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ANOVA I Class 13 Schedule for Remainder of Semester 1. ANOVA: One way, Two way 2. Planned contrasts 3. Moderated multiple regression 4. Data management 5. Survey design 6. Non-experimental designs 7. Writing up research Class assignment: After completing data analyses series. ANOVA ANOVA = Analysis of Variance Next 4-5 classes focus on ANOVA One-Way ANOVA – tests differences between 2 or more independent groups. Goals for ANOVA series: 1. What is ANOVA, tasks it can do, how it works. 2. Provide intro to SPSS for Windows ANOVA 3. Objective: you will be able to run ANOVA on SPSS, and be able to interpret results. Notes on Keppel reading: 1. Clearest exposition on ANOVA 2. Assumes no math background, very intuitive 3. Language not gender neutral, more recent eds. are. Basic Principle of ANOVA Amount Distributions Differ Amount Distributions Overlap Same as Amount XXX Variance Amount Shared Variance Same as Amount Groups Differ Amount Groups XXXX Basic Principle of ANOVA Amount Distributions Differ Amount Distributions Overlap Same as Amount Distinct Variance Amount Shared Variance Same as Amount Groups Differ Amount Groups Same Population Parameters Mean: The average score, measure, or response = (X - 2 )2 N S 2 = (x - X )2 n -1 Standard Deviation: The positive square root of the variance. 1 SD = .34 of entire distribution = (X - )2 N POPULATION SAMPLE Population Parameters Mean: The average score, measure, or response = X X= X n N Variance: The average amount that individual scores vary around the mean 2 = (x - X )2 2 S 2 = (X - ) n -1 N Standard Deviation: The positive square root of the variance. 1 SD = .34 of entire distribution = (X - )2 N POPULATION S= (x - X)2 n -1 SAMPLE PEOPLE WHO DISCLOSE THEIR EMOTIONS ARE: EVALUATIVE DIMENSION Good Bad Beautiful; Ugly Sweet Sour POTENCY DIMENSION Strong Weak Large Small Heavy Light ACTIVITY DIMENSION Active Passive Fast Slow Hot Cold Birth Order Means Birth Order Means Activity Ratings as a Function of Birth Order 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Oldest Youngest ANOVA Compares Between Group Differences to Within Group Differences Within Group Differences: Comprised of ??? Between Group Differences: Comprised of ???? ANOVA: Between Group Differences ????? When Null Hyp. is true: Between group = _XXXX Within group = YYYY When Alt Hyp. is true: Between group = XXXXX Within group = YYYY ANOVA ≤ 1 ANOVA > 1 ANOVA Compares Between Group Differences to Within Group Differences Within Group Differences: Comprised of random error only. Between Group Differences: Comprised of random error + treatment effects (error + true differences) ANOVA: Between Group Differences Within Group Differences When Null Hyp. is true: Between group = error Within group = error ANOVA ≤ 1 When Alt Hyp. is true: Between group = error + true diff. Within group = error ANOVA > 1 Logic of Inferential Statistics: Is the null hypothesis supported? Null Hypothesis: Different sub-samples are equivalent representations of same overall population. Differences between them are random. “First Born don’t differ from Last Born re. disclosers” Alternative Hypothesis Different sub-samples do not represent the same overall population. Instead represent distinct populations. Differences between them are systematic, not random. “First Born DO differ from Last Born re. disclosers” Logic of F Ratio F = Differences Among Treatment Means Differences Among Subjects Treated Alike F = XXXXXX + (Experimental Error) Experimental Error F = Between-group Differences ????? Differences Logic of F Ratio F = Differences Among Treatment Means Differences Among Subjects Treated Alike F = Treatment Effect + (Experimental Error) Experimental Error F = Between-group Differences Within-group Differences Average Scores Around the Mean “Oldest Child” Average AS1 (AS1 - A) (AS1 -A)2 1.33 -1.80 3.24 2.00 -1.13 1.28 3.33 0.20 0.04 4.33 1.20 1.44 4.67 1.54 2.37 3.13 0.00 1.67 AS1 = individual scores in condition 1 (Oldest: 1.33, 2.00…) A = Mean of all scores in a condition (e.g., 3.13) (AS - A)2 = Squared deviation between individual score and condition mean Sum of Squared Deviations Total Sum of Squares = Sum of Squared between-group deviations + Sum of Squared within-group deviations SSTotal = SS????? + SS????? Sum of Squared Deviations Total Sum of Squares = Sum of Squared between-group deviations + Sum of Squared within-group deviations SSTotal = SSBetween + SSWithinb Computing the Sums of Squares Parameter Total Sum of Squares Between Groups Sum of Squares Within Groups Sum of Squares Code SST SSB SSS/A Formula (AS - s [(A - T)2 T)2] [(AS - A)2] Steps 1. Subtract each individual score from total mean. 2. Square each deviation. 3. Sum up all deviations, across all factor levels. 1. Subtract each group mean from the total mean. 2. Square this deviation. 3. Multiply squared deviation by number of scores in the group. 4. Repeat for each group. 5. Sum each group's squared deviation to get total. 1. Subtract group mean from each individual score in group. 2. Square these deviations. 3. Sum all squared deviations, within each group. 4. Sum the sums of each group's squared deviations. Birth Order and Ratings of “Activity” Deviation Scores AS Total (AS – T) = Between (A – T) + Within (AS –A) + + + + + (-1.80) (-1.13) ( 0.20) ( 1.20) ( 1.54) (-1.14) (-0.47) (-0.14) ( 0.20) ( 1.53) Level a1: Oldest Child 1.33 2.00 3.33 4.33 4.67 (-2.97) (-2.30) (-0.97) (0.03) (0.37) = = = = = (-1.17) (-1.17) (-1.17) (-1.17) (-1.17) Level a2: Youngest Child 4.33 5.00 5.33 5.67 7.00 Sum: (0.03) (0.07) (1.03) (1.37) (2.70) = = = = = (1.17) (1.17) (1.17) (1.17) (1.17) + + + + + (0) = (0) + Mean scores: Oldest = 3.13 Youngest = 5.47 Total = 4.30 (0) Computing Sums of Squares from Deviation Scores Birth Order and Activity Ratings (continued) SS = Sum of squared diffs, AKA “sum of squares” SST = Sum of squares., total (all subjects) SSA = Sum of squares, between groups (treatment) SSs/A = Sum of squares, within groups (error) SST = (-2.97)2 + (-2.30)2 + … + (1.37)2 + (2.70)2 = 25.88 SSA = (-1.17)2 + (-1.17)2 + … + (1.17)2 + (1.17)2 = 13.61 SSs/A = (-1.80)2 + (-1.13)2 + … + (0.20)2 + (1.53)2 = 12.27 Total (SSA + SSs/A) = 25.88 Logic of F Test and Hypothesis Testing Form of F Test: Purpose: Between Group Differences Within Group Differences Test null hypothesis: Between Group = XXXX = YYYY Interpretation: If null hypothesis is not supported (F > 1) then Between Group diffs are not simply random error, but instead reflect ??????. Result: Null hypothesis is rejected, alt. hypothesis is therefore ___ PROVED ___ SUPPORTED Logic of F Test and Hypothesis Testing Form of F Test: Purpose: Between Group Differences Within Group Differences Test null hypothesis: Between Group = Within Group = Random Error Interpretation: If null hypothesis is not supported (F > 1) then Between Group diffs are not simply random error, but instead reflect effect of the independent variable. Result: Null hypothesis is rejected, alt. hypothesis is supported (BUT NOT PROVED!)