Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the work of artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game . . .You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI Contents ● Price and Quantity: One Decision, Not Two ● Total Profit: Keep your Eye on the Goal ● Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit ● Generalization: The Logic of Marginal Analysis and Maximization Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Contents (continued) ● Conclusion: The Fundamental Role of Marginal Analysis ● The Theory and Reality: A Word of Caution ● Appendix: The Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Price and Quantity: One Decision, Not Two ● Firms face a demand curve on which price and quantity are related. ● They can choose either price or quantity, but not both. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-1 Demand Curve for Al’s Garages Price per Garage (thousands $) FIGURE 35 30 26 19 16 Da b c d 25 22 20 e Profit maximum f g h i 15 j D 10 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output, Garages Marketed per Year Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal ● Simplifying assumption: maximum total profit is the firm’s goal. ● Total profit = total revenue - total costs ● Economic profit accounting profit Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal ● Total, Average, and Marginal Revenue ♦ Total Revenue = P Q ♦ Average Revenue = TR/Q = (P Q)/Q = P ♦ Marginal Revenue = total revenue from one more unit of output. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-1 Demand for Al’s Garages TABLE Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-2 Total Revenue Curve for Al’s Garages Total Revenue per Year (thousands $) FIGURE 140 F 120 G H I J TR E D 100 C 80 B 60 40 A 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output, Garages Sold per Year Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal ● Total, Average, and Marginal Cost ♦ The shapes of the cost curves mean that there is some size for the firm that is most efficient. ♦ Firms that are smaller or larger than this optimal size will have higher average costs. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-2 Al’s Total, Average, and Marginal Costs TABLE Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-3 (a) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages FIGURE 200 TC Total Cost per Year (thousands $) 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Output, Garages per Year (a) Total Cost 9 10 Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-3 (b) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages FIGURE Average Cost per Garage (thousands $) 45 40 35 30 25 AC 20 15 10 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output, Garages per Year (b) Average Cost Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-3 (c) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages Marginal Cost per Added Garage (thousands $) FIGURE 50 MC 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Output, Garages per Year (c) Marginal Cost 9 10 Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal ● Maximization of Total Profits ♦ Profits typically increase with output, then fall. ♦ Some intermediate level of output, therefore, generates the maximum profit. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-3 TR, Costs, and Profit for Al’s Garages TABLE Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit ● Marginal profit is the slope of the total profit curve. ● Profit is at a maximum when the marginal profit is zero. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-4 (a) Profit Maximization Total Revenue, Total Cost per Year (thousands $) FIGURE 200 TC 180 160 140 TR 120 A 100 96 80 74 60 Profit B 22,000 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output, Garages per Year (a) Total Revenue. Total Cost Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-4 (b) Profit Maximization Total Profit per Year (thousands $) FIGURE 40 34 20 Total profit M F E C D 0 –20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 –40 –60 –80 Output, Garages per Year (b) Total Profit Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit ● Optimum Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost ♦ If MR > MC, production profits ♦ If MR < MC, production profits ● Profit maximizing level out output: MR = MC Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-4 Al’s Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost TABLE Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-5(a) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation FIGURE MR and MC per Garage per Year (thousands $) 50 MC 40 30 20 E 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 MR –10 Output, Garages per Year (a) Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-5(b) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation Total Revenue, Total Cost per Year (thousands $) FIGURE 200 TC 180 160 140 TR 120 A 100 96 80 74 60 Profit B 22,000 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output, Garages per Year (a) Total Revenue. Total Cost Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-5(c) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation Total Profit per Year (thousands $) FIGURE 40 34 20 Total profit M F E C D 0 –20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 –40 –60 –80 Output, Garages per Year (b) Total Profit Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit ● Finding the Optimal Price from Optimal Output ♦ MR = MC: rule for determining the level of output ♦ Demand curve price buyers will pay to purchase that level of output ♦ Both output and price are now determined for the profit maximizing firm. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Logic of Marginal Analysis & Maximization ● If a decision is to be made about the quantity of some variable, then maximize net benefit. ● Net benefit = total benefit - total cost ● To maximize net benefit, select a value of the variable at which marginal benefit = marginal cost. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Logic of Marginal Analysis & Maximization ● Application: Fixed Cost and Profit Maximization ♦ An increase in fixed costs does not change optimal output or price because it does not affect marginal costs. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-5 Rise in Fixed Cost: Total Profits Before and After TABLE Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. 7-6 Fixed Cost Does Not Affect Profit-Maximizing Output Total Profit per Year (thousands $) FIGURE Profit with zero fixed cost 40 M Profit with a fixed cost N 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Output in Garages per Year Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. The Fundamental Role of Marginal Analysis ● Marginal analysis can be used to illuminate many everyday problems, in business and elsewhere, sometimes with surprising results. ● For example, a new activity will add to profits if it more than covers its marginal cost, not the fully allocated average cost. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. The Fundamental Role of Marginal Analysis ● Any problem involving optimization can be illuminated with marginal analysis. ● The logic of marginal analysis can be applied to government, universities, hospitals and other organizations as well as businesses. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Theory and Reality: A Word of Caution ● Business people seldom use marginal analysis in a literal sense. ● They often rely on intuition and hunches. ● But these theories can be used to understand and predict behavior. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Appendix: Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data ● Average = total the number of units ● Total = average the number of units Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data ● Marginal value of the xth unit = total value of x units - total value of (x - 1) units. ● Total value of x units = marginal values of the first x units. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-6 Weights of Persons in a Room (in pounds) TABLE Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved. Relationships Among Total, Average and Marginal Data ● The marginal, average and total values for the first unit are usually equal. ♦ If marginal < average, the average is falling. ♦ If marginal > average, the average is rising. ♦ If marginal = average, the average is constant; that is, the average is at a maximum or minimum. Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved. 7-7 Relationship between Marginal and Average Curves Marginal and Average Weight (pounds) FIGURE B 150 100 E C A D F Marginal weight 50 0 Average weight 1 2 3 4 5 6 Number of Persons Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.