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Competition Policy Market definition and the Assesment of Market Power Step 1: Market Definition Market definition is done with the aim of assessing market power The RELEVANT market is the set of products (& geographical areas ) that exercise some competitive constraints on each other The test that guides the analysis of market definition is the SSNIP Test (or “Hypotethical monopolist test) SSNIP: Small but Significant Non-transitory Increase in Prices (originally introduced by the US Dept. of Justice) SSNIP Ex.:merger between two sellers of bananasfocus on the definition of the product market Suppose an hypothetical monopolist: Would he find it profitable to raise the price of bananas above the current level by 510%? Answer: YES, then no significant competitive constraints from other (substitute) products bananas are a separate market Answer: NO, because part of the demand will be redirected to kiwi, and to other exotic fruits then bananas could not be considered a separate market The test continue by considering a wider market: banana and kiwi Would the H. Monopolist find it profitable to raise the price of babanans and kiwi by 5-10% ANSWER Yesbananas and kiwi are a separate market Answer: No the test continue until we have identified a separate market (exotic fruits?) Demand & Supply substituability Do not consider just substitutes from the point of view of demand There could be supply substitution if producers can switch to a new product if its price increases Switching must be easy-rapid and feasible No considerable sunk costs and entry barriers (it should be easy and cheap to overcome entry-barriers) Example of civil aviation: no supply substituability because of airport congestion. Problem in non merger cases: abuse of dominant positions Using SSNIP test in non merger investigations may raise problems Ex.: abuse of dominant position: the question is: did the firm increase prices above the competitive level? Applying SSNIP to current prices may distort results: the firm, if dominant, has already increased prices it won’t find it profitable to further raise prices according to the SSNIP test we must reply the test for a wider market A too wide market could be identified and the calculation of small market shares follows No dominance is found Caution in applying SSNIP in non merger cases Implementing the SSNIP test Own price elasticity: not sufficient Cross price elasticity useful to rank substitutes (some closer some not): % change in the demand for B with a 1% increase of product A When own price elasticity of A is high ( a monopolist is not likely to charge higher prices) look at cross elasticities If estimates of cross elasticities are low, products are not close substitutes and suggest a separate market Geographic market definition The same considerations hold EX: merger between mineral water producers in Italy SSNIP test: would a h. monopolist increase the price by 5-10%? YESthe geographic market is Italy NoImports from France are expected and rising prices is unprofitabletest to be repeated on a H. Monopolist in Italy & France Step 2: assessment of market power Perfect competition is an “ideal” modelin reality we expect each firm to enjoy some market power (some fixed cost and some substitutes in most cases do exist) 1.Which measure of market power? 2.Which treshold to call the attention of competition agencies? Which measure A theoretical measure: the Lerner Index: L = (P – MC)/ P it increases with the mark up charged by the firm The direct application can create problems: 1) Estimating MC is not easy 2) High cost can be due to the productive inefficiency caused by market power paradox: one obtains high costs and lower margins lower market power Alternative approach: L = 1 /εP εP easier to assess with modern econometrics Traditional approach look at market shares Other variables: potential entrants/ countervailing power of buyers Traditional approach: market shares To assess market power let us measure market shares A firm with a tiny market share would be unable to excercise much market power restraints on the ability to increase prices come from competitors BUT a firm with high market share is not necessarily dominant If entry was easy the firm would not be able to increase price OR if the buyer has countervailing power Market shares as screening devices Market shares could be used as a screening device: a market share below a treshold (40%..) leads to presume low market power (it cannot be considered dominant..) – above the treshold dominance is presumed and the burden of proof may fall on the defendant In practice the EC and the European Court of justice follow this approach (useful to increase legal certainty and reduce the cost of investigations) Market shares and beyond Market shares both in units and in values might be available In certain industries reserves might be more informative If one firm is supposed to be not a crucial player in the future (cause it uses an old inefficient technology) current market shares may overestimate competitive constraints Excess capacity by rival firms may be important: if it is just enough to satisfy current demand their supply elasticity is low – If they have huge excess capacity the market power of the investigated firm is low It is also the persistence of market shares over time that informs on market power if the distribution varies over a short time we presume no dominance and greater competition