 Find the pdf of Y, where Y=X2 and fX(x) = 2/x2, if 1<x<2. Solution: Let Fy and fY be the cdf and pdf of Y, respectively. Fy(t) = P(Y t) = P(X2 t) = P(-(t)1/2 X (t)1/2) 0.5 = P(1 X (t)1/2) = 1(t) 2/x2 dx = 2 - 2/(t)0.5 and Fy(t) = 0 t<1 2 - 2/(t)0.5 1 1 t < 4 t4 and fY (t) = Fy'(t) = (t)-1.5 =0 1t4 otherwise * see Examples 6.4 and 6.5. • Theorem 6.1: (Method of Transformation) __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ Let X be a continuous random variable with density function fX and set of possible values A. For the invertible function (strictly increasing or strictly decreasing) h:A -> R, let Y = h(X) be a random variable with the set of possible values h(A) = B. Suppose the inverse of y=h(x) is the function x=h-1(y), which is differentiable for all values of B. Then y B. fY(y) = fX(h-1(y)|( h-1)'(y)| Proof: If h(x) is strictly increasing, then FY(y) = P{h(X) y} = P{X h-1 (y)} = FX(h-1 (y)) After differentiation, we have fY(y) = fX(h-1 (y)) ( h-1)' (y) = fX(h-1 (y))|( h-1)' (y)| The same is true when h(x) is strictly decreasing. * Example 6.6 Let X be a random variable with the density function fX(x) = 2 e-2x =0 Find the pdf of Y=X0.5. if x > 0 otherwise Solution: h(x) = x0.5, so x = h-1 (y) = y2, and 2 fY(y) = fX(h-1 (y))| h-1'(y)| = 2 e-2y |2y| y>0 =0 otherwise * see Example 6.7 § 6.3 Expectations and Variances __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ • Definition: If X is a continuous random variable (c.r.v.) with probability density function f, the expected value of X is defined by E(X) = - xf(x) dx . * X is said to have a finite expected value if the above integral converges absolutely, i.e., - |xf(x)|dx < * Example 6.9 (Cauchy density) A random variable with density function f(x) = c/(1+x2), - < x < . (a) Find c. (b) Show that E(X) does not exist. Solution: (a) Note that - c/(1+x2) dx (b) = 1 => c[tan-1 x] = c = 1 -|x|/(1+x2) |dx = 2 0x/(1+x2) dx = (1/)[ln(1+x2)]0 = __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ • Theorem 6.2: For any continuous random variable X with probability distribution function F and density function f, E(X) = 0 (1-F(t)) dt - 0 F(-t)) dt Proof: see text. Note if X is a nonnegative random variable, then E(X) = 0 P(X>t) dt • Theorem 6.3: Let X be a continuous nonnegative random variable with probability density function f(x); then for any function h:R->R, E[h(X)] = - h(x)f(x) dx Proof: see text. Corollary: Let X be a continuous random variable with probability function f(x). Let h1, h2, …, hn be real-valued functions, and 1, 2, .., n be real numbers. Then E[1 h1(X) + 2 h2(X) + …+ n hn(X)] = 1E[h1(X)] + 2 E[h2(X)] + …+ n E[hn(X)] Proof: The same as in the discrete case, just replace the summations by integrals. see Examples 6.10 __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___ _________________________________________________________________________________ Variances of Continuous Random Variables • Definition: If X is a continuous random variable with E(X) = , then X and Var(X), called the standard deviation and the variance of X, respectively, are defined by X = {E[ (X-)2 ]}0.5 Var(X) = E[ (X-)2 ] As in the discrete case, we have Var(X) = E[X2] - E[X] 2 Var(aX+b) = a2Var(X) and aX+b = |a|X * see Example 6.11 __________________________________________________________ © Shi-Chung Chang, Tzi-Dar Chiueh ___