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FAYETTEVILLE STATE UNIVERSITY College of Arts and Sciences Department of Mathematics and Computer Science 1. LOCATOR INFORMATION: Semester : Spring 2005 Course Number and Name : STAT 202 (Basic Probability and Statistics) Number of Semester Hours of Credit :3 Day, Time and Place Class Meets : MWF 04:00-04:50 p.m. SBE 145 : TR 12:30-1:45 p.m. SBE 109 Final Exam : Instructor Name: Asitha Kodippili Office Location: SBE 335 C Office Hours: TR 2:00-4:00 p.m Email: [email protected] Telephone: 910-672-1518 2. COURSE OBJECTIVE: The aim is to introduce basic concepts of probability and statistics, descriptive and inferential, with emphasis on the applications. After the completion of the course, students would have a fairly good background which would enable them to apply these concepts to better understand and solve real life problems in business and social sciences. 3. TEXTBOOK: Allen G. Bluman (2004) Elementary Statistics: A step-by-step Approach McGraw Hill Fifth Edition. 4. EVALUATION CRITERIA: Evaluation in the course shall be by continuous assessment. Mode of assessment would include homework assignments, chapter exams, class attendance and participation, and final examination. The grading scale for determining the course grade and weights given to various activities are given below. A = 90-100% B = 80-89% C=70-79% D=60-69% F=Below 60% Homework/Project : 25 points (Two lowest homework grades will be dropped) Tests (4) : 45 points (Lowest test grade will be dropped) Final Exam : 30 points *** 5 bonus points for proper attendance and participation 5. COURSE REQUIREMENTS: Pre-requisite: MATH 123, MATH 131, or consent of the department. The student is expected to pre-study each lesson in advance, complete all assignments, and spend adequate time on class work to insure success in the course. At least two hours of study is expected for each class hour. It is the responsibility of the student to avail himself/herself at all class meetings, and obtain additional help as needed. Consult the University Catalogue on Class Attendance Policy. Students are expected to enter the classroom on time and remain until the class ends. Late arrivals and early departures without appropriate excuses will not be tolerated. Each student is encouraged to participate in class discussion for a clearer understanding and meet with the instructor when additional assistance is needed. All class discussions should be done in a soberly, orderly, and respectful manner 6. TEACHING STRATEGIES: The teaching strategy for the course will vary depending upon the learning styles and strengths of the students enrolled. It is expected that the instructor will place emphasis on lectures, discussions, review and analysis, graphing calculator and statistical software usage, and cooperative learning. 7. COURSE OUTLINE: Chapter 1 The Nature of Probability and Statistics 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics 1.3 Variables and Types of Data 1.4 Data Collection and Sampling Techniques 1.5 Observation and Experimental Studies 1.6 Use and Misuses of Statistics 1.7 Computers and Calculators Chapter 2 Frequency Distributions and Graphs 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Organizing Data 2.3 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Ogives 2.4 Other Types of Graphs Chapter 3 Data Description 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Measure of Central Tendency 3.3 Measure of Variation 3.4 Measure of Position 3.5 Exploration Data Analysis Chapter 4 Probability and Counting Rules 4.1 The Nature of Probability 4.2 Sample Spaces and Probability 4.3 The Addition Rules of Probability 4.4 The Multiplication Rules of Probability 4.5 Counting Rules 4.6 Probability and Counting Rules CHAPTER 5 Discrete Probability Distributions 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Probability Distributions 5.3 Mean, Variance and Expectation 5.4 The Binomial Probability Distribution 5.5 The Poison Distribution Chapter 6 The Normal Distribution 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Properties of the Normal Distributions 6.3 The Standard Normal Distributions 6.4 Applications of Normal Distribution 6.5 The Central Limit Theorem 6.6 The Normal Approximation on the Binomial Distribution Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals and Sample Size 7.1 Introduction 7.2 Confidence Intervals for the Mean ( 7.3 Confidence Intervals for the Mean ( known, or n 30 ) unknown, or n 30 ) Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Steps in Hypothesis Testing – Traditional Method 8.3 Z-test for a Mean 8.4 T-test for a Mean Chapter 9 Testing the Difference between Two Means 9.1 Introduction 9.2 Testing the Difference between Two Means: Large Samples 9.4 Testing Difference between Two Means: Small Independent Samples 9.5 Testing Difference between Two Means: Small Dependent Samples Chapter 10 Correlation and Regression 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Scatter Plots 10.3 Correlation 10.4 Regression 10.5 Coefficient of Determination and Standard Error of the Estimate Chapter 14 Sampling and Simulation Stat 202 – Project Students will work their own. The instructor will direct students; however students are expected to collect data and analyze data using appropriate statistical techniques and interpret the results. Each student will be required to make a presentation at the end of the semester. Areas of further studies should be incorporated in the report. The double-spaced typewritten paper, not exceeding ten pages should include: Title Page Abstract Chapter I Chapter II Chapter III Chapter IV Chapter V References Introduction + Statement of the problem Literature Review Methodology or Procedure Data Analysis, Results Summary, Conclusions Important Days to Remember March 11: Last day to withdraw from class March 23: Last day for WN submissions April 6: Last day for WN appeals April 15: Last day to Withdraw from the University April 25: Last day of Classes April 27 – May 3 – Final Examinations